Rainfall patterns and the effect on spring flows
Daily rainfall magnitude and spring flow observed in the two study catchments are presented in Fig. 3a (Shikarpur) and Fig. 3b (Banlek). The total observed rainfall from January to August 2017 was 2,025 mm in Shikarpur and 925 mm in Banlek (Fig. 3a,b). During the 2017 observation period, the total rainfall observed in Shikarpur was twice that of the Banlek catchment. The contribution of the monsoon, driven by the winds from the Bay of Bengal, to the total rainfall in 2017 stands at 81% in Shikarpur (1,781 mm) and 74.3% in Banlek catchments (688 mm). In 2016, the Southwest monsoon contribution in Shikarpur catchment was 1,778 mm, which is 83.7% of the total annual rainfall received. The maximum 1-day precipitation observed in Shikarpur is 128.6 mm and Banlek is 79.8 mm. While the observation period covers 2 years in Shikarpur and less than a year in Banlek, it is evident from the 2017 data that both catchments exhibit different rainfall patterns owing to micro-climates fueled by local convective and orographic interactions common in the Himalayan region.
Mean daily discharge of 182, 176 and 51 L/min were observed in the three Shikarpur springs between November 2015 and 2017. In Banlek, the observed daily mean discharge estimated over the same observation period was 5, 6.6 and 7 L/min. Shikarpur is located in a larger mountain range with twice as much rainfall as Banlek, resulting in such higher magnitude of spring flows. Out of the three springs monitored in Shikarpur catchment, two springs (SS-1 and SS-2) respond quickly to rainfall events, while the response from the spring SS-3 was relatively lower (Fig. 3a). Similarly, spring BS-2 and BS-3 in Banlek catchment show quick responses to rainfall events. The relatively stable nature of spring hydrographs in BS-1 and BS-4 in Banlek, and SS-3 in Shikarpur, indicates a year-round contribution from stable groundwater sources. The spring hydrographs shown in Fig. 3 indicate that the onset of increase in spring flows coincides with the occurrence of the Southwest monsoon. The rising limb of spring hydrographs in Shikarpur occurs during the first week of July, while it was observed to occur during late August/early September in Banlek. Discharge in Banlek declined significantly in 2017 and field observations confirmed that the site was facing a drought with a decline in rainfall as well as spring flows throughout the catchment.
Based on the time difference in measured rainfall peak and observed peak flow in spring flows, 10 days was estimated as an approximate time taken for the rainfall response to appear in the springs in Shikarpur. Owing to limited rainfall data in Banlek catchment, residence time was not estimated; however, considering the smaller catchment size, moderate slopes, and more infiltration-related hydrogeological characteristics, it is likely that the mean residence time will be less than 10 days for springs fed by rainfall recharge. These hydrometric observations in springs in Banlek and Shikarpur indicate that BS-2, BS-3, SS-1, and SS-2 derive water from unconfined groundwater sources with larger recharge areas, which explains the immediate response to rainfall events. The remaining springs did not show such response to rainfall events, indicating that these springs are possibly fed by deeper groundwater sources with longer residence time or with smaller recharge areas. Identifying the nature of springs and the key hydrogeologic drivers has a direct bearing on design of climate resilient interventions.
Intra and inter-seasonal variations of δ18O and δD in rainfall and springs
A summary of δ18O and δD composition of the rainfall and spring water samples in the two catchments is presented in Table 2. The rainfall samples collected in two seasons, monsoon (June–September) and dry season (October–May), showed two distinct isotopic signatures. In Shikarpur, intra-seasonal variations of δ18O in Southwest monsoon rainfall samples, standard deviation (SD) = 2.66, were substantially lower than the variations observed in winter season samples (SD = 6). In the case of measured δD, this phenomenon is reversed with dry season samples showing lower intra-seasonal variations (SD = 3.96) compared to Southwest monsoon rainfall events (SD = 31). In Banlek, seasonal variations for both δ18O and δD were pronounced during the Southwest monsoon season compared to dry season samples. The Southwest monsoon rainfall samples collected in Shikarpur are more depleted of heavier isotopes (mean δ18O: −11.54 and δD: −82.64‰) than the samples from Banlek, which is reasonable, as the latter is located at lower elevation (δ18O: −9.17 and δD: −66.47‰). However, the isotopic composition observations from winter rainfall samples do not follow the same elevation-dependent isotopic depletion trend.
Table 2 Summary of stable isotope analysis (δ18O and δD) from the two catchments (Shikarpur and Banlek). For Shikarpur, samples were collected from March 2016 to March 2017 and for Banlek from August 2015 to September 2016 The isotopic composition of seven springs in the two catchments exhibits similar magnitude of δ18O (−9.5 to −8.9‰) and δD (−67 to −56‰) within a narrow range. The maximum standard deviation of 0.25‰ was observed in SS-2 in Shikarpur and the variations of δ18O in other springs were less than 0.18‰, whereas in case of δD composition among the springs, the variations are less than 1.8‰. The strong inter-seasonal variations in isotopic composition observed in rainfall samples were not reflected in the spring observations in both catchments. There is loss of seasonal variations during infiltration through the unsaturated zone (Clark and Fritz 1997).
In the Shikarpur catchment, the onset of monsoon caused a visible spike in isotopic composition of rainfall samples (from nearly −14 to −6‰ for δ18O and −104 to −42‰ for δD in the secondary axis for Fig. 4), which is still lower than the 1.45 for δ18O and 32.47 for δD measured during dry season months. The enrichment peak caused by the onset of monsoon subsided rapidly within the span of 17 days. The spring water samples were also enriched in heavier isotopes during Southwest monsoon months (July–August); however, the higher enrichment of heavier isotopes observed in dry season rainfall samples was not reflected in spring samples that appear depleted. In Shikarpur catchment, the lowest values in the spring water samples were observed during the months of April–May. The absolute values of isotopic composition observed in Banlek follow a similar profile to that of Shikarpur, but the absence of measurements during the in-between months forms a poor basis to derive any inference on specific trends from the intermittent time series data. More continuous sampling is needed in Banlek to deduce intra and inter-seasonal trends in the isotopic composition of the rainfall and spring water especially because the relatively lower number of rain events in Banlek limited the number of rainfall samples that could be gathered.
LMWL
A linear relationship between δ18O and δD for the rainfall samples was used to derive the LMWL for Shikarpur and Banlek catchments (Fig. 5 and Eqs. 2 and 3).
$$ \mathrm{Shikarpur}\ \mathrm{LMWL}:\updelta \mathrm{D}=8.4803\;{\updelta}^{18}\mathrm{O}+15.573 $$
(2)
$$ \mathrm{Banlek}\ \mathrm{LMWL}:\updelta \mathrm{D}=7.6372\ {\updelta}^{18}\mathrm{O}+4.1226 $$
(3)
The LWML for the two catchments were compared with the global meteoric water line (GMWL) (Craig 1961; Rozanski and Araguas-Araguas 1993) given by
$$ \mathrm{GMWL}:\updelta \mathrm{D}=8.17\ {\updelta}^{18}\mathrm{O}+10.35 $$
(4)
The slope and intercept of the Shikarpur LMWL are in close agreement with the GMWL, while the Banlek LWML significantly differs in both slope and intercept. In addition, the distinct isotopic signature of winter rainfall events in Shikarpur located at higher elevation compared to Banlek is clearly evident from Fig. 5a. The rainfall events recorded in Shikarpur during winter season showed significant enrichment of both δ18O and δD isotopes. A low number of rainfall events recorded in Banlek did not show the observed seasonality in Shikarpur isotopic signature in monsoon and dry season (Fig. 5b,d). Due to this, a separate LMWL was created for Southwest monsoon (July 2016 to October 2016) for both catchments. The resultant Shikarpur and Banlek LMWLs for Southwest monsoon follow GMWL with a slope of 8.1746 and intercept of 11.703 for Shikarpur (Fig. 5b), and slope of 8.177 and intercept of 8.9882 for Banlek (Fig. 5d). The resultant values of the LMWL are however different to the LMWL from the nearest International Atomic Energy Agency’s (IAEA) Global Network of Isotopes in Precipitation (GNIP) station in New Delhi, India (Datta et al. 1991), given by
$$ \mathrm{D}\mathrm{elhi}\ \mathrm{LMWL}:\updelta \mathrm{D}=6.8\ {\updelta}^{18}\mathrm{O}+0.7 $$
(5)
The significance of evaporation effects on the isotopic ratio of rainwater in low-altitude semi-arid conditions prevalent in Delhi could explain the significant difference between LMWL derived for Delhi and Western Nepal catchments in this study (Eqs. 1, 2 and 4). This reiterates the complex association between δ18O and δD in samples derived from the monsoonal rainfall events and the impact of local effects on isotopic compositions. The isotopic signature of springs in Banlek and Shikarpur catchments lie close to the LMWL of respective catchments (Fig. 6), indicating strong rainfall contribution to infiltration. Even the isotopic signature of springs SS-3, BS-1 and BS-4, which show lower and delayed response to the rainfall events compared to other spring sources in both the catchments, lies closer to the respective LWML.
Deuterium excess
Deuterium excess (d-excess) estimated from rainfall samples serves as a tool to trace the water vapor source region even across continents, including the nature of the air mass and meteorological conditions at the vapor source regions (Gat et al. 1994). The global mean value of d-excess is approximately +10‰ (Froehlich et al. 2002; Rozanski and Araguas-Araguas 1993). In this study, the d-excess ranged between 7.44 and 22.97‰ in Shikarpur and 7.76 and 14.01‰ in Banlek during the sampling period (Table 3; Fig. 7). Lower temperature and humidity values in the water vapor source region for rainfall may yield such large d-excess values. Evidence of such rainfall sourced from western disturbances contributing to spring recharge in the Western Himalayas has been found in previous studies (Jeelani et al. 2015, 2017).
Table 3 The monthly average δ18O, δD and d-excess values of precipitation in the study area at different attitudes The d-excess in both catchments also exhibits strong seasonal and altitudinal variation. The d-excess in rainfall was 60 and 71% higher during the dry season compared to the samples from the monsoon season in Shikarpur and Banlek respectively. Except for the sampling period of July and August 2016, the lowest elevation of rainfall sampling (1,954 m) in Shikarpur provided the highest d-excess values. In the case of Banlek, no definite trends emerge in the monsoon season. The lowest elevation rainfall sample site of 733 m provides the highest d-excess value (14.23‰) in January 2017; however, in Banlek, the dry season rain events were only observed in the month of January 2017. Due to the lower altitude of Banlek compared to Shikarpur, it is envisaged that the difference in seasonal d-excess values will be higher during later months in the dry season. In Shikarpur, rainfall in the summer month of March 2017 showed the highest d-excess in the range of 19.98‰ followed by 16.18‰ in February 2017 and 14‰ in January 2017, while in contrast, d-excess estimated in the monsoon months between June and October 2016 were nearly half, ranging from 8.13 to 10.93‰. Such large variations in d-excess for the dry season rainfall events have previously been attributed to the water vapor for the rain being derived from possible inland sources (Kumar et al. 2010a).
Secondary evaporation is another factor affecting the d-excess estimates, particularly in low altitude zones (Jeelani et al. 2017). During the monsoon, relatively low temperature and relative humidity inhibit the secondary evaporation effect, thus resulting in lower d-excess values. Although secondary evaporation is lower in the winter months in the dry season, different source areas of water vapor other than the Indian Ocean resulting in rainfall events during this season leads to higher d-excess. However, the highest d-excess values observed during the summer months in the dry season are a result of a combination of rainfall source areas originating from conventional monsoon source—the Bay of Bengal and the effect of secondary evaporation.
Altitude effects
Monthly isotopic gradients were calculated for Shikarpur and Banlek catchments to estimate altitude effects and to aid in delineating recharge areas of springs under investigation. Variations of δ18O, δD and d-excess in rainfall samples at multiple elevations were aggregated to monthly scale (Table 2). There is depletion of heavy isotopes of oxygen δ18O and hydrogen δD with increase in altitude observed in Shikarpur for all months under consideration. The decrease in isotopic ratios was not consistent across the elevation zones in both study catchments; moreover, in Shikarpur, the sampling location at 2,243 m, located on the northeast facing side of the hill, has different isotopic composition than the sampling locations at 2,364, 2,063 and 1,954 m on the Southwest face of the hill. In Banlek, rainfall samples collected at 733 m showed more depleted isotopic composition than the samples collected at 808 and 936 m. An average isotopic gradient of −0.25‰/100 m for δ18O and −1.73‰ /100 m for δD was estimated for Shikarpur, and −0.12‰/100 m for δ18O and −1.5‰/100 m for δD for the Banlek catchment. The average monthly variations of altitude-induced effects on δ18O and δD composition across all rainfall samples are shown in Fig. 8. In the case of Shikarpur, the rate of decrease in the isotopic composition is more prominent in September and least in October 2016. In Banlek, the rate of δD decrease with altitude is prominent in September, similar to the findings in Shikarpur, but δ18O altitudinal effects were pronounced in July and less variable in August 2016.
Delineation of spring recharge elevations in the study catchments
The estimated altitudinal gradient for δ18O and δD in rainfall has been used to delineate the recharge areas of aquifers (Longinelli and Selmo 2003) feeding the spring system in Shikarpur and Banlek catchments. The altitude-effect estimates are a vital tool to delineate spring recharge areas in both study catchments because of the steep slopes. The recharge elevations for Shikarpur and Banlek springs were estimated from the Shuttle Radar Topography Mission (STRM) 30-m digital elevation model (DEM) using the linear relationship summarized in Table 4. Figure 10 visualizes the extent of suitable recharge zones to implement climate-resilient recharge interventions in the catchments to augment spring flow. The estimated mean recharge elevation ranges for springs SS-1 and SS-2 in Shikarpur fed by unconfined groundwater sources are 2,600–2,700 m (Fig. 9a–b). Similarly, for unconfined groundwater-fed springs, BS-2 and BS-3 in Banlek, the recharge elevation range is 1,000–1,100 m asl (Fig. 9c–d). The estimated recharge elevation range for spring SS-3 in Shikarpur is 2,720–2,760 m asl, which is higher than the maximum elevation of 2,681 m asl within the catchment.
Table 4 Recharge elevations for springs in Shikarpur and Banlek based on the altitudinal gradient of isotopic compositions All estimated recharge zones are located at elevations higher than that of the rainfall sampling locations. Such values reiterates the findings from a hydrometric analysis that the spring source SS-3 possibly emerges from discontinuities in the limestone formation or from the contact of the phyllite and the karstic limestone in the form of a spring, and the pathways have longer residence times. The difference in dominant water sources contributing to spring discharge also explains the difference in isotopic composition between SS-3 and springs SS-1 and SS-2. Similarly, recharge zones estimated from δD data for Banlek catchment provided unreasonable values for all the springs, indicating a need for more sampling. By combining insights from the hydrometric and isotope analysis, it was decided that the isotopic sampling extent within the springsheds was not sufficient to demarcate the recharge zone range estimates of springs BS-1 and BS-4 fed by discontinuities in quartzite and phyllite formations in Banlek, and, spring SS-3 from the limestone and phyllite formations in Shikarpur. Surveys to gather additional hydro-geological information on sub-surface connectivity in these two pilot sites were recommended to DFSC for further assessment.
It is also possible that the recharge areas for these springs lie in higher areas beyond the immediate catchment, but connected to the same mountain range. Especially in Shikarpur, karst topography can support such long-range subsurface aquifer connectivity. To narrow down the dominant process supplementing spring flow, further detailed hydrogeological mapping of the headwater catchments in Shikarpur is necessary.
The estimated mean recharge elevation zones for springs in Shikarpur catchment (~2,600–2,700 m) is located in the same mountain range but 2.3 km east of springs SS-1 and SS-2, far from the immediate catchment. In contrast, the estimated recharge elevation zones overlap with the planned interventions in Banlek catchment. Interventions such as social fencing, piped diversion, and plantation are proposed for Shikarpur, while afforestation, grazing management, gully protection, on-farm conservation measures, recharge ponds, and source protection are proposed for spring management in Banlek. The estimated elevation range in the two study catchments will support the ranking of planned climate resilient interventions under the BCRWME project. Detailed hydrogeological characterization of estimated recharge elevation range in both the catchments will provide additional information needed to prioritize the location for planned interventions.