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Robust analysis of cost-effectiveness in formal safety assessment

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Abstract

The paper probes the robustness of the present method for evaluating the cost-effectiveness (CE) of risk control options, which are identified through the International Maritime Organisation Guidelines on Formal Safety Assessment (FSA). We highlight the deficiencies of the current CE method, undermining its lucidity and consistency in application. The proposed approach outlines a mathematical formulation that neatly integrates all aspects of CE measures along with its application based on the Pareto dominance concept. We benchmark our method against CE results found in the FSAs for cargo and passenger ships, demonstrating the ease of application and clarity of interpretation.

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Notes

  1. The Appendix gives brief descriptions of RCOs which are referred to throughout the paper.

  2. In this context, the societal risk is referred to the potential loss of life or the expected number of fatalities.

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Correspondence to Romanas Puisa.

Appendix: Descriptions of risk control options

Appendix: Descriptions of risk control options

See Tables 6, 7, 8 and 9.

Table 6 Description of RCOs proposed for crude oil tankers [5]
Table 7 Description of RCOs proposed for container vessels [3]
Table 8 Description of RCOs proposed for cruise ships [6]
Table 9 Description of RCOs proposed for RoPax ships [7]

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Puisa, R., Vassalos, D. Robust analysis of cost-effectiveness in formal safety assessment. J Mar Sci Technol 17, 370–381 (2012). https://doi.org/10.1007/s00773-012-0164-3

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