1 Introduction

We are used to associate imperfect competition with too low consumption and hence a welfare loss. However, welfare also depends on product quality, and we shall show that a symmetric oligopoly produces too low quality if quality is reflected in sunk costs. This distortion can (under some circumstances) overshadow the traditional deadweight loss of imperfect competition. Moreover, entry will worsen the quality distortion (except for when a third firm enters in a duopoly). While these results do not apply when quality affects (only) marginal costs, their presence in the opposite case represents a sufficient reason to challenge conventional views on the best ways to organise an industry.

It is well known that quality can be either too high or too low (relative to the socially optimal solution) in a profit-maximising monopoly, depending on how quality affects the slope of inverse demand (Spence 1975; Sheshinski 1976). The literature on spatial models of horizontal product differentiation suggests that quality may be a matter of concern under oligopoly as well.Footnote 1 Cases in point are Ma and Burgess (1993) (who assume that firms decide on quality and price sequentially) and Brekke et al. (2010) (who focus on simultaneous decisions). Models with endogenous entry suggest that the market may also provide too many varieties in addition to suboptimal quality (Economides 1991).Footnote 2 However, less is known about quality and the impact of competition without the additional market imperfection of product differentiation. Our analysis therefore fills a gap.

When it comes to the amount of competition, we conform to most of the earlier literature by focusing on the number of firms. While an increase in the number of firms tends to increase quality if it reduces the quality-related fixed costs, its impact seems otherwise ambiguous (Banker et al. 1998).Footnote 3 It has also been argued that entry might reduce welfare by narrowing the quality spectrum when firms produce several quality levels under quantity competition and uniformly distributed tastes (Gal-Or 1983). However, increased competition can also mean lower transportation costs (with an ambiguous effect on quality) or higher firm density (with a non-negative impact) in Brekke et al. (2010). The amount of competition has also been related to the size of the market, not least in the case of economic integration. While this interpretation has been more common in the literature on innovations and growth (Vives 2008; Rivera Batiz and Romer 1991; Berry and Waldfogel 2010) find that a larger market can increase product quality as well. We shall also present some results that apply to this interpretation.

Quality is likely to depend on product design and other factors that are associated with sunk costs. We therefore develop a model of fully informed consumers by Sutton (1991), who also assumes that goods are potentially differentiated but homogeneous ex-post.Footnote 4 It is well known that there is then an upper limit for the number of firms that can break even. This maximum number is independent of the market size, and low under reasonable conditions. To make the model more useful for dealing with entry and near-perfect competition we relax Sutton’s assumption that consumption and quality have the same impact on utility. A high maximum number is then likely to mean that there is a scope for entry if enterprise formation is sluggish, as argued by Geroski (1995). We also extend Sutton’s analysis by assessing social optimality, and by including the case where quality is reflected in marginal costs.

We show that quality is lower than in the first best solution and decreasing in the number of firms (except for in a duopoly) if it affects sunk costs or both sunk costs and marginal costs. It also follows that an oligopoly can under some circumstances be associated with an excessive output of cheap low-quality goods. An increase in the size of the market will on the other hand lead to higher quality, even without entry. However, there is no quality distortion (and no limit to the number of firms) if quality affects only marginal costs. While output is then too low if firms are few, the allocation approaches a textbook-model of perfect competition when their number becomes sufficiently large.

We introduce a couple of extensions in order to assess robustness. Results become roughly similar with simultaneous instead of sequential decision-making (and we explain why there is a difference as compared to the earlier literature). We also extend the analysis to quasilinear utility, which allows us to relax the assumption that a uniform increase in quality has no impact on the willingness to pay. Results are also then roughly similar, but there is not always any upper limit to the number of firms.

We proceed as follows. The basic components of the model (consumers, the n-firm oligopoly and the socially optimal solution) are presented in Sect. 2. In Sect. 3 we evaluate the performance of the n-firm oligopoly (as compared to the socially optimal solution) and analyse the comparative statics of entry (within the feasible range) and market size. In Sect. 4 we extend the analysis to simultaneous maximisation and to quasilinear utility. Section 5 presents some concluding remarks. Proofs and other technical details are included in an appendix with sections “Appendix 113”.

2 The model

2.1 Costs and utility

Consider a market where each producer (i) has to decide on both quality (qi) and output (yi). Firm i has an advantage over firm j if qi > qj, but higher quality also means higher costs. In what follows, we refer to the case where quality is reflected in sunk costs (Si), for example as related to product design or R&D, but not in marginal costs, as case (a). Other sunk are ruled out. The case where quality affects only marginal costs (ci), for example via more expensive inputs or more time-consuming procedures will be referred to as case (b). These cases yield explicit solutions for output and quality. Quality may however also affect both types of costs. We refer to this situation as case (c). Some important conclusions can be extended to this case as well.

The cost function for the more general case (c) is

$$T_{i} = c_{i} y_{i} + S_{i} = \left( {c_{0} + q_{i}^{\gamma } } \right)y_{i} + sq_{i}^{\beta } ,$$
(1)

where c0, γ, β, and s stand for positive parameters. To get the cost function for case (a), we set γ = 0 and s > 0 (in which case ci= c0 + 1 for all (i). Setting γ > 0 and s = 0 yields case (b).Footnote 5 Note that β represents the elasticity of sunk costs with respect to quality, or shortly the sunk cost elasticity. This parameter has a crucial impact on the maximum number of firms. Note also that the cost function implies constant marginal costs (with respect to output), and a positive cross derivative with respect to quality and output (i.e. cost substitutability between quality and quantity; see Brekke et al. 2010).

As for the demand side, there are N identical consumers with the income m. Consider the utility function of an individual h, h = 1, 2,… N, who consumes the output of producer i:

$$u\left( {y_{hi} ,q_{i} ,z_{h} } \right) = y_{hi}^{{\alpha_{1} }} q_{i}^{{\alpha_{2} }} z_{h}^{{\alpha_{0} }} ,$$
(2)

where zh stands for a basket of other goods with a unit price. The exponents α1, α2, and α0 stand for the elasticity of utility with respect to the consumption of y, to its quality, and to the consumption of z.

We assume without loss of generality that α0 = 1−α1. Note that α1 = α2 in Sutton’s version of the model (Sutton 1991). However, our analysis also includes the cases of utility being either more or less sensitive to the quality than to the quantity of y, i.e. that either α2/α1 > 1 or α2/α1 < 1 holds true. While α1 determines the size of the industry revenues R = α1mN, in most cases the utility function parameters matter only via the ratio α2/α1, which will therefore be abbreviated as ρ. For example, we can maximise qρy instead of (2) when deriving the socially optimal solution. Note also that (2) implies that the inverse market demand is p = α1mN/y = R/y; for more details, see “Appendix 1”.

We focus on a subgame perfect Cournot-Nash equilibrium with sequential decisions on market participation, quality, and output (except for in Sect. 4). We first analyse how firm 1 maximises profits with respect to y1 given all qi (with no loss of generality), and thereafter how this firm’s maximum profits π1 are maximised with respect to q1, given its competitors’ quality levels. The market solution is obtained after imposing ex-post symmetry. Finally, we analyse the zero-profit condition in order to understand the range of feasible market structures. Details are presented in “Appendix 2”.

However, our simplifying assumption of Cobb–Douglas utility has a couple of less desirable implications. First, there is no impact on the willingness to pay if all firms increase their quality in the same way (although there is a positive impact on firm i’s residual demand when qi > qj). The possibilities of higher or lower demand because of higher quality among all producers are thereby ignored.Footnote 6 While changing the quality of US-style bulk beer might not necessarily change drinking habits, the assumption of no impact is in many other cases likely to be too restrictive. Second, the fact that (1) implies unitary demand elasticity rules out an equilibrium under unregulated (profit-maximising) monopoly.Footnote 7 We therefore demonstrate the robustness of our main results by including an extension where these two limitations do not apply.

The following technical assumption ensures that at least two firms can break even in case (a), that there is a meaningful oligopoly solution in case (b), and a meaningful social optimum in case (c):

Assumption 1

(i) β/ρ ≥ 1; (ii) γ > ρ; (iii) β > γ − ρ.

It will be convenient to abbreviate β/ρ as ε, not least because of its impact on the maximum number of firms. We cannot assess the impact of entry unless ε ≥ 8/3, so that at least three firms can break even. It will also be convenient to abbreviate γ/ρ as η.

2.2 The oligopolistic equilibrium

Denote the price charged by firm i by pi; p stands for the price in a symmetric equilibrium. Intuitively, several quality levels cannot co-exist unless all firms have the same quality-to-price ratio. The insight that \(q_{i}^{\rho } /p_{i}\) = \(q_{j}^{\rho } /p_{j}\) will be useful for deriving the inverse demand function for a given firm and is therefore explained in “Appendix 1”.

Focusing on firm 1, the fact that \(q_{i}^{\rho } /p_{i}\) = \(q_{j}^{\rho } /p_{j}\) implies that \(p_{j}\) = p1(qj/q1)ρ for all j = 2, 3, … n under ex ante product differentiation. The industry sales revenues are therefore:

$$R = y_{1} p_{1} + p_{1} \mathop \sum \limits_{j = 2}^{n} y_{j} \left( {\frac{{q_{j} }}{{q_{1} }}} \right)^{\rho } .$$
(3)

Rearrange to get the inverse demand function for firm 1:

$$p_{1} = \frac{R}{{y_{1} + \mathop \sum \nolimits_{j = 2}^{n} y_{j} \left( {q_{j} /q_{1} } \right)^{\rho } }}.$$
(4)

The profit function is therefore:

$$\pi_{1} = \frac{R}{{y_{1} + \mathop \sum \nolimits_{j = 2}^{n} y_{j} \left( {q_{j} /q_{1} } \right)^{\rho } }}y_{1} - \left( {c_{0} + q_{1}^{\gamma } } \right)y_{1} - sq_{1}^{\beta } .$$
(5)

As shown in “Appendix 2”, a unique and meaningful solution exists when Assumption 1 is satisfied. Consider the equilibrium output and quality in case (a), where γ = 0 and s > 0:

$$y^{C} = \frac{{R\left( {n - 1} \right)}}{cn},$$
(6)
$$q^{C} = \left[ {\frac{{2\rho R\left( {n - 1} \right)^{2} }}{{s\beta n^{3} }}} \right]^{1/\beta } = \left[ {\frac{{2R\left( {n - 1} \right)^{2} }}{{s\varepsilon n^{3} }}} \right]^{1/\beta } .$$
(7)

The preference for quality as represented by ρ affects qC but not yC, which is the same as in a conventional Cournot-model with a fixed quality (see however Sect. 4.2). The same applies to the price pC= cn/(n + 1).

Next, consider the solution for case (b) where s = 0 and γ > 0:

$$y^{C} = \frac{{\left( {n - 1} \right)\left( {\gamma - \rho } \right)R}}{{n\gamma c_{0} }} = \frac{{\left( {n - 1} \right)\left( {\eta - 1} \right)R}}{{n\eta c_{0} }},$$
(8)
$$q^{C} = \left[ {\frac{{\rho c_{0} }}{\gamma - \rho }} \right]^{1/\gamma } = \left[ {\frac{{\eta c_{0} }}{\eta - 1}} \right]^{1/\gamma } .$$
(9)

In this case, a higher preference for quality (i.e. a higher value of ρ) results in a lower output and a higher price (pC = nγc0/(n − 1)(γρ) = nηc0/(n − 1)(η−1)).

2.3 The socially optimal solution

The socially optimal solution provides a reference point when asking whether the quality becomes too high or too low in an oligopoly, but it can also be interpreted as the outcome of welfare maximisation, for example in the case of competent an unbiased ideal public ownership. Such an optimum includes just one quality level, because product differentiation would be pointless when all consumers are identical.

It is well known that maximisation of the total surplus would cause a deficit in the presence of exogenous sunk costs. To avoid extending the analysis to the potentially distortionary taxes that the deficit calls for, it is convenient to impose a break-even constraint. We would then get the same result with the simpler procedure of constrained maximisation of the consumer surplus (or even output). The case of endogenous sunk costs is somewhat more complicated. Maximisation of the total surplus can then yield positive profits.Footnote 8 This would potentially involve stakeholders external to the industry, like in the case of a deficit. To avoid such discussions we maximise the consumer benefits (in which case the break-even constraint is always binding).

Consider the welfare of a typical consumer:

$$u\left( {y_{h} ,q,z} \right) = \left( {\frac{y}{N}} \right)^{{\alpha_{1} }} q^{{\alpha_{2} }} z^{{\alpha_{0} }} .$$
(10)

To get the socially optimal solution, solve for y from the break-even constraint, insert the solution into (10), and maximise with respect to q (see “Appendix 3”). Setting γ = 0 then yields:

$$y^{G} = \frac{\beta R}{{\left( {\rho + \beta } \right)c}} = \frac{\varepsilon R}{{\left( {1 + \varepsilon } \right)c}}$$
(11)
$$q^{G} = \left[ {\frac{\rho R}{{\left( {\rho + \beta } \right)s}}} \right]^{1/\beta } = \left[ {\frac{R}{{\left( {1 + \varepsilon } \right)s}}} \right]^{1/\beta } .$$
(12)

It follows that the price is (1 + 1/ε)c.

As for cost functions of type (b), we get marginal-cost pricing both with unconstrained maximisation of the total surplus and with constrained maximisation of the consumer surplus:

$$y^{G} = \frac{{\left( {\gamma - \rho } \right)R}}{{\gamma c_{0} }} = \frac{{\left( {\eta - 1} \right)R}}{{\eta c_{0} }},$$
(13)
$$q^{G} = \left( {\frac{{\rho c_{0} }}{\gamma - \rho }} \right)^{1/\gamma } = \left( {\frac{{c_{0} }}{\eta - 1}} \right)^{1/\gamma } .$$
(14)

The price is then γc0/(γρ). “Appendix 4” includes a discussion of how the solution is affected by changes in R, s, β, ρ, and γ.

3 The performance of the n-firm oligopoly

3.1 The maximum number of firms

It is well known that endogenous sunk costs related to quality or an image of quality can limit the number of firms irrespective of the market size (Sutton 1991). We extend this insight to the cases of α1 ≠ α2 and s ≠ 1:

Lemma 1

The following holds true in case (a): (i) The feasible range of oligopolistic market structures is represented by numbers of firms such that

$$n \le \hat{n} = 1 + \frac{\beta }{4\rho } + \sqrt {\frac{{\beta^{2} }}{{16\rho^{2} }} + \frac{\beta }{2\rho }} = 1 + \frac{\varepsilon }{4} + \sqrt {\frac{{\varepsilon^{2} }}{16} + \frac{\varepsilon }{2}} .$$
(15)

(ii) This upper limit is increasing in the sunk-cost parameter (β) but decreasing in the quality elasticity (ρ), and independent of the market size (R).

(iii) There is no upper limit to the number of firms in case (b).

Proof

See “Appendix 5”.

The intuition for why \(\hat{n}\) increases with β is explained by the fact that steeply increasing sunk cost discourage firms from investing in quality. The scope for entry increases because of the low quality-related sunk costs. Assumption 1(i) ensures that at least two firms can break even, but it is not meaningful to analyse entry unless ε ≥ 8/3, so that n can increase, at least from two to three. The fact that ρ < 1 can hold true (so that quality can have a weaker impact on consumer utility than quantity) implies that more firms than in Sutton (1991) can break even (and vice versa if ρ > 1). For example, suppose that ρ = 1 and β = 6.4, so that five firms can break even. Changing ρ to 0.0666 (or changing β to 48.048 and ρ to 0.5) would mean ε = 96.096 and hence \(\hat{n}\) = 50. Intuitively, a weak preference for quality relative to quantity means a low incentive for firms to increase their quality-related sunk costs s[qC]β and vice versa, as also follows from (7).

According to part (ii), \(\hat{n}\) is independent of the market size in case (a), because relaxing the assumption α1 = α2 does not change the fact that net variable costs, sunk costs, and hence net profits, are all directly proportional to R. However, this does not apply to case (c), because marginal costs are c0 + qγ. As for (iii), there are no sunk costs, so profits remain nonnegative but approach zero when n approaches infinity.

3.2 Entry and changes in the size of the market

The market may be highly concentrated if ε is low (see Lemma 1). However, there may be few firms despite a high value of ε if enterprise formation is sluggish, as suggested by Geroski (1995). This would imply a scope for entry and for an impact of the market size, but the analysis also raises the question about whether entry is desirable.

Proposition 1

The following holds true for the n-firm oligopoly: In cases (a) and (c), quality is increasing in R, and decreasing in n except for when n increases from 2 to 3. In case (b), quality is independent of both R and n.

Proof

See “Appendix 6”.

The impact of the size of the market is thus positive, as suggested by the empirical findings in Berry and Waldfogel (2010). The intuition for the results in cases (a) and (c) is based on the higher ability to afford quality-enhancing fixed costs.

There is a similarity between the result that the highest quality is achieved when n = 3 and models of innovation and growth in the spirit of Schumpeter, where the highest growth is achieved in an oligopoly (see Carlin and Soskice 2006). To understand the intuition, note that producers are not rewarded for quality as such. The inverse demand function remains p = R/y if all firms double their quality. Higher quality in the industry would therefore not increase a firm’s gross profits (the difference between total revenues and variable costs), but its sunk costs would be higher.Footnote 9 A firm is on the other hand rewarded through higher gross profits if its quality is higher than among its competitors. However, this increment is decreasing in both quality and the number of firms. It has to be weighted against the increment in sunk costs, which is increasing in quality and independent of the number of firms. These increments are equal in equilibrium. The industry gross profits (R/n) are inversely related to the number of firms, and a relative change in quality just redistributes profits between different firms. It is easy to understand why the equilibrium quality falls when n ≥ 3, as the rewards to superior quality are shifted downwards after entry. However, the opposite holds true when a third firm enters in a duopoly, because the reduction in industry gross profits is not significant enough to offset the gains related to the higher market share that is caused by.

As for case (b), the increment in the gross profits is shifted in the same way as in case (a) and is highest for a given quality level for n = 3. However, this increment does not have to be balanced against any increment in sunk costs. Moreover, its maximum does not depend on the number of firms.

Our analysis can also be applied on the simultaneous increase in market size and the number of competitors that would be associated with economic integration. For example, suppose that the markets of two countries indexed by 1 and 2 are joined, thus creating a market of the size R1 + R2 and the number n1 + n2 of firms. It is obvious from Proposition 1 that this leads to a higher output. As for quality, there is no trade-off between quality and output in case (b), so we focus on case (a). Consider an industry with an initial market size R0 and with n0 firms. Integration (with an arbitrary number of economies) then makes the industry part of a common market where R > R0: and where n ≥ n0:

Corollary 1

Suppose that quality affects sunk costs only and consider increases by ΔR and Δn in R and n, assuming that n0 +Δn <\(\hat{n}\). (i) The condition for quality to increase is dR/R0> [(n0− 3)/(n0− 1)]dn/n0; (ii) An equiproportional increase in n and R leads to higher quality;(iii) Integrating economies where ε is equal and where n =\(\hat{n}\) leads to higher quality.

Proof

See “Appendix 7”.

Parts (i) and (ii) suggest that the integration of a number of identical industries would increase quality. This implies by continuity that there is scope for a quality improvement if the industries are sufficiently similar. Intuitively, the positive impact of a larger market compensates for the negative impact of an increase in the number of firms. On the other hand, part (i) implies that quality might deteriorate if the markets are too heterogeneous. This may happen if the relative increase in market size is moderate as compared to the relative increase in the number of firms. Suppose for example that there are 11 firms in Country 1, and 14 firms in Country 2. Also, suppose that all other parameters including R are equal, and that all firms are able to break even also in the common market. The citizens in Country 1 will then experience a lower quality.

3.3 Welfare implications

Low quality is not necessarily the same as low welfare, so we need to establish the relationship between market provision and the socially optimal solution as defined in Sect. 2.3.

Proposition 2

(i) Consumer welfare is increasing in n and R in the feasible interval in cases (a) and (b). (ii) The quality is below its socially optimal level in cases (a) and (c), but quality is too low or too high in case (b). (iii) Output is otherwise below its socially optimal level in cases (a) and (b), but equal to the socially optimal level when n = 2 and ε = 1 in case (a), and either below or above this level in case (c).

Proof

See “Appendix 8”.

Part (i) also suggests that an increase in both market size and the number of firms, as for example caused by economic integration, improves welfare. As for part (ii), quality is too low in cases (a) and (c) because of the absence of any demand shift that would compensate for the higher sunk costs (see however Sect. 4.2). While higher quality gives a firm an advantage over its competitors, entry reduces its ability to afford higher sunk costs. Social optimality is on the other hand defined in terms of utility, which is increases with q even if a higher q does not cause a demand shift. Moreover, profits are zero, and the absence of competition means that there is no duplication of sunk costs, so society can afford a higher quality. As for case (b), the quality provided by the market is socially optimal. This means that the market approaches the socially optimal solution when n and hence y increases.

As for part (iii), we are used to think of imperfect competition as restricting output. However, a duopoly provides the socially optimal output in case (a) when ε =1. This happens because the product becomes sufficiently cheap because of its suboptimal quality.Footnote 10 Moreover, low quality can in case (c) be associated with even higher consumption than under social optimality. Both types of costs are then strongly sensitive to quality. While it is easier to find parameter values that generate the opposite outcome, the following example shows that we cannot rule out an excessive output. Consider the following parameter values: α1 = α0 = 0.5, α2 = 1.5, m = 0.045, N = 10,000, c0 = 0.12, β = 14, γ = 3, s = 0.24, and n = 7. These values imply R = 225 and ρ = 3. The oligopoly would then yield yC = 134.7853 and qC = 1.0944, as compared to the outcome of maximising consumer utility subject to a break-even constraint, which would yield yG = 120.8558 and qG = 1.2002. The prices would be pC = 1.8141 and pG = 1.8617.

This example also highlights the fact that the break-even constraint is not necessarily binding when maximising the total surplus (TS).Footnote 11 Such a procedure would yield TSG = 252.3736 (as compared to TSC = 232.8438 in the oligopoly). We would also get yG= 35.5425 and qG = 1.1002, which makes the oligopolistic overproduction of a low-quality good appear as even more pronounced. However, as pointed out in Sect. 2.3, the choice of maximand can be problematic when sunk costs are quality-related. Maximising TS would yield even higher profits than in the oligopoly (πG = 149.1724, in contrast to πC = 41.5686 and \(\pi_{i}^{C}\) = 5.9384). The highest consumer benefits that yield zero profits would on the other hand yield a lower total surplus (216.7957) than in the oligopoly.Footnote 12

While entry would cause the market to approach the socially optimal solution in case (b), Propositions 1 and 2 also suggest that there is a trade-off in case (a): entry can increase welfare by causing output to be higher, but only at the expense worsening the quality-related distortion.Footnote 13 This prevents the market from converging towards the socially optimal solution even when \(\hat{n}\) is large.

Case (a) also highlights the fact that higher costs are not as such signs of inefficient production. Costs in the oligopoly may deviate from social optimality in both directions despite identical production functions:

Corollary 2

(i) Marginal costs are higher in the socially optimal allocation than in the oligopoly in case (c), but equal in cases (a) and (b). (ii) Unit costs are the same in the oligopoly as in the socially optimal solution when n = 2 in case (a), but they are otherwise higher and increasing in n. There is no difference in unit costs in case (b), but the comparison is ambiguous in case (c).

Proof

See “Appendix 9”.

Intuitively, there are two necessary conditions for marginal costs to be higher in the socially optimal allocation: they have to depend on quality like in cases (b) and (c), and quality has to be higher in the socially optimal solution, like in case (a). As for the unit costs when n > 2 in case (a), note that entry reduces both quality-related sunk costs and output in each firm, but the sunk costs per unit of output is increasing in n, as follows from (6) and (7). In case (c), the ambiguity depends on the fact that marginal costs and average sunk costs are likely to differ from the socially optimal solution in opposite directions.

4 Extensions

4.1 Simultaneous maximisation

Decisions about R&D- and other investments often have to be made before deciding about output, so it makes sense to assume two-stage maximisation. However, we shall demonstrate that our main results are valid also in the case of simultaneous maximisation. By being analytically simpler, this case might also make it easier to understand the basic mechanisms at work.

We limit our attention to cost functions of type (a) and (b). The socially optimal solution is then same as in the two-stage version. As for the n-firm oligopoly in case (a), differentiate (5) with respect to both y1 and q1 before imposing symmetry. This yields the same industry output as before, i.e. (6). However, the socially optimal quality is in most cases different in case (a). The first-order condition then becomes:

$$- \frac{{Ry_{1} }}{{\left[ {y_{1} + \mathop \sum \nolimits_{j = 2}^{n} y_{j} \left( {q_{j} /q_{1} } \right)^{\rho } } \right]^{2} }}\left( { - \frac{{\rho \mathop \sum \nolimits_{j = 2}^{n} y_{j} q_{j}^{\rho } }}{{q_{1}^{1 + \rho } }}} \right) - s\beta q_{1}^{\beta - 1} = 0.$$
(16)

Impose ex-post symmetry and solve for q:

$$q\left( n \right) = \left[ {\frac{{\rho R\left( {n - 1} \right)}}{{s\beta n^{2} }}} \right]^{1/\beta } = \left[ {\frac{{R\left( {n - 1} \right)}}{{s\varepsilon n^{2} }}} \right]^{1/\beta } .$$
(17)

Like in the case of two-stage maximisation, there is a limit, here denoted by nS, to the number of firms. Also, this limit does not depend on R. Impose symmetry on (5) and insert (17). It follows that firms can break even only if n ≤ nS = 1 + ε. It follows from (“Appendix 10”) in the proof of Proposition 2(iii) in “Appendix 9” that \(\hat{n}\) (as defined by Lemma 1) is the same if ε = 1, so that nS = \(\hat{n}\) = 2, but lower than nS for higher values of ε.

As for case (b), maximise (5) with respect to y1 and q1 when s = 0, impose symmetry and solve for q and y. We then get the same solution as under two-stage maximisation.

Comparing Proposition 3 below to Proposition 2 shows that the results of simultaneous maximisation are similar to the results in Sect. 3, but a few details differ:

Proposition 3

The following results apply to simultaneous maximisation in an oligopoly: (i) Quality is too low and decreasing in the number of firms in case (a), but socially optimal and independent of the number of firms in case (b); (ii) Quality is the same as under two-stage maximisation in case (a) if n = 2, but otherwise lower; (iii) Output is socially optimal if n = nS= 1 + ε in case a,) but otherwise lower.

Proof

See “Appendix 10”.

The results from Sect. 3 are in other words fairly robust when it comes to the stage at which quality is chosen. As for the intuition, it is similar when it comes to part (i). However, the lower quality under simultaneous maximisation in part (ii) differs from the findings of Ma and Burgess (1993), who assume exogenous location. To understand why this is the case, note that simultaneous decisions and Bertrand competition would mean treating other firms’ prices as constants when choosing pi and qi. Sequential decision-making would on the other hand cause each firm to take into consideration the fact that its competitors react to its quality increase by reducing their prices. This reduces a firm’s incentive to provide high quality. We predict a higher quality in the Cournot case because each firm treats its competitors’ outputs as constants when pi and qi are chosen simultaneously (as reflected in \(\partial \pi_{i}\) / \(\partial q_{i}\)). The only benefit of a relatively higher quality is then the positive direct effect on its residual demand, as reflected in a reduced denominator in the first term of (5). Sequential decision making would on the other hand mean that the firm can take into consideration the fact that its competitors would respond by producing less. This strengthens its incentive to provide quality. As for (iii), output is socially optimal when n = 1 + ε. However, in contrast to two-stage maximisation, which implies \(\hat{n}\) ≤ nS = 1+ε, this does not necessarily mean a duopoly. More firms can now break even because of a lower equilibrium quality.

Some other observations can also be made. Consumer welfare is increasing in the number of firms also under simultaneous maximisation. In case (a), this follows from (6) and (17) if n < 3 + ε, so the result applies whenever firms can break even, i.e. when n ≤ nS = 1 + ε. In case (b), welfare increases because output is increasing in n while quality remains unchanged. As for unit costs in case (a), they are now c(1 + 1/ε) both in the oligopoly and in the socially optimal solution. The fact that they do not become higher than in the socially optimal solution (contrary to Corollary 2) is explained by lower quality.

4.2 The case where quality increases the willingness to pay

While otherwise attractive, the utility function in Sects. 2, 3 rules out any impact on demand of a uniform quality increase across all firms. To demonstrate the robustness of our main findings despite such a restrictive assumption, we explore a modified version of a model in Ritz (2014).Footnote 14 We can then also relax the assumption that n ≥ 2, but income effects are now ignored, and we have to assume that outputs of different quality can be added.Footnote 15

The notation from Sects. 2, 3 is otherwise unchanged, but we focus on a representative consumer with quasilinear utility with the positive parameters a, b, and kFootnote 16:

$$u = a\mathop \sum \limits_{i = 1}^{n} y_{i} + k\mathop \sum \limits_{i = 1}^{n} q_{i} y_{i} - \frac{b}{2}\left( {\mathop \sum \limits_{i = 1}^{n} y_{i} } \right)^{2} + z.$$
(18)

The cost function is the same as (1), but s = 0.5 and β = 2 in case (a), and we replace qγ by 0.5q2 in case (b). To ensure a meaningful solution for all n we assume 2b > k2.

Budget balance requires \(\sum\nolimits_{i = 1}^{n} {p_{i} y_{i} }\) + y0 = m. Replace z by \(m - \sum\nolimits_{i = 1}^{n} {p_{i} y_{i} }\) in (18), maximise with respect to yi, and rearrange to get the following inverse demand function:

$$p_{i} = a + kq_{i} - by = a + kq_{i} - b\mathop \sum \limits_{i = 1}^{n} y_{i} .$$
(19)

The willingness to pay is now increasing in qi also when all firms provide the same increased quality, in contrast to Sects. 2, 3.

First, consider case (a). The profits of firm i are then:

$$\pi_{i} = \left( {a + kq_{i} } \right)y_{i} - byy_{i} - cy_{i} - \frac{1}{2}q_{i}^{2} .$$
(20)

We focus on two-stage maximisation; we refer to “Appendix 11” for the case of simultaneous maximisation. Maximise (20) with respect to yi, given yj, j ≠ i to get:

$$y_{i} \left( {q_{i} } \right) = \frac{{a + kq_{i} - by - c}}{b},$$
(21)

There are n such expressions; add them and rearrange to get aggregate output:

$$y = \frac{{n\left( {a - c} \right) + k\mathop \sum \nolimits_{j = 1}^{n} q_{i} }}{{b\left( {n + 1} \right)}}.$$
(22)

Insert (22) and (21) into (20), after using (22) to eliminate y from (21):

$$\pi_{i} \left( {q_{i} } \right) = \frac{{\left( {a + nkq_{i} - k\mathop \sum \nolimits_{j \ne 1}^{n} q_{j} - c} \right)^{2} }}{{b\left( {n + 1} \right)^{2} }} - \frac{1}{2}q_{i}^{2} .$$
(23)

Maximise (23) with respect to qi and note that the assumption 2b > k2 ensures concavity and positive solutions. Impose symmetry, solve for qC, and insert the solution into (21):

$$y^{C} = \frac{{n\left( {n + 1} \right)\left( {a - c} \right)}}{{b\left( {n + 1} \right)^{2} - 2nk^{2} }},$$
(24)
$$q^{C} = \frac{{2kn\left( {a - c} \right)}}{{b\left( {n + 1} \right)^{2} - 2nk^{2} }}.$$
(25)

To compare (24)–(25) to the social optimum, maximise y when n = 1 under the break-even constraint ay + kqy − by2 − cy − q2/2 = 0 (because py = ay + kqy − by2, which also means that consumer utility becomes uG = (by2/2) + m). We get an optimal solution whenwver 2b > k2 (see “Appendix 12”):

$$y^{G} = \frac{{2\left( {a - c} \right)}}{{2b - k^{2} }},$$
(26)
$$q^{G} = \frac{{2k\left( {a - c} \right)}}{{2b - k^{2} }}.$$
(27)

We can now make the following observations:

  1. (1)

    Like in Sect. 3 (except for when n = 2), \(y^{C}\) is increasing and \(q^{C}\) decreasing in n. This also applies to simultaneous maximisation; see “Appendix 12”.

  2. (2)

    A higher k leads to a higher \(y^{C}\), unlike in Sect. 3, where a stronger preference for quality as reflected in ρ had no similar impact.

  3. (3)

    Simultaneous maximisation yields lower values of \(y^{C}\) and \(q^{C}\) than in (24)–(25) if n > 1 (see “Appendix 12”); as for a comparison to Ma and Burgess (1993), see Sect. 4.1.

  4. (4)

    Profits are decreasing in n; there is an upper limit for the number of firms for some values of β, but not when β = 2.

  5. (5)

    Output and quality are too low, but unit costs are lower in the oligopoly than in the socially optimal allocation (see “Appendix 13”, and “Appendix 12” on simultaneous maximisation).

Observations (1)–(3) follow directly from (24)–(25). As for (4), profits per firm are

$$\pi_{i} = b\left( {\frac{{y^{C} }}{n}} \right)^{2} - \frac{1}{2}\left( {q^{C} } \right)^{2} = \frac{{\left( {a - c} \right)^{2} \left[ {b\left( {n + 1} \right)^{2} - 2n^{2} k^{2} } \right]}}{{\left[ {b\left( {n + 1} \right)^{2} - 2nk^{2} } \right]^{2} }},$$
(28)

so \(\partial \pi_{i} /\partial n\) < 0. The absence of an upper limit to n follows from the fact that \(\pi_{i}\) = 0 would require n2/(n + 1)2 = b/2 k2, which would violate the condition 2b > k2.Footnote 17

The fact that utility u is by2/2 + m under both types of allocations means that yG ≥ yCuG ≥ uC. As for the total surplus (TS), we get TSG= uG and TSC = uC + \(\sum\nolimits_{i} {\pi_{i} }\):

$$TS^{G} = u^{G} = \frac{{b\left[ {2\left( {a - c} \right)} \right]^{2} }}{{2\left( {2b - k^{2} } \right)^{2} }} + m ,$$
(29)
$$TS^{C} = \frac{{\left[ {bn\left( {n + 1} \right)^{2} \left( {n + 2} \right) - 4k^{2} n^{3} } \right]\left( {a - c} \right)^{2} }}{{2\left[ {b\left( {n + 1} \right)^{2} - 2nk^{2} } \right]^{2} }} + m .$$
(30)

Differentiate to see that dTSC/dn > 0 and note that the condition 2b > k2 implies that TSG>\(\lim_{n \to \propto } TS^{C}\) = \(\left( {a - c} \right)^{2} /\left( {2b} \right) + m\). It follows from (25) that a very high n means a zero quality rather than a convergence towards social optimality.

Next, suppose that the total costs are \(\left( {c_{0} + 0.5q_{i}^{2} } \right)y_{i}\), so that quality is reflected only in marginal costs:

$$y^{C} = \frac{{n\left( {a - c_{0} + k^{2} /2} \right)}}{{b\left( {n + 1} \right)}},$$
(32)
$$y^{G} = \frac{{a - c_{0} + k^{2} /2}}{b},$$
(33)

This implies that \(q^{C}\) = \(q^{G}\) = k, so there is no under-provision of quality. Also, the number of firms has no impact. These observations conform to Sect. 3.

5 Discussion and concluding remarks

The impact of the number of firms depends on how quality affects different types of costs. The presence of quality-related sunk costs means that quality in an oligopoly is below its socially optimal level and decreasing in the number of firms except for when it increases from two to three. While the number of firms is restricted on such a market, the quality reduction caused by entry (when possible) cannot be dismissed as exceptional. In such cases, an oligopoly usually means a combination of too low quality and too low output, but it turns out that firms may also under some circumstances produce too much of a cheap low-quality output. However, quality is socially optimal and independent on the number of firms if only marginal costs are affected. Moreover, increased competition in the sense of a larger market would not necessarily have an adverse impact on quality despite a larger number of firms.

We have limited ourselves to Cournot-competition and ex-post homogeneous goods, because such markets would normally approach the socially optimal solution when the number of firms becomes sufficiently high. The fact that this is not the case when there are quality-related sunk costs, and no additional market failures such as product differentiation, is an important finding. However, similar results on low quality, a negative impact of entry, and a positive impact of market size can be found in the literature on differentiated goods and Bertrand-competition (see Sect. 1).

The need to analyse these topics (also) through theoretical modelling is highlighted by difficulties in measuring welfare and quality. However, that several empirical studies have assessed market performance after the introduction of competition and profit maximisation. For example, while consumer prices were often reduced in the electricity industry, it appears as less reliable, partly because of reduced infrastructure investments (Lieb-Dóczy et al. 2003; Brunekreeft and Keller 2000; Moss 2004; Jiang and Yu 2004). Similar concerns have been raised about reliability and even safety when it comes to railway liberalisation (Crompton and Jupe 2003; Newbery 2006).

As for the socially optimal solution, more research is needed on how it should be defined when there are quality-related sunk costs. Also, there is no consensus on whether social optimality should be seen as just a point of comparison, or as a realistic alternative that can be achieved under public ownership (or under non-profit maximising private ownership).Footnote 18 For example, inability or insufficient incentives can in principle cause failures that overshadow the failures related to market provision. Whether this tends to be the case in reality is partly an open question; the theoretical and empirical literature has tended to yield mixed results. However, there seems to be no universal rule about the superiority of a profit-maximising oligopoly to a welfare-maximising monopoly (for analysis and surveys, see Willner 2001; Willner and Parker 2007; Grönblom and Willner 2014). More research is therefore needed also on the normative implications of the mechanisms that we have studied. Moreover, some firm owners and employees may be partly driven by non-pecuniary motives, at least in industries where quality matters.Footnote 19