Skip to main content
Log in

Circulation weather types and their influence on precipitation in Serbia

  • Original Paper
  • Published:
Meteorology and Atmospheric Physics Aims and scope Submit manuscript

Abstract

An objective classification scheme of atmospheric circulation, in which daily circulation is determined by the strength, direction, and vorticity of geostrophic flow, has been applied to the atmosphere over Serbia for the time period 1961–2010. The results for the sea level and isobaric level of 500 hPa for winter and summer are presented. The 26 circulation types (eight pure direction, 16 hybrid, cyclonic, and anticyclonic types) are determined and described. Each of the circulation types has a distinct underlying synoptic pattern that produces the expected type and direction of flow over the study area. The relative frequencies of the circulation types, and the relationship between the precipitation and circulation types at three stations on a seasonal time scale are analyzed. The anticyclonic weather type dominates in winter (18.93 %) and summer (18.70 %), followed by the northeasterly type (16.65 %) in summer, and the cyclonic type (12.83 %) in winter. The cyclonic types (C and hybrid) have a higher than average probability of rain at all stations. Conversely, the anticyclonic types are associated with a lower than average probability and intensity of rainfall.

This is a preview of subscription content, log in via an institution to check access.

Access this article

Price excludes VAT (USA)
Tax calculation will be finalised during checkout.

Instant access to the full article PDF.

Fig. 1
Fig. 2
Fig. 3
Fig. 4
Fig. 5

Similar content being viewed by others

References

  • Anagnostopoulou C, Tolika K, Maheras P, Kutiel H, Flocas H (2008) Performance of the general circulation HadAm3P model in simulating circulation types over the Mediterranean region. Int J Climatol 28:185–203

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Andovski I (1952) The influence of the Black Sea depression on the weather in Yugoslavia. J FNRJ 1:71–72 (in Serbian)

    Google Scholar 

  • Baltacı H, Göktürk OM, Kındap T, Ünal A, Karaca M (2015) Atmospheric circulation types in Marmara Region (NW Turkey) and their influence on precipitation. Int J Climatol. doi:10.1002/joc.4122

    Google Scholar 

  • Bárdossy A, Duckstein L, Bogardi I (1995) Fuzzy-rule based classification of atmospheric circulation patterns. Int J Climatol 15:1087–1097

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Brisson E, Demuzere M, Kwakernaak B, Van Lipzig NPM (2011) Relations between atmospheric circulation and precipitation in Belgium. Meteorol Atmos Phys 111:27–39

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Cahynová M, Huth R (2009) Changes of atmospheric circulation in central Europe and their influence on climatic trends in the Czech Republic. Theor Appl Climatol 96:57–68

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Demuzere M, Werner M (2006) Jenkinson-Collison classifications as a method for analyzing GCM-scenario pressure fields, with respect to past and future climate change and European simulated mineral dust deposition. Short-term scientific mission (MPI-BGC Jena) in the framework of COST733

  • Demuzere M, Werner M, van Lipzig NPM, Roeckner E (2008) An analysis of present and future ECHAM5 pressure fields using a classification of circulation patterns. Int J Climatol 29:1796–1810

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Demuzere M, Kassomenos P, Philipp A (2011) The COST733 circulation type classification software: an example for surface ozone concentrations in Central Europe. Theor Appl Climatol 105:143–166

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Fereday DR, Knight JR, Scaife AA, Folland CK, Philipp A (2008) Cluster analysis of North Atlantic/European circulation types and links with tropical Pacific sea surface temperatures. J Clim 21:3687–3703

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Goodess CM, Jones PD (2002) Links between circulation and changes in the characteristics of Iberian rainfall. Int J Climatol 22:1593–1615

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Goodess CM, Palutikof JP (1998) Development of daily rainfall scenarios for southeast Spain using a circulation-type approach to downscaling. Int J Climatol 18:1051–1083

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Hess P, Brezowsky H (1952) Katalog der Großwetterlagen Europas (Catalog of the European Large Scale Weather Types). Ber Dt Wetterd in der US-Zone 33, Bad Kissingen, Germany (in German)

  • Hewitson BC, Crane RG (2002) Self-organizing maps: application to synoptic climatology. Clim Res 22:13–26

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Hulme M, Briffa KR, Jones PD, Senior CA (1993) Validation of GCM control simulations using indices of daily airflow types over the British Isles. Clim Dynam 9:95–105

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Huth R, Beck C, Philipp A, Demuzere M, Ustrnul Y, Cahynová M, Kyselý J, Tveito OE (2008) Classifications of atmospheric circulation patterns: recent advances and applications. Ann NY Acad Sci 1146:105–152

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • James PM (2008) The use of synoptic regime classifications in medium—and extended—range ensemble forecasting. Available online at: http://www.ecmwf.int/newsevents/meetings/forecast_products_user/Presentations2008/James.pdf

  • Jenkinson AF, Collison FP (1977) An initial climatology of gales over the North Sea. Synoptic Climatology Branch Memorandum 62, Meteorological Office, Bracknell, UK

  • Jones PD, Hulme M, Briffa KR (1993) A comparison of Lamb circulation types with an objective classification scheme. Int J Climatol 13:655–663

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Kalnay E, Kanamitsu M, Collins W, Deaven D, Gandin L, Iredell M et al (1996) The NCEP/NCAR 40-year reanalysis project. Bull Am Meteorol Soc 77:437–470

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Krichak SO, Tsidulko M, Albert P (2000) Monthly synoptic patterns associated with wet/dry conditions in the eastern Mediterranean. Theoret Appl Climatol 65:215–229

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Laaidi K (2001) Predicting days of high allergenic risk Turing Betula pollination using weather types. Int J Biometeorology 45:24–132

    Google Scholar 

  • Lamb HH (1972) British isles weather types and a register of daily sequence of circulation patterns, 1861–1971. Geophysical Memoir 116, HMSO, London (UK), p 85

  • Levene H (1960) Contributions to probability and statistics. Stanford University Press, Stanford, pp 278–292

    Google Scholar 

  • Linderson ML (2001) Objective classification of atmospheric circulation over southern Scandinavia. Int J Climatol 21:155–169

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Lorenzo MN, Taboada JJ, Gimeno L (2008) Links between circulation weather types and teleconnection patterns and their influence on precipitation patterns in Galicia (NW Spain). Int J Climatol 28:1493–1505

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Maheras P, Flocas H, Tolika K, Anagnostopoulou C, Vafiadis M (2006) Circulation types and extreme temperature changes in Greece. Clim Res 30:161–174

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Philipp A, Della-Marta PM, Jacobeit J, Fereday DR, Jones PD, Moberg A, Wanner H (2007) Long term variability of daily North Atlantic-European pressure patterns since 1850 classified by simulated annealing clustering. J Clim 20:4065–4095

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Philipp A, Bartholy J, Beck C, Erpicum M, Esteban P, Fettweis X, Huth R, James P, Jourdain S, Kreienkamp F, Krennert T, Lykoudis S, Michalides S, Pianko-Kluczynska K, Post P, Rassilla Álvarez D, Schiemann R, Spekat A, Tymvios FS (2010) COST733CAT - a database of weather and circulation type classifications. Phys Chem Earth 35:360–373

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Plavcová E, Kyselý J (2012) Atmospheric circulation in regional climate models over Central Europe: links to surface air temperature and the influence of driving data. Clim Dyn 39:1681–1695

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Plavcová E, Kyselý J (2013) Projected evolution of circulation types and their temperatures over Central Europe in climate models. Theor Appl Climatol 114:625–634

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Post P, TruijaV Tuulik J (2002) Circulation weather types and their influence on temperature and precipitation in Estonia. Boreal Env Res 7:281–289

    Google Scholar 

  • Radinović Đ (1981) Weather and climate in Yugoslavia. IRO Građevinska knjiga, Belgrade, p 423 (in Serbian)

  • Radinović DJ (1987) Mediterranean cyclones and their influence on the weather and climate. PSMP Report Series, No. 24, WMO, p 131

  • Ramos A, Sprenger M, Wernli H, Duran-Quesada A, Lorenzo M, Gimeno L (2014) A new circulation type classification based upon Lagrangian air trajectories. Front Earth Sci. doi:10.3389/feart.2014.00029

    Google Scholar 

  • Sheridan SC (2002) The redevelopment of a weather type classification scheme for North America. Int J Climatol 22:51–68

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Stanojević G (2014) The study of climate variability in Serbia using atmospheric circulation types. 14th EMS annual meeting & 10th European conference on applied climatology (ECAC), vol. 11, EMS2014-21, Prague, Czech Republic, 6–10 October 2014

  • Stefan S, Necula C, Georgescu F (2010) Analysis of long–range transport of particulate matters in connection with air circulation over Central and Eastern part of Europe. Phys Chem Earth 35:523–529

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Tošić I, Unkašević M (2013) Extreme daily precipitation in Belgrade and their links with the prevailing directions of the air trajectories. Theor Appl Climatol 111:97–107

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Trigo RM, DaCamara CC (2000) Circulation weather types and their influence on the precipitation regime in Portugal. Int J Climatol 20:1559–1581

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Trigo IF, Davies TD, Bigg GR (1999) Objective climatology of cyclones in the Mediterranean region. J Clim 12:1685–1696

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Unkašević M, Tošić I (2011) A statistical analysis of the daily precipitation over Serbia: extremes and indices. Theor Appl Climatol 106:69–78

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Unkašević M, Mališić J, Tošić I (1998) On some new statistical characteristics of the wind Kosahava. Meteor Atmos Phys 66:11–21

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Yarnal B (1993) Synoptic climatology in environmental analysis. Belhaven Press, London, pp 195

    Google Scholar 

Download references

Acknowledgments

This study was supported by the Serbian Ministry of Science, Education, and Technological Development, under Grant No. 176013.

Author information

Authors and Affiliations

Authors

Corresponding author

Correspondence to Suzana Putniković.

Additional information

Responsible Editor: L. Gimeno.

Electronic supplementary material

Below is the link to the electronic supplementary material.

Supplementary material 1 (PDF 731 kb)

Supplementary material 2 (PDF 762 kb)

Rights and permissions

Reprints and permissions

About this article

Check for updates. Verify currency and authenticity via CrossMark

Cite this article

Putniković, S., Tošić, I. & Đurđević, V. Circulation weather types and their influence on precipitation in Serbia. Meteorol Atmos Phys 128, 649–662 (2016). https://doi.org/10.1007/s00703-016-0432-6

Download citation

  • Received:

  • Accepted:

  • Published:

  • Issue Date:

  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s00703-016-0432-6

Keywords

Navigation