Introduction
Recently reported new terrestrial heat flow density (referred further to as “heat flow”) determination from a 2.36-km-deep well of opportunity (AOC Granite-Hunt well) drilled deep into some 2- to 2.4-Gyr-year old Precambrian basement rocks (Walsh 2013) just west of Fort McMurray, Alberta (see Figs. 1, 2 for location information), shows increase of heat flow with depth (Majorowicz et al. 2014). Cores were collected from granites, which are below 0.55 km and to the well bottom of 2.36 km. This borehole was logged in June 2011, and several years after, it was drilled in 1994 and deepened in 2003. Therefore, it is assumed to be in thermal equilibrium. Temperature versus depth (Fig. 3a) shows a significant increase in the thermal gradient with increasing depth in the basement rocks (from 18 °C/km at the top of granites to 21 °C/km at the bottom of the well; Fig. 3b). Amplitude of glacial–postglacial surface temperature change was at first assessed about 10 °C referred to present surface temperature of 5 °C and assessed the glacial base surface temperature during the last ice age at (−4 to 5 °C) (Majorowicz et al. 2012a). We now verify this estimate in this paper based on new information on heat production and thermal conductivity.
We also attempt to reconstruct surface paleotemperature history for the last 100 kyr from functional space inversion (FSI) of the thermal data.
Borehole temperature logs paleoclimatology
The method how to reconstruct surface temperature history from inversions of precise temperature logs done in wells was pioneered earlier by Čermák (1971) and by Lachenbruch and Marshall (1986); (see: Bodri and Čermák 2007 for review and list of references on the subject). The method is based on the inversion of stabilized, high precision deep borehole temperature logs, which are in thermal equilibrium with surrounding rock. Deep down to some 2-km depth perturbation of the heat flow could be caused by warming since recent glaciations ending some 12–13 kyr ago in Canada (Ritchie 1983). Surface temperatures peaked in the Holocene Optimum 6–7 kyr ago known to be some 1–2 °C warmer than recent centuries temperature level (Kerwin et al. 1999). Perturbations observed down to 0.1–0.3 km are mainly related to the climate changes of the last 1–2 centuries (Pollack et al. 1998; Bodri and Čermák 2007; Rath et al. 2012) on large regional and continental scale. All these surface temperature changes influence the subsurface heat flow.
The method has been applied to reconstruct timing and amplitude of surface temperature change from latest glacial to postglacial climatic history through many areas in Eurasia and North America (Hotchkiss and Ingersoll 1934; Čermák 1971; Kukkonen 1993; Kukkonen and Šafanda 1996; Kukkonen et al. 1998; Mareschal et al.1999; Rolandon et al. 2003; Kukkonen and Joeleht 2003; Demezhko et al. 2007; Demezhko and Golovanova 2007; Majorowicz and Šafanda 2008; Chouinard and Mareschal 2009; Gosnold et al. 2011; Mottaghy et al. 2010; Majorowicz and Wybraniec 2011; Demezhko et al. 2013).
Last ice age signature on temperature logs
In the climate history of the last 20 kyr in northern Canada and generally in the northern hemisphere, several periods are usually distinguished (IPCC 2007): the Last Glacial; Postglacial warming including more recent Holocene Optimum, Post-Holocene cooling (Ritchie 1983; Peltier 2002), and recent millennium. In recent millennium, we had Medieval Warm Period (MWP), Little Ice Age (LIA) and Recent Warming Period (RWP) (Grove 1988; Lamb 1965). Proxy data in western Canada exist, which covers Holocene history of climate. These include tree rings, which provide a spring–summer-based temperature history (Luckman et al. 1997; Luckman and Wilson 2005), lake sediments focusing on the evolution of grain size (Campbell 1999) and pollen from upland lakes of Manitoba, Canada (Ritchie 1983).
Jessop (1971) assumed that the base of the glacier is near the pressure point of melting (−1 °C). It seems to be confirmed in many cases of the deep well temperature profiles from the eastern part of the Canadian Shield (Rolandon et al. 2003; Chouinard and Mareschal 2009). Rather higher variability of the ice base temperature in Late Pleistocene has been reported for other parts of the Northern America (Gosnold et al. 2005; Chouinard and Mareschal 2009; Perry et al. 2009; Gosnold et al. 2011), but generally it is lower than the variability observed in Eurasia (Šafanda et al. 2004; Šafanda and Rajver 2001; Demezhko et al. 2007; Mottaghy et al. 2010; Majorowicz and Wybraniec 2011). Also, present cold-base ice in Greenland has been measured at −8.4 °C for the log GRIP and −13.2 °C for Dye-3 (Dahl-Jensen et al. 1998; Demezhko et al. 2007).
The perturbation to heat flow with depth will be much stronger for the cold-base ice like in Greenland or northern Eurasia (Dahl-Jensen et al. 1998 and Demezhko et al. 2007) than warm base glaciers likely the case of Canada (Chouinard and Mareschal 2009). The amplitude of such temperature change will depend upon temperatures at the base of the glacier and the present ambient temperature. Also, geothermal gradient in present ice-free areas will be affected to a depth of approximately 1.5–2.2 km (Kukkonen 1993; Šafanda et al. 2004; Majorowicz and Wybraniec 2011; Rath et al. 2012).
Functional space inversion of Hunt well temperature data
The method of preference used in reconstructing the ground surface temperature (GST) history from the Hunt well profile is the FSI, which was proposed and published by Beck et al. (1992) and Shen and Beck (1992). This Bayesian method (see Tarantola and Valette 1982a, 2b) requires, beside the measured temperature-depth profile, an a priori estimate of the geothermal subsurface model, which is assumed to be one dimensional and purely conductive, and the a priori estimate of the GST history. In order not to bias the results, the a priori estimate of the GST history is usually a constant (no GST variations). All these parameters are treated as random quantities with their a priori standard deviations and the method provides their a posteriori estimates.
The Hunt well stabilized profile was measured in June 2011 to the depth of 2,320 m. The first attempt to reconstruct the GST history from this log was published by Majorowicz et al. (2012a) and is commented in “Upward extrapolation of the close-to-steady-state part of the temperature log” section.
The new reconstruction of surface temperature history has been done in this paper based on newer data (Majorowicz et al. 2014). Spectral gamma logs allowed Majorowicz et al. (2014) reconstruction of heat production with depth. The new heat production model (0.67 µW/m3 in sediments, 3.52 µW/m3 between 500 and 1,500 m and 2.25 µW/m3 below).
The FSI inversion of the Hunt well T-z profile was done for the following a priori geothermal model:
Heat production
-
0–500 m 0.67 µW/m3
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500–1,500 m 3.52 µW/m3
-
1,500–12,000 m 2.25 µW/m3
Thermal conductivity Thermal conductivity of granitic body encountered below 550 m is based on measurements done on the drill-core samples. Their ambient condition measured average value, 2.72 W/(m K) (Majorowicz et al. 2014) was used as a value ko characterizing the rock at room conditions, i.e., at the atmospheric pressure and temperature of 20 °C. To estimate an a priori thermal conductivity model, we used the formula of Chapman and Furlong (1992)
which yields the in situ values assuming their dependence on pressure (depth) and temperature measured at the given depth. The adopted values of the coefficients in the formula (1) were c = 1.5 * 10−6 M−1, b = 1.5 * 10−3 K−1, the typical values for the upper crust (Chapman and Furlong 1992).
There were no drill-core samples available from the sedimentary cover above the granite, i.e., above 550 m, for the thermal conductivity measurements. The lithological profile (Majorowicz et al. 2014) indicates three main layers—sand (0–150 m), limestone (150–400 m), and anhydrite (below 400 m). This quite heterogenous lithology together with a broad spread of conductivity values given for the individual rock types in the literature (Čermák and Rybach 1982) does not allow for a reliable estimate of the conductivity profile above 550 m. As a consequence, the effects of thermal conductivity variations and of the GST changes on the temperature profile curvature (Fig. 3a) cannot be reliably distinguished. That is why the uppermost part of the temperature log above 550 m was not considered in the FSI inversion. The only feature evidently related to the lithology is a sharp decrease of the gradient in the section 340–470 m, where its value attains 8.46 mK/m (Fig. 3b). This section overlaps with the occurrence of anhydrite, the thermal conductivity of which can be up to 6 W/(m K) (Čermák and Rybach 1982). We tried to estimate in situ conductivity of this layer by comparing its temperature gradient with the gradient of the uppermost part of the granite body between 560 and 760 m amounting to 17.82 mK/m. Under the approximate assumption of the same heat flow in the two depth sections and thermal conductivity of the deeper one 2.73 W/(m K), the in situ conductivity of the anhydrite layer was estimated at 5.75 W/(m K). Conductivity of the rest of the sedimentary cover was kept at 2.7 W/(m K). Diffusivity was estimated at 2.5 * 10−6 m2/s for the layer 340–470 m and 1.2–1.4 * 10−6 m2/s outside it.
The remaining two quantities, namely the heat flow at the bottom of the model (at the depth of 4 km) and the surface temperature 100 kyr ago at the beginning of the reconstructed time interval, are very well resolved by the data, and their a priori estimate can be very rough (±100 mW/m2 and ±10 K).
The a priori estimate of the surface temperature history assumed no variations. This conservative approach prevents a possible bias in the results and guarantees that the reconstructed changes are fully determined by the data. The depth step of the selected T-z measurements used in the inversion was 20 m. The time steps at which the GST history was reconstructed increased logarithmically into the past.
The critical parameter of the inversion, beside the measured T-z profile, is the a priori estimate of thermal conductivity model and its standard deviation. The results of the inversion for the last 100 kyr (Fig. 4) depend strongly on the chosen standard deviation. With the increasing standard deviation, the inversion has a tendency to “explain” the curvature of the measured T-z profile more and more as a result of decreasing thermal conductivity with depth rather than the transient features caused by the surface temperature changes. With increasing value of SD (from 0.02 w/(m k) via 0.1, 0.2 to 0.5 W/(m K)), the history reconstructed for the last 100 kyr becomes flatter, because the inversion algorithm interprets more and more the temperature-depth profile curvature as a result of the conductivity changes rather than as a result of the surface temperature variations. It is evident from Fig. 5, where the a posteriori conductivity-depth profiles corresponding to the individual a priori SD of conductivity are depicted below 500 m. It is clear that only the lowest considered SD of 0.02 W/(m K) leads to a posteriori conductivity profile, which is close to the a priori one. The higher SD values yield a posteriori profiles of strongly decreasing conductivity with increasing depth. However, the a posteriori conductivity above 500 m (not shown) is very close to the a priori one for all values of SD, because that depth section is not resolved in the inversion. Because the mineralogy study (Walsh 2013) gives no reason to assume a systematic change of thermal conductivity with depth in the monotonous granite, and measured conductivity in two independent levels at around 1,600 and 2,300 m is not different (Majorowicz et al. 2014), we believe that the GST histories corresponding to the low a priori SD. Conductivity model is more realistic than that for higher SD values. Another argument for considering the results obtained by low a priori SD of conductivity as more realistic is the fact that the GST reconstructed for the last glacial maximum, when the Hunt well site was covered by ice sheet, is below zero only for SD lower than 0.2 W/(m K).
The GST history (Fig. 4) yielded by the inversion with a priori SD of conductivity 0.02 W/(m K) exhibits a minimum of about −2 to −3 °C during the last glacial maximum (20–25 kyr ago) and a maximum of 8–9 °C for the time 5 kyr ago. The GST history younger than 4 kyr [for a priori SD 0.02 W/(m K)]—2 kyr [for a priori SD 0.5 W/(m K)] is poorly resolved because maximum of its subsurface signal is contained in the upper 500 m (Šafanda and Rajver 2001) of the temperature log that have not been considered in the inversion. Having no climatic signal for this period, the inversion returns the prior values, i.e., the surface temperatures reconstructed for time 100 kyr ago. However, the temporal resolution of the GST history decreases going back in time (e.g., Claw 1992), and the temperature reconstructed for time 100 kyr ago represents an average over tens of thousands of years.
Difference between the a priori (measured) T-z profile and the a posteriori one (corresponding to the reconstructed GST history and a posteriori thermal conductivity model) for two values of a priori SD of thermal conductivity, 0.02 and 0.50 W/(m K), is shown in Fig. 6. The residuum is generally smaller for the higher SD value, when the inversion algorithm uses a higher degree of freedom for adjusting conductivity model to small-scale variations of temperature gradient. The difference is mostly within 0.05 K, which is the assumed a priori SD of the measured T-z profile and does not exceed 0.11 K.
Upward extrapolation of the close-to-steady-state part of the temperature log
As mentioned above, the first estimate of the last ice age surface temperatures at the Hunt well site was published by Majorowicz et al. (2012a). It was done by an upward extrapolation of the Hunt well temperature log from the depth of 2,250 m to the surface. This approach is based on the assumption that the temperature log below 2 km is close to the steady-state corresponding to the long-term surface temperature. The climate of the last 1 Myr is characterized by a sequence of approximately 100-kyr-long glacial cycles consisting typically of a long cold glacial and a short-warm interglacial period. As our previous numerical simulations showed (Šafanda et al. 2004; Majorowicz et al. 2012b), after the repetition of five and more identical 100 kyr glacial cycles, the upward extrapolation of synthetic temperature logs (taken at the present phase of the glacial cycle some 10–15 kyr after the end of its cold part) from the depth below 2 km yields surface temperature that falls into a narrow interval constrained from below by the mean of the cold part of the 100 kyr cycle and from above by the mean of the whole 100 kyr cycle. Therefore, the extrapolation represents an alternative, and on the FSI method independent, approach for estimation the average glacial conditions of several last 100 kyr cycles. The preliminary geothermal model used by Majorowicz et al. (2012a) yielded the extrapolated surface temperatures in the interval (−4, −5 °C).
We show (Fig. 7) the new extrapolations of the T- z profiles from the depth of 2,250 m based on the new heat production model (the same as used in the FSI inversion described above) and on the a posteriori FSI conductivity model for SD 0.02 W/(m K) and 0.1 W/(m K). The new extrapolation yields higher surface temperatures of −0.4 and +0.1 °C for SD 0.02 and 0.1, respectively, than the old model of Majorowicz et al. (2012a) that was based on assumed values and did not consider the high conductivity layer between 340 and 470 m. If we interpret the extrapolated surface temperature as the mean temperature of several last 100 kyr glacial cycles and assume that it represents a weighted average of the cold glacial part lasting 75 kyr and of the warm interglacial part lasting 25 kyr, we can estimate the mean temperature of the cold part. Doing so, we considered the present GST of 5 °C as a representative value of the interglacial part. Then, the mean of the 75-kyr-long glacial part amounts to −2.2 and −1.5 °C for SD 0.02 and 0.1, respectively. Alternatively, if we assume that the extrapolated surface temperature represents a mean of the cold part itself, the estimate of the mean last ice age surface condition is −0.4 and +0.1 °C for SD 0.02 and 0.1, respectively, and the mean of the whole 100 kyr cycle is +1.0 and +1.3 °C. Taken altogether, our estimate of the mean surface temperature of the cold part of the glacial cycle is between −2 and 0 °C, the mean of the whole 100 kyr cycle in the interval −0.5 and +1 °C and the minimum temperature during the last glacial maximum up to −3 °C (Fig. 8).
The results of both the FSI inversion and the upward extrapolation indicate that the permafrost probably existed at the Hunt well site during the cold part(s) of the glacial cycle. If we consider the minimum surface temperature yielded by the FSI as −3 °C (Fig. 4), surface heat flow of 60 mW/m2 and thermal conductivity of the frozen rock 4 W/(m K) (estimated as conductivity of unfrozen sediments 2.7 W/(m K) multiplied by a factor of 1.5 (Lachenbruch and Marshall 1986) corresponding to the typical range of sandy sediments porosity 25–30 %), the maximum depth of the permafrost base can be estimated at 200 m. It means that the downward propagation of the surface temperature changes was influenced by effects of the release/consumption of the latent heat during freezing/thawing of the interstitial water/ice within sediments. Ignoring this process in the FSI inversion (the FSI method does not allow for considering it) might have dampened the reconstructed glacial/interglacial surface temperature amplitude. However, the T–z profile below 2 km is adjusted to the long-term surface temperature mean and mostly unaffected by the latent heat effect.
Conclusions
The new estimates of the paleotemperatures obtained from the Hunt well temperature log by FSI inversion and by the upward extrapolation from the depth of 2,250 m are quite consistent, but by 2–3 K higher than the previous preliminary estimates by Majorowicz et al. (2012a). They indicate that the average surface temperature of the 100 kyr glacial cycles is around 0 °C, the average of their glacial part up to −2 °C and the minimum values reached during the last glacial maximum some 20 kyr ago could be as low as −3 °C. The temperature amplitude between the last glacial maximum and Holocene Optimum might amount to 10–12 K. These results for the Northern Alberta part of the Laurentide Ice Sheet generally agree with other evidence on paleotemperatures at the base of this ice sheet inferred from borehole temperature data from wells to the east in Manitoba, Ontario and parts of western Quebec, Canada (Rolandon et al. 2003). This is in great contrast to paleotemperatures at the base of the glaciation in Europe and parts of Asia where temperatures as low as −10 to −20 °C have been reported (Demezhko et al. 2007; Šafanda et al. 2004) more in accordance with those presently recorded under existing glacial ice in Greenland (-13 °C; Dahl-Jensen et al. 1998). This difference between warm base paleoglacial in Canada versus cold-base one in Greenland and Eurasia is difficult to explain, and it is not the scope of this paper. However, this interesting observation warrants farther investigation from hopefully new evidence from new deep drilling below 2 km on both continents.
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Acknowledgments
We would like to thank Charles Warren Hunt for allowing HAI4 (Helmholtz-Alberta Initiative program at the University of Alberta first author works for) to log his well (Hunt Well). We would like to thank HAI, and especially theme 4 “Geothermal Energy” research coordinators Prof. Martyn Unsworth (UofA Edmonton) and Prof. Ernst Huenges (GFZ Potsdam), for enabling such an in depth study which increased our knowledge on the geothermal energy potential in the area. The support to the second author Dr. Jan Safanda was provided by the Grant Agency of the Czech Republic (project GACR P210/11/0183).
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Majorowicz, J., Šafanda, J. Effect of postglacial warming seen in high precision temperature log deep into the granites in NE Alberta. Int J Earth Sci (Geol Rundsch) 104, 1563–1571 (2015). https://doi.org/10.1007/s00531-014-1075-9
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DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s00531-014-1075-9