Abstract
Anthropogenic climate change is inherently a biometeorological issue. As such, it would be reasonably expected that the International Society of Biometeorology (ISB) and its journal, International Journal of Biometeorology (IJB), would have had climate change feature prominently in their activities, articles etc., and to therefore have made a substantial and valuable contribution to the science of the issue. This article presents an analysis of climate change science in ISB and IJB. The analysis focusses on climate-change-related publications by ISB Presidents found through searches of Thomson Reuters Web of Science; contributions to the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change’s (IPCC’s) Working Group II (WGII) by ISB Presidents; and climate change-related publications in IJB found through searches of Thomson Reuters Web of Science. The results demonstrate that the ISB, as represented by its recent, current, and future Presidents, is actively engaged in climate change research and the production of scholarly climate change publications. For example, ISB Presidents have contributed as authors to all four IPCC WGII Assessment Reports, with some Presidents having contributed to more than one Assessment Report or several chapters of the one report. Similarly, it is evident that the IJB is increasingly attracting and publishing climate-change-related articles, with such articles generally having greater impact (as indicated by citations) than other IJB articles. Opportunities for the ISB to provide an internal framework for, and showcase, its climate change work are described. Such opportunities, if enacted, would complement the recent creation of two IJB climate change Field Editor positions.
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Introduction
Biometeorology can be defined in various ways. As described on the inside front cover of the International Journal of Biometeorology (IJB), it is the study of “interactions between living organisms and factors of the natural and artificial atmospheric environment”, defining living organisms as extending “from single cell organisms, to plants and animals, including humans” (Sheridan 2012). While meteorology per se has traditionally been distinguished from climatology in part by its temporal scale, focussing on weather and atmospheric variability over short periods, modern institutional (and other) uses of the term are more inclusive, with, for example, the American Meteorological Society (AMS) publishing journals and running meetings on climate and climatology as well as meteorology. Similarly, the World Meteorological Organization (WMO) “is the United Nations system’s authoritative voice on weather, climate and water” (WMO 2009). This too applies to biometeorology, which encompasses study of the above mentioned interactions at all time and space scales.
In this context, anthropogenic climate change is inherently a biometeorological issue. It is caused by human activity, and it impacts all living organisms. Indeed, climate change involves the whole climate system, with the biosphere being one of the five major components of this system. A climate system perspective of biometeorology is thus instructive, and could be encapsulated in a definition of it focussed on interactions between the biosphere and the atmosphere.
With this intimate connection between climate change and biometeorology, it would be reasonably expected that the International Society of Biometeorology (ISB) and its journal, IJB, would have had climate change feature prominently in their activities, articles etc., and to therefore have made a substantial and valuable contribution to the science of the issue. This article presents an analysis of climate change science in ISB and IJB. While there have been reflections on topics within biometeorology previously, such as a series of articles in the 40th Anniversary issue of IJB which focussed on animal biometeorology (Johnson 1997), human biometeorology (Höppe 1997), and urban human biometeorology (Jauregui 1997), and more recently McGregor’s (2012) “progress report” review of human biometeorology, rarely, if ever, have there been published reflections on the Society’s and the Journal’s performance in various respects.
Materials and methods
Three approaches were used to analyse climate change science in ISB and IJB:
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1.
An examination of climate-change-related publications by ISB Presidents;
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2.
An examination of contributions to the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change Assessment Reports by ISB Presidents; and
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3.
An examination of climate change-related articles published in IJB.
Details of each approach are presented in turn in the following.
The examination of climate change-related publications by ISB Presidents involved searches in the research database Thomson Reuters’ Web of Knowledge, Web of Science. Searches were over the ‘Timespan’ of ‘All Years’ (detailed below), and were conducted on 28 October 2012 on the ‘2012-10-26’ update. All citation databases available in Web of Science were included in the searches, and it should be noted that coverage is variable according to database, extending from 1992 to present for the three subject-based citation indexes and 1990 to present for the two conference proceedings citation indexes. The search was limited to ISB Presidents rather than all ISB Executive Board members or all Society members because President is the highest position within the Society, elected by the ISB members, and responsible for the general achievement of the general aims of the Society. The ISB Presidents examined were the current President, the current Past President (the author of this article), the three previous Past Presidents, and the next President (the current President-Elect). Searches for the search topic term “climate change”Footnote 1 and each of these Presidents as author were conducted.
The examination of contributions to the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change Assessment Reports by ISB Presidents involved electronic searches for the above listed Presidents names of the PDFs of the four IPCC Working Group II Assessment Reports. Working Group II was selected because it is the Working Group that focusses on the impacts of climate change, the aspect of climate change that biometeorologists and biometeorology have typically had the greatest affinity for. A contribution was defined as any type of author or editor.
The examination of climate-change-related articles published in IJB was also conducted through searches in Web of Science as detailed above except they were conducted on 10 October 2012 on the ‘2012-10-10’ update. The first of these searches was for items published including the search topic term “climate change” and the publication name “International Journal of Biometeorology”. For comparison, the second search was for items published including just the publication name “International Journal of Biometeorology”. Results of the first search were queried using the ‘Authors’ feature in Web of Science in order to facilitate an assessment of the most prolific authors of climate change-related articles in the Journal. ‘Citation Reports’ for both searches were created in Web of Science in order to produce data on the number of published items each year and the number of citations of these items each year.
Results
The number of climate-change-related articles by ISB Presidents in Web of Science is shown in Table 1. All six Presidents have published climate change-related articles, ranging from seven by President Hoeppe to 16 by President-Elect Schwartz. In total, these six ISB members alone have contributed 71 climate-change-related articles as covered by Web of Science.
Contributions as authors to IPCC Working Group II Assessment Reports by ISB Presidents are shown in Table 2. Four of the six ISB Presidents examined have been such IPCC authors, with contributions to the Second, Third and Fourth Assessment Reports, but not the First. President Burton has made the greatest contribution, including to three chapters and one Summary for Policymakers, spread over two Assessment Reports (the Third and Fourth). Contributions by the other three Presidents have focussed on the Human Health chapter.
A total of 156 “climate change” articles have been published in IJB since 1992. This represents 16 % of the 970 articles published in the journal since 1992. The number of “climate change” items and the total number of items published in the IJB in each year from 1992 to 2012 is shown in Fig. 1. The percentage of “climate change” articles has generally increased over this time (Fig. 2), starting at low levels of 0–9 % over much of the 1990s, and increasing to the highest levels around 30 % in the last two complete years (2010 and 2011). With the exception of two anomalously low years, the number of “climate change” articles in IJB has increased exponentially over this period (Fig. 1), with the largest number of such articles in a single year, 25, occurring in 2011 (noting that 2012 data is for part year only).
The most prolific authors of the 156 “climate change” articles in the IJB are shown in Table 3. Several at the top of the list, including Annette Menzel, Nicole Estrella, and Timothy Sparks, work from the Chair of Ecoclimatology at the Technische Universität München. The list also includes a number of ISB members, including recent and current Executive Board members, Andreas Matzarakis (Vice President 2008–2011) and Glenn McGregor (current President).
Over 25 % (2,661) of the 10,513 IJB citations since 1992 have been for its “climate change” articles. Interestingly, this constitutes a much greater proportion than the corresponding proportion of climate change articles to the total number of articles published in IJB reported earlier in this section (16 %). Both total and “climate change” article citations have increased exponentially over this period (Fig. 3). As with articles, the percentage of “climate change” article citations has generally increased over this time (Fig. 2), starting at a slightly higher base than the percentage of “climate change” articles themselves, of 4–10 % over much of the 1990s (excluding 1992 when citations records has just started and numbers were very low), and increasing to the highest levels of 28 % since 2009).
Discussion
The results presented here demonstrate that the ISB, as represented by its recent, current, and future Presidents, is actively engaged in climate change research and the production of scholarly climate change publications. Similarly, it is evident that the International Journal of Biometeorology is increasingly attracting and publishing climate change articles, with such articles generally having greater impact (as indicated by citations) than other IJB articles.
It should be noted that the Web of Science analyses will have slightly underestimated the number of climate-change-related articles by only using the term “climate change”. There will be a small number of relevant articles that only use alternate terms such as ‘global warming’, ‘greenhouse effect’ etc. For example, a search for each of the six Presidents’ names and using the search topic term “global warming” and excluding “climate change”, found only five publications.
The contributions of the ISB to climate change research of course go way beyond those documented in the results of this article. Some noteworthy contributions not covered by the analysis above include participation in the IPCC review process, with, for example, Presidents Beggs, Burton, Hoeppe, and McGregor, and President-Elect Schwartz, all being acknowledged Reviewers of the IPCC WGII Fourth Assessment Report, along with a number of other members of the Society (IPCC 2007). It is also particularly noteworthy that Kristie Ebi, an IJB Field Editor, has been Head of the IPCC WGII Technical Support Unit, playing a central role in the production of the Fifth Assessment Report due for publication in 2014, and the recently published “SREX” Special Report (Field et al. 2012). Past President Burton is continuing his significant contribution to the IPCC Assessment Reports, as a Lead Author of the Fifth Assessment Report (AR5) WGII chapter on “Climate-resilient pathways: adaptation, mitigation, and sustainable development” (IPCC 2013). With respect to IPCC involvement, it is perhaps appropriate to conclude by also acknowledging the contribution of ISB members to the First Assessment Report published almost a quarter of a century ago now. Specifically, yet another Past President, Wolf Weihe, along with two other past Executive Board members, Gerd Jendritzky and Masami Iriki (a past IJB Editor-in-Chief) contributed to the broad ranging Chapter 5 of the Working Group II report (Hashimoto et al. 1990).
Two further ISB climate change book contributions are particularly noteworthy. The first volume of the Springer/ISB Biometeorology Book Series, Ebi et al. (2009), was focused on the topic of “Biometeorology for Adaptation to Climate Variability and Change” and was edited and authored largely by ISB members. The Munich Reinsurance Company book titled “Weather catastrophes and climate change: is there still hope for us?” is significant for at least two reasons. First, it included a chapter by ISB Past President Höppe (Höppe 2005), and second, it stemmed from the Geo Risks Research group of Munich Re which ISB Past President Höppe became Head of in 2005. With ISB Past President Höppe previously holding a university academic position, such an appointment speaks to the applied nature of much biometeorological research, and its relevance to both the broader community and business and industry alike.
While the analysis presented in this article does indeed portray a scholarly society and its journal (ISB and IJB respectively) that have made a substantial and valuable contribution to the science of the climate change issue, the Society at least has perhaps missed past opportunities to provide an internal framework for and showcase this work. While climate change has certainly been a strong theme of many, if not all, of the Society’s recent Commissions and Study Groups, there have been no Commissions or Study Groups with Climate Change in the title. Similarly, despite the active research on climate change by many of the Society members over many years, the Society has never published a position statement on climate change [such as that by the AMS Council (2012), Royal Meteorological Society (2007), American Association for the Advancement of Science (AAAS) Board of Directors (2007) and many other scientific Societies (AAAS and 17 Other Groups 2009)].
While the recent and future Presidents of the Society, and indeed many others in the Society, have made considerable individual contributions to climate change science, it is perhaps the Society’s ‘Students and New Professionals’ Group, the future of the Society, that is now best placed to produce a collective “ISB” statement on climate change. The current leader of this group, Simon Gosling, is well placed to coordinate this active group in development of an ISB climate change statement, being the most recent recipient (in 2011) of the ISB’s triennial prize, the Tromp Scientific Award, for his article titled “Climate change and heat-related mortality in six cities Part 2: climate model evaluation and projected impacts from changes in the mean and variability of temperature with climate change” (Gosling et al. 2009).
The IJB has recently progressed to explicitly include areas of climate change focus, through the introduction of “Climate Change and Ecology” and “Climate Change and Public Health” as 2 of the 12 “fields”, with dedicated Field Editors, in 2011. In so doing, it has established a solid framework upon which even greater future contributions to the climate change literature can be made.
In an IJB Editorial from 1993, the words of Wolf Weihe, the then ISB President, are poignant: “discussion on climate change is a new and extraordinary challenge to human biometeorology and biometeorology at large” and “we are entering a new phase in biometeorology as a science of adaptation” (Weihe 1993). This article provides evidence that the ISB and IJB have been active participants in this discussion, and indeed have been a leader in aspects of climate change impacts and adaptation research.
Notes
In Web of Science, double quotation marks around the topic search terms finds only exact matches for the terms.
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Beggs, P.J. Climate change and biometeorology, the International Society of Biometeorology and its journal: a perspective on the past and a framework for the future. Int J Biometeorol 58, 1–6 (2014). https://doi.org/10.1007/s00484-013-0696-1
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DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s00484-013-0696-1