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A spatial-temporal analysis on green development in China’s Yellow River Basin: model-based efficiency evaluation and influencing factors identification

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Abstract

Green development is an important path to achieve sustainable development, which has attracted worldwide attention. However, the evaluation system of green development efficiency (GDE) and the spatial-temporal heterogeneity of factors affecting GDE are still critical gaps that need to be filled. Here, based on the panel data of 59 prefecture-level cities in Yellow River Basin from 2007 to 2019, we improve the evaluation system to measure GDE, and explore the influencing factors of GDE and their spatial-temporal heterogeneity. From our results, the GDE of Yellow River Basin has improved from 0.56 to 0.87, but it still needs further improvement. Industrial upgrading, technological innovation and transport infrastructure are main factors affecting GDE. More importantly, the influence of these factors has significant time-lag effect and spatial differences. Therefore, the green development of Yellow River Basin should not only restore the ecological environment, but also take account of key factors affecting regional GDE according to local conditions, ultimately achieving a win-win situation between ecological environmental conservation and social-economic development.

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Acknowledgements

This work was supported by the National Key Program in Social Science: Research on the institutional mechanism and policy system for the coordinated promotion of eco-compensation and rural green development (No.18ZDA048). We are also grateful for the comments and criticisms of the journal’s anonymous reviewers and our colleagues.

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L.J. designed the research, W.L. and Z.C. performed the data analysis and wrote the main manuscript text. All authors have reviewed the manuscript and approved it for submission.

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Correspondence to Leshan Jin.

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The authors declare no conflict of interest. The opinions expressed here are those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect the position of the government of China or of any other organization. We consent to publish this article in your journal and to transfer copyright to the publisher once the paper has been accepted.

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Li, W., Cai, Z. & Jin, L. A spatial-temporal analysis on green development in China’s Yellow River Basin: model-based efficiency evaluation and influencing factors identification. Stoch Environ Res Risk Assess 37, 4431–4444 (2023). https://doi.org/10.1007/s00477-023-02516-y

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  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s00477-023-02516-y

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