Patients
Of 395,097 patients invited to screening during the study period (Supplementary data 1), within 2 years of their screening invite, 872 patients (0.2%) were diagnosed with colorectal cancer. Of these, 6 (0.7%) patients are with macrocytic anaemia and 89 (10%) are without FBC were excluded. Seven hundred seventy-seven (89%) patients had a full blood count (FBC) measured at diagnosis and were included in the study of which 78 (10%) had microcytic anaemia and 180 (23%) normocytic anaemia.
The majority of the patients were male (458, 59%), over 65 years old (519, 67%), with non-screen-detected (451, 58%), node negative (515, 66%) disease of the colon (525, 68%). The median follow-up period of those alive at the time of censoring was 63 months (range 32–83). During the follow-up period, there were 210 (27%) deaths of which 116 (15%) were due to colorectal cancer.
Association between microcytic anaemia, normocytic anaemia and clinicopathological variables
When those patients without anaemia, with microcytic anaemia, and normocytic anaemia were compared (Table 1), there were significant differences in the proportions of patients with screen-detected cancer (48% vs. 28% vs. 31%, p < 0.001), aged over 65 (63% vs. 73% vs. 76% p = 0.004), ASA 3–4 (29% vs. 54% vs. 41%, p < 0.001), undergoing nCRT (15% vs. 0% vs. 14%, p = 0.001), rectal cancer (38% vs. 14% vs. 24%, p < 0.001), T stage 3–4 (54% vs. 90% vs. 82%, p < 0.001), N stage 1–2 (30% vs. 41% vs. 41%, p < 0.001), NLR ≥ 5 (12% vs. 24% vs 21%, p = 0.002), and mGPS 1–2 (18% vs. 59% vs. 46%, p < 0.001).
Table 1 Clinicopathological characteristics amongst patients with screen and non-screen-detected colorectal cancer treated with curative intent grouped by anaemia at diagnosis At multivariate binary logistic regression (Table 2), only T stage (OR 1.92, 95% CI 1.26–2.91, p = 0.002), and mGPS (OR 1.57, 95% CI 1.10–2.24) remained independently associated with microcytic anaemia.
Table 2 Multivariate binary logistic regression of factors associated with microcytic and normocytic anaemia At multivariate binary logistic regression (Table 2), nCRT (OR 4.69, 95% CI 1.87–11.75, p = 0.001), colonic cancer (p = 0.025), T stage (OR 1.38, 95% CI 1.05–1.81, p = 0.022), and mGPS (OR 1.52, 95% CI 1.12–2.05, p = 0.007) remained independently associated with normocytic anaemia.
Relationship between T stage, systemic inflammation and haematological parameters
When the 535 patients with a recorded mGPS were stratified by T stage and mGPS, there were significant associations with Hb, MCV and the prevalence of both microcytic and normocytic anaemia (Table 3). Of the 535, 166 (31%) had both a T stage of 0–2 and mGPS of 0, while 143 (27%) had both a T stage of 3–4 and mGPS of 1–2. When these two extreme groupings were compared, they were found to respectively have the highest and lowest median Hb (138 vs. 117 g/L, p < 0.001) and MCV (91 vs. 85 f/L, p < 0.001), and the lowest and highest prevalence of microcytic anaemia (2% vs. 24%, p < 0.001) and normocytic anaemia (13% vs. 41%, p < 0.001).
Table 3 Relationship between T stage, systemic inflammation and haematological parameters in (n = 535) Prognostic impact of microcytic, normocytic anaemia and systemic inflammation
At Kaplan-Meier analysis (Fig. 1), those patients with normocytic anaemia had a significantly poorer 5-year cancer-specific survival (78%), than those with microcytic anaemia (86%) or no anaemia (87%) (p = 0.022). In contrast, both those patients with normocytic anaemia (71%) and microcytic anaemia (70%) had a similarly poor overall survival when compared to patients without anaemia (82%) (p = 0.001).
When only patients with colonic cancers were included (Fig. 2), the results were similar, in that those patients with normocytic anaemia had a significantly poorer 5-year cancer-specific survival (82%), than those with microcytic anaemia (90%) or no anaemia (92%) (p = 0.031). Again, both those patients with normocytic anaemia (75%) and microcytic anaemia (77%) had a similarly poor overall survival when compared to patients without anaemia (86%) (p = 0.048).
When patients were grouped by anaemia (either microcytic or normocytic) and inflammation (mGPS 0 or 1–2) (Supplementary data 2), those patients who were inflamed alone had a significantly poorer 5-year cancer-specific survival (64%) than those with both anaemia and inflammation (78%), those with anaemia alone (85%) and those who were neither anaemic nor inflamed (92%) (p < 0.001). In contrast, both those patients who were anaemic and inflamed (63%) and those who were inflamed alone (61%) had a similar but significantly poorer 5-year overall survival when compared to patients who were anaemic alone (81%), and those with neither anaemia or inflammation (87%) (p < 0.001).
At multivariate Cox regression (Table 4), screen detection (HR 0.53, 95% CI 0.29–0.99, p = 0.046), TNM stage (HR 2.89, 95% CI 2.06–4.05, p < 0.001), poor differentiation (HR 2.18, 95% CI 1.20–3.94, p = 0.010), and mGPS (HR 1.37, 95% CI 1.02–1.83, p = 0.035) remained independently associated with cancer-specific survival.
Table 4 Univariate and multivariate cox regression of factors associated with cancer specific and overall survival amongst patients with screen, and non-screen-detected stage I-III colorectal cancer treated with curative intent At multivariate Cox regression (Table 4), screen detection (HR 0.51, 95% CI 0.31–0.83, p = 0.008), ASA (HR 1.39, 95% CI 1.03–1.87, p = 0.033), TNM stage (HR 1.92, 95% CI 1.49–2.46, p < 0.001), and poor differentiation (HR 2.57, 95% CI 1.57–4.20, p < 0.001) remained independently associated with overall survival.