Abstract
The fluctuation of the subsurface ocean heat condition along the equatorial Pacific is associated with the mass/heat exchanges between the equatorial and off-equatorial regions, which is the main cause of the phase transitions during the El Niño–Southern Oscillation (ENSO) cycle. In this work, the connection between the meridional transport convergences (MTCs) along the equatorial Pacific and variations of the warm water volume in the equatorial Pacific and their connections with the ENSO cycle are investigated. It is noted that the Sverdrup MTC induced by the wind stress curl has a significant impact on the thermocline fluctuation in nearly the entire equatorial Pacific but the impacts of its components vary with longitude. The component induced by the Ekman currents has a significant contribution from 150° W eastward to the coast, as well as the far-western Pacific, while the geostrophic component has a significant contribution in the central Pacific. There is a strong compensation between the surface wind stress-induced Ekman MTC and the Ekman pumping-induced geostrophic MTC which is confined in the central Pacific. Furthermore, the geostrophic component facilitates the phase transition of the ENSO cycle, while the Ekman component compensatively hinders it. The longitudinally varying component of the MTC enhances the anomalous thermocline tilting during the ENSO growth and maturing phases. These results may benefit the understanding, monitoring, and forecasting of ENSO evolution.
Similar content being viewed by others
References
Barnett TP, Pierce DW, Latif M, Dommenget D, Saravanan R (1999) Interdecadal interactions between the tropics and mid-latitudes in the Pacific basin. Geophys Res Lett 26:615–618
Battisti DS (1989) On the role of off-equatorial oceanic Rossby waves during ENSO. J Phys Oceanogr 19(4):551–559
Behringer DW (2007) The Global Ocean Data Assimilation System (GODAS) at NCEP. Preprints, 11th Symposium on Integrated Observing and Assimilation Systems for Atmosphere, Oceans, and Land Surface, San Antonio, TX, Amer Meteor Soc 3.3. http://ams.confex.com/ams/87ANNUAL/techprogram/paper_119541.htm. Accessed 16 Jan 2007
Bjerknes J (1969) Atmospheric teleconnections from the equatorial Pacific. Mon Weather Rev 97:163–172
Bosc C, Delcroix T (2008) Observed equatorial Rossby waves and ENSO-related warm water volume changes in the equatorial Pacific Ocean. J Geophys Res Oceans 113:C06003. https://doi.org/10.1029/2007JC004613
Bretherton CS, Widmann M, Dymnikov VP, Wallace JM, Blade I (1999) Effective number of degrees of freedom of a time-varying field. J Clim 12:1990–2009. https://doi.org/10.1175/1520-0442(1999)012%3c1990:TENOSD%3e2.0.CO;2
Brown JN, Fedorov AV (2010) Estimating the diapycnal transport contribution to warm water volume variations in the tropical Pacific Ocean. J Clim 23(2):221–237. https://doi.org/10.1175/2009JCLI2347.1
Cane MA, Sarachik ES (1981) The periodic response of a linear baroclinic equatorial ocean. J Mar Res 39:651–693
Chen H-C, Hu Z-Z, Huang B, Sui C-H (2016) The role of reversed equatorial zonal transport in terminating an ENSO event. J Clim 29(16):5859–5877. https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-16-0047.1
Chen H-c, Tseng Y-h, Hu Z-Z, Ding R (2020) Enhancing the ENSO predictability beyond the spring barrier. Sci Rep 10:984. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-020-57853-7
Clarke AJ (2010) Analytical theory for the quasi-steady and low-frequency equatorial ocean response to wind forcing: the “tilt” and “warm water volume” modes. J Phys Ocean 40(1):121–137. https://doi.org/10.1175/2009JPO4263.1
Clarke AJ, Van Gorder S (2001) ENSO prediction using an ENSO trigger and a proxy for western equatorial Pacific warm pool movement. Geophys Res Lett 28:579–582. https://doi.org/10.1029/2000GL012201
Clarke AJ, Zhang X (2019) On the physics of the warm water volume and El Niño/La Niña predictability. J Phys Oceanogr 49:1541–1560. https://doi.org/10.1175/JPO-D-18-0144.1
Clarke AJ, Van Gorder S, Colantuono G (2007) Wind stress curl and ENSO discharge/recharge in the equatorial Pacific. J Phys Ocean 37(4):1077–1091. https://doi.org/10.1175/JPO3035.1
Graham NE, White WB (1988) The E1 Niño/Southern Oscillation as a natural oscillator of the tropical Pacific Ocean-atmosphere system. Science 240:1293–1302
Graham NE, White WB (1991) Comments on “On the role of off-equatorial oceanic Rossby waves during ENSO.” J Phys Oceanogr 21:453–460
Gu D-F, Philander SGH (1997) Interdecadal climate fluctuations that depend on exchanges between the tropical and extratropics. Science 275:805–807
Harrison DE, Vecchi GA (1999) On the termination of El Niño. Geophys Res Lett 26:1593–1596
Hu Z-Z, Kumar A, Zhu J, Huang B, Tseng Y-h, Wang X (2017a) On the shortening of the lead time of ocean warm water volume to ENSO SST since 2000. Sci Rep 7:4294. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-017-04566-z
Hu Z-Z, Kumar A, Huang B, Zhu J, Zhang R-H, Jin F-F (2017b) Asymmetric evolution of El Niño and La Niña: the recharge/discharge processes and role of the off-equatorial sea surface height anomaly. Clim Dyn 49(7–8):2737–2748. https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-016-3498-4
Hu Z-Z, Kumar A, Zhu J, Peng P, Huang B (2019) On the challenge for ENSO cycle prediction: an example from NCEP Climate Forecast System version 2. J Clim 32(1):183–194. https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-18-0285.1
Hu Z-Z, Kumar A, Jha B, Huang B (2020a) How much of monthly mean precipitation variability over global land is associated with SST anomalies? Clim Dyn 54(1–2):701–712. https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-019-05023-5
Hu Z-Z, Kumar A, Huang B, Zhu J, L’Heureux M, McPhaden MJ, Yu J-Y (2020b) The interdecadal shift of ENSO properties in 1999/2000: a review. J Clim 33(11):4441–4462. https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-19-0316.1
Huang B et al (2017) Reforecasting the ENSO events in the past 57 years (1958–2014). J Clim 30:7669–7693. https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-16-0642.1
Huang B, Shin C-S, Kumar A (2019) Predictive skill and predictive patterns of the US seasonal precipitation in CFSv2 reforecasts of sixty years (1958–2017). J Clim 32:8603–8637. https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-19-0230.1
Izumo T (2005) The equatorial undercurrent, meridional overturning circulation, and their roles in mass and heat exchanges during El Niño events in the tropical Pacific Ocean. Ocean Dyn 55:110–123. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10236-005-0115-1
Izumo T, Lengaigne M, Vialard J, Suresh I, Planton Y (2019) On the physical interpretation of the lead relation between Warm Water Volume and the El Niño Southern Oscillation. Clim Dyn 52:2923–2942. https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-018-4313-1
Jin F-F (1997a) An equatorial ocean recharge paradigm for ENSO. Part I: conceptual model. J Atmos Sci 54:811–829. https://doi.org/10.1175/1520-0469(1997)054%3c0811:AEORPF%3e2.0.CO;2
Jin F-F (1997b) An equatorial ocean recharge paradigm for ENSO. Part II: a stripped-down coupled model. J Atmos Sci 54:830–847. https://doi.org/10.1175/1520-0469(1997)054%3c0830:AEORPF%3e2.0.CO;2
Kanamitsu M et al (2002) NCEP−DOE AMIP−II reanalysis (R−2). Bull Am Meteorol Soc 83:1631–1643. https://doi.org/10.1175/BAMS-83-11-1631
Kessler WS (1990) Observations of long Rossby waves in the northern tropical Pacific. J Geophys Res 95(C4):5183–5217
Kessler WS (2002) Is ENSO a cycle or a series of events? Geophys Res Lett 29(23):2125. https://doi.org/10.1029/2002GL015924
Kirtman BP (1997) Oceanic Rossby wave dynamics and the ENSO period in a coupled model. J Climate 10:1690–1704
Kleeman R, McCreary JP, Klinger BA (1999) A mechanism for generating ENSO decadal variability. Geophys Res Lett 26:1743–1746
Kug J-S, Kang I-S, An S-I (2003) Symmetric and antisymmetric mass exchanges between the equatorial and off-equatorial Pacific associated with ENSO. J Geophys Res 108:3284. https://doi.org/10.1029/2002JC001671
Kug J-S, An S-I, Jin F-F et al (2005) Preconditions for El Niño and La Niña onsets and their relation to the Indian Ocean. Geophys Res Lett 32:L05706. https://doi.org/10.1029/2004GL021674
Kumar A, Hu Z-Z (2014) Interannual and interdecadal variability of ocean temperature along the equatorial Pacific in conjunction with ENSO. Clim Dyn 42(5–6):1243–1258. https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-013-1721-0
Lengaigne M, Hausmann U, Madec G et al (2021) Mechanisms controlling warm water volume interannual variations in the equatorial Pacific: diabatic versus adiabatic processes. Clim Dyn 38:1031–1046. https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-011-1051-z
Li X, Hu Z-Z, Huang B, Jin F-F (2020) On the interdecadal variation of the warm water volume in the tropical Pacific around 1999/2000. J Geophys Res Atmos 125(18):e2020JD033306. https://doi.org/10.1029/2020JD033306
Liu Z, Wu L, Gallimore R, Jacob G (2002) Search for the origins of Pacific decadal climate variability. Geophys Res Lett 29:1404. https://doi.org/10.1029/2001GL013735
Lu Q, Ruan Z, Wang D, Chen D, Wu Q (2017) Zonal Transport from the western boundary and its role in warm water volume changes during ENSO. J Phys Oceanogr 47:211–225. https://doi.org/10.1175/JPO-D-16-0112.1
McCreary JP, Lu P (1994) Interaction between the subtropical and equatorial ocean circulations: the subtropical cell. J Phys Oceanogr 24:466–497
McGregor S et al (2014) ENSO-driven interhemispheric Pacific mass transports. J Geophys Res Oceans 119:6221–6237. https://doi.org/10.1002/2014JC010286
McPhaden MJ (2012) A 21st century shift in the relationship between ENSO SST and warm water volume anomalies. Geophys Res Lett 39:L09706. https://doi.org/10.1029/2012GL051826
McPhaden MJ, Taft BA (1988) On the dynamics of seasonal and intraseasonal variability in the eastern equatorial Pacific. J Phys Oceanogr 18:1713–1732
McPhaden MJ, Zhang X, Hendon HH, Wheeler MC (2006) Large scale dynamics and MJO forcing of ENSO variability. Geophys Res Lett 33:L16702. https://doi.org/10.1029/2006GL026786
Meinen CS, McPhaden MJ (2000) Observations of warm water volume changes in the equatorial Pacific and their relationship to El Niño and La Niña. J Clim 13:3551–3559. https://doi.org/10.1175/1520-0442
Meinen CS, McPhaden MJ (2001) Interannual variability in warm water volume transports in the equatorial Pacific during 1993–99. J Phys Oceanogr 31:1324–1345. https://doi.org/10.1175/1520-0485(2001)031%3c1324:IVIWWV%3e2.0.CO;2
National Research Council (2010) Assessment of intraseasonal to interannual climate prediction and predictability. The National Academies Press, Washington, DC (ISBN-10: 0-309-15183-X)
Pedlosky J (1996) Ocean circulation theory. Springer, Heidelberg, p 453
Picaut J, Masia F, du Penhoat Y (1997) An advective-reflective conceptual model for the oscillatory nature of the ENSO. Science 277:663–666
Schneider EK, Huang B, Shukla J (1995) Ocean wave dynamics and El Niño. J Climate 8:2415–2439
Singh A, Delcroix T (2013) Eastern and central Pacific ENSO and their relationships to the recharge/discharge oscillator paradigm. Deep-Sea Res I 82:32–43. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.dsr.2013.08.002
Springer S, McPhaden MJ, Busalacchi AJ (1990) Oceanic heat content variability in the tropical Pacific during the 1982–83 El Niño. J Geophys Res 95:22089–22102
Stuecker MF, Timmermann A, Jin F-F, McGregor S, Ren H-L (2013) A combination mode of the annual cycle and the El Niño/Southern Oscillation. Nat Geosci 6:540–544. https://doi.org/10.1038/ngeo1826
Tseng Y-H, Hu Z-Z, Ding R-Q et al (2016) An ENSO prediction approach based on ocean conditions and ocean–atmosphere coupling. Clim Dyn 48(5–6):2025–2044. https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-016-3188-2
Wang C (2001) A unified oscillator model for the El Niño-Southern Oscillation. J Clim 14:98–115. https://doi.org/10.1175/1520-0442(2001)014%3c0098:AUOMFT%3e2.0.CO;2
Wang C, Deser C, Yu J-Y, Di Nezio P, Clement A (2016) El Niño-Southern Oscillation (ENSO): a review. In: Glymn P, Manzello D, Enochs I (eds) Coral reefs of the eastern pacific. Springer Science Publisher, New York, pp 85–106
White WB, He Y, Pazan SE (1989) Off-equatorial westward propagating waves in the tropical Pacific during the 1982–83 and 1986–87 ENSO events. J Phys Oceanogr 19:1397–1406
Wyrtki K (1975) El Niño—the dynamic response of the equatorial Pacific Ocean to atmospheric forcing. J Phys Oceanogr 5:572–584. https://doi.org/10.1175/1520-0485(1975)005%3c0572:ENTDRO%3e2.0.CO;2
Wyrtki K (1985) Water displacements in the Pacific and the genesis of El Niño cycles. J Geophys Res 90(C4):7129–7132. https://doi.org/10.1029/JC090iC04p07129
Yu X, McPhaden MJ (1999) Dynamical analysis of seasonal and interannual variability in the equatorial Pacific. J Phys Oceanogr 29:2350–2369
Zebiak S (1989) Ocean heat content variability and ENSO cycles. J Phys Oceanogr 19:475–485. https://doi.org/10.1175/1520-0485(1989)019%3c0475:OHCVAE%3e2.0.CO;2
Zhang X, Clarke AJ (2017) On the dynamical relationship between equatorial Pacific surface currents, zonally averaged equatorial sea level, and El Niño prediction. J Phys Oceanogr 47:323–337. https://doi.org/10.1175/JPO-D-16-0193.1
Zhang R-H, Levitus S (1996) Structure and evolution of interannual variability of the Tropical Pacific upper ocean temperature. J Geophys Res 101:20501–20524
Zhang R-H, Rothstein LM, Busalacchi AJ (1998) Origin of upper-ocean warming and El Niño change on decadal time scales in the Tropical Pacific Ocean. Nature 391:879–883
Zhang W, Li S, Jin F-F, Xie R, Liu C, Stuecker MF, Xue A (2019) ENSO regime changes responsible for decadal phase relationship variations between ENSO sea surface temperature and warm water volume. Geophys Res Lett. https://doi.org/10.1029/2019GL082943
Zhao S, Jin F-F, Stuecker M (2021) Understanding lead times of warm-water-volumes to ENSO sea surface temperature anomalies. Geophys Res Lett. https://doi.org/10.1029/2021GL094366
Acknowledgements
The authors thank the reviewers for their constructive comments and insightful suggestions. GODAS and surface wind stress data from the National Environmental Prediction Center and Department of Energy reanalysis are available through Behringer (2007) and Li et al. (2020), and Kanamitsu et al. (2002), respectively. The data used in this study can be downloaded from https://www.esrl.noaa.gov/psd/data/gridded/data.godas.html and https://psl.noaa.gov/data/gridded/data.ncep.reanalysis2.html, or contact us via xiaofanli@zju.edu.cn. X. L. is supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China (41930967). Z. H. is supported by the NOAA CTB project NA20OAR4590316. B. H. is supported by the NOAA MAPP drought project (NA17OAR4310144).
Author information
Authors and Affiliations
Corresponding author
Additional information
Publisher's Note
Springer Nature remains neutral with regard to jurisdictional claims in published maps and institutional affiliations.
Rights and permissions
About this article
Cite this article
Li, X., Hu, ZZ., Huang, B. et al. Oceanic meridional transports and their roles in warm water volume variability and ENSO in the tropical Pacific. Clim Dyn 59, 245–261 (2022). https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-021-06124-w
Received:
Accepted:
Published:
Issue Date:
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-021-06124-w