Abstract
Investigation into the Pacific decadal oscillation’s (PDO’s) role in modulating the intra-basin frequency of North Atlantic Rossby wave breaking (RWB) is carried out utilizing the Community Earth System Model (CESM). Several 15-year simulations are run with the model, each using a unique set of prescribed sea surface temperatures (SSTs) corresponding to different phases and configurations of the PDO regressed on all 12 months of the climatological SSTs. Potential vorticity (PV) maps on the 200 hPa isobaric surface are used to detect anticyclonic RWB events. Results suggest that when the PDO is in its positive (negative) phase, a greater number of anticyclonic RWB events are recorded in the eastern (western) half of the North Atlantic. Additionally, PDO negative regimes are shown to drive more robust intra-basin RWB frequency changes than PDO positive regimes. Analysis of the large-scale circulation and synoptic environment changes imposed by the SST anomalies of each simulation reveals different pathways for Rossby wave train (RWT) development that, in turn, affect North Atlantic RWB statistics. When the PDO signals are divided into different components, the largest changes in RWB statistics are shown to occur whenever positive SST anomalies are present in the North Pacific, as these serve as fuel for high frequency RWT development and more dramatic changes to North Atlantic RWB statistics. Furthermore, the role of atmospheric preconditioning to RWB is explored and uncovered to considerably affect RWB statistics. Results from this study reaffirm the important role played by positive SST anomalies as year-round drivers of teleconnection patterns and inter-basin interactions.
Similar content being viewed by others
Availability of data and material
Not applicable.
Code availability
Not applicable.
References
Abatzoglou JT, Magnusdottir G (2006) Planetary wave breaking and nonlinear reflection: seasonal cycle and interannual variability. J Clim 19(23):6139–6152
Allen G, Vaughan G, Brunner D, May PT, Heyes W, Minnis P, Ayers JK (2009) Modulation of tropical convection by breaking Rossby waves. Quart J Roy Meteor Soc 135(638):125–137
Appenzeller C, Davies H (1992) Structure of stratospheric intrusions into the troposphere. Nature 358(6387):570
Barlow M, Nigam S, Berbery EH (2001) ENSO, Pacific decadal variability, and US summertime precipitation, drought, and stream flow. J Clim 14(9):2105–2128
Benedict JJ, Lee S, Feldstein SB (2004) Synoptic view of the North Atlantic oscillation. J Atmos Sci 61(2):121–144
Bentley AM, Bosart LF, Keyser D (2017) Upper-tropospheric precursors to the formation of subtropical cyclones that undergo tropical transition in the North Atlantic basin. Mon Weather Rev 145(2):503–520
Branstator G (2002) Circumglobal teleconnections, the jet stream waveguide, and the North Atlantic oscillation. J Clim 15(14):1893–1910
Ding Q, Wang B (2005) Circumglobal teleconnection in the Northern Hemisphere summer. J Clim 18(17):3483–3505
Ding Q, Wang B, Wallace JM, Branstator G (2011) Tropical-extratropical teleconnections in boreal summer: observed interannual variability. J Clim 24(7):1878–1896
Frankignoul C, Sennéchael N (2007) Observed influence of North Pacific SST anomalies on the atmospheric circulation. J Clim 20(3):592–606
Franzke C, Lee S, Feldstein SB (2004) Is the North Atlantic oscillation a breaking wave? J Atmos Sci 61(2):145–160
Fukutomi Y, Yasunari T (2002) Tropical–extratropical interaction associated with the 10–25-day oscillation over the western Pacific during the Northern Summer. J Meteor Soc Jpn 80(2):311–331
Galarneau TJ Jr, McTaggart-Cowan R, Bosart LF, Davis CA (2015) Development of North Atlantic tropical disturbances near upper-level potential vorticity streamers. J Atmos Sci 72(2):572–597
Hitchman MH, Huesmann AS (2007) A seasonal climatology of Rossby wave breaking in the 320–2000-K layer. J Atmos Sci 64(6):1922–1940
Holton JR, Haynes PH, McIntyre ME, Douglass AR, Rood RB, Pfister L (1995) Stratosphere–troposphere exchange. Rev Geophys 33(4):403–439
Hoskins B, Simmons A, Andrews D (1977) Energy dispersion in a barotropic atmosphere. Quart J Roy Meteor Soc 103(438):553–567
Hu H, Dominguez F, Wang Z, Lavers DA, Zhang G, Ralph FM (2017) Linking atmospheric river hydrological impacts on the US West Coast to Rossby wave breaking. J Clim 30(9):3381–3399
Huang B, Banzon VF, Freeman E, Lawrimore J, Liu W, Peterson TC, Smith TM, Thorne PW, Woodruff SD, Zhang HM (2015) Extended reconstructed sea surface temperature version 4 (ERSST. v4). Part I: upgrades and intercomparisons. J Clim 28(3):911–930
Kiladis GN, Weickmann KM (1992) Extratropical forcing of tropical Pacific convection during northern winter. Mon Weather Rev 120(9):1924–1939
Kiladis GN, Weickmann KM (1997) Horizontal structure and seasonality of large-scale circulations associated with submonthly tropical convection. Mon Weather Rev 125(9):1997–2013
Knippertz P (2007) Tropical–extratropical interactions related to upper-level troughs at low latitudes. Dyn Atmos Oceans 43(1–2):36–62
Knippertz P, Martin JE (2007) The role of dynamic and diabatic processes in the generation of cut-off lows over Northwest Africa. Meteorol Atmos Phys 96(1–2):3–19
Kurihara K, Tsuyuki T (1987) Development of the barotropic high around Japan and its association with Rossby wave-like propagations over the North Pacific: Analysis of August 1984. J Meteor Soc Japan 65(2):237–246
Kwon YO, Seo H, Ummenhofer CC, Joyce TM (2020) Impact of multidecadal variability in Atlantic SST on winter atmospheric blocking. J Clim 33(3):867–892
Latif M, Barnett TP (1996) Decadal climate variability over the North Pacific and North America: dynamics and predictability. J Clim 9(10):2407–2423
Lau KM (1992) East Asian summer monsoon rainfall variability and climate teleconnection. J Meteor Soc Jpn 70(1B):211–242
Lau K, Peng L (1992) Dynamics of atmospheric teleconnections during the northern summer. J Clim 5(2):140–158
Lau KM, Weng H (2002) Recurrent teleconnection patterns linking summertime precipitation variability over East Asia and North America. J Meteor Soc Jpn 80(6):1309–1324
Lee SK, Wang C, Mapes BE (2009) A simple atmospheric model of the local and teleconnection responses to tropical heating anomalies. J Clim 22(2):272–284
Leovy C, Sun C, Hitchman M, Remsberg E, Russell J III, Gordley L, Gille J, Lyjak L (1985) Transport of ozone in the middle stratosphere: evidence for planetary wave breaking. J Atmos Sci 42(3):230–244
Li W, Wang Z, Zhang G, Peng MS, Benjamin SG, Zhao M (2018) Subseasonal variability of Rossby wave breaking and impacts on tropical cyclones during the North Atlantic warm season. J Clim 31(23):9679–9695
Lin H (2009) Global extratropical response to diabatic heating variability of the Asian summer monsoon. J Atmos Sci 66(9):2697–2713
Liu C, Barnes EA (2015) Extreme moisture transport into the Arctic linked to Rossby wave breaking. J Geophys Res Atmos 120(9):3774–3788
Liu Q, Wen N, Liu Z (2006) An observational study of the impact of the North Pacific SST on the atmosphere. Geophys Res Lett. https://doi.org/10.1029/2006GL026082
MacRitchie K, Roundy P (2016) The two-way relationship between the Madden–Julian oscillation and anticyclonic wave breaking. Quart J Roy Meteor Soc 142(698):2159–2167
Mantua N, Hare S (1997) Monthly Pacific decadal oscillation index. Joint Institute for the Study of the Atmosphere and Ocean. https://jisao.uw.edu/pdo/PDO.latest.txt. Accessed 10 Nov 2017
Mantua NJ, Hare SR, Zhang Y, Wallace JM, Francis RC (1997) A Pacific interdecadal climate oscillation with impacts on salmon production. Bull Am Meteor Soc 78(6):1069–1079
Martius O, Zenklusen E, Schwierz C, Davies HC (2006) Episodes of Alpine heavy precipitation with an overlying elongated stratospheric intrusion: a climatology. Int J Climatol 26(9):1149–1164
Martius O, Schwierz C, Davies H (2007) Breaking waves at the tropopause in the wintertime Northern Hemisphere: climatological analyses of the orientation and the theoretical LC1/2 classification. J Atmos Sci 64(7):2576–2592
Martius O, Schwierz C, Davies H (2008) Far-upstream precursors of heavy precipitation events on the Alpine south-side. Quart J Roy Meteor Soc 134(631):417–428
Masato G, Hoskins B, Woollings TJ (2012) Wave-breaking characteristics of midlatitude blocking. Quart J Roy Meteor Soc 138(666):1285–1296
Massacand AC, Wernli H, Davies HC (1998) Heavy precipitation on the alpine southside: an upper-level precursor. Geophys Res Lett 25(9):1435–1438
Massacand AC, Wernli H, Davies HC (2001) Influence of upstream diabatic heating upon an Alpine event of heavy precipitation. Mon Weather Rev 129(11):2822–2828
McIntyre M, Palmer T (1983) Breaking planetary waves in the stratosphere. Nature 305(5935):593
McIntyre M, Palmer T (1984) The ’surf zone’ in the stratosphere. J Atmos Terr Phys 46(9):825–849
Mo KC (2000) Intraseasonal modulation of summer precipitation over North America. Mon Weather Rev 128(5):1490–1505
Moore RW, Martius O, Spengler T (2010) The modulation of the subtropical and extratropical atmosphere in the Pacific basin in response to the Madden–Julian oscillation. Mon Weather Rev 138(7):2761–2779
Mundhenk BD, Barnes EA, Maloney ED, Nardi KM (2016) Modulation of atmospheric rivers near Alaska and the US West Coast by northeast Pacific height anomalies. J Geophys Res Atmos 121(21):12–751
Nakamura H (1994) Rotational evolution of potential vorticity associated with a strong blocking flow configuration over Europe. Geophys Res Lett 21(18):2003–2006
Nigam S, Barlow M, Berbery EH (1999) Analysis links Pacific decadal variability to drought and streamflow in United States. EOS Trans Am Geophys Union 80(51):621–625
Nitta T (1987) Convective activities in the tropical western Pacific and their impact on the Northern Hemisphere summer circulation. J Meteor Soc Jpn 65(3):373–390
Nitta T, Yamada S (1989) Recent warming of tropical sea surface temperature and its relationship to the Northern Hemisphere circulation. J Meteor Soc Jpn 67(3):375–383
O’Reilly CH, Czaja A (2015) The response of the Pacific storm track and atmospheric circulation to Kuroshio extension variability. Quart J Roy Meteor Soc 141(686):52–66
Payne AE, Magnusdottir G (2014) Dynamics of landfalling atmospheric rivers over the North Pacific in 30 years of MERRA reanalysis. J Clim 27(18):7133–7150
Peters D, Waugh DW (1996) Influence of barotropic shear on the poleward advection of upper-tropospheric air. J Atmos Sci 53(21):3013–3031
Postel GA, Hitchman MH (1999) A climatology of Rossby wave breaking along the subtropical tropopause. J Atmos Sci 56(3):359–373
Rayner NA, Parker DE, Horton EB, Folland CK, Alexander LV, Rowell DP, Kent EC, Kaplan A (2003) Global analyses of sea surface temperature, sea ice, and night marine air temperature since the late nineteenth century. J Geophys Res Atmos. https://doi.org/10.1029/2002JD002670
Reynolds RW, Rayner NA, Smith TM, Stokes DC, Wang W (2002) An improved in situ and satellite SST analysis for climate. J Clim 15(13):1609–1625
Ryoo JM, Kaspi Y, Waugh DW, Kiladis GN, Waliser DE, Fetzer EJ, Kim J (2013) Impact of Rossby wave breaking on US west coast winter precipitation during ENSO events. J Clim 26(17):6360–6382
Ryoo JM, Waliser DE, Waugh DW, Wong S, Fetzer EJ, Fung I (2015) Classification of atmospheric river events on the US West Coast using a trajectory model. J Geophys Res Atmos 120(8):3007–3028
Samanta D, Dash M, Goswami B, Pandey P (2016) Extratropical anticyclonic Rossby wave breaking and Indian summer monsoon failure. Clim Dyn 46(5–6):1547–1562
Sardeshmukh PD, Hoskins BJ (1988) The generation of global rotational flow by steady idealized tropical divergence. J Atmos Sci 45(7):1228–1251
Scott R, Cammas J (2002) Wave breaking and mixing at the subtropical tropopause. J Atmos Sci 59(15):2347–2361
Sodemann H, Stohl A (2013) Moisture origin and meridional transport in atmospheric rivers and their association with multiple cyclones. Mon Weather Rev 141(8):2850–2868
Strong C, Magnusdottir G (2008) Tropospheric Rossby wave breaking and the NAO/NAM. J Atmos Sci 65(9):2861–2876
Thorncroft C, Hoskins B, McIntyre M (1993) Two paradigms of baroclinic-wave life-cycle behaviour. Quart J Roy Meteor Soc 119(509):17–55
Ting M, Wang H (1997) Summertime US precipitation variability and its relation to Pacific Sea surface temperature. J Clim 10(8):1853–1873
Trenberth KE, Branstator GW, Arkin PA (1988) Origins of the 1988 North American drought. Science 242(4886):1640–1645
Tyrlis E, Hoskins B (2008) The morphology of Northern Hemisphere blocking. J Atmos Sci 65(5):1653–1665
Wernli BH, Davies HC (1997) A Lagrangian-based analysis of extratropical cyclones. I: the method and some applications. Quart J Roy Meteor Soc 123(538):467–489
Wiegand L, Knippertz P (2014) Equatorward breaking Rossby waves over the North Atlantic and Mediterranean region in the ECMWF operational ensemble prediction system. Quart J Roy Meteor Soc 140(678):58–71
Zavadoff BL, Kirtman BP (2019) North Atlantic summertime anticyclonic Rossby wave breaking: climatology, impacts, and connections to the Pacific decadal oscillation. J Clim 32(2):485–500
Zavadoff BL, Kirtman BP (2020) Dynamic and thermodynamic modulators of European atmospheric rivers. J Clim 33(10):4167–4185
Zhang G, Wang Z (2018) North Atlantic extratropical Rossby wave breaking during the warm season: wave life cycle and role of diabatic heating. Mon Weather Rev 146(3):695–712
Zhang G, Wang Z (2019) North Atlantic Rossby wave breaking during the hurricane season: association with tropical and extratropical variability. J Clim 32(13):3777–3801
Zhang Y, Wallace JM, Battisti DS (1997) ENSO-like interdecadal variability: 1900–93. J Clim 10(5):1004–1020
Zhang G, Wang Z, Dunkerton TJ, Peng MS, Magnusdottir G (2016) Extratropical impacts on Atlantic tropical cyclone activity. J Atmos Sci 73(3):1401–1418
Zhang G, Wang Z, Peng MS, Magnusdottir G (2017) Characteristics and impacts of extratropical Rossby wave breaking during the Atlantic Hurricane Season. J Clim 30(7):2363–2379
Acknowledgements
The authors would like to thank the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration for their support under Grants NA180AR4310293, NA160AR4310141, NA160AR4310149, and NA150AR4320064, the Department of Energy under Grant DESC0019433, and the National Science Foundation under Grant OCE1419569. We would also like to acknowledge the two anonymous reviewers for their constructive and valuable feedback, the University of Miami Center for Computational Science for providing indispensable computational resources, without which running the simulations employed in this study would not be possible, and the National Center for Atmospheric Research for access to the Community Earth System Model for download and use.
Funding
This research was supported by the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration for their support under Grants NA180AR4310293, NA160AR4310141, NA160AR4310149, and NA150AR4320064, the Department of Energy under grant DESC0019433, and the National Science Foundation under Grant OCE1419569.
Author information
Authors and Affiliations
Corresponding author
Ethics declarations
Conflict of interest
The authors declare that they have no conflict of interest.
Additional information
Publisher's Note
Springer Nature remains neutral with regard to jurisdictional claims in published maps and institutional affiliations.
Rights and permissions
About this article
Cite this article
Zavadoff, B.L., Kirtman, B.P. The Pacific decadal oscillation as a modulator of summertime North Atlantic Rossby wave breaking. Clim Dyn 56, 207–225 (2021). https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-020-05475-0
Received:
Accepted:
Published:
Issue Date:
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-020-05475-0