Abstract
Based on the daily ERA-Interim reanalysis, interactions between the winter North Pacific storm track (WNPST) and the East Asian trough (EAT) on the interannual scale are further explored from the perspective of energy conversion and the simplified quasi-geostrophic potential vorticity equation. There is a prominent out-of-phase relationship between the EAT and WNPST on the interannual scale. It is baroclinic energy conversion rather than barotropic energy conversion that is the main physical process that the EAT affects the WNPST. When the EAT is intensified, the energy conversion from mean available potential energy to eddy available potential energy decreases; further, the energy conversion from eddy available potential energy to eddy kinetic energy is attenuated, which leads directly to remarkable weakening in the strength of the WNPST in its peak area and the region west of the date line. In addition, when the WNPST is enhanced, the WNPST dynamic forcing contributes to lowering the geopotential height near the EAT and thus profits to recover the strength of the EAT, while the thermal forcing of WNPST is opposite. However, their joint effect is still to strengthen the EAT, indicating that the impact of WNPST dynamic forcing on the EAT is stronger than that of thermal forcing. The interaction between the WNPST and EAT may be a way for the WNPST to maintain itself.
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1 Introduction
The East Asian trough (EAT), located off the east coast of the Eurasian continent, is a large-scale topographic wave formed by the thermal contrast between cold land and warm sea and the dynamic effect of the Qinghai-Tibet Plateau topography on the east coast of Eurasia (Held et al. 2002). It is also known as a quasi-stationary trough over the western Pacific Ocean in mid-latitudes (Leung et al. 2017). As the main component of the winter atmospheric circulation in the Northern Hemisphere, it has well-distinct seasonal, interannual and interdecadal variations (Chen et al. 2005; Huang et al. 2012; Lee et al. 2013; Song et al. 2016), which manipulates not only the winter monsoon activity and the climatology in East Asia but also the extratropic circulation structure of the Northern Hemisphere and even the climate variations in the Euro-Mediterranean region (Yang et al. 2002; Wu et al. 2011; Huang et al. 2013; Ding et al. 2014; Leung et al. 2017; Feng et al. 2018; Sen et al. 2019; Bozkurt et al. 2019). As one of the most energetic regions of synoptic-scale disturbance in the Northern Hemisphere (Blackmon 1976; Chang et al. 2002), the winter North Pacific storm track (WNPST) is located downstream of the EAT, acts as an important bridge in the interactions between the tropics and the middle-high latitudes through heat, water and momentum transport (Chang and Fu 2002; Luo et al. 2011), and has a significant impact on the maintenance of atmospheric circulation and climate change in East Asia (Jin 2010; Kug et al. 2010; Lee et al. 2012).
The main modes of storm track variations are related to the teleconnection pattern of low-frequency circulation in the Northern Hemisphere (Lau 1988; Ren et al. 2008). The EAT and WNPST are geographically adjacent. The EAT guides cold and dry air to move southward and encounter the warm air in the mid-latitudes over the North Pacific, resulting in the existence of a steep meridional temperature gradient over the near-surface, accompanied by robust atmospheric baroclinicity (Lau and Lau 1984), which is conducive to the development and movement of synoptic-scale transient eddies (Nakamura et al. 2002). Ren et al. (2007) well documented that the first and second leading modes of the WNPST are coupled with the geopotential height at 500 hPa over the North Pacific. Based on the East Asian winter monsoon (EAWM) index (Jhun and Lee 2004) represented by the 300 hPa area-averaged zonal wind, Lee et al. (2010) and Zhang et al. (2014) emphasized the role of local baroclinicity when studying the impact of the EAWM on the WNPST. In addition, Harnik and Chang (2004) stressed the influences of the subtropical Pacific jet width on baroclinic waves using the quasi-geostrophic model and the primitive equation model.
On the other hand, many studies have shown that there is a symbiotic relationship between large-scale time-mean flow anomalies and transient eddy anomalies in the Northern Hemisphere. Robertson and Metz (1989) argued that synoptic-scale transient eddies and their variations play an important role in maintaining the dynamics of time-mean flow and atmospheric low-frequency variations. The time-mean flow anomalies are subject to the influence of continuous feedback from transient eddies, especially in middle and high latitudes (Lau 1988; Lau and Nath 1991). Leung and Zhou (2016) well documented that transient eddies contribute to the strength variations in the EAT on the seasonal, intraseasonal, and synoptic time scales. In addition, Song et al. (2016) investigated the impact of synoptic-scale transient eddies on intraseasonal variations in the strength of the EAT through the three-dimensional quasi-geostrophic potential vorticity equation.
When studying the important modulation role that the EAWM plays in the WNPST on an interannual scale, the local atmospheric baroclinicity (Lee et al. 2010; Zhang et al. 2014) and the narrowing subtropical Pacific jet (Harnik and Chang 2004) have been concerned by predecessors. In addition, most of the studies focus mainly on the linkage between the EAT and transient eddies on the intraseasonal timescale (Leung and Zhou 2016; Song et al. 2016), whereas the interactions between the EAT and WNPST on the interannual scale have not been narrowly investigated. What is the relationship between the EAT and WNPST on the interannual scale and how do they interact with each other? Although it is tough to clarify the causal relationship between the EAWM and WNPST and explaining the relationship between them may not necessarily be straightforward (Lee et al. 2010; Nakamura et al. 2002), to answer these two questions and increase the understanding of mid-latitude atmospheric circulation, this article focuses on the impact of the EAT on the WNPST from the perspective of energy conversion within the framework of the linear theory of baroclinic instability and the influence of the WNPST on the EAT in terms of the simplified quasi-geostrophic potential vorticity equation. The remainder of this paper is organized as follows: a brief description of the data and methods is presented in Sect. 2. The relationship between the WNPST and EAT is explored in Sect. 3. The influences of the EAT on the WNPST are addressed in Sect. 4. The impact of the WNPST on the EAT is given in Sect. 5. Finally, conclusions and discussions are provided in Sect. 6.
2 Data and methods
Daily atmospheric data used in this research, including winds, air temperature and geopotential heights, are provided by ERA-Interim global atmospheric reanalysis datasets (Dee et al. 2011), with a horizontal resolution of 1.5° × 1.5° and a time span of 1979–2017. The data for this time period are more reliable because they incorporate satellite observations (Liu et al. 2014). In this article, winter refers to the time period from December in the current year to January and February in the next year.
The variability of the EAT is measured by defining the East Asian trough index (EATI) as the opposite of the standardized mean geopotential height at 500 hPa in the area of (25°–45° N, 110°–145° E), which is the same definition used by Sun and Li (1997) and Miao et al. (2018). The geopotential height field in this selected area reflects the main activity characteristics of and strength variations in the EAT (Wang and He 2012). The EATI can be expressed as:
where \(Nx\) and \(Ny\) represent the number of grid points in the zonal and meridional directions of the selected rectangle, respectively. \(Z_{ij}\) is the standardized geopotential height at each grid point (i, j). In this way, the larger EATI corresponds to the stronger EAT.
The storm track can be characterized by eddy kinetic energy, meridional heat flux, geopotential height, meridional wind speed, sea level pressure and other physical variables (Chang and Fu 2002). We use the Lanzcos bandpass filter to separate synoptic-scale (2.5–6-day) disturbances from the ERA-Interim daily reanalysis datasets, and the WNPST is represented by the standard deviation of the 500 hPa filtered geopotential height field.
In addition, to facilitate the study of the interaction between the WNPST and EAT, it is necessary to find an index to reasonably describe the WNPST. This paper adopted the method of Li and Zhu (2010) to define the storm track strength index (STSI). Specifically, the median strength of all grid points in the range of the WNPST climatological mean (25°–65° N, 130° E–120° W) (Yang et al. 2018) is selected as the threshold, and the average WNPST strength of all grid points greater than this threshold is recorded as the STSI after standardization, which can be expressed as:
where N is the number of grid points on which the strength exceeds the median WNPST strength of all the grids within the climatological region and \(\sqrt {Z^{\prime}Z^{\prime}}\) denotes the WNPST amplitude. The prime in the superscript represents a 2.5–6-day filtered synoptic component. Anomalies of a given variable in the present study are generated by removing its climatological mean and long-term linear trend.
3 Relationship between WNPST and EAT
The WNPST is mainly located over the North Pacific to the east of Japan and to the north of the Kuroshio extension (Fig. 1a), with a slight southwest-northeast orientation and a peak area near the dateline. The climatological mean of the EAT in winter is near Japan (Fig. 1b). The EAT lies to the west of the main body of the WNPST, whereas the WNPST is situated slightly downstream of the EAT and modulated by the intensity and steering action of time-mean flow (Lau 1988). It is clear that the EAT and WNPST are closely related geographically.
Figure 1c displays the time series of EATI and STSI in winter from 1979 to 2016. It can be observed that they show an obvious out-phase relationship, with the correlation coefficient as high as − 0.72. If the fast Fourier transform is used to remove interannual (interdecadal) signals, their correlation coefficients are − 0.86 (− 0.57), both of which have a 99% confidence level, indicating that the negative correlation between EAT and WNPST is present on both interannual and interdecadal scales. If the definition of the STSI is followed, the strength in formula (2) is replaced by longitude and latitude, which are denoted as the zonal position index (ZPI) and meridional position index (MPI), which can be written as \(ZPI = \sum\nolimits_{1}^{N} {WNPST_{lon} } /N\) and \(MPI = \sum\nolimits_{1}^{N} {WNPST_{lat} } /N\), where \(WNPST_{lon}\) and \(WNPST_{lat}\) represent the longitude and latitude on the grid point, respectively. However, the correlation coefficients of EATI and ZPI (MPI) are only − 0.01 (− 0.11), which fail to pass the significance test and imply that there is no significant correlation between the strength of the EAT and the spatial position of the WNPST.
In addition, using different metrics to represent the storm track, Chang et al. (2012) came to a different conclusion about the intensity trend of the North Atlantic storm track during the period 1980–2010. Therefore, considering that the results may vary with the choice of physical variables used to characterize the storm track (Wang et al. 2017), we also use filtered sea level pressure, 850 hPa meridional eddy heat flux and 300 hPa meridional wind velocity for verification. Table 1 shows the correlation coefficients of the EATI and STSI calculated by diversely characterized WNPST. Regardless of how the WNPST is characterized, the correlation coefficient between the EATI and STSI has a 99% confidence level, which means that a significant negative correlation between the EAT and WNPST does exist and is independent of the representation of the WNPST. Apart from the ERA-Interim reanalysis, we also use the National Centers for Environmental Prediction/National Center for Atmospheric Research (NCEP/NCAR) reanalysis to verify and get a consistent result (figures not shown).
4 The influence of EAT on WNPST
Many studies have noted that the anomaly in the WNPST can be reasonably explained from the perspective of how the anomaly in time-mean flow influences it (Lau 1988; Lee et al. 2010). To investigate the impact of the EAT on the WNPST, the standard deviations of synoptic-scale geopotential height are composited to obtain the spatial pattern of the WNPST in the strong and weak EAT years based on the winter EATI. In strong EAT years, the WNPST over East Japan and west of the dateline is significantly weakened compared with its climatology (Fig. 2a), with the strength of the peak area less than 48 m. The anomaly center is located to the west of the climatological maximum. However, the amplitudes of the peak area, exceeding 52 m, are significantly enhanced during the weak EAT years (Fig. 2b). Figure 2c exhibits the difference in the WNPST between EAT strong years and weak years, and it can be clearly seen that the strength of the WNPST decreases significantly when the EAT is strong. In addition, the regression analysis in Fig. 2d gives consistent results, which shows that with the enhancement of the EAT, almost the whole WNPST is inhibited, especially the peak region. Since the EAT weakens the WNPST universally rather than regionally, it has little influence on the movement of the WNPST, which explains why the EAT strength is not significantly correlated with changes in the WNPST position.
When the EAT strengthens, the northerly wind carries cold monsoonal flow equatorward from the polar regions and high latitudes and meets the warm air, which would give rise to the intense meridional temperature gradient over the western North Pacific farther to the south (Nakamura et al. 2002). The 500 hPa maximum Eady growth rate (Hoskins and Valdes 1990) decreases significantly north of 40° N, weakening the atmospheric baroclinicity, which is crucial for North Pacific storm track activity (Ren et al. 2008), thus inhibiting the development of the WNPST and attenuating its intensity (figures not shown). However, the intensified atmospheric baroclinicity induced by the enhanced EAT in the south of 40° N have no significant impact on WNPST, which may be attributed to that their amplification effect on WNPST is neutralized by the intensified upper-tropospheric jet which weakens the WNPST (Lee et al. 2010). In addition, apart from the dry mechanism, like atmospheric baroclinicity, moisture effect is also important to the storm track change (Chang et al. 2002; Lee et al. 2011; Ma et al. 2017). Instead of emphasizing that the atmospheric baroclinicity (Lee et al. 2010; Zhang et al. 2014) and the narrowing of the subtropical Pacific jet (Harnik and Chang 2004) play important modulation roles in the development of the WNPST on the interannual scale (Wang et al. 2017), we focus on studying the influence of the EAT on the WNPST from the perspective of energy conversion in the framework of the linear theory of baroclinic instability.
First, we analyze the effect of the barotropic energy conversion (BTEC) from the mean kinetic energy of the time-mean flow to the eddy kinetic energy. The BTEC is linked to the interactions between the stretching deformation and shearing deformation of the time-mean flow and the characteristics of transient eddies, including meridional extension and axis tilt (Hu et al. 2018). The formula for the BTEC can be expressed as (Hoskins et al. 1983; Cai et al. 2007; Lee et al. 2012; Wang et al. 2017):
where \(\overrightarrow {E} = \left( {\frac{1}{2}\left( {\overline{{v^{{\prime}{2}} }} - \overline{{u^{{\prime}{2}} }} } \right), - \overline{u^{\prime}v^{\prime}} } \right)\) and \(\overrightarrow {D} = \frac{{p_{0} }}{g}\left( {\frac{{\partial \overline{u} }}{\partial x} - \frac{{\partial \overline{v} }}{\partial y},\frac{{\partial \overline{v} }}{\partial x} + \frac{{\partial \overline{u} }}{\partial y}} \right)\) represent the transient vector and time-mean flow vector, respectively, \(p_{0}\) represents 1000 hPa, \(g\) refers to the gravity acceleration, \(u\) and \(v\) represent zonal wind and meridional wind, respectively, the prime in the superscript represents transient (2.5–6-day bandpass filtered) components and the overbar represents the climatological mean. If the BTEC is positive, the mean kinetic energy from the basic flow converts to eddy kinetic energy, and vice versa. It can be found from Fig. 3a that although the WNPST has a relatively weak climate state in the strong EAT years, there is a significant positive BTEC anomaly on its south side. However, in the weak EAT years, a slightly negative BTEC anomaly appears on the south side of the enhanced WNPST (Fig. 3b). When the EAT is strong, although some negative BTEC anomalies occur in the western part of the WNPST climatology (Fig. 3c), which is partially responsible for the weakening of the WNPST, the mean kinetic energy from the basic flow converts to eddy kinetic energy in quantities on the southern flank of WNPST climatology (Fig. 3c), which directly favors the development of the WNPST. Thus, it is obvious that the BTEC cannot reasonably explain the weakening effect of the EAT on the WNPST, because positive BTEC anomalies are dominant while the WNPST is still relatively weak compared with its climatology in strong EAT years.
Following Cai et al. (2007), we decompose BTEC into two parts. The first term of BTEC, \(\frac{{p_{0} }}{2g}\left( {\overline{{v^{{\prime}{2}} }} - \overline{{u^{{\prime}{2}} }} } \right)\left( {\frac{{\partial \overline{u} }}{\partial x} - \frac{{\partial \overline{v} }}{\partial y}} \right)\) obtained from the product of x-components of \(\overrightarrow {E}\) and \(\overrightarrow {D}\), is related to the stretching deformation of the basic flow. The second term of BTEC, \(- \frac{{p_{0} }}{g}\overline{u^{\prime}v^{\prime}} \left( {\frac{{\partial \overline{v} }}{\partial x} + \frac{{\partial \overline{u} }}{\partial y}} \right)\) the product of y-components of \(\overrightarrow {E}\) and \(\overrightarrow {D}\), is associated with the shearing deformation of the basic flow. The Fig. 4 shows the composite stretching deformation and shearing deformation. We can find that the stretching deformation (Fig. 4a) related to the enhanced EAT contributes to the negative BTEC anomalies located in the western part and positive BTEC anomalies occurring in the eastern part of the climatological WNPST center. In addition, the positive BTEC anomalies in southern flank of WNPST climatological mean can be attributed to the shearing deformation (Fig. 4b) associated with the intensified EAT. The spatial correlation coefficients of stretching deformation and shearing deformation anomalies with BTEC anomalies are both 0.74, and their root mean square errors with BTEC anomalies are the same, revealing that the stretching deformation anomalies and shearing deformation anomalies are generally equally important to BTEC anomalies.
Except for the BTEC, baroclinic energy conversion (BCEC) is the main energy source for the development of and variations in synoptic-scale transient eddies (Lee et al. 2011; Wang et al. 2017; Yang et al. 2020). The BCEC involves two processes (Cai et al. 2007): the energy conversion from mean available potential energy to eddy available potential energy (BCEC1) and the energy conversion from eddy available potential energy to eddy kinetic energy (BCEC2). The analysis of the BCEC is based on the following formulas (Dole and Black 1990; Cai et al. 2007; Lee et al. 2012):
where \(C_{1} = (p_{0} /p)^{{{{C_{v} } \mathord{\left/ {\vphantom {{C_{v} } {C_{p} }}} \right. \kern-\nulldelimiterspace} {C_{p} }}}} (R/g)\), \(C_{2} = C_{1} (p_{0} /p)^{{{R \mathord{\left/ {\vphantom {R {C_{p} }}} \right. \kern-\nulldelimiterspace} {C_{p} }}}} (dp/d\theta )\), \(R\) is the gas constant for dry air, \(C_{v}\) and \(C_{p}\) are the specific heat of dry air at a constant volume and constant pressure, respectively, \(\omega\) represents vertical wind and \(\theta\) is the potential temperature.
BCEC1 is composed of two parts: one term is the zonal transport of the basic flow zonal temperature gradient and eddy heat; the other term is the meridional transport of the basic flow meridional temperature gradient and eddy heat (Hu et al. 2018). BCEC1 greater than zero indicates that the mean available potential energy from basic flow is converted to eddy available potential energy, and vice versa. Figure 5 exhibits the composite BCEC1 anomalies. Leung et al. (2017) documented that the deeper the EAT is, the stronger the available potential energy. However, the growth of available potential energy does not mean that the conversion to eddy available potential energy, or even eddy kinetic energy, is also enhanced. It can be found that BCEC1 weakened significantly near 40° N west of the dateline in the strong EAT years (Fig. 5a), which would not be conducive to the conversion of atmospheric mean available potential energy to eddy available potential energy in this area, thus inhibiting the development of the WNPST. In weak EAT years, significant positive BCEC1 anomalies occurred in the peak area of the WNPST (Fig. 5b). In addition, the pattern of differences in the composite BCEC1 between EAT strong years and weak years (Fig. 5c) corresponds well to the EAT-induced WNPST anomalies (Fig. 2c).
The eddy available potential energy needs to be further converted to eddy kinetic energy to directly feed the growth of transient eddies and affect the WNPST. BCEC2 works by the rising of warm air and the sinking of cold air. If BCEC2 is positive, the eddy available potential energy is converted to eddy kinetic energy. It can be clearly seen from Fig. 6 that the spatial patterns of BCEC2 anomalies are basically in line with those of BCEC1 (Fig. 5) and the WNPST (Fig. 2), indicating that baroclinic energy conversion may be one of the main physical processes by which the EAT affects the WNPST.
5 The impact of WNPST on EAT
Nakamura et al. (2002) documented that the transient eddies along the storm track interact with the nearby time-mean flow, but the interaction between the WNPST and EAT is difficult to partition (Lee et al. 2010). In the above section, we studied the influence of the EAT on the WNPST, so the WNPST is supposed to provide manipulation on the EAT. Based on the mid-latitude barotropic quasi-geostrophic framework, we calculate the transient eddy-induced geopotential height tendency and temperature tendency at 500 hPa (Lau and Holopainen 1984; Nakamura et al. 1997; Cai et al. 2007; Li and Lau 2012), which describes the quantitative aspects of local eddy-basic flow interactions in an explicit manner (Lau and Holopainen 1984) and can be expressed as:
where \(\nabla^{ - 2}\) represents the inverse Laplace operator and \(\zeta\) denotes the relative vorticity. To facilitate understanding, here, the EAT refers to the 500 hPa geopotential heights in the area 25°–50° N, 100° E–180° (Wang et al. 2009; Song et al. 2016). Figure 7 shows the composite geopotential height tendency anomalies induced by transient eddy dynamic forcing and the geopotential height in WNPST strong and weak years. It can be observed from Fig. 7 that the EAT in WNPST strong (weak) years is less (more) robust than its climatological mean. Markedly negative geopotential height tendency anomalies occur over northeastern Eurasia, the Kamchatka Peninsula and the Aleutian Islands in WNPST strong years (Fig. 7a), which results in a significant reduction in the geopotential height in the mid-high latitudes north of 45° N, whereas positive anomalies appear (30°–40° N, 155° E–180°). Such patterns of geopotential height tendency anomalies would deepen the EAT and reduce its attenuation. Actually, the same is true for the situation in WNPST weak years. We find that substantially positive geopotential height tendency anomalies appear over the Bering Sea in the years with weak WNPST (Fig. 7b), leading to an inhibitory effect on the EAT. In addition, it can be clearly seen from the pattern of differences in geopotential height tendency induced by the WNPST dynamic forcing between the WNPST strong and weak years that when the WNPST is strong, EAT tends to strengthen due to WNPST dynamic forcing-induced geopotential height tendency (Fig. 7c), exhibiting a intensified effect on the EAT.
Next, we analyze the impact of WNPST thermal forcing on the surrounding atmosphere. In WNPST strong years, significantly positive temperature tendency anomalies appear east of the Kamchatka Peninsula, whereas negative anomalies occur over 30°–40° N and 145°–175° E (Fig. 8a). This kind of temperature tendency anomaly pattern warms the air over the northwest Pacific Ocean and cools that over the Kuroshio extension, which would damp the zonally westerlies wind and weaken the EAT according to the thermal wind relationship. However, the spatial distribution of temperature tendency anomalies in WNPST weak years is opposite to that in WNPST strong years (Fig. 8b), and it basically fails the significance test. The weakening effect of temperature tendency anomalies induced by WNPST thermal forcing on the EAT for contrasting WNPST strengths can be seen more distinctly in Fig. 8c; when the WNPST is strong, the EAT abates due to WNPST thermal forcing.
It is obvious that geopotential height tendency anomalies and temperature tendency anomalies have opposite effects on the EAT. In other words, the dynamic forcing and thermal forcing by the WNPST manipulate the EAT in opposite ways. It seems difficult to determine the final results of the impact of WNPST on the EAT. In fact, this is not the case. In light of Lau and Holopainen (1984), the temperature tendency and geopotential height tendency can be transformed into each other through the hydrostatic relationship. Specifically, the geopotential height tendency is determined from temperature tendency by setting \(\frac{\partial T}{{\partial t}} = \, - \frac{p}{R}\frac{\partial }{\partial p}\left( {\frac{\partial Z}{{\partial t}}} \right)\). Figure 9 shows the geopotential height tendencies induced by both WNPST dynamic forcing and thermal forcing. In the WNPST strong (weak) years, the anomalies in geopotential height tendencies are almost negative (positive) and not significant compared to their climatological means. However, it can be found from Fig. 9c that the joint contribution of WNPST dynamic forcing and thermal forcing to geopotential height tendency leads to the reduction of geopotential height over East Asia and the North Pacific. Although there are some positive tendencies related to WNPST occurring in the EAT area, few of them pass the significant test. The box-averaged geopotential height tendencies over the EAT area 25°–50° N, 100° E–180° is − 1.19 gpm/day, thus deepening and strengthening EAT when the WNPST is strong. That is, the WNPST dynamic forcing has a stronger manipulation on the EAT than its thermal forcing. When the WNPST is intensified, geopotential height tendencies induced by WNPST intensify the strength of the EAT; then, the strengthened EAT in turn weakens the WNPST, and vice versa. It should be emphasized that the features of EAT and WNPST as well as their interaction revealed in the present study are coinstantaneous. It is difficult to identify their causal relationship on the interannual scale.
6 Conclusion and discussion
Based on the daily ERA-Interim reanalysis data spanning 1979 to 2010 and the standard deviation of geopotential height at 500 hPa to represent the WNPST, this article investigates the influences of the EAT on the WNPST from the perspective of energy conversion and the impact of the WNPST on the EAT through the simplified quasi-geostrophic potential vorticity equation to further analyze the interaction between the EAT and WNPST on the interannual scale. The main conclusions are as follows:
There is a significant negative correlation between the EAT and WNPST on the interannual scale. When the EAT is strong, the WNPST is prominently weakened relative to its climatological mean on the whole. Instead of barotropic energy conversion, baroclinic energy conversion is the main physical process by which the EAT affects the WNPST. When the EAT is intensified, the energy conversion from mean available potential energy to eddy available potential energy is lessened; further, the energy conversion from eddy available potential energy to eddy kinetic energy is attenuated, which directly leads to remarkable weakening in the strength of the WNPST in its peak area and the region west of the dateline.
When the WNPST is enhanced, the dynamic forcing of the WNPST contributes to reducing the geopotential height near the EAT and thus profits provide a favorable condition for recovering the strength of the EAT. The thermal forcing tends to destroy the atmospheric baroclinicity by augmenting the poleward heat flux transport, which is not only attenuate the development and enhancement of the WNPST but also weakens the strength of the EAT according to the thermal wind relationship. By combining the dynamic forcing and thermal forcing of WNPST through the hydrostatic relationship, it is found that their joint effect is still to reduce the geopotential height over East Asia and strengthen the EAT, which is consistent with the effect of dynamic forcing, indicating that the feedback effect of WNPST dynamic forcing on the EAT is stronger than that of thermal forcing.
Previous studies have examined the influence of the EAWM on the WNPST on the interannual scale by taking into account the effects of local atmospheric baroclinicity (Lee et al. 2010; Zhang et al. 2014) and the width of the upper tropospheric jet (Harnik and Chang 2004). The present study emphasizes that the EAT can manipulate the WNPST through baroclinic energy conversion, which may provide a new perspective for studying the interaction between the EAWM and WNPST. In addition, the WNPST tends to relax the steep temperature gradient and demolish the local atmospheric baroclinicity by transporting sensible heat to the middle and high latitudes through its thermal forcing (Blackmon et al. 1977; Lau and Holopainen 1984; Straus and Shukla 1997; Nakamura et al. 2002), which leads to a tendency of self-annihilation. Although the storm track is affected by many factors and its maintenance mechanism is quite complicated, Nakamura et al. (2008) underlined the importance of the “oceanic baroclinic adjustment” process in preserving atmospheric baroclinicity and further maintaining the WNPST. Apart from the diabatic heating emphasized by Hoskins and Valdes (1990), Chang and Orlanski (1993) also believed that the maintenance of the WNPST is manipulated by the role of the “downstream development” mechanism. The present study shows that the WNPST may maintain itself through interactions with the EAT. For example, when the WNPST weakened, the impact of the WNPST, especially its dynamic forcing, on the geopotential height field attenuates the strength of the EAT, thereby abating the weakening effect of the EAT on the strength of WNPST, which is of positive significance for the development and maintenance of the WNPST.
Moreover, by carrying out empirical orthogonal function analysis on the geopotential height field of the EAT, Wang et al. (2009) well documented that in addition to the first leading mode featuring the strength of the EAT, the second leading mode presents the tilt of the EAT axis. The present study focuses only on the strength of the EAT, and whether the tilt of the EAT axis can affect the WNPST remains to be further studied. Furthermore, our preliminary study finds that El Niño-Southern Oscillation may modulate the correlation between the WNPST and EAT, which is the key issue we will focus on next.
Change history
28 May 2020
In the original publication of the article, there is a three slashes in Fig. 1.
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Acknowledgements
This research was joint supported by National Natural Science Foundation of China (grant nos. 41490642, 4160501 and 41520104008) and “Double First-Class” construction guidance project of National University of Defense Technology (project no. ZXBJGB02). The authors would like to thank two anonymous reviewers for their crucial comments. The first author thanks senior professor Lifeng Zhang for the useful discussion and her constructive comments in the class “atmospheric dynamics and numerical simulation”.
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Yang, M., Li, C., Tan, Y. et al. Further inquiry into the interaction between the winter North Pacific storm track and the East Asian trough. Clim Dyn 55, 471–483 (2020). https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-020-05279-2
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DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-020-05279-2