Abstract
In this paper we analyse the genetic evolution of a diploid hermaphroditic population, which is modelled by a three-type nonlinear birth-and-death process with competition and Mendelian reproduction. In a recent paper, Collet et al. (J Math Biol 67(3):569–607, 2013) have shown that, on the mutation time-scale, the process converges to the Trait-Substitution Sequence of adaptive dynamics, stepping from one homozygotic state to another with higher fitness. We prove that, under the assumption that a dominant allele is also the fittest one, the recessive allele survives for a time of order at least \(K^{1/4-\alpha }\), where K is the size of the population and \(\alpha >0\).
![](http://media.springernature.com/m312/springer-static/image/art%3A10.1007%2Fs00285-016-1081-6/MediaObjects/285_2016_1081_Fig1_HTML.gif)
![](http://media.springernature.com/m312/springer-static/image/art%3A10.1007%2Fs00285-016-1081-6/MediaObjects/285_2016_1081_Fig2_HTML.gif)
![](http://media.springernature.com/m312/springer-static/image/art%3A10.1007%2Fs00285-016-1081-6/MediaObjects/285_2016_1081_Fig3_HTML.gif)
![](http://media.springernature.com/m312/springer-static/image/art%3A10.1007%2Fs00285-016-1081-6/MediaObjects/285_2016_1081_Fig4_HTML.gif)
![](http://media.springernature.com/m312/springer-static/image/art%3A10.1007%2Fs00285-016-1081-6/MediaObjects/285_2016_1081_Fig5_HTML.gif)
Similar content being viewed by others
References
Athreya KB, Ney PE (2011) T. E. Harris and branching processes. Ann Probab 39(2):429–434
Baar M, Bovier A, Champagnat N (2016) From stochastic individual-based models to the canonical equation of adaptive dynamics—in one step. Ann Appl Probab (online first)
Billiard S, Smadi C (2016) The interplay of two mutations in a population of varying size: a stochastic eco-evolutionary model for clonal interference. Stoch Process Appl (in press)
Bovier A (2006) Metastability: a potential theoretic approach. International Congress of Mathematicians, vol III. Eur Math Soc, Zürich, pp 499–518
Bovier A, den Hollander F (2015) Metastability: a potential-theoretic approach, Grundlehren der Mathematischen Wissenschaften [Fundamental Principles of Mathematical Sciences], vol 351. Springer, Cham
Bürger R (2000) The mathematical theory of selection, recombination, and mutation. In: Wiley series in mathematical computational biology. Wiley, Chichester
Champagnat N (2006) A microscopic interpretation for adaptive dynamics trait substitution sequence models. Stoch Process Appl 116(8):1127–1160
Champagnat N, Méléard S (2011) Polymorphic evolution sequence and evolutionary branching. Probab Theory Relat Fields 151(1–2):45–94
Champagnat N, Ferričre R, Ben Arous G (2002) The canonical equation of adaptive dynamics: a mathematical view. Selection 2(1–2):73–83
Champagnat N, Ferrière R, Méléard S (2008) From individual stochastic processes to macroscopic models in adaptive evolution. Stoch Models 24(suppl. 1):2–44
Collet P, Méléard S, Metz JA (2013) A rigorous model study of the adaptive dynamics of mendelian diploids. J Math Biol 67(3):569–607
Coron C (2014) Stochastic modeling of density-dependent diploid populations and the extinction vortex. Adv Appl Probab 46(2):446–477
Coron C (2016) Slow-fast stochastic diffusion dynamics and quasi-stationarity for diploid populations with varying size. J Math Biol 72(1–2):171–202
Coron C, Méléard S, Porcher E, Robert A (2013) Quantifying the mutational meltdown in diploid populations. Am Nat 181(5):623–636
Crow JF, Kimura M (1970) An introduction to population genetics theory. Harper & Row Publishers, New York
Dieckmann U, Law R (1996) The dynamical theory of coevolution: a derivation from stochastic ecological processes. J Math Biol 34(5–6):579–612
Ewens WJ (2004) Mathematical population genetics. I. In: Interdisciplinary applied mathematics, vol 27, 2nd edn. Springer, New York
Fisher R (1918) The correlation between relatives on the supposition of Mendelian inheritance. Trans R Soc Edinb 42:399–433
Fournier N, Méléard S (2004) A microscopic probabilistic description of a locally regulated population and macroscopic approximations. Ann Appl Probab 14(4):1880–1919
Freidlin MI, Wentzell AD (1984) Random perturbations of dynamical systems, Grundlehren der Mathematischen Wissenschaften [Fundamental Principles of Mathematical Sciences], vol 260. Springer, New York
Golubitsky M, Guillemin V (1973) Stable mappings and their singularities. In: Graduate texts in mathematics, vol 14. Springer, New York
Haldane J (1924a) A mathematical theory of natural and artificial selection. Part I. Trans Camb Phil Soc 23:19–41
Haldane J (1924b) A mathematical theory of natural and artificial selection. Part II. Trans Camb Phil Soc Biol Sci 1:158–163
Hirsch MW, Pugh CC, Shub M (1977) Invariant manifolds. In: Lecture notes in mathematics, vol 583. Springer, Berlin
Hofbauer J, Sigmund K (1990) Adaptive dynamics and evolutionary stability. Appl Math Lett 3(4):75–79
Kisdi É, Geritz SA (1999) Adaptive dynamics in allele space: evolution of genetic polymorphism by small mutations in a heterogeneous environment. Evolution 60:993–1008
Marrow P, Law R, Cannings C (1992) The coevolution of predator–prey interactions: Esss and red queen dynamics. Proc R Soc Lond B Biol Sci 250(1328):133–141
Metz J, Nisbet R, Geritz S (1992) How should we define ’fitness’ for general ecological scenarios? Trends Ecol Evol 7(6):198–202
Metz JAJ, Geritz SAH, Meszéna G, Jacobs FJA, van Heerwaarden JS (1996) Adaptive dynamics, a geometrical study of the consequences of nearly faithful reproduction. In: Stochastic and spatial structures of dynamical systems (Amsterdam, 1995), Konink. Nederl. Akad. Wetensch. Verh. Afd. Natuurk. Eerste Reeks, vol 45. North-Holland, Amsterdam, pp 183–231
Nagylaki T (1992) Introduction to theoretical population genetics. In: Biomathematics, vol 21. Springer, Berlin
Perko L (2001) Differential equations and dynamical systems. In: Texts in applied mathematics, vol 7, 3rd edn. Springer, New York
Rouhani S, Barton N (1987) The probability of peak shifts in a founder population. J Theor Biol 126(1):51–62
Wright S (1931) Evolution in Mendelian populations. Genetics 16:97–157
Yule G (1907) On the theory of inheritance of quantitative compound characters on the basis of Mendel’s laws—a preliminary note. In: Reports of the 3rd international congress on genetics. Spottiswoode, London, pp 140–142
Author information
Authors and Affiliations
Corresponding author
Additional information
We acknowledge financial support from the German Research Foundation (DFG) through the Hausdorff Center for Mathematics, the Cluster of Excellence ImmunoSensation, and the Priority Programme SPP1590 Probabilistic Structures in Evolution. We thank Loren Coquille for help with the numerical simulations and for fruitful discussions.
Rights and permissions
About this article
Cite this article
Neukirch, R., Bovier, A. Survival of a recessive allele in a Mendelian diploid model. J. Math. Biol. 75, 145–198 (2017). https://doi.org/10.1007/s00285-016-1081-6
Received:
Revised:
Published:
Issue Date:
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s00285-016-1081-6
Keywords
- Adaptive dynamics
- Population genetics
- Mendelian reproduction
- Diploid population
- Nonlinear birth-and-death process
- Genetic variability