Abstract
Purpose
This study evaluated the performance of multiparametric magnetic resonance imaging (MRI)–based fusion radiomics models (MMFRs) to predict telomerase reverse transcriptase (TERT) promoter mutation status and progression-free survival (PFS) in glioblastoma patients.
Methods
We retrospectively analysed 208 glioblastoma patients from two hospitals. Quantitative imaging features were extracted from each patient’s T1-weighted, T1-weighted contrast-enhanced, and T2-weighted preoperative images. Using a coarse-to-fine feature selection strategy, four radiomics signature models were constructed based on the three MRI sequences and their combination for TERT promoter mutation status and PFS; model performance was subsequently evaluated. Subgroup analyses were performed by the radiomics signature of TERT promoter mutation status and PFS to distinguish patients who could benefit from prolonged temozolomide chemotherapy cycles.
Results
TERT promoter mutation status was best predicted by MMFR, with an area under the curve (AUC) of 0.816 and 0.812 for the training and internal validation sets, respectively. The external test set also achieved stable and optimal prediction results (AUC, 0.823). MMFR better predicted patient PFS compared with the single-sequence radiomics signature in the test set (C-index, 0.643 vs 0.561 vs 0.620 vs 0.628). Subgroup analyses showed that more than six cycles of postoperative temozolomide chemotherapy were associated with improved PFS for patients in class 2 (high TERT promoter mutation and high survival rates; HR, 0.222; 95% CI, 0.054 − 0.923; p = 0.025).
Conclusion
MMFR is an effective method to predict TERT promoter mutations and PFS in patients with glioblastoma. Moreover, subgroup analysis could differentiate patients who may benefit from prolonged TMZ chemotherapy cycles.
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Data availability
The datasets generated during and/or analyzed during the current study are available from the corresponding author on reasonable request.
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Acknowledgements
The authors thank the Guangdong Provincial Key Laboratory of Artificial Intelligence in Medical Image Analysis and Application for its technical support.
Funding
This work was supported by a grant from the National Natural Science Foundation of China (Grant Number: 82071871); Youth Exploration Fund of Shenzhen Health Economics Society, China (Grant Number: 202211); Science and Technology Program of Guangzhou (202102080257); and Medical Science and Technology Research Foundation of Guangdong province (A2021405).
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The Institutional Review Board approved the design of this retrospective study (ID: KY-Z-2020–139-02). This manuscript has not been published or presented elsewhere in part or in entirety and is not under consideration by another journal. All authors have participated sufficiently to take public responsibility for the content of the manuscript and have approved its submission to the journal. We have read and understood your journal’s policies, and we believe that neither the manuscript nor the study violates any of these.
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Zhang, H., Zhang, H., Zhang, Y. et al. Multiparametric MRI-based fusion radiomics for predicting telomerase reverse transcriptase (TERT) promoter mutations and progression-free survival in glioblastoma: a multicentre study. Neuroradiology 66, 81–92 (2024). https://doi.org/10.1007/s00234-023-03245-3
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DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s00234-023-03245-3