Skip to main content
Log in

Optimal contracting under mean-volatility joint ambiguity uncertainties

  • Research Article
  • Published:
Economic Theory Aims and scope Submit manuscript

Abstract

We examine a continuous-time principal-agent problem under mean-volatility joint ambiguity uncertainties. Both the principal and the agent exhibit Gilboa–Schmeidler’s extreme ambiguity aversion with exponential utilities. We distinguish between expost realized and exante perceived volatilities, and argue that the second-best contract necessarily consists of two sharing rules: one for realized outcome and the other for realized volatility. The outcome-sharing rule is for uncertainty sharing and work incentives, as usual, and the volatility-sharing rule is to align the agent’s worst prior with that of the principal. At optimum, their worst priors are symmetrized, and realized compensation is positively related to realized volatility. This theoretical positive relation can be consistent with popular managerial compensation practices such as restricted stock plus stock option grants. A closed-form solution to a linear-quadratic example is provided.

This is a preview of subscription content, log in via an institution to check access.

Access this article

Price excludes VAT (USA)
Tax calculation will be finalised during checkout.

Instant access to the full article PDF.

Similar content being viewed by others

References

  • Baker, G.P., Hall, B.J.: CEO incentives and firm size. J. Labor Econ. 22(4), 767–798 (2004)

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Bazaraa, M.S., Sherali, H.D., Shetty, C.M.: Nonlinear Programming: Theory and Algorithms, 3rd edn. Wieley-interscience, Hoboken (2006)

    Book  Google Scholar 

  • Bouchard, B., Nutz, M.: Weak dynamic programming for generalized state constraints. SIAM J. Control Optim. 50(6), 3344–3373 (2102)

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Chen, X., Sung, J.: Managerial Compensation and outcome volatility. Working paper (2018)

  • Chen, Z., Epstein, L.G.: Ambiguity, risk, and asset returns in continuous time. Econometrica 70, 1403–1443 (2002)

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Coles, J.L., Daniel, N.D., Naveen, L.: Managerial incentives and risk-taking. J. Financ. Econ. 76, 431–468 (2006)

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Core, J., Guay, W.: The other side of the trade-off: the impact of risk on executive compensation: a revised comment. Working Paper, University of Pennsylvania (2002)

  • Cvitanić, J., Possamaï, D., Touzi, N.: Moral hazard in dynamic risk management. Manag. Sci. 63, 3328–3346 (2017a)

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Cvitanić, J., Possamaï, D., Touzi, N.: Dynamic programming approach to principal agent problems. Finance Stochast. 22, 1–37 (2017b)

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Davis, M.H.A.: On the existence of optimal policies in stochastic control. SIAM J. Control 11, 587–594 (1973)

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Davis, M.H.A.: Martingale methods in stochastic control. In: Kohlmann, M., Vogel, W. (eds.) Stochastic Differential Systems. Lecture Notes in Control and Information Science, vol. 16, pp. 85–117. Springer Verlag, New York (1979)

    Google Scholar 

  • Davis, M.H.A., Varaiya, P.: Dynamic programming conditions for partially observable stochastic systems. SIAM J. Control 11, 226–261 (1973)

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Denis, L., Martini, C.: A theoretical framework for the pricing of contingent claims in the presence of model uncertainty. Ann. Appl. Probab. 16(2), 827–852 (2006)

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Ditttmann, I., Maug, E.: Lower salaries and no options? On the optimal structure of executive pay. J. Finance 62, 303–343 (2007)

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Edmans, A., Gabaix, X.: The effect of risk on the CEO market. Rev. Financ. Stud. 24, 2822–2863 (2011)

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Edmans, A., Gabaix, X., Jenter, D.: Executive compensation: a survey of theory and evidence. Working Paper (2017)

  • Epstein, L.G., Ji, S.: Ambiguous volatility and asset pricing in continuous time. Rev. Financ. Stud. 26(7), 1740–1786 (2013)

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Epstein, L.G., Schneider, M.: Ambiguity, information quality and asset pricing. J. Finance 63, 197–228 (2008)

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Epstein, L.G., Schneider, M.: Ambiguity, and asset markets. Annu. Rev. Financ. Econ. 2, 315–46 (2010)

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Gilboa, I., Schmeidler, D.: Maximin expected utility with non-unique priors. J. Math. Econ. 18, 141–153 (1989)

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Guay, W.: The sensitivity of CEO wealth to equity risk: and analysis of the magnitude and determinants. J. Financ. Econ. 53, 43–71 (1999)

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Hall, B.J., Murphy, K.: Stock options for undiversified executives. J. Account. Econ. 33, 3–42 (2002)

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Hellwig, M., Schmidt, K.M.: Discrete-time approximation of Holmström–Milgrom Brownian-motion model of intertemporal incentive provision. Econometrica 70, 2225–264 (2002)

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Hirshleifer, D., Suh, R.: Risk, managerial effort, and project choice. J. Financ. Intermed. 2, 308–345 (1992)

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Holmstrom, B., Milgrom, P.: Aggregation and linearity in the provision of intertemporal incentives. Econometrica 55, 303–328 (1987)

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Klibanoff, P., Marinacci, M., Mukerji, S.: A smooth model of decision making under ambiguity. Econometrica 73, 1849–1892 (2005)

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Liu, Q., Liu, L., Sun, B.: Incentive contracting under ambiguity aversion. Econ. Theor. 66, 929–950 (2018). https://doi.org/10.1007/s00199-017-1073-9

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Mastrolia, T., Possamaï, D.: Moral hazard under ambiguity. J. Optim. Theory Appl. 179(2), 452–500 (2018)

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Miao, J., Rivera, A.: Robust contracts in continuous time. Econometrica 84, 1405–1440 (2016)

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Murphy, K.J.: Executive compensation: where we are, and how we got there. In: Constantinides, G., Harris, M., Stulz, R. (eds.) Handbook of the Economics of Finance, pp. 211–356. Elsevier, Amsterdam (2013)

    Chapter  Google Scholar 

  • Neufeld, A., Nutz, M.: Superreplication under volatility uncertainty for measurable claims. Electron. J. Probab. 18(48), 1–14 (2013)

    Google Scholar 

  • Nutz, M.: Pathwise construction of stochastic integrals. Electron. Commun. Probab. 17(24), 1–7 (2012a)

    Google Scholar 

  • Nutz, M.: A quasi-sure approach to the control of non-Markovian stochastic differential equations. Electron. J. Probab. 17(23), 1–23 (2012b)

    Google Scholar 

  • Nutz, M., Soner, H.M.: Superhedging and dynamic risk measures under volatility uncertainty. SIAM J. Control Optim. 50(4), 2065–2089 (2012)

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Ou-Yang, H.: Optimal contracts in a continuous-time delegated portfolio management problem. Rev. Financ. Stud. 16, 173–208 (2003)

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Pham, T., Zhang, J.: Two person zero-sum game in weak formulation and path dependent Bellman–Isaacs equation. SIAM J. Control Optim. 52(4), 2090–2121 (2014)

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Rishel, R.: Necessary and sufficient dynamic programming conditions for continuous-time stochastic optimal control. SIAM J. Control 8, 559–571 (1970)

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Sannikov, Y.: A continuous-time version of the principal-agent problem. Rev. Econ. Stud. 75, 957–984 (2008)

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Schättler, H., Sung, J.: The first-order approach to continuous-time principal-agent problem with exponential utility. J. Econ. Theory 61, 331–371 (1993)

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Schättler, H., Sung, J.: On optimal sharing rules in discrete- and continuous-time principal-agent problems with exponential utility. J. Econ. Dyn. Control 21, 551–574 (1997)

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Soner, M., Touzi, N., Zhang, J.: Quasi-sure stochastic analysis though aggregation. Electron. J. Probab. 16, 1844–1879 (2011)

  • Soner, M., Touzi, N., Zhang, J.: Wellposedness of second order backward SDEs. Probab. Relat. Fields 153, 149–190 (2012)

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Sung, J.: Linearity with project selection and controllable diffusion rate in continuous-time principal-agent problems. RAND J. Econ. 24, 720–743 (1995)

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Szydlowski, M.: Ambiguity in dynamic contracts. Working Paper, University of Minnesota (2012)

  • Takayama, A.: Mathematical Economics, 2nd edn. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge (1985)

    Google Scholar 

  • Weinschenk, P.: Moral hazard and ambiguity. Working Paper, Bonn Graduate School of Economics (2010)

  • Wu, Y., Yang, J., Zou, Z.: Ambiguity sharing and the lack of relative performance. Econ. Theor. 66, 141–157 (2018). https://doi.org/10.1007/s00199-017-1056-x

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Zábojník, J.: Pay-performance sensitivity and production uncertainty. Econ. Lett. 53, 291–296 (1996)

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Zhang, J.: Backwards Stochastic Differential Equations: From Linear to Fully Nonlinear Theory. Springer, New York (2017)

    Book  Google Scholar 

Download references

Author information

Authors and Affiliations

Authors

Corresponding author

Correspondence to Jaeyoung Sung.

Additional information

Publisher's Note

Springer Nature remains neutral with regard to jurisdictional claims in published maps and institutional affiliations.

I would like to thank for useful comments/discussions anonymous referees, Xiaoyan Chen, Zengjing Chen, Jaksa Cvitanić, Shige Peng, Jianfeng Zhang, and participants in seminars at Nanjing University of Science and Technology, Shanghai University of Finance and Economics, University of Southern California, 2017 Workshop on Mathematical Finance and Financial Data Processing at Qufu Normal University, China, and North American Summer Meeting of the Econometric Society 2018. All remaining errors of course are mine.

Rights and permissions

Reprints and permissions

About this article

Check for updates. Verify currency and authenticity via CrossMark

Cite this article

Sung, J. Optimal contracting under mean-volatility joint ambiguity uncertainties. Econ Theory 74, 593–642 (2022). https://doi.org/10.1007/s00199-021-01362-9

Download citation

  • Received:

  • Accepted:

  • Published:

  • Issue Date:

  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s00199-021-01362-9

Keywords

JEL classification

Navigation