Abstract
Successful catching-up economies tend to exhibit a set of properties: (i) rapid increases in skilled labor and R&D investment, (ii) industrial structure upgrading from technology adoption toward technology creation sectors, and (iii) spatial concentration on the rise. The paper accounts for them by combining the mechanisms of skill-city complementarity and knowledge spillover in the setting of catching-up economies where ideas are more challenging to find along the growth path. With the diminishing possibility of adopting existing ideas, catching-up economies gradually rely more on creating ideas, which requires efficient knowledge spillover through urban spatial concentration based on ability sorting. We highlight that (i) catching-up economies choose proper city size and structure to benefit from growth effects through fostering innovation and spillovers, and (ii) rents here are not just an economic rent but play a productive role of allocating innovative abilities over space in an incentive-compatible manner. We discuss the policy on urban rents.
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1 Introduction
Economic growth performance is diverse, ranging from the traditional advanced economies that evolved over several centuries of industrialization, to a few catching-up economies, and to a majority of economies with little sign of convergence. Interestingly, fast catching-up economies tend to exhibit not only (i) rapid skill upgrading, (ii) active R&D investment, and (iii) industrial structure upgrading toward technology-intensive sectors, but also (iv) high urban concentration and industrial clusters. Viewing fast catching-up economies as those getting closer to the technology frontier, this paper attempts to account for these facts.
Taking East Asian catching-up economies as an example, their growth path has exhibited rapid human capital accumulation and a rising proportion of the population in large cities and industrial clusters.Footnote 1 Large-scale investment in R&D occurs to narrow down technology gaps from the world frontiers and to build up technology-intensive industries, as exemplified by a high share of technology-related spending and innovation in this region. Studying the city and technology structure through the lens of fast catching-up economies gives an opportunity to better understand the micro-mechanisms and dynamics of the following key elements: urbanization, skills upgrading, spatial ability sorting, knowledge spillover and R&D investment, and economic growth.
Historically, urbanization played an important role in the developing stages of modern economies, although the degree of agglomeration may be weak for countries where regionally balanced growth has been pursued or human capital/technology and resources have already been abundant. Not to mention the volume of urban agglomeration economies,Footnote 2 we also see the skilled workforce growing more disproportionately in productive cities and nearby industrial clusters. Moreover, fast catching-up countries often experience continuous urbanization even after the early industrialization stages and without high urban unemployment. For instance, even after reaching the urbanization rate of 80% in the 1980s, the major cities and industrial clusters of South Korea not only expanded despite regulations against regional concentration but absorbed highly educated workers in fast-growing technology and R&D-intensive industries, creating a skill gap across regions without severe urban unemployment.Footnote 3 Rents and housing prices appear unreasonably high in those areas, causing a severe social problem. Given all these features, we think that there are non-trivial mechanisms unexplained by traditional growth models, Harris-Todaro (1970) models, and urban/regional economics literature.Footnote 4
The paper accounts for the aforementioned observations by combining the mechanisms of skill-city complementarity and knowledge spillover in catching-up economies where ideas are more challenging to find along the growth path. The mechanisms self-enforce, generating an endogenous growth path: with the diminishing returns to adopting existing ideas (e.g., falling technology gaps and more stringent enforcement of intellectual property rights), catching-up economies gradually rely more on creating ideas, which requires efficient knowledge spillover through urban spatial concentration based on ability sorting. While part of these mechanisms are already known or implied by existing studies, we show that combining them in an integrated setting opens up a new possibility to account for the facts listed above.
This paper contributes to the literature in the following ways: (i) it provides a more detailed micro-foundation of how cities facilitate innovation through higher knowledge spillovers, given information decay over space, (ii) it analyzes the dynamic incentives in utilizing knowledge spillovers for technology creation that shape urbanization and technology structure of catching-up economies, and (iii) it demonstrates how a geographic concentration of skilled workers occurs endogenously through self-selection and how knowledge spillovers are more important for human capital in technology creation sector.
Given their spatial structure, cities allow more active knowledge spillovers than non-cities since knowledge spillovers diminish rapidly with distance. When more able workers learn and create more profitable ideas, we can obtain the following self-selection mechanism: (a) high-ability workers invest more in human capital to become skilled workers (selection), (b) they sort themselves into cities with a more able worker residing closer to the city center despite paying higher rents (sorting),Footnote 5 and (c) they conduct technology creation activities in cities because there they can more efficiently conduct R&D activities using more knowledge spillovers based on their residential choice (learning)—i.e., “the selection, sorting, and learning (SSL) mechanism.” This self-selection process continues along the growth path, accounting for the aforementioned observed correlations among skill investment, urbanization, and economic performance in fast catching-up economies.
The process of catching-up gradually redirects the driving force of growth from technology adoption to technology creation. The latter process requires new basic R&D investment, which cannot be replaced by adopting the existing pool of ideas from advanced countries and therefore the demand for skilled labor rises. In line with Romer’s (1990) variety expansion model, we posit that technology improves by combining a variety of blueprints as in endogenous growth models but we add skill-city complementarity and knowledge spillover in a catching-up economy context.Footnote 6
The SSL mechanisms describe how a city attracts skilled workers who raise their productivity of basic R&D activities through inner-city knowledge spillovers. The raised productivity in turn attracts skilled workers into the city, reinforcing agglomeration and economic growth. This process leads to the complementarity between urbanization and the basic R&D activities of skilled workers. More importantly, we demonstrate the inner-city residential sorting mechanism, describing how knowledge spillovers among urban skilled workers are structured and affect their R&D productivity and rents: more able workers can generate more knowledge spillovers, and knowledge spillovers attenuate with the distance between givers and takers of knowledge. As a result, a location closer to the city center allows for higher knowledge spillovers, attracting more able workers despite higher rents. As we will see later, a combination of rents and information processing capacities over space provides incentive compatibility conditions for our spatial sorting growth equilibrium.
We characterize the role of rents in our innovation economy. As will be shown later, rents here are not just economic rent but play a productive role of allocating innovative abilities over space in an incentive-compatible manner. The equilibrium rent of a location falls with its distance from the urban center, supporting spatial ability sorting equilibrium. This spatial pattern of rents depends on the magnitude of urban knowledge spillovers, in contrast to the usual commuting (time) cost argument (e.g., Abdel-Rahman and Anas 2004; Behrens et al. 2010). The nature of returns from a fixed input combined with the scarce resource allocation role of rents warrants a proper rent policy design from social welfare and growth perspectives.
1.1 Literature
The mechanism behind catching-up draws on the interaction between human capital and R&D investment in the economic growth context. Aghion and Howitt (1996) investigate the composition between research and development in a Schumpeterian growth model. Vandenbussche et al. (2004) examine the composition of various types of human capital in a model of technology adoption and innovation. Using the notion of absorptive capacity, Aghion and Jaravel (2015) argue that knowledge spillovers can induce complementarities in R&D efforts. Ha et al. (2009) present empirical evidence that a catching-up economy tends to increase the demand for skilled labor and basic R&D activities. While retaining the main elements of the literature (e.g., R&D, technology adoption vs. creation, and heterogeneity in human capital), our paper focuses on how catching-up economies take advantage of these elements from spatial and dynamic perspectives. As in Romer (1990), creativity in our paper comes from various blueprints of ideas. On top of this, we show spatial sorting provides an environment for creating new ideas more efficiently.
Skill-city complementarity leads to spatial sorting, which has been addressed in the urban wage premium literature as an essential element (e.g., Combes et al. 2008; Mion and Naticchioni 2009; Matano and Naticchioni, 2011; Bacolod et al. 2009; Kim 2014; Baum-Snow and Pavan 2012). While sharing a similar spirit with the literature, we look at spatial sorting in the context of taking advantage of knowledge spillover and creation possibilities in catching-up economies with a low stock of knowledge. The resulting equilibrium wage and rent at each point in urban space need to be interpreted differently than the classic views of Roback (1982) and/or Tiebout (1956), where amenities are exogenous and agents are homogeneous. We present that spatial ability sorting within a city fosters the efficiency of knowledge creation, enhancing economic growth.
The vast literature on knowledge spillover studies human capital externalities: the interactions among various workers lead to sharing of ideas, which raises their productivity and becomes a driving force of economic growth (e.g., Marshall 1890; Lucas 1988; Lucas and Moll 2011; Glaeser 1999, Palivos and Wang, 1996 among others). Subsequent studies (e.g., Rauch 1993; Acemoglu and Angrist 2000; Moretti 2004a and 2004b, and De-la Roca and Puga 2017 among others) provide evidence of knowledge spillover effects on wages. More direct empirical evidence shows that cities facilitate innovation, diffusion, and sharing of knowledge and skills (e.g., Jaffe et al. 1993; Audretsch and Feldman 1996).Footnote 7
We advance the literature (i) by providing a more micro-foundation of city space and distance: city space is contested among workers and those who utilize urban knowledge spillovers more efficiently (e.g., R&D workers) will take the city space based on comparative advantages. The chance of coming across new ideas is highest at the city center, given the decay of information over space combined with spatial ability sorting we will analyze later. While a more productive place for idea creation requires higher rents, new ideas yield high wages and a greater variety of new ideas boosts technology and production, a source of growth. (ii) In addition, we add to related literature by analyzing the dynamic incentives that catching-up economies shape their spatial and industrial technology structure at a point in time to benefit more from urban knowledge spillover for technology creation than from the comparable spillover from the rest of the world for technology adoption. (iii) We confirm that a city with high average human capital yields high wages (e.g., Rauch 1993), while relaxing the assumption that human capital is an exogenous regional productive amenity. That is, a geographic concentration of skilled workers occurs endogenously along the growth path of catching-up economies, still accounting for the wage premium. (iv) Our view is also consistent with Abel et al. (2012) showing evidence that the external effect of human capital is greater in knowledge-intensive industries. In addition, we can also account for empirical evidence that rising skill premium is spatially limited to cities (Chung et al. 2009).
Finally, despite the vast related literature, there is little research that examines the interactions among (i) knowledge spillovers, (ii) agglomeration, (iii) R&D, (iv) spatial ability sorting, and (v) economic growth of catching-up economies in an integrated setting. Our paper fills this gap. In particular, this study analyzes the incentives that catching-up economies with a low initial stock of knowledge choose proper city size and structure to benefit from growth effects through fostering innovation and spillovers in a heterogeneous agent model.
The rest of the paper is organized as follows. Section II presents the model and derives the demand and supply of different types of human capital and R&D investment. Section III characterizes urban spatial sorting, the equilibrium structures of R&D, human capital investment and rents, and conducts some comparative statics analyses for establishing our main arguments. We also offer a numerical example illustrating the model’s dynamics. Section IV concludes.
2 Model
2.1 Environment
2.1.1 Individuals’ heterogeneity
We consider an economy with income maximizers who are mobile, live for a period and leave ideas (e.g., skills and knowledge as social capital) to their descendants. In each period (e.g., a generation), a measure one of a continuum of individuals is born with heterogeneous abilities \({a}_{j}\) that is uniformly distributed on the interval \(\left[\underline{a},\overline{a}\right]\):
The ability distribution is identical across generations but future generations inherit a greater stock of knowledge, which leads to higher productivity. We abstract from population growth for brevity.
As essential economic activities, these individuals invest in education, work, consume, and choose their residence, which is also identical to their workplace for the sake of analytical simplicity. Education cost is paid with part of their future wages. There are three essential activities of our model—(i) creating new ideas, (ii) commercializing created ideas, and (iii) adopting world frontier ideas. To perform these activities, individuals choose one of the three types of human capital investment. Without education, they become ordinary (unskilled) workers U conducting activity (iii) above; with some education, they become skilled workers S, conducting activity (ii); and with more education, they become highly skilled workers H, conducting activity (i). The workforce at time t (or generation t) is expressed as:
For the sake of exposition, we set \(\overline{a}-\underline{a}=\overline{L }\) with \(\underline{a}=0 {\text{ and }} \overline{a}=\overline{L },\) where \(\overline{L }\) is normalized at unity in our theory section.
The more able a worker, the less he pays for educational attainment, to be specified later. Given her human capital, a domestic worker holds a job in the knowledge sector that consists of (i) technology adoption and (ii) technology creation sub-sectors. First, in the adoption sector, the R&D activities of ordinary workers U produce various intermediate goods (blueprints) for technology adoption by using the ideas available from advanced economies and inherited ideas from ancestors. Unsurprisingly, these activities become less lucrative as the country gets closer to the world technology frontier, which is considered to be external for analytical convenience.
Second, in the creation sector, highly skilled workers H engage in creating new basic ideas by conducting basic R&D activities (e.g., Babina et al. 2023). By residing closer to the city’s center, they can benefit more from knowledge spillovers, leading to a higher productivity of basic R&D activities. The inventor of each new basic idea is modeled to monopolize the profit during her life only. Third, using both freely available creative ideas from domestic R&D and the inherited ideas from ancestors, skilled workers S conduct R&D (commercialization) activities to produce various new intermediate goods. These intermediate goods are traded at monopolistically competitive markets as in Romer (1990).
The intrinsic complementarity in production between H and S workers arises due to the dependence of S workers on new ideas created by H workers. However, unlike H workers, S workers do not rely much on the face-to-face interactions that are essential for knowledge creation and spillovers. For this reason, U and S workers can be said to be independent of space for production. The firm produces the final output by using technology that combines these types of knowledge labor U, S, and H. Meanwhile, workers supply labor inelastically. Finally, an externally given population of landlords lives on rental incomes without working.
2.1.2 Spatial structure and new concepts
Now, we discuss the spatial structure of the model: city vs. non-city.Footnote 8 As shown in Fig. 1, a line represents space with a center denoted by location \(x=0\). Within the city, we assume that population density is uniform with a certain high-density value normalized at 1. Therefore, when more individuals move to the city, the city boundary expands. Given their (dense) spatial nature, only cities provide externalities of knowledge spillovers. More able workers can produce greater ideas and hence emit greater positive urban externalities. At the same time, they can absorb a greater amount of ideas (knowledge spillovers) as urban residents. Some remarks are in order.
City with size H. Notes: (i) The city center is at the middle, i.e., point 0. (ii) The population is uniformly distributed with the density equal to 1 over the left and right boundaries {− H/2, H/2}, which yields the city size equal to H. (iii) In the model’s spatial sorting equilibrium, the highest-ability worker resides at the center \(x=0\), and the lowest-ability worker resides at the boundaries
First, the space of city yields the well-known knowledge spillovers, and therefore it is contested among workers based on comparative advantages. Following Abel et al. (2012), we take knowledge spillovers as more essential for creating new ideas than adopting existing ideas or doing routine work. As will be shown later in the spatial equilibrium analysis, benefiting from urban knowledge spillovers, highly skilled workers H can more efficiently undertake idea creation and can afford to pay high urban rents as well, and therefore, H workers reside in the city based on the comparative advantage; the equilibrium city size is therefore H. Of course, we may allow for part of other types of workers (e.g., U and S workers) as urban residents, but our simplifying assumption does not affect main results.Footnote 9 Landowners supply fixed housing services and take rents from urban workers H. To simplify the story, we normalize non-city rents at zero.
Second, creation of new ideas diminishes with distance in our spatial ability sorting equilibrium to be shown later.Footnote 10 For a worker with ability \(a\) residing at the equilibrium location of the city denoted by x with \(x\in \left[-H/2,H/2\right]\) and \(x=0\) at the city’s center (see Fig. 1), the equilibrium distance from the city’s center is denoted by z (i.e., \(z=|x|\) by definition) and satisfies \(z(a)=(1-a)/2\) under ability sorting and the uniform distribution of residence (see Fig. 2). A worker with ability a creates new ideas \(I\left(z(a)\right)\) that are shared among city residents through knowledge spillovers,Footnote 11 but idea creation declines geometrically with distance z due to ability sorting (see Fig. 3)Footnote 12:
where \(z=(1-a)/2\) in our ability sorting equilibrium, \(I(0)\) is the knowledge spillover generated by the highest-ability worker with \(a=1\) residing at \(z=0\) (city center), and \(\theta\) reflects that idea creation becomes increasingly difficult for low-ability workers living far away from the center.
Spatial distribution of ability, and threshold points. Notes: The horizontal axis measures ability of individuals from 0 to 1. There are two threshold points \({a}_{S}^{*}\) and \({a}_{H}^{*}\). Given the uniform density function for ability, workers whose types are either U, S, or H are measure 1: \(U+S+H=1\)
Created ideas over urban space under ability sorting equilibrium. Notes: (i) Ability sorting causes workers to be distributed from the center to both ends of the city in the order of their ability. The resulting urban ideas that are freely available diminish from the center to the peripheries. (ii) The specification for I reflects that ideas creation becomes increasingly costly for low ability and therefore declines at the rate of \(\theta.\)
Third, we express the heterogeneity in benefiting from knowledge spillovers using the information absorption capacity \(c(a)\): \(c^{\prime}(a)>0\) and \(c(a=0)=0\). Later, we will specify \(c(a)\), using an exponential form similar to (3).
Fourth, knowledge spillovers attenuate with distance at the rate of \(\delta\) (e.g., Rosenthal and Strange 2008): with a wider distance d between the sender and receiver of knowledge spillovers, a receiver obtains less information by a factor of \({e}^{-\delta \cdot d}\). The geographic attenuation rate in our knowledge economy is comparable to the notion of infrastructure congestion in conventional urban economics.Footnote 13
Fifth, the within-city sorting and rents are based on the property that high-ability workers can adopt a high level of knowledge spillovers to improve their basic R&D productivity and thus wages. The following two micro-features lie behind this. (i) First, a location closer to the center can provide a higher information flow (spillover). (ii) Second, higher ability helps adopt a higher amount of information. In contrast, relatively low-ability workers among H are forced to move away from the city’s center. This is not only because low ability limits adopting knowledge spillovers, but also because locations closer to the center entail higher rents.
Finally, reflecting the differential idea creation and flows across locations, we assume that the information processing capacity at each location develops differently following residential workers’ needs for information flow, which depends on ability.Footnote 14 Therefore, a high-ability worker cannot capture information flows as much as he wants in a remote location for a low-ability worker, where the information processing capacity is underdeveloped for a high-ability worker. Using the parameter \(\omega\) with \(0\le \omega \le 1\), we can express a worker’s effective absorptive capacity (e.g., Aghion and Jaravel 2015) as follows: a worker with high-ability a in a low-ability region x adopts information not as much as \(c(a)\) but \(\omega c({a}_{x})+(1-\omega )c(a)\), where \(c({a}_{x})\) is the amount of information extracted by the equilibrium ability worker at location \(x\): \({a}_{x}\), and \(\omega\) is the degree of being constrained at a location. Conversely, a low-ability worker in a location for a high-ability worker cannot extract the large volume of information that a high-ability worker does, so the information absorption constraint is not binding for the low-ability worker: she adopts simply \(c(a)\).
This feature supports our spatial sorting equilibrium (see Fig. 2), which matches ability with location in an incentive-compatible manner. That is, workers do not move away from their equilibrium location to others with lower rents since doing so leads to a net loss: the information-handling capacity there is too low for a high-ability individual and the productivity/wage loss (–) dominates the rents saving ( +).Footnote 15 This assumption is comparable to the zoning regulation in the Tiebout (1956) equilibrium. As the homogeneous agents model of Tiebout needs the zoning regulation, our heterogeneous ability sorting model needs a differential location-specific information processing capacity for equilibrium.
2.2 Technology structure
The technology sector consists of technology adoption and technology creation, and their levels are measured by functions \({A}_{t}\) and \({C}_{t}\), respectively. Overall technology level \({T}_{t}\) is posited to depend on the levels of technologies A and C with a constant elasticity of substitution \(\sigma\) between them:
where \(\kappa\) implies the relative importance of creation. For analytical simplicity, we assume that the gross substitutability between technology adoption and technology creation processes is infinite, \(\sigma =\infty\)Footnote 16:
We posit that technology improves with the variety of ideas.Footnote 17 Invoking Romer’s (1990) variety expansion model, we describe technologies A and C that are determined by combining various intermediate goods \({x}_{{A}_{t}}(i)\) and \({x}_{{C}_{t}}(i)\) as many as the number of “blueprints” GA and GC, respectively:
and
where GAt represents the pool of all basic ideas appropriate for technology adoption at time \(t\), GCt is the comparable counterpart for technology creation, and \(\alpha >1\) indicates the usual high elasticity of substitution among various intermediate goods as in the literature. The sum of GAt and GCt will determine the total level of knowledge of this economy GTt, which will be inherited to the next generation \(t+1\) as social capital. We now discuss how the pool of basic ideas for adoption and creation, GA and GC, evolves over time.
2.2.1 Basic ideas for creation
An innovator, a highly skilled worker j of generation t with ability \({a}_{j}\), creates new basic ideas as many as \(B({a}_{j};{H}_{t})\cdot {G}_{{T}_{t-1}}\) by combining the product of basic R&D efforts for new ideas \(B({a}_{j};{H}_{t})\) with existing ideas \({G}_{{T}_{t-1}}\), as in Romer (1990), where (i) \(B({a}_{j};{H}_{t})\) is the productivity of basic R&D activities for ideas creation of a highly skilled worker j with ability \({a}_{j}\) residing in the city with size H (see Appendix A for details), and (ii) \({G}_{{T}_{t-1}}\) is the total number of existing ideas accumulated in the economy at time \(t-1\) (inherited from generation \(t-1\)) that are freely accessible for creation activities, i.e., spillover effects. In our ability sorting equilibrium to be specified later, the properties of \(B({a}_{j};{H}_{t})\) include: (i) it increases with city size \(H\) and the workers’ ability \({a}_{j}\).Footnote 18 This is because knowledge spillovers from agglomeration effects increase with size \(H\), and because higher-ability workers adopt more from knowledge spillovers; and (ii) under some regularity conditions, \(B({a}_{j};{H}_{t})\) exhibits properties consistent with data or common sense.Footnote 19 We adopt the Romer specification of new knowledge creation, using the existing knowledge stock like “standing on the shoulders of giants” combined with a new input of basic R&D investment. The new basic ideas invented by the technology creation sector \(\Delta {G}_{c}\) at time t is therefore described by the following dynamic equation:
where \({\Delta G}_{Ct}={G}_{Ct}-{G}_{Ct-1}\), \(\overline{B }\) is the average R&D productivity, \(H\) is the equilibrium number of highly skilled workers (\(H=1-{a}_{H}^{*}\)) (i.e., city size), \(\overline{B }H\) is the stock of total ideas created in the urban sector, and \({f}_{C}\) is a monotone function. Here, workers with ability greater than \({a}_{H}^{*}\) become highly skilled workers and migrate to the city.
2.2.2 Basic ideas for adoption
We posit that, benefiting from knowledge spillovers from the world frontier, the new ideas available in the adoption sector \(\Delta {G}_{A}\) evolve over time by:
where \({\Delta G}_{At}={G}_{At}-{G}_{At-1}\), and \({\tau }_{t}=\tau \left(\overline{T }-{T}_{t-1}\right)\) with \({\tau }_{t}>0\) and \(\tau ^{\prime}>0\). Technically, our specification of technology adoption reflects the reality that ideas are challenging to find along the growth path. For an economy at the stage of catching-up, a greater technology gap \(\overline{T }-{T}_{t-1}\) from the world frontier \(\overline{T }\) permits productivity improvement for the adoption sector through knowledge spillovers; and \({f}_{A}\) is a monotone function of \({\tau }_{t}\). Agents do not optimize on the choice of \(\tau\), and they take the technology gap \(\tau\) to be given externally.Footnote 20 The intuition behind (8) is that by combining the knowledge spillovers \({\tau }_{t}\) from abroad with the existing domestic ideas \({G}_{Tt-1}\), the catching-up economy creates new adoption ideas, an analogue to Romer’s (1990) idea creation.
2.2.3 Evolution of overall ideas
We can obtain the economy’s change in the overall pool of ideas \({\Delta G}_{T}\) that evolves as follows:
where \({\Delta G}_{Tt}={G}_{Tt}-{G}_{Tt-1}\) and \({\Delta G}_{T}={\Delta G}_{At}+{\Delta G}_{Ct}\). At this point we can see that the growth rate of total pool of ideas is \({f}_{C}\left({\overline{B} }_{t}{H}_{t}\right)+{f}_{A}\left({\tau }_{t}\right)\), where \(\tau\) falls with development toward zero while \(\overline{B }H\) rises with development, converging to a certain steady-state value corresponding to the long-run urbanization level. Reviewing the structure of dynamics in Eqs. (7), (8), and (9), we can see that the evolution of \({G}_{T}\) determines \({G}_{A}\) and \({G}_{C}\).
2.2.4 Intermediate goods production
Now, we describe the production of intermediate goods to be used in technology adoption and creation sectors, respectively. The simple linear production technology below produces the intermediate good (e.g., blue print) \({x}_{jt}\) using the j-sector (j = A or C) human capital \({l}_{jt}\):
Next, the aggregate human capital levels of technology adoption and creation sectors are defined as \({\int }_{0}^{{G}_{At}}{l}_{At}(i)di\) and \({\int }_{0}^{{G}_{Ct}}{l}_{Ct}(i)di\), respectively. They are embodied in unskilled (U) and skilled (S) workers, respectively, and satisfy the following resource constraints:
where \({D}_{At}\) and \({D}_{Ct}\) represent the scale parameters for specific knowledge embodied in the workers of technology adoption and creation sectors, respectively. Here, learning-by-doing (LBD) mechanisms apply in human capital accumulation such that \({D}_{At}\) and \({D}_{Ct}\) are simply modeled to grow over time externally.Footnote 21 Other things being constant, we can see that with a greater variety of ideas GA and GC, the workforce of U and S can be more thinly engaged in the production of each intermediate good xj for j = A or C if LBD occurs actively.
Meanwhile, the intermediate goods market of the adoption sector is posited to be competitive, whereas the creation sector counterpart is monopolistically competitive. This is based on the empirical observation that profits arise on the goods applying newly created ideas that are usually patented, whereas profits on the goods adopting existing ideas tend to be trivial. Based on the discussions above, we now can reexpress technology (4′) as follows:
The above equation presents the complementarity between H and S in production, implying their comovement tendency.
2.2.5 Production of output
The final output is produced by applying the current technology as shown above in (4′′) to a given non-human resource that is normalized at unity:
As usual, the final output market is competitive and consists of a unit measure of identical firms.
Reviewing (4′′) and (13) gives the following implications. (i) As in Romer (1990), the equilibrium allocation differs from the Pareto optimal allocation, because of market failing features: monopolistic competition at the technology creation sector, knowledge spillovers, and the social capital nature of basic ideas. (ii) The engine of economic growth is the accumulation of ideas, \({\Delta G}_{Tt}=\left[{f}_{C}\left({\overline{B} }_{t}{H}_{t}\right)+{f}_{A}\left({\tau }_{t}\right)\right]\cdot {G}_{Tt-1}\) which boosts final output in future. (iii) Finally, the growth of a catching-up economy depends on (a) its own knowledge creation and spillovers within the city and (b) knowledge spillovers from the world frontier as well.
2.2.6 Dynamics
The state variables of the model are the publicly available pool of ideas, \({G}_{Tt}, {G}_{At}, {\text{and }} {G}_{Ct}\). Technically speaking, since all these state variables depend on the total pool of ideas of the past period \({G}_{Tt-1}\), knowing the dynamics of \({G}_{T}\) is sufficient to describe the model’s dynamics. Individuals living a period do not optimize on the pool of ideas (i.e., taken externally), so the evolution of \({G}_{T}\) will determine equilibrium over time: (i) at a given value of \({G}_{Tt-1}\) at time t (or generation t) individuals optimize their choice variables of skill investment (\({U}_{t},{S}_{t}, {\text{and }} {H}_{t})\) and residence to be determined below; in addition, wages and R&D productivities are determined accordingly; (ii) in the next period \(t+1\), the new \(t+1\) generation faces a new value of \({G}_{Tt}\) and optimizes their choices accordingly; (iii) and repeat the similar updating for later periods. The model produces endogenous growth because the aggregate pool of ideas grows over time. We will show a possible transition path in a later subsection on numerical analysis.
2.3 Labor demand and wages
We derive the demand for ordinary workers by differentiating output with respect to U. After derivation, we obtain:
Because the market for intermediate good i of the creation sector is monopolistically competitive, the usual mark-up pricing of \({p}_{C}(i)=\frac{\alpha }{\alpha -1}\frac{1}{{D}_{C}}{w}_{S}\) holds as in typical monopolistic competition models. Using this and another equilibrium condition \({p}_{C}(i)=\frac{\partial Y}{\partial {x}_{C}(i)}=\frac{1}{{D}_{C}}\frac{\partial Y}{\partial S}\), we derive:
We obtain intuitive results: (i) \({w}_{U}\) and \({w}_{S}\) rise with the stock of knowledge \({G}_{T}\); (ii) catching-up economies face a diminishing technology gap (\(\tau\)) from the world frontier, which will put downward pressure on \({w}_{U}\). Therefore, workers are better off with investing in more education to be skilled workers; and (iii) \({w}_{S}\) rises with the complementary input \(H\), \(\overline{B}\left( H \right)\), and \({G}_{T}\).
Meanwhile, highly skilled workers contribute to the creation of new ideas, which are used to produce intermediate goods in the creation sector. Innovators are modeled to hold the property right on new ideas during the lifetime, i.e., a period. Then the profit per idea \(\pi\) is given by \(\pi =\frac{1}{\alpha -1}\frac{{w}_{S}}{{D}_{C}}\frac{{D}_{C\cdot }S}{{G}_{C}}\), and therefore, the demand for highly skilled workers with ability \({a}_{j}\) is expressed by:
Equation (16) implies that \({w}_{H}\) is positively associated with \(B\left( {a_{j} ;H} \right)/\overline{B},\;S\), and the skilled workers’ wage \({w}_{S}\) as well, i.e., complementarity between H and S.
2.4 Education decision: self-selection
Individuals make their education choice decision to become a U, S, or H type of labor by considering ability, education cost, and wage rates: \({w}_{U}\), \({w}_{S}\) and \({w}_{H}\). The demand and supply for each type of labor jointly determine equilibrium wage rates, education investment, and thus technology and output growth rates.
For the sake of tractability, we express education cost in terms of a fraction of output: \(n(a)\cdot {w}_{i}\) for i = S and H workers, where \(n(a)\) is posited to decrease in \(a\): \(n^{\prime}(a)<0\). Without education, individuals become ordinary workers U with basic skills (i.e., those with compulsory education only) who simply copy the world frontier ideas and produce intermediate goods for technology adoption.
With these simplifying assumptions, we write down the condition for making education investment to become an S worker, from which we can derive the critical level of ability \({a}_{S}^{*}\):Footnote 22
where \({n}^{-1}(\cdot )\) is the inverse function of \(n(a)\). The worker whose ability is greater than or equal to \({a}_{S}^{*}\) will make education investment to become a skilled (S) worker while paying the education cost \(n(a){w}_{S}\). Note that either a narrower technology gap \(\tau\) from the world frontier or more new ideas \(\overline{B}H\) lowers the threshold ability for S-type workers, boosting the creation sector relative to the adoption sector. Since knowledge spillovers are essential for urban workers creating new ideas, both skilled and ordinary workers (whose tasks are not idea creation) self-select to reside outside the city to save rent.Footnote 23
Similarly, we write down the condition for making further education investment to become an H worker:Footnote 24
where \(R({a}_{j})\) is the equilibrium rent that a worker with ability \({a}_{j}\) pays for her urban residence. From this, we can define a bottom threshold level for highly skilled workers \({a}_{H}^{*}\) with \({a}_{H}^{*}>{a}_{S}^{*}\) given in (17). A worker with ability \({a}_{j}\) that is greater than or equal to \({a}_{H}^{*}\) will invest in further education to become a highly skilled worker based on a similar self-selection criterion and reside in the urban sector.
2.5 Determination of rents Footnote 25
We consider the following ability sorting equilibrium where H workers determine their residential location in a descending order of ability from the city center: more able workers live closer to the city’s center. We describe the city with size \(H\) using a line \([-H/2,H/2]\), as in Fig. 1.
Landowners are viewed as those with suppliers of fixed input – land, and therefore they can extract “rents” as in the context of rent-seeking: without land, it is impossible to generate urban R&D productivity improvement through knowledge spillovers. To model rents, we take the liberty of choosing an analytically tractable form as follows. By taking the spirit of the Nash bargaining solution, we posit that landowners take away a fraction \(\psi\) (i.e., bargaining power or the rent share for landlords) of the net urban knowledge spillover benefits and the rest \(1-\psi\) goes to highly skilled workers. Given these, the equilibrium rent \(R({a}_{H})\) for workers with ability \({a}_{H}\) is determined by dividing the productivity gain net of education cost \(\left(1-n\left({a}_{H}\right)\right)\left({w}_{H}\left({a}_{H}\right)-{w}_{0}\right)\) between landlords and H workers through the Nash bargaining:
where \({w}_{0}\) represents a “threat point”: if highly skilled workers were to reside outside the city, then they could not benefit from knowledge spillovers and therefore \({B}_{0}\) is the comparable basic R&D productivity without urban knowledge spillovers. We can rearrange (19) as a ratio of rent to net earnings:
where the term \(\left(1-n({a}_{Ht})\right){w}_{H}({a}_{H})\) represents the net (of the education cost) earnings. Here Eq. (20) implies that the rent ratio of a worker depends positively on the bargaining power of landlords \(\psi\) and negatively on the relative productivity ratio \(\frac{{B}_{0t}}{B({a}_{Ht};{H}_{t})}\).
3 Characterizing equilibrium
For the sake of exposition, we first discuss urban spatial sorting equilibrium as part of the entire dynamic spatial equilibrium and then demonstrate the macroeconomic equilibrium supporting the spatial sorting equilibrium. Below we sketch the underlying story while leaving technical details to Appendix A. To obtain analytical results, we introduce some simplifying assumptions as follows.
Assumptions (i) to (iii).
-
(I)
More able individuals acquire more ideas at a cheaper cost: (1) ideas absorption capacity is set by \(c\left(a\right)=D(0){e}^{-\phi z}\) rising convexly with ability:\({c}^{\prime}\left(a\right)>0\) and \({c}^{{\prime}{\prime}}\left(a\right)>0\) where \(z=(1-a)/2\) and \(\phi\) refers to the limitation in adopting ideas; and (2) the education cost share is posited by \(n\left(a\right)=1-{e}^{-\lambda z}\) with \({n}^{\prime}\left(a\right)<0\) and \({n}^{{\prime}{\prime}}\left(a\right)<0\).
-
(II)
Equal “depreciation” rates \(\theta =\phi\) apply to idea-creation and idea-absorption in the forms of \(I\left(a\right)=I\left(0\right){e}^{-\theta z} {\text{ and }} c\left(a\right)=D\left(0\right){e}^{-\phi z}\), respectively.
-
(III)
We normalize the baseline R&D productivity: \({B}_{0}=0\).
3.1 Spatial ability sorting
Given the equilibrium wages and rents described above, highly skilled workers move to the city, and they do not move from their equilibrium location to other locations. We call the conditions enforcing this spatial separation “incentive compatibility conditions,” which work as follows. (i) If a worker with ability \(a\) migrates from her equilibrium location \(x\) to a location closer to the center (i.e., the location for a higher-ability worker): \(a\le {a}_{x}\equiv 1-2x\), the rent increase is greater than the increase in basic R&D productivity, i.e., the wage increase arising from the higher knowledge spillovers. This is because her (relatively) low ability to absorb knowledge spillovers in that location deters her wage from rising as much as the wage of a worker properly matched with the location. (ii) Conversely, if a worker with ability \(a\) migrates from her equilibrium location \(x\) to a more remote location: \(a>{a}_{x}\equiv 1-2x\), the rent saving falls short of the wage loss. This is because the information processing capacity at each location has been developed up to a level that its residents can adopt. A remote location taken by a low-ability worker has a low information processing capacity, so even a high-ability worker cannot fully extract the amount of information comparable to her ability and is constrained by the location’s equilibrium capacity to a degree of \(\omega\): \(\omega c\left({a}_{x}\right)+\left(1-\omega \right)c(a)\). We summarize spatial sorting equilibrium using Proposition 1.
Proposition 1
Spatial ability sorting equilibrium
Under the condition of \(\frac{\delta }{\phi +\delta }<\psi <\omega\), spatial ability sorting equilibrium arises in which (i) the city as the space for knowledge spillovers is taken by H workers, and (ii) workers choose their location in incentive compatibility manners. (iii) Spatial ability sorting boosts economic growth. Finally, (iv) rents play an essential role in ability sorting.
Proof
See Appendix A.⃞
The intuition behind the incentive compatibility condition \(\frac{\delta }{\phi +\delta }<\psi <\omega\) is this. (i) The first inequality of \(\frac{\delta }{\phi +\delta }<\psi\) implies this. \(\frac{\delta }{\phi +\delta }\) represents the (relative) benefit of moving closer to the city center, i.e., receiving more ideas with less information decay. If this marginal benefit is less than the cost of rents implied by \(\psi\), moving does not occur. Therefore, in equilibrium, lower-ability workers voluntarily reside at the urban periphery, considering both their lower capacity to adopt knowledge spillovers and lower rents for locations far from the center. (ii) The second inequality of \(\psi <\omega\) implies that the benefit of rents saving from moving away from the city center \(\psi\) should be less than the cost of being constrained by the information absorption capacity at a remote location, \(\omega\). In short, higher-ability workers can afford to pay more for locations closer to the city’s center, because they can adopt more knowledge spillovers there, increasing their basic R&D productivity and wage; i.e., a complementary relationship between location and ability/skills arises. Note that (i) rental structure combined with (ii) the information processing capacity of each location provides a self-selection mechanism for aligning ability with location in a descending order of ability from the city’s center.Footnote 26
3.2 Allocation of skills
3.2.1 Equilibrium conditions
We can define equilibrium at period (generation) t by using the following three labor allocation equations. First, combining (18) with (19) yields an equation for H:Footnote 27
The last line has made use of Assumption (i). Equation (21) implies a complementarity between \(H\) and \(S\). Second, using (17) and (18), we obtain an equation for S:
Third, (17) yields the equilibrium levels of skilled and ordinary workers, U:
Given the shape of \(B({a}_{j};H)\) combined with ability sorting, Eqs. (21), (22), and (23) can technically determine the equilibrium relationships among \(H\), \(S\), and \(U\). The system of equations is so general that we cannot obtain definitive comparative static results at this point. Nevertheless, we can derive some interesting results by imposing to the model minimum assumptions and restrictions implied by the data.
3.2.2 Characterizing equilibrium
As shown in (17), at the threshold ability \({a}_{S}^{*}\), investing in education to become a skilled worker is equal in net value to remaining as an unskilled labor:
While it looks complex, Eq. (24) finds the threshold point \({a}_{S}^{*}(=U)\) where at a certain level of H, whether to invest in education to become a S–type worker or to remain as a U–type worker is indifferent. Given the facts of \({a}_{S}^{*}=U\) and \(U=1-(S+H)\), choosing U is identical to choosing the rest of workers, \(S+H\). Defining \(X\equiv S+H\) (i.e., the size of workers in the technology creation sector), we can view Eq. (24) technically as an equation determining X (or S) when H is given: \(X={X}_{r}(H)\), where \({X}_{r}(\cdot )\) can be viewed as a response function in the game theory context.
Similarly, at a value of U (i.e., essentially at a given X since \(X=1-U)\), we define the threshold point \({a}_{H}^{*}(=1-H)\) where investing in higher education to become an H–type worker is identical in net value to remaining as an S–type worker. This is achieved by equating \({w}_{S}\) and the marginal H worker’s net wage (net of additional education and housing costs) using (18) and (19) as follows:
where \(\Delta\) denotes the R&D productivity gap \(B({a}_{Ht}^{*};{H}_{t})-{B}_{0t}\) based on locational choice. Technically, we can view (25) as an equation determining H when X is given: \(H={H}_{r}(X)\) where \({H}_{r}\) is a response function.
Now, by invoking the Nash equilibrium concept, we can define a Nash equilibrium as a pair of strategies \({\{X}^{*},{H}^{*}\}\), such that two response functions [\({X}^{*}={X}_{r}({H}^{*})\) and \({H}^{*}={H}_{r}({X}^{*})\)] are jointly satisfied under a plausible set of assumptions to be listed below. We will assume the existence of equilibrium to account for the reality where both skilled and unskilled workers coexist in usual economies. While leaving technical details to Online Appendix B, we present some notable results.
Lemma 1
Declining R&D productivity with city expansion
When city size is above a threshold of \(\mathit{max}\left\{\frac{2}{\theta +\delta },\frac{1}{\theta }\right\}\), the basic R&D productivity of the marginal worker declines with city size: \(dB({a}_{H}^{*};H)/dH<0\).
Proof
See Online Appendix B.⃞
This lemma characterizes the condition for a realistic equilibrium: while the total ideas pool expands with an incoming marginal city mover, he is less able than existing workers and resides further away from the center. Therefore, he adopts fewer ideas than earlier movers, with a resulting declining R&D productivity of a marginal worker. Looked at differently, when city size is “too small,” an incoming marginal worker tends to be still highly able and her R&D productivity can be even higher than that of the existing workers since she benefits from the earlier highly able workers’ ideas with little depreciation (due to geographic proximity at a small city). If so, R&D productivity keeps rising, generating a further mobility flow into city, which eventually leads to a pattern of diminishing R&D productivity: \(dB\left({a}_{H}^{*};H\right)/dH<0\).
Proposition 2
Multiple equilibria (one stable and the other unstable).
Suppose the set of assumptions (AS (i) to (iii)) including \(H>max\left\{\frac{2}{\theta +\delta }, \frac{1}{\theta }\right\}\) holds. Then we obtain: (i) one response curve is convex while the other is concave, and therefore, (ii) two equilibria can arise with one stable equilibrium and the other unstable under a set of parameter values {\(\psi\), \(\lambda\), \(\kappa\), and \(\tau\)} (see Fig. 5).
Proof
See Online Appendix B.⃞
We can show whether an equilibrium is stable or unstable using the slopes of the two response functions {\({X}_{r}(H)\) and \({H}_{r}(X)\)}. As we see in Fig. 4, a stable equilibrium arises when the slope of \({H}_{r}\) is greater than that of \({X}_{r}\). An unstable equilibrium arises under the opposite condition. Given the convexity of \({H}_{r}\) and the concavity of \({X}_{r}\), we can obtain multiple equilibria. An example of the multiple equilibria is given in Fig. 5. (i) We have a stable equilibrium in the {\(H\), \(X\)} plane where the slope of the response curve \({H}_{r}\) is greater than \({X}_{r}\) (see the point E2 in Fig. 5). (ii) An unstable equilibrium arises where the slope of \({H}_{r}\) is lower than the slope of \({X}_{r}\) (see the point E1 in Fig. 5).
Multiple equilibria: one stable and the other unstable. Notes: (i) \(X=S+H\), and the equilibrium points \({E}_{1} {\text{ and }} {E}_{2}\) have to be above the 45-degree line by the definition of \(X\); (ii) Assumptions AS (i) to (iii) are used; (iii) Curves (B7) and (B8) are log versions of Eqs. (24) and (25), respectively, which are interpreted as response functions. (iv) Note that E2 is a stable equilibrium while E1 is an unstable one, but we focus on the stable one based on empirical relevance that the economy usually grows steadily. See Fig. 4 also for the concept of stability vs. instability. (v) E2 moves to the north-east direction along the transition path until the long-run spatial equilibrium is reached with convergence to the world frontier technology
3.3 Transition path and policy implications: comparative static analysis
3.3.1 Getting closer to the technology frontier
Now, we examine our main question of how equilibrium changes when the distance from the technology frontier narrows with catching-up: a reduction of \(\tau\) in our context. Individuals in our model live for a period and take the pool of knowledge as an external variable, so they view a change in \(\tau\) as an exogenous event. Using this, we can conduct a comparative static analysis.
In our model, a decrease in \(\tau\) shifts the response curve implied by Eq. (24) upward: \({X}_{r}\) shifts upward [also see (B7) in Online Appendix B]. In a stable equilibrium, we can see both X and H go up.Footnote 28 Given the complementarity between H and S workers, the demand for both types of workers rises along with their wages relative to U workers. These are the changes we can see within a period.
Using the stable equilibrium at a point in time, we can also determine the transition path of the economy as follows. In the next period \(t+1\), technology T improves and therefore the technology gap \(\tau\) goes down again: \({\tau }_{t+1}=\tau \left(\overline{T }-{T}_{t}\right)\). In response to a fall in \(\tau\) in period \(t+1\), a similar pattern of changes described earlier occurs. This adjustment continues until the technology gap disappears, which defines the long-run spatial equilibrium where (i) convergence is achieved and technology improvement arises from own innovations, and (ii) city size also stops growing since no further external changes affect the economy. A numerical example will be discussed in a later subsection.
In an unstable equilibrium, however, both X and H fall in response to a decrease in \(\tau\), which is inconsistent with the data: (i) more technologically advanced economies do not lower investment in education; and (ii) since the equilibrium is unstable in nature, an unexpected change in \(\tau\) would lead to a corner (crash) equilibrium with only the U-type workers after the transitional adjustment process, i.e., another reason for not taking this as a sensible equilibrium. For these reasons, henceforth, we confine our interest to the former stable equilibrium case. Before moving on, we summarize the results obtained above.
Proposition 3
Catching-up and urban agglomeration with industrial structure upgrading
(i) In getting closer to the technology frontier, the economy faces greater incentives to engage in technology creation, causing skill/industrial structure upgrading and city expansion. (ii) These changes continue along the endogenous growth path until convergence occurs. (iii) After reaching the world frontier, the economy grows using its own innovations without changes in the composition of skills and spatial structure.
3.3.2 Role of rent subsidy
We also consider the effect of taxing rents at the rate of \(\eta\) and redistributing through a rent subsidy in a balanced budget manner, so \(\eta\) is also the subsidy rate. Technically, an introduction of a rent subsidy is equivalent to multiplying the left-hand side of (25) by \(1-\eta\).Footnote 29 It shifts the response curve implied by (25) downward (i.e., \({H}_{r}\) shifts downward) (see (B8) in Online Appendix B), leading to increases in both H and X. Again, the complementarity between H and S triggers the aforementioned updating process through a rise in \({w}_{S}\), arriving at a new Nash equilibrium.
While the cost of public fund was not considered, this result is intuitive. Rents here partly represent returns to fixed factors, so it is unsurprising that a certain extent of redistributing rental incomes from rent-seeking landlords to urban workers can boost the urban population and R&D activities without distortionary effects on the urban rental markets. In fact, many successful “technology parks” around the world tend to implement government subsidies to reduce rent burden for researchers, lending support to this result.
However, rents in our model also play the productive role of allocating innovative abilities over space in an incentive-compatible manner, so an arbitrary rent subsidy would destroy our spatial sorting equilibrium. Using the incentive compatibility condition, we can easily study the possible range of the rent subsidy rate. Intuitively, too a cheap rent fails to prevent low-ability workers from migrating to central locations, disrupting the sorting equilibrium.
Proposition 4
Productive urban rent subsidy
There exists an interval of the effective rent share for landlords \((1-\eta )\psi\) in which subsidizing rents for urban workers can foster agglomeration and growth in an incentive-compatible manner.
Proof
Using Proposition 1, we can derive the incentive compatibility condition under the subsidy rate \(\eta\): \(\frac{\delta }{\phi +\delta }<(1-\eta )\psi <\omega\). From this, we can find the bound for \(\eta\): \(1-\frac{\delta }{\left(\phi +\delta \right)\psi }>\eta >1-\frac{\omega }{\psi }\). ⃞
We can see that the admissible range of subsidy rates can go up with (i) a lower \(\delta\), (ii) a higher \(\phi\), (iii) a lower \(\omega\), and (iv) a higher \(\psi\). Changes in the first three parameter imply more efficient information flows within a city, boosting welfare. Therefore, a higher subsidy rate for innovators applies. The last one implies an excessive rent-seeking behavior, justifying a high tax and subsidy rate on rents.
3.4 A numerical example
This subsection gives a numerical example to demonstrate the model’s dynamics and some qualitative properties that are not examined in our theory section. Since this paper tries to give a seminal idea on technology and space in fast catching-up economies, we focus on characterizing the model’s qualitative behavior while leaving a more realistic calibration to future research. We set the parameters at a set of intuitive values as follows: \(\{\mathrm{\alpha }=1.5,\upkappa =100,\uptheta =\phi =0.025, \delta =0.005, \psi =0.25, \lambda =0.0063, \omega =0.7\}.\)Footnote 30 And the scale parameters are set as follows:Footnote 31\(\{I\left(0\right)=0.1, D\left(0\right)=0.1,{\tau }_{0}=1.0, \overline{T }={10}^{5}, {B}_{0}=0, {d}_{A}={d}_{C}=0.02, \overline{L }=8000\}.\) We also set the functional forms for \({\tau }_{t}, {f}_{A}\left(\tau \right),\mathrm{ and}\ {f}_{C}(\overline{B }H)\): \(\{{\tau }_{t}={\tau }^{0}\frac{\left(\overline{T }-{T}_{t-1}\right)}{\overline{T} }+\left(1-{\tau }^{0}\right){\tau }_{t-1},\mathrm{ with }\,{\tau }^{0}=0.5;\, {f}_{A}\left(\tau \right)={s}_{A}\cdot \tau ;\) \({f}_{C}(\overline{B }H)={s}_{C}\cdot \overline{B }H\) with \({ s}_{A}=0.00015 {\text{ and }} {s}_{C}=0.00005\}\). Initial conditions are set as follows. At \({T}_{0}=10\) and \({A}_{0}=3.5\), we can obtain \({C}_{0}=0.065\) under \(\upkappa =100\); and assuming the initial human capital levels for adoption and creation are \({l}_{{A}_{0}}={l}_{{C}_{0}}=1\), we can determine \({G}_{{A}_{0}}={{A}_{0}}^{(\alpha -1)/\alpha }=1.5183\mathrm{\ and}\ {G}_{{C}_{0}}={{C}_{0}}^{(\alpha -1)/\alpha }=0.4021.\) Now, we can determine all other values recursively to describe the model’s dynamics.
Figure 6 presents some notable findings from the numerical exercise that are consistent with the earlier analysis. First, we obtain an endogenous growth path where the economy grows to converge toward the long-run spatial equilibrium where no further urban concentration occurs (see Fig. 6e). The economic growth rate appears almost constant but it varies slightly depending on the speed of innovative ideas creation (see the slopes of curves in Fig. 6a). The time period is a generation in our model, so it takes about 12 generations [or \(280 (=12\times 25)\) years] to complete the urbanization (see Fig. 6e). We also see an increasing demand for S workers who commercialize the new creative ideas from H workers, and the demand for U workers goes down over time as new ideas creation becomes more important than adopting from the frontier technologies (see Fig. 6d). During the transition period, skills and technology grow with spatial concentration and transition from technology adoption to creation (see Fig. 6a, b and c). These results confirm our theoretical predictions.
A numerical example: the transition path with technology catching-up. Notes: The Y axis refers to the size of the variables denoted by legends in inner boxes of each graph a to f. a: log \(T=\) log of total technology level; \(A=\) adoption technology level; \(C=\) creation technology level. b: \({G}_{A}=\) the # of adoption ideas; \({G}_{C}=\) the # of total creation ideas; \({G}_{T}=\) the # of total ideas. c: \({H*B}_{bar}=\) total urban creative ideas (\(H\overline{B })\); \({B}_{center}=\) R&D at the city center; \({B}_{new\ entrant}={\text{R}}\&\mathrm{D\ of\ a\ new\ city\ entrant}\). d: S = skilled labor; U = unskilled labor. e: H = highly skilled labor conducting ideas creation. f: R = urban rents; \({w}_{H}\)=wage for H labor; \({w}_{S}\)=wage for S labor; \({w}_{U}\)=wage for U labor
Second, since transition from technology adoption to creation happens gradually, the slope of technology stock logC is higher than that of logA. Growth rates stay almost constant around 4%, masking the structural changes (from technology adoption to creation) happening in the economy. Without such a transition, the growth rates would fall substantially. Industrial clusters and productive urbanization help catching-up economies grow faster by transiting toward a technology economy. Third, rents also rise continuously along with economic growth (see logR in Fig. 6f). Wages of H and S workers rise continuously, while that of U workers declines and remains stagnant. Overall, spatial concentration is part of the growth process for successful catching-up economies, which is consistent with Henderson (2003).
4 Summary and conclusion
In fast catching-up economies, we see not only (i) rapid increases in skilled labor and R&D investment with (ii) industrial structure upgrading toward knowledge-intensive sectors but also (iii) spatial concentration. The paper accounts for the facts using a model of “the city as a laboratory for innovation,” which combines the mechanisms of skill-city complementarity and knowledge spillover in catching-up economies where ideas are more challenging to find along the growth path. We highlight that (i) successful catching-up economies choose proper city size and structure so as to benefit from growth effects through fostering innovation and spillovers; (ii) rents here are not just an economic rent but play a productive role of allocating innovative abilities over space in an incentive-compatible manner; (iii) there exists a range of rent subsidy for booting innovation; and (iv) the long-run urbanization coincides with convergence to the world frontier technology.
As a catching-up economy grows closer to the technology frontier, knowledge spillovers from advanced countries decline while technology creation becomes more profitable than technology adoption, raising the demand for skilled workers with comparative advantages in technology creation. When this feature is combined with skill-city complementarity and urban knowledge spillover, the following observed correlations arise: (i) high-ability workers invest more actively in human capital, and sort into cities in descending order with the most able worker residing at the city center while paying the highest rent, and (ii) they efficiently conduct R&D activities benefitting more from urban ideas spillover externality. We also discussed some micro-policies for fostering innovation and growth. The model’s implications suggest that providing urban rent subsidies can foster economic growth in our knowledge economy setting.
While the current paper deals with a set of notable phenomena in catching-up economies, its framework can shed light on growth and inequality issues. We believe that the skill-city complementarity can provide useful explanations for regional income inequality and changing labor demand in recent decades of rapid technological innovations. A vast inequality literature documents that the rising inequality arises from skill-biased technological changes (SBTC), but it predicts little about regional inequality. We think that regional inequality can be reexamined from the perspective of the skill-city complementarity. More short-term projects would include (i) testing implications of the model using catching-up economies’ data and (ii) elaborating the micro-mechanism of knowledge spillover such that we can perform calibration exercises to explain related stylized facts.
Finally, we would like to mention that the main story of the paper holds only when agglomeration benefits steadily exist. Without agglomeration benefits, skill-city complementarity breaks down and the spatial sorting equilibrium cannot be defined. The future of agglomeration benefits seems an interesting empirical question in the era of the proliferation of modern communication technologies and global connectivity combined with the influential role of network effects in information transfer.
Notes
See Fig. 1 of World Bank Group (2015), Fig. 1 of Lee and Francisco (2010), and Charts A, B, and C of The Economist (2012) for details. Regarding the rapid urbanization phenomenon among East Asian countries, see also the survey by Yusuf (2007: page 1) that highlights the importance of the urbanization process in their development.
Including Lucas (1988) viewing the city as a venue for human capital accumulation, the traditional view on urban agglomeration finds the causes of urban agglomeration effects from sharing, matching, and learning (e.g., Duranton and Puga 2004). (i) The sharing literature stresses reduced transport costs, technology and knowledge spillovers, cheaper inputs, and proximity to consumers (see Glaeser 1998; Kim 1987; Ciccone and Hall 1996; Behrens et al. 2010; Matano and Naticchioni 2012a, b). (ii) The matching or coordination view notes that cities enhance the probability of a better match between workers and firms, and this probability rises with the time spent in cities (see Kim 1990; Yankow 2006). (iii) The learning literature finds that human capital accumulation is faster in cities (e.g., Glaeser and Maré, 2001; Moretti 2004c). (iv) Recently, the literature begins to see the importance of sorting: the urban wage premium would reflect that skilled workers sort into cities (e.g., Combes et al. 2008; Mion and Naticchioni 2009; Matano and Naticchioni, 2011). An alternative political economy view takes the presence of mega cities in developing economies as a result of the greater political voice of the urban sector, i.e., the so-called urban bias.
A dramatic agglomeration pattern arises in South Korea with spatial ability sorting and rising R&D activities in the agglomerated areas. (i) The Barro-Lee database shows that the average education investment rises fast. (ii) The R&D share in GDP rises to the world's highest level of 4.96% in 2021 with an industrial shift toward technology sectors evidenced by rapid growth rates in high-tech industries compared to low- and medium-tech industries, 8.6% vs. 6.6% (Statistics Korea). (iii) The Seoul metropolitan area is still expanding with about 50% GDP and population shares while its region takes only 18.1% of the nation’s land. The national urbanization rate also rises over 87% as a result. This tendency persists after the information technology development has begun since the 1990s when typical rural-to-urban migration as in developing economies was completed. (iv) In terms of the compositional change toward a more educated urban workforce, R&D workers reside more in the Seoul metropolitan area than in other areas (61% vs. 39%). Tertiary education institutes in the non-Seoul area produce about 61% of the total graduates but workers with tertiary education hold jobs more in the Seoul metropolitan area than in other areas (59.2% vs. 40.8%), i.e., evidence of migration of skilled labor into agglomerated areas. We also find that this pattern also applies to other catching-up economies, e.g., China and Taiwan. The generality of this pattern also extends to cities in advanced economies, e.g., London where the recent city expansion is consistent with the observations listed above.
Of course, this type of sorting is not perfectly consistent with data around the world. We note that some countries (e.g., U.S.) exhibit suburban residence of high-income individuals, which is often argued to be due to a high income elasticity of residential space demand. However, we focus on fast catching-up economies which try to grow despite limited skills and resources. Given their constraints, it is true that they have greater incentives to shape their spatial structure as in our paper.
In the context of the recent technological advancement (routine-replacing technological change, automation, artificial intelligence, industrial robotics, etc.), R&D and innovative activities become more important than ever. Given the multilateral and interdisciplinary nature of new technologies, merging various abilities and skills in a spatially efficient manner (e.g., agglomeration of skilled labor) seems essential for catching-up economies with a low initial stock of knowledge. Therefore, the city as a ‘laboratory’ for innovation can happen more dramatically for successful catching-up economies.
Measuring knowledge flows by patent citations, Jaffe et al. (1993) provide empirical evidence that inventors are more likely to cite patents invented by those from the same city than randomly drawn cited patents. Audretsch and Feldman (1996) demonstrate that innovative activities measured by significantly new product introductions tend to spatially cluster.
See Appendix A for a two-city equilibrium where city A is greater than city B. The following conditions hold in the two-city equilibrium: (i) the incentive compatibility condition mentioned in the paper holds in each city, and (ii) an additional inter-city equilibrium condition should hold such that a worker with a certain ability is indifferent between residing in cities A and B. In this equilibrium, R&D productivity in city A is greater than in city B due to greater knowledge spillovers. The city A wage is higher, but there should be an equalizing higher rent in city A to prevent migration.
For instance, given the complementarity between H and S workers to be shown later, these workers move to the same direction in response to external changes. So allowing for S workers to benefit from urban externalities does not affect main results.
Spatial sorting in the current paper has two meanings: (i) sorting heterogeneous workers between the city vs. the non-city and (ii) conditional on city residents, sorting heterogeneous workers over different locations in the city in Fig. 1. There is no sorting issue when workers reside in the non-city area with no agglomeration externality.
This specification reflects that idea creation becomes increasingly costly for low-ability workers, as usually taken in standard information economics.
We can say that \(\delta\) is large in cities with inefficient information dissemination (e.g., due to high congestion). We admit that a more general specification of \(\delta\) would express \(\delta\) as a function of H and the quality of infrastructure regarding information dissemination. If either knowledge spillovers do not exist or they occur unlimitedly throughout an economy, then geographic concentration does not arise in equilibrium.
Facilities for social gathering and communication (e.g., wireless LAN, telecommunication infrastructure, transportation, conference rooms, restaurants, pubs, and cafes) tend to be poorly provided in remote locations with cheaper rents.
Alternatively, we may introduce external preference-side factors (e.g., psychic costs of living in remote locations with low-quality amenities) that impose additional costs to prevent a high-ability worker from moving from her equilibrium location to a remote location.
A greater complementarity (a low value of elasticity of substitution \(\sigma\)) implies a comovement tendency of the two technologies, so the transition from adoption to creation would not happen quickly. We can expect that the catching-up process gets slower.
The nature of technology improvement here is different from Lucas and Moll (2011) and others. Lucas’ mechanism depends on the social process that agents meet other agents and compare their technologies to choose the most efficient technology. In contrast, our model’s mechanism hinges on the accumulation of various ideas from various people, which creates a more efficient technology through a new combination of them. Our mechanism highlights the spirit that creativity comes from a novel combination and association of various ideas, as in Jacobs (1969) and Glassman (2009).
As will be shown in Appendix A, the basic R&D productivity for H workers depends not only on their ability (information absorption power) but also on city size \(H\) (magnitude of knowledge spillover).
As will be shown later, the condition \(dB({a}_{H}^{*};H)/dH<0\) is required to justify our spatial sorting equilibrium. Otherwise, a new marginal worker’s R&D productivity keeps rising, i.e., a corner solution of drawing all workers into the city.
In a model of infinitely living agents, the time path of \(\tau\) can be determined through rational expectation as in Lee (2015). In the current model, where agents live one period leaving ideas to descendants, such forward-looking expectations do not apply and \(\tau\) should be taken externally at a point in time.
For example, we can posit \({D}_{jt}=(1+{d}_{j}){D}_{jt-1}\), where \({d}_{j}\) is the rate of LBD per period for \({\text{j}}={\text{A}},\mathrm{ C}\). As a benchmark, we will set the rate of LBD identical for \({\text{j}}={\text{A}},\mathrm{ C}\). Meanwhile, we can incorporate the presence of intellectual property rights and technology transfer restrictions into the model by introducing an additional iceberg cost parameter c in the technology adoption sector. Equation (11) now becomes \((1+c){\int }_{0}^{{G}_{At}}{l}_{At}\left(i\right)di={D}_{At}\cdot {U}_{t}\), or \({\int }_{0}^{{G}_{At}}{l}_{At}\left(i\right)di={\frac{1}{1+c}D}_{At}\cdot {U}_{t}\). Despite the addition of a parameter, the qualitative aspects of our results do not change, since the FOC’s stay unchanged by replacing \({D}_{At}\) with \({\frac{1}{1+c}D}_{At}\).
Under the condition \(\left( {\alpha - 1} \right)\kappa D_{C} (\overline{B}\left( H \right)H)^{{\frac{1}{\alpha - 1}}} - \alpha D_{A} (1 + \tau )^{{\frac{1}{\alpha - 1}}} < 0\), a corner solution arises with \({a}_{S}^{*}=1\).
More generally, if we allow skilled workers to be able to obtain knowledge spillovers by residing more closely to the city, then they should pay higher rents than ordinary workers, because of the limited supply of land in a specific location. This may reduce the supply of skilled workers depending on the relative magnitude of two conflicting forces: higher rents and increased spillover effects.
With the condition \(B_{0} S - \left( {\alpha - 1} \right)\left( {\overline{B}\left( H \right)H} \right) < 0\), a corner solution occurs with \({a}_{H}^{*}=1\).
While much research considers the trade-offs between the commuting cost to the central business district (CBD) and rents (e.g., Abdel-Rahman and Anas 2004; Behrens et al. 2010; and others), our paper considers the trade-offs between a specific location’s knowledge spillovers and rents in the presence of heterogeneous ability. Thus, our model describes an assortative matching between location and ability within a city in equilibrium.
This matching between locations and workers’ abilities still applies to multiple cities (see Appendix A). The matching proceeds in a pattern that workers of high abilities are matched with locations with large knowledge spillovers.
If B0 is not set at zero, the term inside \({n}^{-1}(.)\) is now: \(1 - \frac{{\left( {\alpha - 1} \right)\overline{B}_{t} H_{t} }}{{S_{t} \left( {\left( {1 - \psi } \right)B\left( {a_{Ht}^{*} ;H_{t} } \right) + \psi \cdot B_{0t} } \right)}}\).
It is straightforward to see that \({w}_{U}\) falls relative to \({w}_{S}\) and \({w}_{H}\), in response to a decrease in \(\tau\). It becomes difficult to adopt ideas from the world frontier so that more individuals invest in education to become an S–type worker, leading to a greater X. The fact that X rises at a given H implies S rises. Then an increase in S induces an increase in X through the complementarity between S and H, which leads to a new stable Nash equilibrium.
Now, Eq. (25) becomes \(\left( {1 - \eta } \right)\left( {1 - \psi } \right)\left( {1 - n\left( {a_{H}^{*} } \right)} \right)\frac{\Delta }{{\overline{B}H}}\frac{S}{\alpha - 1} = 1\).
\(\alpha 1.5 \) implies a value consistent with monopolistic competition \((\alpha > 1)\). \(\kappa=100\) gives a greater weight to creative ideas in technology. Equal depreciation rates \(\theta=\phi=0.025\) apply to idea creation and idea absorption in the forms of ideas spillovers and cost of information adoption, \(I(a)=I(0) e^{(-\theta z)} \text{ and } c(a)=D(0) e^{(-\phi z)}\), respectively. Information attenuates at the rate of \(\delta=0.005\) over space. ψ is the bargaining power in the rent share for landlords, which is set at \(\psi=0.25\). ω is the degree of being constrained at a regional information processing capacity, set at ω = 0.7. λ is the curvature parameter in the education cost share function \(n(a)=1-e^{(-\lambda z)}\), implying an able person has an increasingly lower cost share. It is set at λ = 0.0063.
I(0) and D(0) are scale parameters for idea spillovers and cost of information adoption, set at 0.1. The starting gap technology value is set at \(\tau_0 = 1.0\). The world technology level is exogenously give at \(\overline{T}=10^{5}\). The R&D productivity at the border of the city is normalized at B0 = 0. The scale parameters for specific knowledge embodied in the workers of technology adoption and creation sectors are set at dA = dC = 0.02. Finally, the labor force is normalized at \(\overline{L}=8000\).
\(V(a,x;H)\) will become B(a;H) when ability sorting equilibrium arises. For a location \({x}\in {[-H/2,0]}\), we have symmetric solutions, so we will skip discussion.
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Acknowledgements
The authors are grateful for the comments from two anonymous referees of the journal, Robert Lucas, Isaac Ehrlich, B. Ju, Michael Jung, Hoyeon Kim, Minsung Kim, Y. Kim, Sanghoon Lee, Daniel Marszalec, S. Shim, and J. Song. They are also grateful for seminar participants at the Univ. of Tokyo-SNU joint conference, the Econometric Society meeting, the Beijing urban planning conference, Sungkyunkwan Univ., and the KIPF fiscal network. They also benefit from financial support from the Institute of Economic Research of SNU and KIPF.
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Appendix A
Appendix A
1.1 Proof of proposition 1
For the sake of exposition, we first prove statement (ii) of incentive compatibility for urban spatial ability sorting equilibrium, assuming statement (i) holds. And then we prove statement (i) and others later.
1.1.1 Proof of statement (ii)
We first define the value of R&D productivity: \(V(a,x;H)\). The productivity of basic R&D activities of a worker with ability \(a\) at location \(x\in [0, H/2]\) should satisfy the incentive compatibility conditions (IC) to be shown below.Footnote 32 Before addressing IC, we define the productivity \(V(a,x;H)\) for a worker whose ability a is equal to or below the equilibrium ability at location x of city size H that is denoted by \({a}_{x}\equiv 1-2x\ge a\), i.e., “those under-qualified at location \(x\)”:
Here (i) \({B}_{0}\) refers to the productivity of basic R&D activities outside the city with no knowledge spillover; (ii) the bracket term {.} denoted by m refers to the total amount of knowledge spillovers from three different areas of the city, available to a worker at location x. Note that the density function for city residents is normalized at 1; and (iii) \(c(a)\) is the information-absorptive power for a worker with ability a.
Now we consider the counterpart value for those whose ability a is above the equilibrium ability at location x with \({a}_{x}\equiv 1-2x<a\). The value \(V(a,x;H)\) for those with \({a}_{x}\equiv 1-2x<a\), i.e., those “over-qualified at location x” is partially constrained by the low information processing capacity of location x, \(c({a}_{x})\), as follows:
where the combination of \(c({a}_{x})\) and \(c(a)\) reflects that the information processing capacity binds for those with \({a}_{x}<a\). We rearrange the three parts of m in (26, 27), respectively, as follows:
and
Combining all three parts leads to simplified expressions for \(V\):
where \(m\left(x;\,H\right)\) is the urban knowledge spillovers given as follows:
(31) implies that the productivity of basic R&D activities of a worker with ability \(a\) at location \(x\) of city size \(H\) consists of two parts: (i) the worker’s absorptive capacity \(c(a)\), and (ii) the total amount of information flows available at location \(x\).
It is straightforward to show that \(m(x;H)\) (and \(V(a,x:H)\)) decreases in {\(x\), \(\delta\), \(\theta\)} and increases in H. We can also infer that \(\frac{{\partial }^{2}}{\partial {x}^{2}}m(x;H)<0\) (and \(\frac{{\partial }^{2}}{\partial {x}^{2}}V(a,x:H)<0\)).
1.1.2 Incentive compatibility conditions
Now, we show that the spatial ability sorting described above is supported by incentive compatibility conditions. If a worker with ability \(a\) migrates from her equilibrium location \(x=(1-a)/2\) to location \(x^{\prime}\) closer to the center with a higher rent, the benefit of a wage gain caused by the increased knowledge spillovers should not exceed the cost of increased rental cost. Using (19), \(\text{for all }x^{\prime}<x\in [\text{0,}{\text{ H}}\text{/2}]\) this condition is described by IC1:
The fourth line is derived after dividing both sides by \(\Delta x\equiv x^{\prime}-x\). We use the notations \(m^{\prime}\left( x \right) = \underbrace {lim}_{{x^{\prime} \to x}}\frac{{m\left( x \right) - m\left( {x^{\prime}} \right)}}{{x - x^{\prime}}}\) and \({x}^{\prime}\cong x\). The last line of (33) uses definitions of the model’s parameters \(\delta\) and \(\phi\), i.e., information depreciation with distance and information absorption ability: \(\frac{{\frac{{dc\left( {a_{x} } \right)}}{dx}}}{{c\left( {a_{x} } \right)}} = - \phi\) \(\mathrm{and }\) is zero at the center and \(-\delta\) at the boundary.
Conversely, another condition IC2 should hold such that when a worker with ability \(a\) migrates from her equilibrium location \(x=(1-a)/2\) to a remote location \(x^{\prime}\) with a lower rent, the benefit of a lower rental cost should be trivial compared to the cost of a large wage loss caused by the decreased knowledge spillovers \(\text{for all }x^{\prime}>x\in [\text{0, H/2}]\):
Given \(- \delta \le \frac{{m^{\prime}\left( x \right)}}{m\left( x \right)} < 0\), the sufficient condition for the inequality \((1-\psi )\frac{m^{\prime}(x)}{m(x)}+(\psi -\omega )\phi <0\) to hold is \(\psi <\omega\). Combining IC1 and IC2 yields the joint condition of \(\frac{\delta }{\delta +\phi }<\psi <\omega\). We can see that the information-related parameters \(\delta\), \(\phi\), and \(\omega\) combined with rents-related parameter \(\psi\) play essential roles in this IC condition.
1.1.3 Proofs of statements (i), (iii) and (iv)
For statement (i), we consider the general case where the city as the space for knowledge spillovers is contested among heterogeneous workers including U, S, and H. Since other types of workers U or S cannot afford to pay rents as much as H, the city space is taken only by H workers.
For statement (iii), note that in our spatial ability sorting equilibrium, the size of new ideas \(\overline{B}\)\(H\) is larger than in other possible types of sorting, which more efficiently boosts economic growth. Statement (iv) has already been stressed in the proof of (ii).
1.1.4 Incentive compatibility condition (IC3) for multiple city equilibrium
Now, we discuss the condition for multiple city equilibrium, which is essentially identical to no inter-city migration equilibrium. Intuitively, multiple city equilibrium requires ability sorting within and across cities such that no further migration occurs between two cities.
To describe the two-city equilibrium, we introduce additional concepts. The smaller city B is assumed to have population density \(d\) with \(d<1\), while that of the large city A is normalized at unity. All previous equations still hold for the smaller city B with only one modification that \(I(0)\), the productivity at the city center, is now replaced by \(d\cdot I\left(0\right).\) We still can find that the first-order conditions (FOC’s) for the within-city B equilibrium are exactly identical to those already described in the text except for changing \(I\left(0\right)\) to \(d\cdot I\left(0\right)\), so cities A and B satisfy the within-city incentive compatibility conditions mentioned above, respectively. Changing \(I\left(0\right)\) to \(d\cdot I\left(0\right)\) for the city B problem does not affect the FOC’s, because economic agents treat \(d\cdot I\left(0\right)\) as exogenously given when maximizing their utility. To economize the use of notation, we denote variables with superscript s as those for the smaller city.
Now, we prove that a decrease in the density lowers city size \(H\). From the equations in Online Appendix B (B7 and B8), and (4-i) of Fig. 4, we can find that a low population density \(d\) leads to a decrease in \(H\). This is because in response to a decrease in density, the curve representing (B7) \(X={X}_{r}\left(H\right)\) in Fig. 4 shifts downward, while the other curve representing (B8) stays unchanged. Note that (B2) and (B3) imply that both \(\overline{B }\left(H\right)H\) and \(B({a}_{H}^{*};H)\) increase strictly in proportion to \(I(0)\). Using (32), we can find that \(\frac{\partial m\left(x;H\right)}{\partial H}>0\) where m is a measure of knowledge spillovers available at location x. Therefore, the ratio of ideas externalities between cities \(\frac{m\left(x;{H}^{s}\right)}{m\left(x;H\right)}\) is less than unity due to \({H>H}^{s}\) and decreases as \(d\) falls.
To close the model, we need an additional inter-city equilibrium condition that the values of residing in cities A and B are equalized such that no further migration between two cities occurs for heterogeneous agents. This condition says that there is no benefit for a worker with ability \(a\) living in one city to migrate to the other. We define the migration cost as a certain share \({c}_{m}\) of net-of-rent (cost-of-living adjusted) income at a reference city (e.g., the larger city): the migration cost is therefore \({c}_{m}\cdot \left(V\left({a}_{x},x;H\right)-r\left(x\right)\right)\), which is assumed identical in both cities for simplicity. Now, we can express the non-migration condition using the interval as follows:
The first inequality states that a large city dweller does not want to move to a smaller city B paying the migration cost \({c}_{m}\cdot \left(V\left({a}_{x},x;H\right)-r\left(x\right)\right)\). The second inequality states that a smaller city dweller does not want to move to a larger city A paying the migration cost \({c}_{m}\cdot \left(V\left({a}_{x},x;H\right)-r\left(x\right)\right)\).
These two inequalities can be further simplified as follows:
In short, the new inter-city incentive compatibility (IC) condition is summarized as:
This non-migration incentive compatibility condition retains a nice intuition that a decrease in population density \(d\) lowers the knowledge spillover ratio term \(\frac{m\left(x;{H}^{s}\right)}{m\left(x;H\right)}\) while not affecting the terms at both ends of the inequality conditions, forcing the cost-of-living adjusted income ratio term \(\left(1-{\psi }^{s}\right)\) to go up, resulting in a much lower value of the rent-to-income ratio \({\psi }^{s}\) of the smaller city B. This implies that city B has a much smaller rent because of the lower rent-to-income ratio combined with its lower income due to decreased knowledge spillovers.⃞
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Kim, Y.J., Lee, CI. Space and technology in catching-up economies: “the city as a laboratory for innovation”. Ann Reg Sci 73, 205–239 (2024). https://doi.org/10.1007/s00168-024-01257-2
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DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s00168-024-01257-2