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An integrated model of formal and informal housing sectors

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Abstract

Many cities in developing countries are characterized by a striking juxtaposition of formal and informal housing, where these sectors coexist in close proximity. This paper develops a model of urban land markets where both the formal and informal sectors are endogenously and mutually determined. More specifically, the informal market arises as a kind of residual effect of decisions made in the formal sector. The model posits a fixed number of rich and of poor households, all of whom are competing in the marketplace for a place to live. Rich households enact formal land use regulations in the form of minimum lot size requirements that directly reflect their preferences. The impacts of these regulations on the informal sector depend upon relative incomes and populations of poor and rich households, as well as on housing preferences. In order to assess these impacts empirically, the paper formulates a set of stylized case studies. The model results illustrate that the formal and informal sectors do not exist independently from one another, but are instead dual aspects of a single market phenomenon. In particular, an insufficient absorptive capacity of the formal sector results directly in informality.

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Notes

  1. See, variously, UN-HABITAT (2003) The Challenge of Slums: Global Report on Human Settlements 2003. London: Earthscan, Part IV: ‘Summary of City Case Studies’, pp. 193–228; and Municipal Corporation of Greater Mumbai (2002) The Environmental Status Report of Mumbai: Executive Summary. http://archidev.org/IMG/pdf/esr-execsum-eng.pdf. Accessed August 22, 2013; and (for Nairobi) Sheehan (2005) Treating People and Communities as Assets. Global Urban Development Magazine 1(1). http://www.globalurban.org/Issue1PIMag05/Sheehan%20article.htm. Accessed 22 August 2013.

  2. Much of the literature of duality or dual economies can be traced back to the seminal work of Lewis (1954), who posited a model with a large reserve of “surplus labor”. For a more contemporary exposition, see Fields (2007).

  3. For more information on the LES specification the interested reader may refer to Deaton and Muellbauer (1980), Philips (1983), Johnson et al. (1984), and Pollak and Wales (1992).

  4. See chapter 2 of Heikkila (2000) The Economics of Planning, CUPR Press, New Brunswick, for a textbook treatment of this basic diagram.

  5. For these and other examples from Latin America we are grateful to Martim Smolka of the Lincoln Institute of Land Policy and to his colleagues Isabel Brain, Cynthia Goytia, Camila Maleronka, and Catalina Molinatti. For insights into land use regulations in the Philippines we are grateful to Alethea Abuyuan-Monge and Tony La Vina.

  6. Because of the LES specification, any income spent by poor households in the informal sector on other goods is futile because \(l_{0} =\gamma _{l}\) ensures that household utility is zero.

  7. Although we do not attempt to do so within the confines of this model, it is interesting to consider the case where land is owned not by absentee landlords, but instead by the wealthy households who will then be pulled in two directions at once.

  8. Note that, aggregate demand for land in the formal sector by households residing in the informal sector is uniformly zero, as shown in the corresponding row of Table 1. Of course, these poor households in the informal sector do occupy the minimum subsistence quantity of land, \(\gamma _{l}\), but Table 1 reports only on the formal sector land allocations.

  9. The 2000 annual poverty threshold income for a five-member household in Metro Manila is 78,390 Philippine Pesos (Ballesteros 2004: 6). This is equivalent to 1,797 US Dollars based on the exchange rate as of November 29, 2011. “Low-income households [in India] are defined as households with monthly incomes of Rs 7,000 (about \({\$}\)165) or less” (Asian Development Bank 2000: 9). That is to say the annual household income for the low-income household is \({\$}\)1,980. We determine the income level for the poor households in reference to these data.

  10. Recall that, in our model, minimum lot size restrictions were presumed to conform to the preferences of the wealthy class.

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Acknowledgments

We the authors are grateful to the editor and reviewers for their many constructive comments leading directly to improvements in this paper. Responsibility for any shortcomings of the paper that might remain rest entirely with us.

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Correspondence to Eric J. Heikkila.

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Heikkila, E.J., Lin, M.C.Y. An integrated model of formal and informal housing sectors. Ann Reg Sci 52, 121–140 (2014). https://doi.org/10.1007/s00168-013-0578-9

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