Abstract
This article explores the skewness characteristics of eighteen developed country equity market returns. The empirical results indicate that country skewness tends to have the same sign for different measurement intervals. Also, the magnitude of country skewness increases as the measurement interval increases. Further, the results indicate that positive skewness is not a predominant phenomenon. In addition, this study examines the predictability of country skewness using a Spearman Rank Order test and an autoregression test. The findings generally indicate that past monthly country skewness could not be used to reliably predict the extent of skewness of future periods.
Similar content being viewed by others
References
Arditti, F.D., (1967), Risk and the Required Return on Equity, Journal of Finance, 22, pp. 19–36.
Arditti, F.D., (1971), Another Look at Mutual Fund Performance, Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis, 6, 909–912.
Arditti, F.D. and Levy, H., (1975), Portfolio Efficiency Analysis in Three Moments: The Multiperiod Case, Journal of Finance, 30, 797–809.
Barone-Adesi, G., (1985), Arbitrage Equilibrium with Skewed Asset Returns, Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis, 20, pp. 299–313.
Beedles, W.L. (1984), The Anomalous and Asymmetrie of Equity Returns: An Empirical Synthesis, Journal of Financial Research, 7, pp. 151–160.
Beedles, W.L. (1986), Asymmetry in Australia Equity Returns, Australian Journal of Management, 11, pp. 1–12.
Bishop, S., Crapp, H., Faff, R. and Twite, G., (2000), Corporate Finance, 4th edition, Prentice Hall.
Black, F., Jensen, M. and Scholes, M. (1972), The Asset Pricing Model: Some Empirical Results, Studies in the Theory of Capital Markets, M. Jensen (ed.), New York: Praeger.
Blume, M.E. (1971), On the Assessment of Risk, Journal of Finance, 26, pp. 1–10.
Blume, M. (1975), Betas and Their Regression Tendencies, Journal of Finance, 30, pp. 785–796.
Blume, M. (1979), Betas and Their Regression Tendencies: Some Further Evidence, Journal of Finance, 34, pp. 265–267.
Boabang, F., (1996), An Adjustment Procedure for Predicting Betas when Thin Trading is Present: Canadian Evidence, Journal of Business Finance and Accounting, 23, pp. 1333–1336.
Chunhachinda, P., Dandapani, K., Hamid, S. and Prakash, A. (1997), Portfolio Selection and Skewness: Evidence from International Stock Markets, Journal of Banking & Finance, pp. 143–167.
Conine, T.E. and Tamarkin, M. (1981), On Diversification Given Asymmetry in Returns, Journal of Finance, 36, pp. 1143–1155.
Dimson, E. and Marsh, P., (1983), The Stability of UK Risk Measures and the Problem of Thin Trading, Journal of Finance, 38, pp. 753–781.
Elgers, P., Haltiner, J. and Hawthrone, W., (1979), Betas Regression Tendencies: Statistical and Real Causes, Journal of Finance, 34, pp. 261–263.
Eeb, C., Harvey, C. and Viskanta, T., (1994), Forecasting International Equity Correlations, Financial Analyst Journal, pp. 32–45.
Errunza, V., (1983), Emerging Markets: A New Opportunity tor Improving Global Portfolio Performance, Financial Analyst Journal, 51–58.
Fabozzi, F. and Francis, J., (1978), Betas as a Random Coefficient, Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis, 13, pp. 101–116.
Fama, E. and Macbeth, J., (1973), Risk, Return and Equilibrium: Empirical Tests, Journal of Political Economy, 81, pp. 607–636.
Fang, H. and Lai, T.Y. (1997), Co-Kurtosis and Capital Asset Pricing, Financial Review, 32, pp. 297–307.
Fogler, R.H. and Radcliffe, C.R., (1974), A Note on Measurement of Skewness, Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis, pp. 485–489.
Foster, T., Hansen, D. and Vickrey, D., (1988), Additional Evidence on the Abatement in Errors in Predicting Beta Through Increases in Portfolio Size and on the Regression Tendency, Journal of Business Finance and Accounting, 15, pp. 185–197.
Gangemi, M., Brooks, R. and Faff, R. (1999a), Mean Reversion and the Forecasting of Country Beta: A Note, Global Finance Journal, 10, pp. 231–245.
Gangemi, M., Brooks, R. and Faff, R. (1999b), Country Betas, their Time Sensitivity and the International Crash of October 1987, International Journal of Finance, 11, pp. 1390–1399.
Handa, P., Kothari, S. and Wasley, C., (1989), The Relation between the Return Interval and Betas: Implications for the Size Effect, Journal of Financial Economics, 23, pp. 79–100.
Harvey, C. and Zhou, G., (1993), International Asset Pricing with Altemative Distributional Specifications, Journal of Empirical Finance, 1, pp. 107–131.
Hunter, J.E. and Cogging D.T., (1990), An Analysis of the Diversification Benefit From International Equity Investment, Journal of Portfolio Management, pp. 33–36.
Jean, W., (1971), The Extension of Portfolio Analysis to Three or More Parameters, Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis, 10, pp. 505–515.
Jean, W., (1973), More on Multi-dimensional Portfolio Analysis, Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis, 8, pp. 475–490.
Kolb, R. and Rodriguez, R., (1989), The Regression Tendencies of Betas: A Reappraisal, Financial Review, 24, pp. 314–334.
Kraus, A. and Litzenberger, (1976), Skewness Preference and The Valuation of Risk Assets, Joumal of Finance, 31, pp. 1085–1099.
Lai, T. (1991), Portfolio Selection with Skewness: A Multiple-objective Approach, Review of Quantitative Finance and Accounting, 1, pp. 293–305.
Lintner, J., (1965), “The Valuation of Risky Assets and the Selection of Risky Investments in Stock Portfolios and Capital Budgets”, Review of Economics and Statistics, pp. 13–37.
Meric, I., and Meric, G., (1989), Potential Gains from International Portfolio Diversification and Inter-Temporal Stability and Seasonality in International Stock Market Relationships, Journal of Banking and Finance, 13, pp. 627–640.
Murray, J., (1995), An Examination of Beta Estimation Using Daily Irish Data, Journal of Business Finance and Accounting, 22, pp. 893–906.
Roll, R., (1988), The International Crash of October 1987, Financial Analysts Journal, pp. 19–35.
Sengupta, J.K. and Zheng, Y.J., (1997), Estimating Skewness Persistence in Market Returns, Applied Financial Economics, 7, pp. 549–558.
Sharpe, W., (1964), Capital Asset Prices: A Theory of Market Equilibrium under Conditions of Risk, Journal of Finance, 19, pp. 425–442.
Simkowitz, M.A. and Beedles, W.L., (1980), Asymmetrie Stable Distributed Security Returns, Journal of the American Statistical Association, 80, pp. 306–312.
Singleton, J. and Wingender, J., (1986), Skewness Persistence in Common Stock Returns”, Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis, 13, pp. 335–341.
Statman, M., (1981), Betas Compared: Merill Lynch Vs Value Line, Journal of Portfolio Management, 7, pp. 41–44.
Stockie, M., (1982), The Testing of Australian Stock Market Indices for Mean-Variance Efficiency, Accounting and Finance, 22, pp. 1–18.
Stulz, R.M., (1981), On Effects of Barriers to International Investment, Journal of Finance, 36, pp. 923–934.
Ushman, N., (1987), A Comparison of Cross-sectional and Time Series Beta Adjustment Techniques, Journal of Business Finance and Accounting, 14, pp. 355–375.
Vasicek, O. (1973), A Note on Using Cross-Sectional Information in Bayesian Estimation of Security Betas, Journal of Finance, 28, pp. 1233–1239.
Author information
Authors and Affiliations
Rights and permissions
About this article
Cite this article
Lai, E., Brooks, R. & Faff, R. Persistence and Predictability of Skewness in Country Equity Market Returns. J. Quant. Econ. 1, 36–49 (2003). https://doi.org/10.1007/BF03404647
Published:
Issue Date:
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/BF03404647