Abstract
The paper presents a methodology for assessing the indirect effects of a natural disaster: the disruption of population and the local economy. The focus is earthquakes, with particular emphasis placed on the San Francisco Bay Area. The empirical analysis applies multiregional modeling techniques to measure the current impact of a major earthquake which directly affects seven San Francisco counties. The model and its inputs are discussed and the results presented in detail. Emphasis is given to the 58 California counties that are not in the earthquake zone but are affected economically.
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Munroe, T., Ballard, K.P. Modeling the economic disruption of a major earthquake in the San Francisco Bay Area: Impact on California. Ann Reg Sci 17, 23–40 (1983). https://doi.org/10.1007/BF01287470
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DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/BF01287470