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Optimal selection of thek best of a sequence withk stops

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Abstract

We first consider the situation in which the decision-maker is allowed to have five choices with purpose to choose exactly the five absolute best candidates fromN applicants. The optimal stopping rule and the maximum probability of making the right five-choice are given for largeN εN, the maximum asymptotic value of the probability of the best choice being lim N→∝ P (win) ≈ 0.104305. Then, we study the general problem of selecting thek best of a sequence withk stops, constructing first a rough solution for this problem. Using this suboptimal solution, we find an approximation for the optimal probability valuesP k of the form

$$P_k \approx \frac{1}{{(e - 1)k + 1}}$$

for any k εN.

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Lehtinen, A. Optimal selection of thek best of a sequence withk stops. Mathematical Methods of Operations Research 46, 251–261 (1997). https://doi.org/10.1007/BF01217694

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  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/BF01217694

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