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Heterozygote tests and genetic counseling in Maple Syrup Urine Disease

An application of Bayes' theorem

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Summary

The discriminatory power of a quantitative heterozygote test for Maple Syrup Urine Disease (MSUD) which we have been using is analyzed on the presumption that a single rare mutant allele is involved in MSUD. Bayes theorem then predicts that only a small portion of persons from the general population with activities in the heterozygous range really are heterozygotes.

In addition, overlap of heterozygous and normal homozygous activity distributions requires rather high activities in first-cousin matings of a patient's sib in order to obviate the necessity for prenatal diagnosis.

Thus, the principle emerges that quantitative heterozygote tests for rare autosomal recessive diseases cannot fulfill the task they were designed for.

Zusammenfassung

In der vorliegenden Arbeit wird der Wert eines quantitativen Heterozygotentestes für Ahornsirupkrankheit, wie wir ihn in den vergangenen Jahren ausgeführt haben, für die genetische Beratung kritisch analysiert.

Unter der Annahme, daß nur ein einziges, sehr seltenes abnormes Allel im homozygoten Zustand zur Ahornisirupkrankheit führt, kann durch Anwendung von Bayes' Theorem vorausgesagt werden, daß nur ein geringer Teil der Personen ohne Angehörige mit Ahornsirupkrankheit, die eine Aktivität im heterozygoten Bereich haben, wirklich Heterozygote sind.

Außerdem muß wegen des Überlappens der Aktivitätsverteilungen von Normalen und Heterozygoten der Partner in einer Vetter-Basen-Ehe eines Patienten-Geschwisters vergleichsweise hohe Enzymaktivitäten haben, damit eine pränatale Diagnose unnötig wird.

Prinzipiell sind also quantitative Heterozygotenteste für die genetische Beratung bei seltenen autosomal-recessiven Krankheiten nur von beschränktem Wert.

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This investigation was in part supported by grants from the Deutsche Forschungsgemeinschaft.

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Langenbeck, U., Grimm, T., Rüdiger, H.W. et al. Heterozygote tests and genetic counseling in Maple Syrup Urine Disease. Hum Genet 27, 315–322 (1975). https://doi.org/10.1007/BF00278424

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