Towards a climate change adaptation strategy for coffee communities and ecosystems in the Sierra Madre de Chiapas, Mexico

  • Götz Schroth
  • Peter Laderach
  • Jan Dempewolf
  • Stacy Philpott
  • Jeremy Haggar
  • Hallie Eakin
  • Teresa Castillejos
  • Jaime Garcia Moreno
  • Lorena Soto Pinto
  • Ricardo Hernandez
  • Anton Eitzinger
  • Julian Ramirez-Villegas
Original Article

Abstract

The mountain chain of the Sierra Madre de Chiapas in southern Mexico is globally significant for its biodiversity and is one of the most important coffee production areas of Mexico. It provides water for several municipalities and its biosphere reserves are important tourist attractions. Much of the forest cover outside the core protected areas is in fact coffee grown under traditional forest shade. Unless this (agro)forest cover can be sustained, the biodiversity of the Sierra Madre and the environmental services it provides are at risk. We analyzed the threats to livelihoods and environment from climate change through crop suitability modeling based on downscaled climate scenarios for the period 2040 to 2069 (referred to as 2050s) and developed adaptation options through an expert workshop. Significant areas of forest and occasionally coffee are destroyed every year by wildfires, and this problem is bound to increase in a hotter and drier future climate. Widespread landslides and inundations, including on coffee farms, have recently been caused by hurricanes whose intensity is predicted to increase. A hotter climate with more irregular rainfall will be less favorable to the production of quality coffee and lower profitability may compel farmers to abandon shade coffee and expand other land uses of less biodiversity value, probably at the expense of forest. A comprehensive strategy to sustain the biodiversity, ecosystem services and livelihoods of the Sierra Madre in the face of climate change should include the promotion of biodiversity friendly coffee growing and processing practices including complex shade which can offer some hurricane protection and product diversification; payments for forest conservation and restoration from existing government programs complemented by private initiatives; diversification of income sources to mitigate risks associated with unstable environmental conditions and coffee markets; integrated fire management; development of markets that reward sustainable land use practices and forest conservation; crop insurance programs that are accessible to smallholders; and the strengthening of local capacity for adaptive resource management.

Keywords

Adaptive resource management Coffea arabica Coffee quality Crop suitability modeling Ecosystem based adaptation Livelihoods diversification MAXENT Natural disaster 

References

  1. Agrawal A (2008) The role of local institutions in adaptation to climate change. International Forestry Resources and Institutions Program Working Paper W08I-3. University of Michigan, 45ppGoogle Scholar
  2. Anderson ER, Cherrington EA, Flores AI, Perez JB, Carrillo R, Sempris E (2008) Potential Impacts of Climate Change on Biodiversity in Central America, Mexico, and the Dominican Republic. CATHALAC / USAID, Panama City, p 105Google Scholar
  3. Armbrecht I, Gallego MC (2007) Testing ant predation on the coffee berry borer in shaded and sun coffee plantations in Colombia. Entomol Exp Appl 124:261–267CrossRefGoogle Scholar
  4. Baker PS, Haggar J (2007) Global warming: the impact on global coffee. Specialty Coffee Association of America conference handout, Long Beach, p 14Google Scholar
  5. Bello Mendoza R (2002) Impacto ambiental del beneficiado húmedo del café. In: Pohlan J (ed) México y la Cafeticultura Chiapaneca—Reflexiones y Alternativas para los Cafícultores. Shaker Verlag, Aachen, pp 311–320Google Scholar
  6. Bosselmann AS, Dons K, Oberthur T, Smith Olsen C, Ræbild A, Usma H (2008) The influence of shade trees on coffee quality in small holder coffee agroforestry systems in Southern Colombia. Agric Ecosyst Environ 129:253–260CrossRefGoogle Scholar
  7. CAFENICA (2008) Mejoramiento de la calidad de café en el proceso de post cosecha. CAFENICA/Lutheran World Relief, Matagalpa, p 34Google Scholar
  8. Carabias J, Provencio E, de la Maza J, Hernández A (1999a) Plan de Manejo de la reserva de la biosfera del Triunfo. Instituto Nacional de Ecología, MéxicoGoogle Scholar
  9. Carabias J, Provencio E, de la Maza J, Pizaña C (1999b) Plan de Manejo de la reserva de la biosfera de la Sepultura. Instituto Nacional de Ecología, MéxicoGoogle Scholar
  10. CENAPRED (2006) Características e impacto socioeconómico de los principales desastres ocurridos en la república Mexicana en el año 2005. Secretaria de Gobernación, MéxicoGoogle Scholar
  11. CONANP, TNC, FMCN (2004) Programa de Manejo Integrado del Fuego en la Reserva de la Biosfera La Sepultura, Chiapas, Mexico. 67 ppGoogle Scholar
  12. Dormann CF (2006) Promising the future? Global change projections of species distributions. Basic Appl Ecol 8:387–397CrossRefGoogle Scholar
  13. Eakin H (2000) Smallholder maize production and climatic risk: a case study from Mexico. Climatic Change 45:19–36CrossRefGoogle Scholar
  14. Eakin H (2005) Institutional change, climate risk, and rural vulnerability: cases from central Mexico. World Dev 11:1923–1938CrossRefGoogle Scholar
  15. Eakin H, Tucker C, Castellanos E (2005) Market shocks and climate variability. Mt Res Dev 25:304–309CrossRefGoogle Scholar
  16. Eakin H, Tucker C, Castellanos E (2006) Responding to the coffee crisis: a pilot study of farmers’ adaptations in Mexico, Guatemala and Honduras. Geogr J 172:156–171CrossRefGoogle Scholar
  17. Eakin H, Morales H, Cruz-Bello G, Barerra J (2008) Coffee Farmers’ Responses to the Impact of Hurricane Stan in Chiapas, Mexico: An Analysis of Social-Ecological Resilience. Project Technical Report to UC-MEXUS, La Jolla, p 19Google Scholar
  18. Eakin H, Wehbe MB (2009) Linking local vulnerability to system sustainability in a resilience framework: two cases from Latin America. Climatic Change (online)Google Scholar
  19. Ellis EA, Porter-Bolland L (2008) Is community-based forest management more effective than protected areas? A comparison of land use/land cover change in two neighboring study areas of the Central Yucatan Peninsula, Mexico. For Ecol Manag 256:1971–1983CrossRefGoogle Scholar
  20. Elith J, Graham CH, Anderson RP, Dudík M, Ferrier S, Guisan A, Hijmans RJ, Huettmann F, Leathwick R, Lehmann A, Li J, Lohmann LG, Loiselle BA, Manion G, Moritz C, Nakamura M, Nakazawa Y, Overton JMcC, Peterson AT, Phillips J, Richardson K, Scachetti-Pereira R, Schapire E, Soberon J, Williams S, Wisz M, Zimmermann E (2006) Novel methods improve prediction of species’ distributions from occurrence data. Ecography 29:129–151CrossRefGoogle Scholar
  21. Elsner JB, Kossin JP, Jaggar TH (2008) The increasing intensity of the strongest tropical cyclones. Nature 455:92–95CrossRefGoogle Scholar
  22. Fournier LA, di Stéfano JF (2004) Variaciones climáticas entre 1988 y 2001, y sus posibles efectos sobre la fenologia de varias especies leñosas y el manejo de un cafetal con sombra en ciudad Colón de Mora, Costa Rica. Agron Costarric 28:101–120Google Scholar
  23. Gay C, Estrada F, Conde C, Eakin H, Villiers L (2006) Potential impacts of climate change on agriculture: a case study of coffee production in Veracruz, Mexico. Clim Change 79:259–288CrossRefGoogle Scholar
  24. Gergis JL, Fowler AM (2009) A history of ENSO events since A.D. 1525: implications for future climate change. Clim Change 92:343–387CrossRefGoogle Scholar
  25. Guhl A (2006) La influencia del café en la evolución y consolidación del paisaje en las zonas cafeteras colombianas. In: Cano M, Rodríguez D, López C (eds) Cambios Ambientales en perspectiva histórica: ecología histórica y cultura ambiental, Volumen 2. Universidad Tecnológica de Pereira, Pereira, pp 191–206Google Scholar
  26. Haggar J (2008) Impact of climate change on coffee farming households in Central Amercia and steps for adaptation in the future. Specialty Coffee Association of America conference presentation, 5 ppGoogle Scholar
  27. Hausermann H, Eakin H (2008) Producing “viable” landscapes and livelihoods in Central Veracruz, Mexico: Institutional and producer responses to the coffee commodity crisis. J Lat Am Geography 7:109–131CrossRefGoogle Scholar
  28. Heller NE, Zavaleta ES (2009) Biodiversity management in the face of climate change: A review of 22 years of recommendations. Biol Conserv 142:14–32CrossRefGoogle Scholar
  29. Hijmans RJ, Graham C (2006) The ability of climate envelope models to predict the effect of climate change on species distributions. Glob Chang Biol 12:2272–2281CrossRefGoogle Scholar
  30. Hijmans RJ, Cameron SE, Parra JL, Jones PG, Jarvis A (2005) Very high resolution interpolated climate surfaces for global land areas. Int J Climatol 25:1965–1978CrossRefGoogle Scholar
  31. Instituto Nacional de Estadística y Geografía—INEGI (2000) Censo General de Polacion y Vivienda. Mexico City, MexicoGoogle Scholar
  32. Jarvis A, Reuter HI, Nelson A, Guevara E (2008) Hole-filled seamless SRTM data V4, International Centre for Tropical Agriculture (CIAT), available from http://srtm.csi.cgiar.org
  33. Lamoroux N, Pellegrini F, Nandris D, Kohler F (2005) The Coffea arabica fungal pathosystem in New Caledonia: interactions at two different spatial scales. J Phytopathology 143:403–413CrossRefGoogle Scholar
  34. Lin BB, Perfecto I, Vandermeer J (2008) Synergies between agricultural intensification and climate change could create surprising vulnerabilities for crops. Bioscience 58:847–854CrossRefGoogle Scholar
  35. Lorenzoni I, Jordan A, O’Riordan T, Turner RK, Hulme M (2000) A co-evolutionary approach to climate change impact assessment: Part II. A scenario-based case study in East Anglia (UK). Glob Environ Change 10:145–155CrossRefGoogle Scholar
  36. Macip-Ríos R, Muñoz-Alonso A (2008) Diversidad de lagartijas en cafetales y bosque primario en el Soconusco chiapaneco. Rev Mex Biodiversidad 79:185–195Google Scholar
  37. Moguel P, Toledo VM (1999) Biodiversity conservation in traditional coffee systems in Mexico. Conserv Biol 12:1–11Google Scholar
  38. Muñoz-Piña C, Guevara A, Torres JM, Braña J (2008) Paying for the hydrological services of Mexico’s forests: Analysis, negotiations and results. Ecol Econ 65:725–736CrossRefGoogle Scholar
  39. Perfecto I, Rice R, Greenberg R, VanderVoort M (1996) Shade coffee: a disappearing refuge for biodiversity. Bioscience 46:598–608CrossRefGoogle Scholar
  40. Perfecto I, Vandermeer J, Lopez-Bautista G, Ibarra-Nuñez G, Greenberg R, Bichier P, Langridge S (2004) Greater predation in shaded coffee farms: The role of resident neotropical birds. Ecol 85:2677–2681CrossRefGoogle Scholar
  41. Philpott SM, Arendt WJ, Armbrecht I, Bichier P, Dietsch TV, Gordon C, Greenberg R, Perfecto I, Reynoso-Santos R, Soto-Pinto L, Tejeda-Cruz C, Williams-Linera G, Valenzuela J, Zolotoff JM (2008a) Biodiversity loss in Latin American coffee landscapes: review of the evidence on ants, birds, and trees. Conserv Biol 22:1093–1105CrossRefGoogle Scholar
  42. Philpott SM, Lin BB, Jha S, Brines SA (2008b) A multi-scale assessment of hurricane impacts based on land-use and topographic features. Agric Ecosyst Environ 128:12–20CrossRefGoogle Scholar
  43. Phillips SJ, Dudik M (2008) Modeling of Species Distributions with Maxent: New Extensions and Comprehensive Evaluation. Ecography 31:161–175CrossRefGoogle Scholar
  44. Phillips SJ, Anderson RP, Schapire RE (2006) Maximum entropy modeling of species geographic distributions. Ecol Model 190:231–259CrossRefGoogle Scholar
  45. Pierce DW, Barnetta TP, Santerb BD, Gleckler PJ (2009) Selecting global climate models for regional climate change studies. PNAS 106:8441–8446Google Scholar
  46. Pyke CR, Andelman SJ (2007) Land use and land cover tools for climate adaptation. Clim Change 80:239–251CrossRefGoogle Scholar
  47. Richter M (2000) The ecological crisis in Chiapas: a case study from Central America. Mt Res Dev 20:332–339CrossRefGoogle Scholar
  48. Saldaña-Zorilla SO (2008) Stakeholders’ views in reducing rural vulnerability to natural disasters in Southern Mexico: Hazard exposure and coping and adaptive capacity. Glob Environ Change 18:583–597CrossRefGoogle Scholar
  49. Soto-Pinto L, Perfecto I, Castillo-Hernández J, Caballero-Nieto J (2000) Shade effect on coffee production at the northern tzeltal zone of the state of Chiapas, Mexico. Agric Ecosyst Environ 80:61–69CrossRefGoogle Scholar
  50. Soto-Pinto L, Romero-Alvarado Y, Caballero-Nieto J, Segura WG (2001) Woody plant diversity and structure of shade-grown-coffee plantations in Northern Chiapas, Mexico. Int J Trop Biol Conserv 49:977–987Google Scholar
  51. Tukey JW (1977) Exploratory data analysis. Addison-Wesley, ReadingGoogle Scholar
  52. Vaast P, Bertrand B, Perriot J-J, Guyot B, Genard M (2006) Fruit thinning and shade improve bean characteristics and beverage quality of coffee (Coffea arabica L.) under optimal conditions. J Sci Food and Agric 86:197CrossRefGoogle Scholar
  53. Webster PJ, Holland GJ, Curry JA, Chang HR (2005) Changes in tropical cyclone number, duration, and intensity in a warming environment. Science 309:1844–1846CrossRefGoogle Scholar

Copyright information

© Springer Science+Business Media B.V. 2009

Authors and Affiliations

  • Götz Schroth
    • 1
  • Peter Laderach
    • 2
  • Jan Dempewolf
    • 1
  • Stacy Philpott
    • 3
  • Jeremy Haggar
    • 4
  • Hallie Eakin
    • 5
  • Teresa Castillejos
    • 6
  • Jaime Garcia Moreno
    • 1
  • Lorena Soto Pinto
    • 7
  • Ricardo Hernandez
    • 6
  • Anton Eitzinger
    • 8
  • Julian Ramirez-Villegas
    • 8
  1. 1.Conservation InternationalArlingtonUSA
  2. 2.Centro Internacional de Agricultura Tropical (CIAT)ManaguaNicaragua
  3. 3.Department of Environmental SciencesUniversity of ToledoToledoUSA
  4. 4.Centro de Agronomía Tropical para la Investigación y Ensenañza (CATIE)ManaguaNicaragua
  5. 5.Arizona State UniversityTempeUSA
  6. 6.Conservación Internacional MexicoTuxtla GutierrezMexico
  7. 7.El Colegio de la Frontera Sur (ECOSUR)San Cristobal de las CasasMexico
  8. 8.Centro Internacional de Agricultura Tropical (CIAT)CaliColombia

Personalised recommendations