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Rise of China: Hegemony or Harmony?

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Abstract

This research delves into the examination of China's potential hegemony in the regional sphere, juxtaposing its substantial military capacities, strategic ambitions, and ideological underpinnings. By leveraging a methodical triangulation of quantitative data from the Stockholm International Peace Research Institute (SIPRI), theoretical implications from China's policy documents, and critical analysis of China's robust infrastructure, considerable resources, and impressive capabilities, this study explores China's strategic landscape in comparison with other regional and international contenders. It establishes that, despite the formidable potential for hegemonic pursuits, China's political ideologies—Harmonious World, Peaceful Development, Chinese Dream, and the vision of a Human Community with a Shared Future, intertwined with strategic imperatives and nuclear deterrence, indicate a proclivity towards preservation of the existing global order and a commitment to peaceful evolution. The research concludes that, in the foreseeable context, China will likely persist in its endeavor to foster peaceful bilateral and multilateral relationships with neighboring states, demonstrating a strategic preference for peaceful development over aggressive hegemonic dominance.

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Data availability

All data is available and provided by the Stockholm International Peace Research Institute at https://www.sipri.org/.

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Acknowledgements

I would like to thank Professor Chengqiu Wu from Fudan University and Linh Dinh Dieu from London School of Economics for the constructive criticisms and feedbacks of this paper.

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Correspondence to Brice Tseen Fu Lee.

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Lee, B.T.F., Bettani, S.A. & Sims, J.P. Rise of China: Hegemony or Harmony?. Chin. Polit. Sci. Rev. (2024). https://doi.org/10.1007/s41111-024-00253-3

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  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s41111-024-00253-3

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