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Uncovering the Hidden Carbon Treasures of the Philippines’ Towering Mountains: A Synergistic Exploration Using Satellite Imagery and Machine Learning

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Abstract

Tropical montane forests (TMFs) are highly valuable for their above-ground biomass (AGB) and their potential to sequester carbon, but they remain understudied. Sentinel-1, -2, biophysical data and Machine Learning were used to estimate and map the AGB and above-ground carbon (AGC) stocks in Benguet, Philippines. Non-destructive field AGB measurements were collected from 184 plots, revealing that pine forests had 33.57% less AGB than mossy forests (380.33 Mgha−1), whilst the grassland summit had 39.93 Mgha−1. In contrast to the majority of literature, AGB did not decrease linearly with elevation. NDVI, LAI, fAPAR, fCover and elevation were the most effective predictors of field-derived AGB as determined by Random Forest (RF) feature selection in R. WEKA was used to evaluate and validate 26 Machine Learning algorithms. The results show that the Machine Learning K star (K*) (r = 0.213–0.832; RMSE = 106.682 Mgha−1–224.713 Mgha−1) and RF (r = 0.391–0.822; RMSE = 108.226 Mgha−1–175.642 Mgha−1) exhibited high modelling capabilities to estimate AGB across all predictor categories. Consequently, spatially explicit models were carried out in Whitebox Runner software to map the study site’s AGB, demonstrating RF with the highest predictive performance (r = 0.982; RMSE = 53.980 Mgha−1). The study area’s carbon stock map ranged from 0 to 434.94 Mgha−1, highlighting the significance of forests at higher elevations for forest conservation and carbon sequestration. Carbon-rich mountainous regions of the county can be encouraged for carbon sequestration through REDD + interventions. Longer wavelength radar imagery, species-specific allometric equations and soil fertility should be tested in future carbon studies. The produced carbon maps can help policy makers in decision-planning, and thus contribute to conserve the natural resources of the Benguet Mountains.

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Data Availability

Sentinel-1 and -2 imagery used in this study can be downloaded in the ESA Copernicus Open Access Hub website. Appropriate clearance from the MPPL-PAMB and MPPL-PAMO shall be obtained to get the field data collected in the mossy forest and grassland summit in the Province of Benguet. Other supporting data for this study are available upon reasonable request to the corresponding author and with the consent of the other authors.

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Acknowledgements

The authors are grateful for the support from the University of Southern Queensland. This study would not be possible without the assistance of the following: Mt Pulag Protected Landscape – Protected Area Management Board (MPPL-PAMB), Mt Pulag Protected Landscape – Protected Area Management Office (MPPL-PAMO), City Government of Baguio and the City Environment and Parks Management Office (CEPMO), Philippine Military Academy (PMA), Watershed and Water Resources Research, Development and Extension Center, Ecosystem Research and Development Bureau (WWRRDEC ERDB), Department of Environment and Natural Resources (Cordillera Administrative Region). RDDA would like to thank Dr. Rizza Karen Veridiano for her tenacious guidance in estimating biomass and carbon stocks; Mr Donald Apan and Ms Armina Apan for their invaluable assistance during field data gathering; Superintendent Emerita Albas for her assistance, and Forester Floro Bastian of CEPMO for his unwavering support towards the completion of data gathering in Baguio City.

Funding

The primary author was funded by the Philippine’s Department of Science and Technology Science Education Institute (DOSTSEI) through the foreign graduate scholarships in priority science and technology.

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Contributions

RDDA: conceptualisation, methodology, data gathering, formal analysis, investigation, validation, writing, review and editing. AA: supervision, conceptualisation, data gathering, validation, review and editing. TM: supervision and review.

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Correspondence to Richard Dein D. Altarez.

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There are no financial or personal conflicts of interest that the authors are aware of which may influence the results of this study.

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Altarez, R.D.D., Apan, A. & Maraseni, T. Uncovering the Hidden Carbon Treasures of the Philippines’ Towering Mountains: A Synergistic Exploration Using Satellite Imagery and Machine Learning. PFG 92, 55–73 (2024). https://doi.org/10.1007/s41064-023-00264-w

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