Abstract
Purpose
Interval cytoreduction (IC) after a course of neoadjuvant chemotherapy is the preferentially followed management for advanced epithelial ovarian cancers. When planning an interval cytoreduction, it is important to assess the probability of achieving optimal surgery so as to avoid futile laparotomies. Several assessment techniques like CECT of the abdomen and pelvis, tumour marker-based response assessment and diagnostic laparoscopy are being used for this purpose with varying results. In our institute, we evaluated the utility of CA-125 value to predict the possibility of optimal surgery in advanced carcinoma ovary after neoadjuvant chemotherapy (NACT).
Methods
The data of treated advanced epithelial ovarian cancer were collected from the hospital records for the study period between February 2015 and February 2018 (n = 83). The cut-off value and percentage reduction of CA 125 in predicting optimal cytoreduction were analysed by receiver operator curve (ROC). These values were validated prospectively from March 2018 to September 2019 in 60 cases treated during this period. Statistical analysis was performed using SPSS 25.
Results
ROC analysis revealed CA-125 value of 88.5 U/ml (i.e. twice the upper limit of normal value) had sensitivity of 100% and specificity of 94% (AUC = 0.98; P value < 0.001) to predict optimal cytoreduction. Similarly, 90.46% reduction in CA-125 value had a sensitivity of 72% and specificity of 71% (AUC = 0.72; P value = 0.047) to predict optimal IC. In the prospective validation, among those who had post-NACT CA-125 value of less than twice the upper limit of normal value, 98.14% (53 out of 54) had optimal surgery with a P value of 0.0001. Among those with more than 90% reduction in CA 125 value after neoadjuvant chemotherapy 94.8% (55 out of 58) had optimal cytoreduction (P value—0.012).
Conclusion
The post-chemo CA 125 value and percentage reduction of CA 125 after neoadjuvant chemotherapy have high sensitivity and positive predictive value in predicting optimal interval cytoreduction.
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Kumar, D.S., Noushad, S.N., Anandh, S.M. et al. CA-125 Levels Predict Optimal Surgery in Carcinoma Ovary: A Retrospective Analysis with Prospective Validation. Indian J Gynecol Oncolog 18, 51 (2020). https://doi.org/10.1007/s40944-020-00398-4
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DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s40944-020-00398-4