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Cost Effectiveness of Ofatumumab Plus Chlorambucil in First-Line Chronic Lymphocytic Leukaemia in Canada

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Abstract

Objective

Our objective was to estimate the cost effectiveness of ofatumumab plus chlorambucil (OChl) versus chlorambucil in patients with chronic lymphocytic leukaemia for whom fludarabine-based therapies are considered inappropriate from the perspective of the publicly funded healthcare system in Canada.

Methods

A semi-Markov model (3-month cycle length) used survival curves to govern progression-free survival (PFS) and overall survival (OS). Efficacy and safety data and health-state utility values were estimated from the COMPLEMENT-1 trial. Post-progression treatment patterns were based on clinical guidelines, Canadian treatment practices and published literature. Total and incremental expected lifetime costs (in Canadian dollars [$Can], year 2013 values), life-years and quality-adjusted life-years (QALYs) were computed. Uncertainty was assessed via deterministic and probabilistic sensitivity analyses.

Results

The discounted lifetime health and economic outcomes estimated by the model showed that, compared with chlorambucil, first-line treatment with OChl led to an increase in QALYs (0.41) and total costs ($Can27,866) and to an incremental cost-effectiveness ratio (ICER) of $Can68,647 per QALY gained. In deterministic sensitivity analyses, the ICER was most sensitive to the modelling time horizon and to the extrapolation of OS treatment effects beyond the trial duration. In probabilistic sensitivity analysis, the probability of cost effectiveness at a willingness-to-pay threshold of $Can100,000 per QALY gained was 59 %.

Conclusions

Base-case results indicated that improved overall response and PFS for OChl compared with chlorambucil translated to improved quality-adjusted life expectancy. Sensitivity analysis suggested that OChl is likely to be cost effective subject to uncertainty associated with the presence of any long-term OS benefit and the model time horizon.

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Acknowledgments

The authors would like to acknowledge the contribution of RTI Health Solutions employees Santiago Zuluaga-Sanchez, James Brockbank and Christopher Graham for technical writing assistance; Emma Hawe and Adam Irving for statistical analyses of COMPLEMENT-1 (survival analyses, treatment consumption, and design of EQ-5D analyses) and overall survival extrapolation guided by external data; and Sarah Mitchell, Matthew Woods and James Brockbank for performing the clinical and economic systematic literature reviews.

The authors also would like to acknowledge the clinical input received from the following: Dr James Kaye of RTI Health Solutions; all of the UK and Canadian clinical and health economics experts who shared their expertise on CLL and economic modelling; Tingting Song of Pharmaceutical Product Development for the utility score regression analysis; and Thomas Delea and Alice Wang of Policy Analysis Inc. for the physician survey analysis.

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Correspondence to William Herring.

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Funding for this study was provided to RTI Health Solutions under a research contract with GlaxoSmithKline. Additional funding for the manuscript preparation and revision was provided to RTI Health Solutions under a research contract with Novartis Pharmaceuticals Canada Inc. During the conduct of the study, Dr. Hamid Reza Nakhaipour and Dr. Amin Haiderali were employees of GlaxoSmithKline. Dr. Nakhaipour is currently an employee of Astellas Pharma Inc. Dr. Haiderali is currently an employee of Merck & Co. Inc. Kavisha Jayasundara is an employee of GlaxoSmithKline. Dr. William Herring, Dr. Molly Purser, Dr. Isobel Pearson and Dr. Sorrel Wolowacz are employees of RTI Health Solutions, an independent research organization, and contributed to the design and development of the model, including input parameter identification, data analysis and interpretation of results. All authors participated in the conceptualization of the model and in the preparation of the manuscript. Additionally, Dr. Nakhaipour and Ms Jayasundara contributed to the identification of Canadian-specific input parameters, including the development of the survey of Canadian physicians. Dr. Herring, Dr. Purser, Dr. Pearson and Dr. Wolowacz contributed to the identification of input parameters, the model programming, and the interpretation of analytical results. Dr. Herring will serve as the overall guarantor for the content of the manuscript.

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Herring, W., Pearson, I., Purser, M. et al. Cost Effectiveness of Ofatumumab Plus Chlorambucil in First-Line Chronic Lymphocytic Leukaemia in Canada. PharmacoEconomics 34, 77–90 (2016). https://doi.org/10.1007/s40273-015-0332-5

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