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Calibration of food and feed crop models for sweet peppers with Bayesian optimization

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Abstract

Crop models are tools used to analyze the interaction of crops and the environment. Since crop models can be applied to diverse research scales and purposes, models and their modifications vary. The parameters of a crop model could be biased for unseen data; thus, crop models should be calibrated for the adequate simulation of the given data. In this study, we aimed to calibrate food and feed crop models for sweet peppers (Capsicum annuum var. annuum) using Bayesian optimization. The algorithm does not require domain knowledge because it only considers input and output distributions based on Bayesian probability. For the implementation of Bayesian optimization, HyperOpt, an algorithm for optimizing high-dimensional hyperparameters, was used. The target growth factors were fruit yield and leaf area index, and the loss function was mean squared error (MSE). As a result, the calibrated crop model showed the highest modeling efficiency (EF) of 0.53, compared to − 1.91 and 0.62 from NLopt, a nonlinear optimization methodology, and random walk, respectively. The methodology showed adequate performance with reasonable ranges of convergence. The optimization method can be used for unknown distribution spaces of parameters because it does not require an initial status. Among the selected food crops, the groundnut model was suitable for sweet pepper. Since the optimized crop models yielded reasonable simulations, Bayesian optimization could be introduced for horticultural purposes. However, more data could be required to ensure convergence of the parameters and construct a robust crop model.

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Data availability

All data generated or analyzed during this study are included in this published article.

Abbreviations

AMAXTB:

Maximum leaf CO2 assimilation rate as a function of development stage

CVL:

Conversion efficiency of assimilates into leaves

CVO:

Conversion efficiency of assimilates into storage organs

DTSMTB:

Daily increase in temperature sum as function of average temperature

DVS:

Developmental stage

DVSI:

Initial development stage at the start of the simulation

EFFTB:

Initial light-use efficiency of CO2 assimilation of single leaves as a function of mean daily temperature

FLTB:

Fraction of above-ground dry matter increase partitioned to leaves as a function of the developmental stage

FOTB:

Fraction of above-ground dry matter increase partitioned to storage organs as a function of the developmental stage

FRTB:

Fraction of total dry matter increase partitioned to roots as a function of the developmental stage

FSTB:

Fraction of above ground dry matter increase partitioned to stems as a function of developmental stage

KDIFTB:

Extinction coefficient for diffuse visible light as a function of the developmental stage

RFSETB:

Reduction factor for senescence as a function of the developmental stage

RGRLAI:

Maximum relative increase in LAI

SLATB:

Specific leaf area as a function of the developmental stage

SPAN:

Lifespan of leaves growing at 35 °C

SSATB:

Specific stem area as a function of the developmental stage

TBASE:

Lower threshold temperature for the aging of leaves

TBASEM:

Base temperature for the emergence

TEFFMX:

Maximum effective temperature for the emergence

TSUM1:

Temperature sum from the emergence to the anthesis

TSUM2:

Temperature sum from the anthesis to the maturity

TSUMEM:

Temperature sum from the sowing to the emergence

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Acknowledgements

This work was supported by the Korea Institute of Planning and Evaluation for Technology in Food, Agriculture and Forestry (IPET) and the Korea Smart Farm R&D Foundation (KosFarm) through the Smart Farm Innovation Technology Development Program, funded by the Ministry of Agriculture, Food and Rural Affairs (MAFRA), the Ministry of Science and ICT (MSIT), and the Rural Development Administration (RDA) (421001-03). Taewon Moon is grateful for financial support from the Hyundai Motor Chung Mong-Koo Foundation.

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Contributions

Conceptualization, methodology, investigation, and writing—review and editing: TM and JES. Formal analysis and data curation: TM and SS. Supervision, project administration, and funding acquisition: JES. All authors have read and agreed to the published version of the manuscript.

Corresponding author

Correspondence to Jung Eek Son.

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The authors declare that they have no conflicts of interest.

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Communicated by Yurina Kwack.

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Moon, T., Sim, S. & Son, J.E. Calibration of food and feed crop models for sweet peppers with Bayesian optimization. Hortic. Environ. Biotechnol. 64, 615–625 (2023). https://doi.org/10.1007/s13580-022-00510-x

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