Skip to main content

Advertisement

Log in

Globalisation and Output Growth Nexus in Sub-Saharan Africa: the Critical Role of Trade Liberalisation

  • Published:
Journal of the Knowledge Economy Aims and scope Submit manuscript

Abstract

Countries in Sub-Sahara Africa (SSA) have recently increased their integration into the global economy through trade liberalisation to stimulate their developmental efforts. This is consequent on the findings from previous empirical studies that the SSA region has not benefited immensely from globalisation. Although several empirical studies have been done on the effect of globalisation on economic growth in Africa, they have largely ignored the role of trade liberalisation in the mix. Hence, using secondary data from 1990 to 2019, covering four of the most liberalised SSA nations, and applying the autoregressive distributed lag (ARDL) framework, the study analyses the effects of globalisation on economic growth in Nigeria, South Africa, Ghana, and Kenya via the trade liberalisation channel. Similar to previous findings, the result shows that globalisation, from the KOF Swiss Economic Institute, negatively and insignificantly impacts economic growth in Nigeria, South Africa, Kenya, and Ghana, while trade has a positive impact on growth in all the selected countries. However, we find that trade liberalisation augments globalisation to improve growth in the SSA countries. Lastly, we find various causal nexuses among the indicators for the SSA region and then recommend policies as well.

This is a preview of subscription content, log in via an institution to check access.

Access this article

Price excludes VAT (USA)
Tax calculation will be finalised during checkout.

Instant access to the full article PDF.

Fig. 1
Fig. 2
Fig. 3
Fig. 4

Similar content being viewed by others

References

  • Afzal, M. (2007). The impact of globalisation on economic growth of Pakistan. The Pakistan Development Review, 723–734.

  • Ahmed, K. (2017). Revisiting the role of financial development for energy-growth-trade nexus in BRICS economies. Energy, 128, 487–495.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Aikins, E. R., & Mclachlan, J. D. (2022). Africa is losing the battle against extreme poverty. Article available at: https://issafrica.org/iss-today/africa-is-losing-the-battle-against-extreme-poverty. Accessed on 18th October, 2022

  • Ali, H. S., Law, S. H., & Zannah, T. I. (2016). Dynamic impact of urbanisation, economic growth, energy consumption, and trade openness on CO2 emissions in Nigeria. Environmental Science and Pollution Research, 23(12), 12435–12443.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Analogbei, M. F. (2000). Trade reforms and productivity in Nigeria. In Proceedings of the Ninth Conference of the Zonal Research Units of the CBN Titled Productivity and Capacity Building in Nigeria (pp. 159–185). CBN Press.

    Google Scholar 

  • Ashraf, B. N. (2018). Do trade and financial openness matter for financial development? Bank-level evidence from emerging market economies. Research in International Business and Finance, 44, 434–458.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Atangana, E. (2022). With the continuing increase in Sub-Saharan African countries, will sustainable development of goal 1 ever be achieved by 2030? Sustainability, 14(16), 10304.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Baron, R. M., & Kenny, D. A. (1986). The moderator–mediator variable distinction in social psychological research: Conceptual, strategic, and statistical considerations. Journal of Personality and Social Psychology, 51(6), 1173.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Barrett, J. H., Boessenkool, S., Kneale, C. J., O’Connell, T. C., & Star, B. (2020). Ecological globalisation, serial depletion and the medieval trade of walrus rostra. Quaternary Science Reviews, 229, 106122.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Barry, H. (2010). Globalisation and economic growth in Sub-Saharan Africa. Gettysburg Economic Review, 4(1), 4 Available online at: https://cupola.gettysburg.edu/ger/vol4/iss1/4. Accessed 14 Mar 2023.

    Google Scholar 

  • Bigsten, A., & Durevall, D. (2004). Trade reform and wage inequality in Kenya- 1964-2000. In Working Papers in Economics (Vol. 148). Göteborg University, Department of Economics.

    Google Scholar 

  • Charles, A. O., Mesagan, E. P., & Saibu, O. M. (2018). Resource endowment and export diversification: implications for growth in Nigeria. Studies in Business and Economics, 13(1), 29–40.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Chege, S. M., & Wang, D. (2020). The impact of technology transfer on agribusiness performance in Kenya. Technology Analysis & Strategic Management, 32(3), 332–348.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Cheng, C. Y., Chien, M. S., & Lee, C. C. (2021). ICT diffusion, financial development, and economic growth: An international cross-country analysis. Economic Modelling, 94, 662–671.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Claeys, G., & Sapir, A. (2020). The European globalisation adjustment fund: Easing the pain from trade? In Capitalism, Global Change and Sustainable Development (pp. 97–110). Springer.

    Chapter  Google Scholar 

  • Dissa, Y. (2016). Impact of globalisation on the economy of Mali. International Journal of Business and Social Science, 7(8), 80–90.

    Google Scholar 

  • Evans, O., & Mesagan, E. P. (2022). ICT-trade and pollution in Africa: Do governance and regulation matter? Journal of Policy Modeling, 44(3), 511–531.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Ezcurra, R., & Rodríguez-Pose, A. (2013). Does economic globalisation affect regional inequality? A cross-country analysis. World Development, 52, 92–103.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Fanti, L., & Manfredi, P. (2003). The Solow's model with endogenous population: A neoclassical growth cycle model. Journal of Economic Development, 28(2), 103–116.

    Google Scholar 

  • Fitzová, H., & Zídek, L. (2015). Impact of trade on economic growth in the Czech and Slovak Republics. Economics & Sociology, 8(2), 36.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Granger, C. W. (1969). Testing for causality and feedback. Econometrica, 37(3), 424–438.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Grant, R. (1999). Economic globalisation: politics and trade policy in Ghana and Kenya. Geopolitics, 4(1), 57–82.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Gurgul, H., & Lach, Ł. (2014). Globalisation and economic growth: Evidence from two decades of transition in CEE. Economic Modelling, 36, 99–107.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Hammudeh, S., Sohag, K., Husain, S., Husain, H., & Said, J. (2020). Nonlinear relationship between economic growth and nuances of globalisation with income stratification: Roles of financial development and governance. Economic Systems, 44(3), 100761.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Hasan, M. A. (2019). Does globalisation accelerate economic growth? South Asian experience using panel data. Journal of Economic Structures, 8(1), 1–13.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Hossain, M. S., Kibria, M. G., & Islam, M. S. (2018). Does globalisation affect the economic growth of Bangladesh?-An econometric analysis. Asian Economic and Financial Review, 8(12), 1384–1393.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Hye, Q. M. A. (2012). Long term effect of trade openness on economic growth in case of Pakistan. Quality & Quantity, 46(4), 1137–1149.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Isola, W. A., Mesagan, P. E., & Alimi, O. I. (2017). Energy crisis in Nigeria: Evidence from Lagos State. Ovidius University Annals Economic Sciences Series, 17(2), 23–28.

    Google Scholar 

  • Iyoha, M., & Okim, A. (2017). The impact of trade on economic growth in ECOWAS countries: Evidence from panel data. CBN Journal of Applied Statistics, 8(1), 23–49.

    Google Scholar 

  • Kapur, I., Schiff, J. A., Hadjimichael, M. T., Szymczak, P., & Hilbers, P. L. C. (1991). Ghana; Adjustment and Growth, 1983-91 (86). International Monetary Fund.

    Book  Google Scholar 

  • Kareem, R. O., Bakare, H. A., & Ologunla, E. S. (2013). Globalisation and economic growth in Nigeria: Any nexus. Service Science and Management Research (SSMR), 2(1), 9–17.

    Google Scholar 

  • Karim, M. R., & Tiasha, A. M. (2020). Remittances and economic growth in Bangladesh: A reassessment. JnU Journal of Economics, 2(1), 1–17.

    Google Scholar 

  • Karim, N. A., Al-Habshi, S. M. S. J., & Abduh, M. (2016). Macroeconomics indicators and bank stability: A case of banking in Indonesia. Buletin Ekonomi Moneter Dan Perbankan, 18(4), 431–448.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Kazar, A., & Kazar, G. (2016). Globalisation, financial development and economic growth. International Journal of Economics and Financial Issues, 6(2), 578–587.

    Google Scholar 

  • Keho, Y. (2017). The impact of trade openness on economic growth: The case of Cote d'Ivoire. Cogent Economics & Finance, 5(1), 1332820.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Kilic, C. (2015). Effects of globalization on economic growth: Panel data analysis for developing countries. Petroleum-Gas University of Ploiesti Bulletin, Technical Series, 67(1), 1–11.

    Google Scholar 

  • Kılıçarslan, Z., & Dumrul, Y. (2018). The impact of globalisation on economic growth: empirical evidence from the Turkey. International Journal of Economics and Financial Issues, 8(5), 115–123.

    Google Scholar 

  • Kumar, S. (2010). Diversity, diffusion and challenges in African culture under globalisation. In Theatre and Cultures in Africa (pp. 8–16). University of Casablanca Available online at: https://pdfs.semanticscholar.org/0cdb/4d6aa0171df9045f7ac64ca34c475b8b5966.pdf. Accessed 27th July 2020

    Google Scholar 

  • Leon, A. J. (2007). Priorities of the South African government regarding globalisation. In International Relations and Cooperation, Republic of South Africa Available online at: http://www.dirco.gov.za/docs/2007pq/pq1243.htm. Accessed 21/05/2020

    Google Scholar 

  • Manwa, F., Wijeweera, A., & Kortt, M. A. (2019). Trade and growth in SACU countries: A panel data analysis. Economic Analysis and Policy, 63, 107–118.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Matallah, S., & Ghazi, N. (2015). Globalisation, FDI and the links with economic growth: An empirical investigation for MENA countries. British Journal of Economics, Management & Trade, 8(3), 215–229.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Mesagan, E. P., Alimi, O. Y., & Vo, X. V. (2022). The asymmetric effects of exchange rate on trade balance and output growth. The Journal of Economic Asymmetries, 26, e00272. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jeca.2022.e00272

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Mesagan, E. P., Kushimo, D. K., & Umar, D. I. (2021). Do fluctuations in exchange rate hinder non-oil export? An analysis of agriculture and manufacturing in Nigeria. SN Business & Economics, 1(11), 1–23. https://doi.org/10.1007/s43546-021-00156-4

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Mesagan, E. P., Vo, X. V., & Emmanuel, P. M. (2022). The technological role in the growth-enhancing financial development: Evidence from African nations. Economic Change and Restructuring, 1–24. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10644-022-09442-z

  • Mesagan, P. E., & Adenuga, I. J. (2020). Efficiency of oil resource endowment, natural gas and agriculture output: Policy options for inclusive growth. BizEcons Quarterly, 8, 15–34.

    Google Scholar 

  • Mesagan, P. E., Adewuyi, T. C., & Olaoye, O. (2022). Corporate finance, industrial performance and environment in africa: Lessons for policy. Scientific African. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.sciaf.2022.e01207

  • Mesagan, P. E., & Ezeji, A. C. (2016). The role of social and economic infrastructure in manufacturing sector performance in Nigeria. Babcock Journal of Economics, Banking and Finance, 5, 101–119.

    Google Scholar 

  • Morrissey, O., & Filatotchev, I. (2000). Globalisation and trade: The implications for exports from marginalised economies. Journal of Development Studies, 37(2), 1–12.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Mosikari, T. J., Senosi, M. C., & Eita, J. H. (2016). Manufactured exports and economic growth in Southern African development community (SADC) region: A panel cointegration approach. Acta Universitatis Danubius: Oeconomica, 12(5), 266–278.

    Google Scholar 

  • Nissanke, M., & Thorbecke, E. (2007). Globalisation, growth, and poverty in Africa. Article available online at: https://www.wider.unu.edu/publication/globalization-growth-and-poverty-africa#:~:text=In%20short%2C%20while%20globalization%20has,economic%20development%20and%20poverty%20reduction. Accessed on 18th October, 2022.

    Google Scholar 

  • Nwadike, O. N. (2022). Nigeria: Free trade zones in Nigeria: Legal framework, incentives, and opportunities for investment. Article available at: https://www.mondaq.com/nigeria/international-trade-investment/1197118/free-trade-zones-in-nigeria-legal-framework-incentives-and-opportunities-for-investment#:~:text=Other%20FTZs%20in%20Nigeria%20include,Village%20Free%20Zone%2C%20and%20Centenary. Accessed on 18th October, 2022.

    Google Scholar 

  • Odhiambo, W., & Otieno, G. (2008). Trade policy reforms and poverty in Kenya: Processes and outcomes. In M. A. Razzaque & S. Raihan (Eds.), Trade Policy Reforms and Poverty. Trade-Development-Poverty Linkages (Vol. 1, pp. 182–203).

    Google Scholar 

  • Ogbuji, I. A., Mesagan, E. P., & Alimi, Y. O. (2020). The dynamic linkage between money market, capital market and economic growth in Ghana: New Lessons relearned. Econometric Research in Finance, 5, 59–78.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Olimpia, N., & Stela, D. (2017). Impact of globalisation on economic growth in Romania: An empirical analysis of its economic, social and political dimensions. Studia Universitatis “Vasile Goldis” Arad–Economics Series, 27(1), 29-40.

    Google Scholar 

  • Olunkwa, C. N., Adenuga, J. I., Salaudeen, M. B., & Mesagan, E. P. (2021). The demographic effects of Covid-19: Any hope for working populations? BizEcons Quarterly, 15(1), 3–12.

    Google Scholar 

  • Omojolaibi, J. A., Mesagan, E. P., & Stanley, N. C. (2016). Globalisation and financial development in Nigeria. Iranian Economic Review, 20(4), 461–478.

    Google Scholar 

  • Pan, X., Uddin, M. K., Han, C., & Pan, X. (2019). Dynamics of financial development, trade openness, technological innovation and energy intensity: Evidence from Bangladesh. Energy, 171, 456–464.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Pesaran, M. H., Shin, Y., & Smith, R. J. (2001). Bounds testing approaches to the analysis of level relationships. Journal of Applied Econometrics, 16(3), 289–326.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Podsakoff, P. M., MacKenzie, S. B., & Podsakoff, N. P. (2012). Sources of method bias in social science research and recommendations on how to control it. Annual Review of Psychology, 63(1), 539–569.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Precious, U. (2010). Globalisation and the future of African culture. Philosophical Papers and Review, 2(1), 1–8.

    Google Scholar 

  • Rahman, M. M. (2021). The dynamic nexus of energy consumption, international trade and economic growth in BRICS and ASEAN countries: A panel causality test. Energy, 229, 120679.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Raj, S. K., & Chand, P. P. (2017). Analysis of Fiji export and its impact on economic growth. International Journal of Business and Social Research, 7(4), 1–14.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Raza, S. A., Shahbaz, M., & Nguyen, D. K. (2015). Energy conservation policies, growth and trade performance: Evidence of feedback hypothesis in Pakistan. Energy Policy, 80, 1–10.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Ronge E. and Nyangito H. (2000). A review of Kenya’s industrialisation policy. Kenya Institute for Public Policy Research and Analysis Discussion Paper No. 2.

    Google Scholar 

  • Sagan, R., Sitek, S., & Szajnowska-Wysocka, A. (2020). The impact of globalisation on regional identity: The example of Silesian identity. Bulletin of Geography. Socio-Economic Series, 48(48), 83–111.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Saibu, O. M., & Mesagan, E. P. (2016). Environmental quality and growth effects of foreign direct investment in Nigeria. Iranian Economic Review, 20(2), 125–140.

    Google Scholar 

  • Samimi, P., & Jenatabadi, H. S. (2014). Globalization and economic growth: Empirical evidence on the role of complementarities. PLoS One, 9(4), e87824. https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0087824

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Santiago, R., Fuinhas, J. A., & Marques, A. C. (2020). The impact of globalisation and economic freedom on economic growth: The case of the Latin America and Caribbean countries. Economic Change and Restructuring, 53(1), 61–85.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Shittu, W. O., Yusuf, H. A., El Houssein, A. E. M., & Hassan, S. (2020). The impacts of foreign direct investment and globalisation on economic growth in West Africa: Examining the role of political governance. Journal of Economic Studies, 47, ahead-of-print No. ahead-of-print. https://doi.org/10.1108/JES-09-2019-0446

  • Sims, C. A. (1972). Money, income, and causality. The American Economic Review, 62(4), 540–552.

    Google Scholar 

  • Solow, R. M. (1956). A contribution to the theory of economic growth. The Quarterly Journal of Economics, 70(1), 65–94.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Suci, S. C., Asmara, A., & Mulatsih, S. (2016). The impact of globalisation on economic growth in ASEAN. Bisnis & Birokrasi: Jurnal Ilmu Administrasi dan Organisasi, 22(2), 79–87.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Tabash, M. I., Mesagan, P. E., & Farooq, U. (2022). Dynamic linkage between natural resources, economic complexity, and economic growth: Empirical evidence from Africa. Resources Policy, 78. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.resourpol.2022.102865

  • Ulaşan, B. (2015). Trade openness and economic growth: Panel evidence. Applied Economics Letters, 22(2), 163–167.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Wahabu, E. (2017). Globalisation and economic nationalism in Ghana. An analysis of the made-in-Ghana policy. In Master Thesis in Development and International Relations Aalborg University 31st July, 2017.

    Google Scholar 

  • Wani, S. H., & Mir, M. A. (2021). Globalisation and economic growth in India: An ARDL approach. The Indian Economic Journal, 69(1), 51–65.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • World Development Indicators (2020). World Bank Data on Country Development. Available Online at: https://databank.worldbank.org/source/world-development-indicators. Accessed on 26th July, 2020.

    Google Scholar 

  • Yusuf, I. A., Mesagan, E. P., & Amadi, A. N. (2020). Effect of financial deepening on stock market returns: The case of military and democratic post-SAP regimes in Nigeria. BizEcons Quarterly, 6, 3–21.

    Google Scholar 

  • Zahonogo, P. (2016). Trade and economic growth in developing countries: Evidence from sub-Saharan Africa. Journal of African Trade, 3(1-2), 41–56.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Zhang, C., Zhu, Y., & Lu, Z. (2015). Trade openness, financial openness, and financial development in China. Journal of International Money and Finance, 59, 287–309.

    Article  Google Scholar 

Download references

Author information

Authors and Affiliations

Authors

Corresponding author

Correspondence to Mohammed Abubakar.

Additional information

Publisher’s Note

Springer Nature remains neutral with regard to jurisdictional claims in published maps and institutional affiliations.

Rights and permissions

Springer Nature or its licensor (e.g. a society or other partner) holds exclusive rights to this article under a publishing agreement with the author(s) or other rightsholder(s); author self-archiving of the accepted manuscript version of this article is solely governed by the terms of such publishing agreement and applicable law.

Reprints and permissions

About this article

Check for updates. Verify currency and authenticity via CrossMark

Cite this article

Abubakar, M. Globalisation and Output Growth Nexus in Sub-Saharan Africa: the Critical Role of Trade Liberalisation. J Knowl Econ (2023). https://doi.org/10.1007/s13132-023-01230-y

Download citation

  • Received:

  • Accepted:

  • Published:

  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s13132-023-01230-y

Keywords

JEL Classification

Navigation