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Mapping landslide susceptibility with frequency ratio, statistical index, and weights of evidence models: a case study in northern Iran

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Abstract

The main objective of this study is to investigate potential application of frequency ratio (FR), weights of evidence (WoE), and statistical index (SI) models for landslide susceptibility mapping in a part of Mazandaran Province, Iran. First, a landslide inventory map was constructed from various sources. The landslide inventory map was then randomly divided in a ratio of 70/30 for training and validation of the models, respectively. Second, 13 landslide conditioning factors including slope degree, slope aspect, altitude, plan curvature, stream power index, topographic wetness index, sediment transport index, topographic roughness index, lithology, distance from streams, faults, roads, and land use type were prepared, and the relationships between these factors and the landslide inventory map were extracted by using the mentioned models. Subsequently, the multi-class weighted factors were used to generate landslide susceptibility maps. Finally, the susceptibility maps were verified and compared using several methods including receiver operating characteristic curve with the areas under the curve (AUC), landslide density, and spatially agreed area analyses. The success rate curve showed that the AUC for FR, WoE, and SI models was 81.51, 79.43, and 81.27, respectively. The prediction rate curve demonstrated that the AUC achieved by the three models was 80.44, 77.94, and 79.55, respectively. Although the sensitivity analysis using the FR model revealed that the modeling process was sensitive to input factors, the accuracy results suggest that the three models used in this study can be effective approaches for landslide susceptibility mapping in Mazandaran Province, and the resultant susceptibility maps are trustworthy for hazard mitigation strategies.

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Acknowledgement

The authors thank three anonymous reviewers who provided many helpful comments and suggestions for improving this manuscript.

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Authors and Affiliations

  1. Research Institute of Forests and Rangelands, Agricultural Research, Education and Extension Organization (AREEO), Tehran, Iran

    Samaneh Razavizadeh

  2. Department of Watershed Management, Faculty of Natural Resources, Sari University of Agricultural Science and Natural Resources, Sari, Iran

    Karim Solaimani & Ataollah Kavian

  3. Department of Geosciences, University of Padova, Padova, Italy

    Matteo Massironi

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  1. Samaneh Razavizadeh
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  2. Karim Solaimani
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Correspondence to Samaneh Razavizadeh.

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Razavizadeh, S., Solaimani, K., Massironi, M. et al. Mapping landslide susceptibility with frequency ratio, statistical index, and weights of evidence models: a case study in northern Iran. Environ Earth Sci 76, 499 (2017). https://doi.org/10.1007/s12665-017-6839-7

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