Abstract
This study is aimed at investigating and identifying dominant flood-inducing mechanisms in western and southwestern Iran. For this purpose, the data of dynamic-synoptic components 11–14 April 2016, including total rainfall, sea level pressure, geopotential heights, the jet stream, potential vorticity at 250 hPa, the Omega index at 500 hPa, moisture flux convergence (MFC) at 1000 hPa, Convective Available Potential Energy (CAPE), were used for revealing the mechanisms of heavy rainfall events. On the other hand, Meteosat-7 satellite images were used to identify cloud type in the study area. The results showed that the main cause of the heavy rainfall was the formation of Mediterranean low and high pressure on the Aral Lake in the sea level and the presence of an upper-level cut-off low core over the northeastern Mediterranean and the study area. Moreover, analysis of MFC indicated that heavy rainfall moisture sources had been supplied from the Mediterranean, Red, and Arabian seas, respectively. Based on CAPE maps, the core of the maximum potential of convective energy is drawn as a line along the southwest-northeast from the Red Sea to the west of Iran. Meteosat-7 satellite images indicated that cumulonimbus clouds covered the study area during 11–14 April 2016. These results highlight that the intrusion of the southern polar vortex and its flux over the eastern Mediterranean and the Red Sea provides the conditions for cyclogenesis. The results of this study could serve as a guideline for monitoring and predicting heavy rainfall.
Similar content being viewed by others
Data Availability
The data that support the findings of this study are available from the corresponding author, (H.K), upon reasonable request.
References
Alijani B, O’Brien J, Yarnal B (2008) Spatial analysis of precipitation intensity and concentration in Iran. Theor Appl Climatol 94:107–124. https://doi.org/10.1007/s00704-007-0344-y
Al-Nassar AR, Pelegrí JL, Sangrà P et al (2020) Cut-off low systems over Iraq: contribution to annual precipitation and synoptic analysis of extreme events. Int J Climatol 40:908–926
Asakereh H (2012) Frequency distribution change of extreme precipitation in Zanjan City. Geogr Environ Plan (University Isfahan) 23:13–17
Asakereh H, Khani Temeliyeh S (2022) Analyzing the amount and frequency of daily precipitation in west and southwest Iran during the statistical period of 1979–2016 affected by the Red Sea low pressure. Sci- Res Quarterly Geogr Data (SEPEHR) 31(122):151–166. https://doi.org/10.22131/sepehr.2022.254787
Azizi G, Nayeri M, RostamiJalilian S (2009) Synoptic analysis of heavy precipitation in west of Iran. J phys geogr 1:1–13
Balyani S, Rointan S, Molaei Qelichi M (2017) Evaluating spatial structure of annual rainfall in relation to local factors in Iran. 25:411–420. https://doi.org/10.1007/s41324-017-0106-6
Banacos PC (2004) Moisture flux convergence: its history and application in convective initiation forecasting. In 22nd Conference on Severe Local Storms
Bechtold P (2009) Atmospheric moist convection. Meteorological training course lecture series; ECMWF: Reading, UK, 1–85
Betts AK, Grover RW, Moncrieff MW (1976) Structure and motion of tropical squall-lines over Venezuela. Q J R Meteorol Soc 102:395–404. https://doi.org/10.1002/qj.49710243209
Chantraket P, Kirtsaeng S, Detyothin C et al (2015) Characteristics of hailstorm over northern Thailand during summer season. Environ Asia 8:101–114. https://doi.org/10.14456/ea.2015.13
Conway D, Jones PD (1998) The use of weather types and air flow indices for GCM downscaling. J Hydrol 212:348–361. https://doi.org/10.1016/S0022-1694(98)00216-9
Cortès M, Turco M, Llasat-Botija M, Llasat MC (2018) The relationship between precipitation and insurance data for floods in a Mediterranean region (northeast Spain). Nat Hazards Earth Syst Sci 18:857–868. https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-18-857-2018
Curtis MB (2017) A synoptic and mesoscale analysis of heavy rainfall at Portland, Maine, 13–14 August 2014. Journal of Operational Meteorology 5(7):78–86
Davis CA, Emanuel KA (1991) Potential vorticity diagnostics of cyclogenesis. Mon Weather Rev 119:1929–1953. https://doi.org/10.1175/1520-0493(1991)119%3c1929:PVDOC%3e2.0.CO;2
Dayan U, Ziv B, Margalit A, Morin E, Sharon D (2001) A severe autumn storm over the middle-east: synoptic and mesoscale convection analysis. Theor Appl Climatol 69(1–2):103–122
De Vries AJ, Tyrlis E, Edry D, Krichak SO, Steil B, Lelieveld J (2013) Extreme precipitation events in the Middle East: dynamics of the Active Red Sea Trough. J Geophys Res Atmos 118(13):7087–7108
Dobrir V, Apostol L (2019) Atmospheric precipitations greater than 10 mm in the central part of the Romanian plain and their synoptic causes.19th SGEM International Multidisciplinary. GeoConference EXPO Proceedings. https://doi.org/10.5593/sgem2019/4.1/S19.115
Emanuel KA (1994) Atmospheric convection. Oxford University Press on Demand
Engel T, Fink AH, Knippertz P et al (2017) Extreme precipitation in the West African Cities of Dakar and Ouagadougou: atmospheric dynamics and implications for flood risk assessments. J Hydrometeorol 18:2937–2957. https://doi.org/10.1175/JHM-D-16-0218.1
Er H, Lim LLP, Bong C (2017) A hydrology and hydraulic case study on January 2015 flash flood in UniGarden, Kota Samarahan, Sarawak
Ertel H (1942) Ein Neuer Hydrodynamischer Wirbelsatz. Meteorol Z 59:277–281
Gilabert J, Llasat MC (2018) Circulation weather types associated with extreme flood events in Northwestern Mediterranean. Int J Climatol 38:1864–1876. https://doi.org/10.1002/joc.5301
Hadadi H, Heydari H (2012) Synoptic analysis of heavy rain May 12, 2010 Ilam. Sci - Res Quarterly of Geogr Data (SEPEHR) 21(82):99–103
Halabian AH, hossienalipour JF. (2016). Synoptic analysis of climatic hazards in southwestern Iran (case study: flood generating heavy precipitation of Azar 1391). jsaeh. 2016; 2 (4):31–46
Hamidian PM, Alijani B, Sadeghi NA (2010) Identifying the synoptic patterns of heavy precipitations in north east of Iran. Arid Reg Geogr Stud 1:1–16
Hoskins BJ, McIntyre ME, Robertson AW (1985) On the use and significance of isentropic potential vorticity maps. Q J Royal Meteorol Soc 111(470):877–946
Jenkinson A, Collison F (1977) An initial climatology of gales over the North Sea. Synoptic Climatology Branch Memorandum, p 18
Jones PD, Hulme M, Briffa KR (1993) A comparison of Lamb circulation types with an objective classification scheme. Int J Climatol 13(6):655–663. https://doi.org/10.1002/joc.3370130606
Kamal A, Wu C, Lin Z (2020) Interannual variations of dust activity in western Iran and their possible mechanisms. Big Earth Data 4:175–190. https://doi.org/10.1080/20964471.2019.1685825
Khansalari S, Ranjbar-Saadatabadi A, Fazel-Rastgar F, Raziei T (2021) Synoptic and dynamic analysis of a flash flood-inducing heavy rainfall event in arid and semi-arid central-northern Iran and its simulation using the WRF model. Dyn Atmos Oceans 93:101198. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.dynatmoce.2020.101198
Kumar A, Roy MB, Roy PK, Raju KNP (2017) Flooding hazard assessment of Ballia district Uttar Pradesh India: Causes and impact analysis with environmental management plan. ZENITH International Journal of Multidisciplinary Research 7(8):69–81. https://doi.org/10.1007/s11069-010-9605-7
Lashkari H, Mohammadi Z, Jafari M (2020) Investigation on dynamical structure and moisture sources of heavy precipitation in south and south-west of Iran. Arab J Geosci 13:1140. https://doi.org/10.1007/s12517-020-06097
Nakamura H (1993) Horizontal divergence associated with zonally isolated jet streams. J Atmos Sci 50(0):14
Nouri H (2013) Moisture analysis on precipitation days during Vitis vinifera growth in Hamedan province vineyards. Int J Farming Allied Sci 2:1356–1362
Parizi E, Bagheri-Gavkosh M, Hosseini SM, Geravand F (2021) Linkage of geographically weighted regression with spatial cluster analyses for regionalization of flood peak discharges drivers: case studies across Iran. J Clean Prod 310:127526. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jclepro.2021.127526
Parizi E, Khojeh S, Hosseini SM, Moghadam YJ (2022) Application of unmanned aerial vehicle DEM in flood modeling and comparison with global DEMs: case study of Atrak River Basin Iran. J Environ Manage 317:115492. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jenvman.2022.115492
Persing J, Montgomery MT (2005) Is environmental CAPE important in the determination of maximum possible hurricane intensity? J Atmos Sci 62:542–550. https://doi.org/10.1175/JAS-3370.1
Pourasghar F, Mohamadi G, Soltani M et al (2016) Synoptic analysis of upper-cold air pool effects on generating or intensifying rainfall in the warm season in east Azerbaijan. Geogr dev 14:171–189
Rao AAAE-THE-P (2017) Analysis of the influence of the 2007–2008 La Niña events, land use, and dam management modes on the 2008 spring freshet characteristics in Quebec, Canada. IntechOpen, Rijeka, p Ch. 10
Raziei T, Bordi I, Santos J (2011) Relationship between daily atmospheric circulation patterns and daily precipitation over Iran. Int J Climatol 32:1056–1068
Rossby CG (1940) Planetary flow patterns in the atmosphere. Quart J Roy Meteorol Soc 66:68–87
Rousta I, Javadizadeh F, Dargahian F, Olafsson H, Shiri-Karimvandi A, Vahedinejad S, Vargas EA (2018) Investigation of vorticity during prevalent winter precipitation in Iran. Adv. Meteorol 1–13
Sabziparvar AA, Movahedi S, Asakereh H et al (2015) Geographical factors affecting variability of precipitation regime in Iran. Theor Appl Climatol 120:367–376. https://doi.org/10.1007/s00704-014-1174-3
Sabziparvar AA, Parandeh A, Lashkari H, Yazdanpanah H (2010) Mid-level synoptic analysis of flood-generating systems in south-west of Iran (case study: Dalaki watershed river basin). Nat Hazards Earth Syst Sci 10:2269–2279
Schefczyk L, Heinemann G (2017) Climate change impact on thunderstorms: analysis of thunderstorm indices using high resolution COSMO-CLM simulations. Met Z. https://doi.org/10.1127/metz/2017/0749
Schumacher RS (2016) The studies of precipitation, flooding, and rainfall extremes across disciplines (SPREAD) workshop: an interdisciplinary research and education initiative. Bull Am Meteorol Soc 97:1791–1796. https://doi.org/10.1175/BAMS-D-15-00084.1
Shadmani N, Nasr Esfahani MA, Ghasemi A (2018) Determination of humidity sources and accurate trajectory of moist air mass effective on heavy rainfalls in west and south of Iran (case study: flooding events of October and November 2015). Iranian J Geophys 12(2):50–63
Soltani M, Zawar-Reza P, Khoshakhlagh F, Rousta I (2014) Mid-latitude cyclones climatology over Caspian Sea southern coasts-north of Iran. Proceedings of 21st Conference on Applied Climatology 1–7
Soltani M, and Rousta I (2017) Climatological aspects of extreme precipitation events over central Plateau of Iran–a synoptically point of view. Research of Geographic Structure and Earthquake 1–18
Trigo R, Dacamara C (2000) Circulation weather types and their impact on the precipitation regime in Portugal. Int J Climatol 20:1559–1581. https://doi.org/10.1002/1097-0088(20001115)20:13%3c1559::AID-JOC555%3e3.0.CO;2-5
Yarahmadi D, Maryanji Z (2011) The analysis of dynami4c and synoptic patterns of heavy rainfall in the south west of Caspian Sea and west of Iran (case study: rainfall on 04/11/ 2004). Phys Geogr Res q 105–120.
Author information
Authors and Affiliations
Corresponding author
Ethics declarations
Conflict of interest
The authors declare that they have no competing interests.
Additional information
Responsible Editor: Zhihua Zhang
Rights and permissions
Springer Nature or its licensor (e.g. a society or other partner) holds exclusive rights to this article under a publishing agreement with the author(s) or other rightsholder(s); author self-archiving of the accepted manuscript version of this article is solely governed by the terms of such publishing agreement and applicable law.
About this article
Cite this article
Khoshakhlagh, F., Hajimohammadi, H., koshky, H. et al. Dominant flood-inducing synoptic and dynamics mechanisms over western and southwestern Iran (case study: extreme rainfall on 11–14 April 2016). Arab J Geosci 16, 43 (2023). https://doi.org/10.1007/s12517-022-11139-6
Received:
Accepted:
Published:
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s12517-022-11139-6