Introduction

Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is the fifth most common malignant neoplasm in men and the ninth most common in women worldwide. It is ranked second among the causes of malignant neoplasm-related deaths in both men and women [1]. Several therapies such as hepatic resection, radiofrequency ablation, and percutaneous ethanol injection are indicated in the early stage of HCC. Transcatheter arterial chemoembolization (TACE) has been recognized as a treatment option for patients with intermediate HCC [2,3,4] and has been shown to improve patient survival rates [5, 6]. In this procedure, antitumor drugs and an oil-based contrast medium are infused into a tumor vessel, which is then embolized with an embolic material. It has been demonstrated to improve the prognosis of unresectable HCC by inducing necrosis of intrahepatic tumors [5, 6]. However, the recurrence rate of intrahepatic lesions after TACE has been reported as 37% and 61% at 6 and 12 months, respectively [7]. Therefore, recurrence after TACE is one of the most critical problems in these patients.

Various angiogenic factors are involved in tumor recurrence after TACE [8]. In particular, the expression of vascular endothelial growth factor (VEGF) is closely associated with acute deterioration and metastases of tumors [9,10,11,12,13]. Furthermore, VEGF has been reported to increase significantly after TACE [14], and to lead to recurrent HCC and poor prognosis [15]. These reports suggest that the oral administration of molecular targeted drugs with VEGF-inhibiting effects immediately after TACE may inhibit the deterioration of HCC after TACE. In recent years, combination therapy with molecular targeted drugs inhibiting the VEGF receptor to improve the therapeutic effects of TACE and adjuvant chemotherapy has been investigated as strategies to inhibit the recurrence of intrahepatic lesion and extra-hepatic metastasis and inconsistent results were reported. Although there were no differences on time to tumor progression in SPACE trial [16] combining of TACE with Sorafenib, progression free survival (PFS) in TACE2 [17] with Sorafenib, and overall survival [OS] in Brivanib (BRISK-TA [18]), Sorafenib in combination with TACE significantly improved PFS in TACTICS trial (HR = 0.59 [95% CI 0.41–0.87], p = 0.006) [19].

Orantinib (TSU-68) is a molecular targeted drug that inhibits VEGF, platelet-derived growth factor, and fibroblast growth factor receptors, and suppresses angiogenesis in tumor tissues. A phase III study of orantinib combined with TACE in patients with HCC (ORIENTAL) was conducted to verify if coadministration of TACE and orantinib inhibits the deterioration of HCC, and the OS in the orantinib arm was prolonged [20]. Patients were enrolled in Japan, Korea, and Taiwan. The interim analysis was aimed at evaluation of futility using the independent data monitoring committee (IDMC) stipulated in advance in the protocol. And the result of interim analysis, the trial was discontinued based on the recommendation of the IDMC. Prolongation of the OS was not demonstrated by the data analysis up to discontinuation of the trial. However, the TACE period in the orantinib arm was significantly longer than that in the placebo arm in patients with low vascular endothelial growth factor-C (VEGF-C) values. Subgroup analysis of TTTF revealed favor outcome for HCC patients with Barcelona Clinic of Liver Cancer (BCLC) stage B (BCLC-B).

The results of the ORIENTAL study suggest that the analysis of a population with less background variation would possibly provide a more detailed efficacy and safety evaluation of orantinib. Therefore, in this study, a subgroup analysis was conducted in the Japanese patients enrolled in the ORIENTAL study, who constituted the largest population.

ORIENTAL Study

The ORIENTAL study was a randomized, double-blind, placebo-controlled study of orantinib in patients with unresectable HCC [20]. After informed consent had been obtained, the patients were randomly assigned to the orantinib or placebo arms at a 1:1 ratio. Then, TACE was repeated until the criteria for discontinuation were met, and the study drug was administered during that period (Supplementary Fig. 1). The study was conducted in three regions, Japan, Korea, and Taiwan, and 889 patients were enrolled (445 and 444 patients in the orantinib and placebo arms, respectively) between December 2010 and November 2013. The primary endpoint was OS, and time to progression (TTP) and time to TACE failure (TTTF) were set as a secondary endpoint. Each endpoint, OS, TTP and TTTF were defined as the period from randomization to death, the period from the date of enrollment to that of the first observation of progressive disease, and the period from enrollment to the determination of TACE discontinuation, respectively. In this study, the patients were required to satisfy one of the following eligibility criteria regarding the number of tumors and tumor size; (a) The number of viable lesions was ≥ 4, and at least one had a diameter < 1 cm; (b) The number of viable lesions was 2 or 3, and at least one had a diameter of > 3 cm; (c) The patient had 1 viable lesion, which had a diameter > 5 cm. The other major eligibility criteria were appropriate renal and hepatic functions (Child–Pugh class A), and the patients had a performance status (PS) of 0 or 1. The stratification factors consisted of region (Japan, Korea, and Taiwan), alpha-fetoprotein (AFP) level (≤ 400 ng/mL vs > 400 ng/mL), size of the largest nodule (≤ 5 cm vs > 5 cm), and Child–Pugh score (5 vs 6). The enrollment of 889 patients was completed based on the original plan. No significant differences were observed in the OS among the three regions (31.1 for the orantinib arm vs 32.3 months for the placebo arm, p = 0.435). On the other hand, the TTP was significantly prolonged (2.9 for the orantinib arm vs 2.5 months for the placebo arm, p = 0.0356). In addition, the TTTF was tend to be longer, but with no statistical significance (23.9 for the orantinib arm vs 19.8 months for the placebo arm, p = 0.245). The result of the regional analyses revealed that the hazard ratio (HR) of the OS of orantinib vs that of placebo was 0.981 (95% confidence interval [CI] 0.717–1.343, p = 0.906) in Japan, 1.318 (95% CI 0.921–1.887, p = 0.129) in Korea, and 0.984 (95% CI 0.576–1.680, p = 0.953) in Taiwan. The HR of the TTTF of orantinib vs that of the placebo was 0.818 (95% CI 0.618–1.083, p = 0.160) in Japan, 0.961 (95% CI 0.681–1.355, p = 0.819) in Korea, and 0.996 (95% CI 0.573–1.730, p = 0.988) in Taiwan. The results of the subgroup analysis showed significant prolongation of TTTF in the orantinib arm in patients with low levels of VEGF-C (HR = 0.695 [95% CI 0.512 015–0.943], p = 0.0196). Patients with BCLC-B might have better TTTF after treated by orantinib (HR = 0.764 [95% CI 0.580–1.005], p = 0.055). This study was conducted in compliance with the Declaration of Helsinki (October 1996), the revised version, as well as the International Council for Harmonisation Guideline for Good Clinical Practice (Trial registration number in ClinicalTrials.gov: NCT01465464).

Materials and methods

Patients

The details of patient eligibility criteria have been reported previously [20]. In brief, patients with unresectable HCC, no extra-hepatic tumor spread, and Child–Pugh score of 6 or less were eligible.

Study treatment and TACE

As described previously [20], the study drug (orantinib, 200 mg) or the placebo was orally administered twice daily after meals. The dose could be reduced by up to two stages in response to adverse events and could be increased again up to the initial dose. The patients continued the study treatment until the criteria for discontinuation of TACE or study drug administration (such as adverse events) were met.

Concurrent use of embolization materials other than ethiodized oil such as gelatin sponges, porous gelatin particles, and drug-eluting beads, and use of antitumor drugs were essential when TACE was performed. In this trial, subsequent TACE was performed when the TACE re-performing criteria were met. The subsequent TACE was discontinued when the TACE discontinuation criteria were met. The TACE re-performing criteria were as follows: (a) evidence of incomplete tumor necrosis; (b) local tumor recurrence; and (c) evidence of new intrahepatic lesions. The discontinuation criteria for TACE were as follows: (a) the intrahepatic lesion could not be controlled by repeated TACE; (b) the target vessel was damaged and a catheter could not be used for the feeding vessel; (c) additional TACE was difficult because of the emergence of vascular invasion; (d) extra-hepatic metastasis had occurred, and treatment other than TACE was deemed necessary; and (e) the hepatic function had been exacerbated to the Child–Pugh classification C persistently for 28 days.

Assessments

Eligible patients who had only one tumor with a size ≥ 5 cm were classified as BCLC stage A (BCLC-A); those with a PS 0 without portal invasion who had multiple lesions (two or three lesions of ≥ 3 cm or four lesions or more) were classified as BCLC-B; and patients with portal invasion and a PS of 1 were classified as BCLC stage C (BCLC-C). The vital signs and body weight were examined, and the Eastern Cooperative Oncology Group (ECOG) PS, Child–Pugh score, and clinical chemistry and hematology tests were conducted at the time of screening and 14, 28, and 42 days after the initial (subsequent) TACE, and every 28 days after that. A safety follow-up test was conducted 30 days after the last study drug administration. Image analysis of the tumors was conducted within 28 days before the initial TACE. After the study drug administration had commenced, it was conducted 42 days after the initial (subsequent) TACE, and every 56 days after that. Concerning safety, all adverse events (AEs) and adverse drug reactions that occurred between the day the study drug administration commenced and the completion day of the observation in the clinical trial period were counted. All the AEs were recorded in the electronic case report form (eCRF) using the terminology of the Common Terminology Criteria for Adverse Events Ver. 4.02.

Statistical analysis

Subgroup analysis was conducted for Japanese patients in the full analysis set (FAS) of the ORIENTAL study. The OS, TTP, and TTTF of the orantinib arm were compared with those of the placebo arm using an unstratified log-rank test. The survival curves of the OS, TTP, and TTTF were constructed using the Kaplan–Meier method, and the median and 95% CI were calculated. The OS and TTTF according to BCLC staging system were also analyzed.

Concerning safety, the AE and adverse drug reaction incidences were calculated for the FAS. The statistical analysis software (SAS, version 9.2, SAS Institute Inc, Cary, NC), was used for all analyses. All reported p-values are two-sided and p < 0.05 was considered statistically significant.

Results

Patients

A total of 432 Japanese patients (FAS; 219 and 213 in the orantinib and placebo arms, respectively) were included in this analysis (Fig. 1 and Table 1). The breakdown of the BCLC stage was as follows: BCLC-A in 119 patients (65 and 54 in the orantinib and placebo arms, respectively), BCLC-B in 240 patients (121 and 119 in the orantinib and placebo arms, respectively, Supplementary Table 1), and BCLC-C in 57 patients (27 and 30 in the orantinib and placebo arms, respectively). Furthermore, 16 patients were in the alternate classification [15 in BCLC-0 (six and nine in the orantinib and placebo arms, respectively) and one in the unknown (in the placebo arm)]. Twenty-eight patients (15 and 13 in the orantinib and placebo arms, respectively) had portal invasion.

Fig. 1
figure 1

Allocation of patients and description of orantinib and placebo groups

Table 1 Patient background

Study treatment

The median duration of treatment with the study drug was 298 and 354 days in the orantinib and placebo arms, respectively, indicating that the treatment duration in the orantinib arm was shorter. The proportion of patients who required dose reductions was 49.8% and 11.7% in the orantinib and placebo arm, indicating that the proportion was higher in the orantinib arm.

Efficacy

Among the 432 patients included in the analysis, 77 and 79 in the orantinib and placebo arms died before the study was discontinued. The most common cause of death was the deterioration of HCC. The median OS was 32.5 and 33.0 months in the orantinib and placebo arms, respectively (HR = 0.981 [95% CI 0.717–1.343], p = 0.906, Fig. 2a). The median TTP was 4.7 months and 3.1 months in the orantinib and placebo arms, respectively (HR = 0.76 [95% CI 0.619–0.940], p = 0.011, Fig. 2b). The median TTTF was 25.3 and 18.2 months in the orantinib and placebo arms, respectively (HR, 0.818, p = 0.160, Fig. 2c). The OS and TTTF, as classified by the BCLC stage, is shown in Fig. 3. BCLC-C included patients who had portal invasion or a PS of 1. When these groups were combined, and the patients with and without portal invasion were compared, the median TTTF was 9.4 and 27.5 months (n = 28 and 29) in patients with and without portal invasion, respectively (HR = 2.820 [95% CI 1.347–5.902], p = 0.0041). In addition, the median OS was 29.5 and 31.8 months in patients with and without portal invasion, respectively (HR = 1.519 [95% CI 0.706–3.264], p = 0.2814).

Fig. 2
figure 2

Kaplan-Meier curve for overall survival (OS) (a), time to progression (TTP) (b) and time to transcatheter arterial chemoembolization (TACE) failure (TTTF) (c). a, c is reprinted from The Lancet Gastroenterology and Hepatology, Vol. 3, Kudo M et al. Orantinib versus placebo combined with transcatheter arterial chemoembolization in patients with unresectable hepatocellular carcinoma (ORIENTAL): a randomized, double-blind, placebo-controlled, multicentre, phase 3 study, 37–46, Appendix, Copyright (2018), with permission from Elsevier

Fig. 3
figure 3

Kaplan-Meier curve for overall survival (OS) and time to transcatheter arterial chemoembolization (TACE) failure (TTTF) based on Barcelona Clinic of Liver Cancer (BCLC) staging

Interval of each TACE session

The intervals between the first and second TACE sessions and that between the second and third sessions were regarded as Intervals 1 and 2, respectively, and the designation continued in this manner up to Interval 4. Orantinib treatment tended to prolong the interval between each TACE session. When the orantinib and the placebo arms were compared, Interval 1 was 142.5 and 129.0, Interval 2 was 136.0 and 131.0 days, Interval 3 was 126.0 and 117.0 days, and Interval 4 was 117.0 and 98.0 days, respectively (Table 2). According to the BCLC stage, all intervals for patients with BCLC-B tended to be prolonged by approximately 7 to 34 days (median) in the orantinib arm, but no consistent tendency was observed for patients with BCLC-A and BCLC-C.

Table 2 TACE interval

Safety

The AEs observed in the orantinib and placebo arms are listed in Table 3. Most adverse events were of grade 1 or 2. The most frequently reported adverse events in the orantinib group were pyrexia (74.4% in the orantinib arm vs 84.0% in the placebo arm), The most frequent ≥ grade 3 adverse events were AST increased 63% in the orantinib arm vs 57.3% in the placebo arm) and ALT increased (47.5% vs 43.3%). The incidence of hypertension was 16.4% in the orantinib arm and 16.9% in the placebo arm. The AEs with an incidence > 20% in the orantinib arm and 10% higher than those in the placebo arm were impaired appetite, chromaturia, edema of the extremities, ascites, diarrhea, and facial edema. The events with severity ≥ grade 3 and that occurred with an incidence ≥ 10% in the orantinib arm were increased AST, ALT, and lymphocytes; hypertension; and decreased platelet. The proportion of patients who experienced serious AEs was 45.2% and 27.2% in the orantinib and placebo arms, respectively, indicating that the incidence was higher in the orantinib arm. No study drug-related deaths occurred. The proportion of treatment discontinuation related to AEs was 33.6% (51/152) in the orantinib arm vs 16.8% (23/137) in the placebo arm (hereinafter in this order) in all Japanese patients, 38.5% (15/39) vs 14.8% (4/27) in patients with BCLC-A, 32.6% (30/92) vs 14.5% (12/83) with BCLC-B, and 31.6% (6/19) vs 13.6% (3/22) with BCLC-C.

Table 3 All-grade adverse events with frequency > 20% and grade 3 or higher adverse events with frequency > 10% in either group in the safety population

Discussion

In the subgroup analysis of the Japanese population of HCC patients in the ORIENTAL study, there observed significant longer TTP in the orantinib arm than in the placebo arm. Hence the result of PFS improvement was observed in the former phase II study [21], similar result of the TTP prolongation was reproduced in the ORIENTAL study. Despite the significant improvement of TTP, it is failed to observe significant differences of the OS and the TTTF in Japanese patients with HCC.

Since the TTP shows the duration until first progression, significant difference in TTP suggested that orantinib could prevent progression of intrahepatic lesions or extra-hepatic metastasis for certain period. On the other hand, the TTTF presenting the time to TACE failure and the OS were not improved by addition of orantinib. It is hard to specify the reasons for no clinically significance but the efficacy of orantinib might be not enough to prolong the TTTF and the OS. In addition, safety profile of the combination therapy of orantinib and TACE was possibly unfavorable because the percentage of discontinuation of study drug administration due to adverse events and the dose reduction rate were 33.6% and 16.8%, and was 49.8% and 11.7% in the orantinib and placebo arms, respectively. As a result, the benefits from combination therapy were probably discounted.

Although no significant differences were observed in the OS and TTTF, subgroup analysis showed that difference of classification of BCLC was likely to have been related to the efficacy of combination therapy of orantinib and TACE. Especially in patient with BCLC-B, there were tended to be prolonged not only the TTTF but also the OS in the orantinib arm. The patients stratified as BCLC-A to C were enrolled based on the clinical situation in Asia where TACE is performed for patients stratified as BCLC-A to C [22]. However, treatment for HCC is provided according to BCLC in Europe and the US, and BCLC-B is recommended as the target for TACE [2, 23]. When the patients were limited to the BCLC-B stage in this analysis, each TACE interval tended to be prolonged by taking with orantinib. Orantinib was thought to have contributed to the prolongation of the period until discontinuation of TACE and the survival period by inhibiting the recurrence of intrahepatic lesions and extra-hepatic metastasis. However, in the group of BCLC-A patients, TTTF tended to be prolonged but OS was shortened in the orantinib arm. When the conditions of the tumors of patients in the BCLC-A group enrolled in this trial were investigated, almost all patients (118/119 [99.2%]) belonged to the category of ≤ 4 tumors with a size < 7 cm in which the tumors markedly responded to TACE alone [24]. Therefore, sufficient treatment effects might have been obtained with TACE alone in the placebo arm, and additional effects of orantinib might be difficult to show in these patients.

For BCLC-C patients, no significant differences were observed in the TTTF and OS between the orantinib and the placebo arms. In patients with portal invasion in the orantinib arm, TTTF was significally shortened and OS was tend to be shortened than they were in the placebo arm. A recent report has shown that priority should be given to radiotherapy as the first-line treatment for patients with HCC with portal invasion, rather than sorafenib, which inhibits VEGF similar to orantinib [25]. Furthermore, another report indicates that TACE did not have any advantage in patients with portal invasion who were cotreated with sorafenib and TACE [26]. This observation suggests that patients with portal invasion were not appropriate subjects for evaluating additional molecular targeted drugs in combination with TACE. In patients with portal invasion, the generation of resistance in the portal blood flow decreases the blood flow to the liver via the portal vein and, thereby, exacerbates the hepatic dysfunction. Therefore, it is believed that patients with portal invasion were inappropriately treated with TACE, which potentially damages the hepatic parenchyma [27]. Moreover, inhibition of VEGF reduces the portal blood flow volume and exacerbates hepatic functions [28]. In addition, in this study, the administration of orantinib is thought to have worsened the patients’ hepatic functions. Further studies and analyses are considered necessary to determine whether BCLC-C patients are appropriate subjects for the study of the coadministration of TACE and molecular targeted drugs.

Concerning safety, AEs of all grades with incidences that were higher than 20% or more in the orantinib arm than in the placebo arm were abdominal pain, ascites, constipation, nausea, vomiting, malaise, pyrexia, upper respiratory tract infection, increased ALT, increased AST, increased C-reactive protein, impaired appetite, decreased albumin, and back pain. The AEs associated with fluid retention, such as edema of the extremities, facial edema, and ascites were common in the orantinib arm, similar to the safety profile of the three regions. The grade 3 or higher AEs included increased AST and ALT. Other AEs of grade 3 or higher and those that were 5% higher in the orantinib arm than in the placebo arm were not observed. Moreover, deaths related to the study drug did not occur, which demonstrated the tolerability of orantinib in Japanese people.

By limiting the subgroup analysis to the Japanese population, we minimized the heterogeneity of various patient backgrounds. A tendency for TTTF prolongation in patients was observed in the orantinib arm regardless of the BCLC staging. In particular, a tendency for prolongation of OS and TTTF in patients was observed in the orantinib arm for the BCLC-B stage. Forest plot of PFS divided by BCLC stage A or B in TACTICS also showed similar result that significant improvement were only observed in BCLC-B patients. Patients in the BCLC-A and BCLC-C stage were suggested to be inappropriate for the TACE combination study with an antiangiogenic agent because TACE alone was effective for BCLC-A. In addition, the evaluation of the study drug efficacy in combination with TACE was difficult because the BCLC-C patients with portal invasion showed a significantly worse TTTF and OS, which have considerable effects on the evaluation of the study drug efficacy. We believe that it is important for studies investigating antiangiogenic agents in combination with TACE to limit the study patients to the BCLC-B stage. Furthermore, it is important to appropriately manage the AEs to properly evaluate the effects of a study drug.

In conclusion, although the TTP was significantly improved in the orantinib arm, no significant differences were observed in the OS and TTTF. The orantinib arm of the BCLC-B stage of Japanese patients in the ORIENTAL study tended to show a prolongation of the OS and TTTF. This subgroup analysis suggested that further studies should be conducted to identify appropriate patients for recruitment as study subjects in future TACE combination trials, including studies of other molecular targeted drugs.