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The association of lead exposure with blood pressure and hypertension: a mediation analyses of estimated glomerular filtration rate

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Abstract

The link between lead and blood pressure was debatable, and whether it was mediated by renal function was unknown. The purpose was to investigate the relationship between blood lead concentrations and blood pressure and hypertension, as well as the mediating role of estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) in this relationship. Participants aged 18 were recruited from the National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey (1999–2014) and provided with lead and blood pressure data. Multivariate linear and logistic regression, stratification, interaction tests, and a restricted cubic spline curve were used to assess the association of blood lead with systolic/diastolic blood pressure (SBP/DBP) and hypertension, and mediation effect analysis was used to investigate the role of eGFR in this relationship. A total of 20,073 subjects were enrolled, and among them, 9837 (49.01%) were male and 7800 (38.86%) were hypertensive patients. Multivariate linear and logistic regression analysis showed that blood lead levels were significantly associated with SBP (β = 3.14, 95%CI: 2.03, 4.25; P < 0.001), DBP (β = 3.50, 95%CI: 2.69, 4.30; P < 0.001), and hypertension (OR = 1.29, 95%CI: 1.09, 1.52; P = 0.0026). In comparison to the lowest blood lead quartile, the highest lead group was significantly associated with SBP (= 2.55, 95%CI: 1.66, 3.44; P = 0.0001), DBP (= 2.60, 95%CI: 1.95, 3.24; P = 0.0001), and hypertension (OR = 1.26, 95%CI: 1.10, 1.45; P = 0.0007). Mediation analysis showed that the proportion of blood lead mediated for SBP, DBP, and hypertension was 3.56% (95%CI: 0.42%, 7.96%; P = 0.0320), 6.21% (95%CI: 4.02%, 9.32%; P < 0.0001), and 17.39% (95%CI: 9.34%, 42.71%; P < 0.0001), respectively. Adjusted restricted cubic spline curves presented a non-linear correlation of blood lead levels with DBP (P-non-linearity < 0.001), linear with SBP (P-non-linearity = 0.203), and hypertension (P-non-linearity = 0.763). Our findings demonstrated that blood lead levels were non-linear with DBP, but linear with SBP and hypertension, and this relationship was mediated by eGFR.

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Data availability

Data are available in a public, open access repository. Data availability in https://wwwn.cdc.gov/nchs/nhanes/Default.Aspx.

Abbreviations

ANOVA:

Analysis of variance

BMI:

Body mass index

CAP:

College of American Pathologists

CI:

Confidence interval

CVD:

Cardiovascular disease

DBP:

Diastolic blood pressure

eGFR:

Estimated glomerular filtration rate

NHANES:

National Health and Nutrition Examination Surveys

OR:

Odds ratio

QA/QC:

Quality assurance and quality control

Q:

Quartile

SBP:

Systolic blood pressure

SCr:

Serum creatinine

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Authors and Affiliations

Authors

Contributions

Conceptualization and study design: HYQ, HGD, and FYQ. Formal analysis and data download: HGD and HYQ. Paper preparation: HYQ and HGD. Statistical analysis and data interpretation: HGD and HYQ. All authors reviewed and approved this manuscript.

Corresponding author

Correspondence to Ying-qing Feng.

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Ethics approval

The NHANES protocols were approved by the institutional review board of the National Center for Health Statistics, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention. The institutional review board of Guangdong Provincial People’s Hospital approved the analysis of anonymous data to be exempt research (KY-Q-2021–244-01).

Consent to participate

Each participant provided written informed consent.

Consent for publication

Not applicable.

Competing interests

The authors declare no competing interests.

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Responsible Editor: Lotfi Aleya

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Huang, Yq., He, Gd. & Feng, Yq. The association of lead exposure with blood pressure and hypertension: a mediation analyses of estimated glomerular filtration rate. Environ Sci Pollut Res 30, 59689–59700 (2023). https://doi.org/10.1007/s11356-023-26734-7

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  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s11356-023-26734-7

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