Skip to main content

Advertisement

Log in

Understanding drought impacts on livelihoods and risk management strategies: South African smallholder farmers' perspectives

  • Original Paper
  • Published:
Natural Hazards Aims and scope Submit manuscript

Abstract

Drought is one of the main causes of food insecurity, malnutrition and poverty. It is therefore important to understand the perception of farmers on socioeconomic and environmental impacts of drought and the strategies employed to manage it. Using data collected from 301 smallholder households in Thaba Nchu, South Africa, the study contributes to three perspectives: analyse the perceived impact of drought, examine the determinants of the perceived impact, and identify factors affecting the intensity of drought-risk management (DRM) practices employed by smallholder farming households. The findings from the principal component analysis (PCA) revealed three main dimensions of the perceived drought impact: social, economic, and environmental impacts. The results from the seemingly unrelated regression analysis applied to the three PCA dimensions indicated that different socio-economic and institutional factors have a different influence on the three dimensions. In addition, the results from the count data modelling showed that factors such as age, household size, non-farm work and extension services are significant in determining the intensity of DRM strategies implemented by farmers in the study area. The study therefore recommends that climate risk management be integrated into the provision of extension services, particularly in drought-prone areas such as the Free State Province. Furthermore, encouraging farmers to engage in non-agricultural economic activities is also crucial, as this can serve as insurance against events such as drought.

This is a preview of subscription content, log in via an institution to check access.

Access this article

Price excludes VAT (USA)
Tax calculation will be finalised during checkout.

Instant access to the full article PDF.

Fig. 1

Similar content being viewed by others

Availability of data and materials

The datasets used to analyse this study are available from the corresponding author on reasonable request.

References

  • Abid M, Scheffran J, Schneider UA, Ashfaq M (2015) Farmers’ perceptions of and adaptation strategies to climate change and their determinants: the case of Punjab province. Pak Earth Syst. Dyn 6(1):225–243

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Alam GM, Alam K, Mushtaq S (2017) Climate change perceptions and local adaptation strategies of hazard-prone rural households in Bangladesh. Clim Risk Manag 17:52–63

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Ali A, Erenstein O (2017) Assessing farmer use of climate change adaptation practices and impacts on food security and poverty in Pakistan. Clim Risk Manag 16:183–194

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Asante BO, Villano RA, Patrick IW, Battese GE (2018) Determinants of farm diversification in integrated crop-livestock farming systems in Ghana. Renewable Agric Food Syst 33(2):131

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Asfaw S, Pallante G, Palma A (2018) Diversification strategies and adaptation deficit: Evidence from rural communities in Niger. World Dev 101:219–234

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Bawakyillenuo S, Yaro JA, Teye J (2016) Exploring the autonomous adaptation strategies to climate change and climate variability in selected villages in the rural northern savannah zone of Ghana. Local Environ 21(3):361–382

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Bellon, M. R., Kotu, B. H., Azzarri, C., and Caracciolo, F. (2020). To diversify or not to diversify, that is the question. Pursuing agricultural development for smallholder farmers in marginal areas of Ghana. World Development, 125, 104682.

  • Botai CM, Botai JO, Dlamini LC, Zwane NS, Phaduli E (2016) Characteristics of droughts in South Africa: a case study of free state and north west provinces. Water 8(10):439

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Bryan E, Deressa TT, Gbetibouo GA, Ringler C (2009) Adaptation to climate change in Ethiopia and South Africa: options and constraints. Environ Sci Policy 12(4):413–426

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Bureau for Food and Agricultural Policy. 2015. Policy brief on the 2015/2016 drought. Integrated Value Information System: 4–17.

  • Cameron, A., and Trivedi, P. (2010). September 2010. Microeconometrics Using Stata (Vol 2). College Station, TX: Stata Press.

  • Cameron A, Trivedi PK (1990) Regression-based tests for overdispersion in the Poisson model. Journal of Econometrics 46(3):347–364

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Ching, L., Edwards, S., and El-Hage, S. N. (2011). Climate change and food systems resilience in sub-Saharan Africa. Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations of the United Nation, Publishing Policy and Support Branch, Office of Knowledge, Research and Extension, FAO, Viale delle Terme di Caracalla, 00153 Rome, Italy

  • Dai A (2013) Increasing drought under global warming in observations and models. Nat Clim Chang 3(1):52–58

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Ehiakpor, D. S., Danso-Abbeam, G., and Baah, J. E. (2016). Cocoa farmers' perception on climate variability and its effects on adaptation strategies in th Suaman district of western region, Ghana. Cogent Food and Agriculture, 2(1), 1210557.

    Google Scholar 

  • Field A (2009) Discovering Statistics using SPSS for Windows, 3rd edn. Sage Publications, London, UK

    Google Scholar 

  • Greene WH (2008) Econometric analysis, 6th edn. Pearson, Upper Saddle River NJ, Upper Saddle River NJ

    Google Scholar 

  • Hair Jr, J. F., Sarstedt, M., Hopkins, L., and Kuppelwieser, V. G. (2014). Partial least squares structural equation modeling (PLS-SEM): An emerging tool in business research. European business review, 26(2), 106–121.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Hansen, J.W., Dilley, M., Goddard, L., Ebrahimian, E., Ericksen, P., 2004. Climate Variability and the Millennium Development Goal Hunger Target. International Research Institute for Climate Prediction, The Earth Institute of Columbia University Palisades, New York, 10964, USA. IRI Technical Report No. 04-04.

  • Hassan RM, Nhemachena C (2008) Determinants of African farmers’ strategies for adapting to climate change: Multinomial choice analysis. African Journal of Agricultural and Resource Economics 2(311-2016–5521):83–104

    Google Scholar 

  • Hellmuth M, Osgood D, Hess U, Moorhead A, Bhojwani H (2009) Climate and society. No. 2. IRI, Columbia University, New York, USA

    Google Scholar 

  • IPCC (2014). AR5 climate change 2014: impacts, adaptation, and vulnerability. Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. Available: https://www.ipcc.ch/report/ar5/wg2/. Accessed 11/20/2019

  • Israel MA, Amikuzuno J, Danso-Abbeam G (2020) Assessing farmers’ contribution to greenhouse gas emission and the impact of adopting climate-smart agriculture on mitigation. Ecol Process 9(1):1–10

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Keesstra S (2007) Impact of natural reforestation on floodplain sedimentation in the Dragonja basin, SW Slovenia. Earth Surface Processes and Landforms: the Journal of the British Geomorphological Research Group 32(1):49–65

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Keshavarzi S, Ayatollahi SMT, Zare N, Sharif F (2013) Quality of life of childbearing age women and its associated factors: an application of seemingly unrelated regression (SUR) models. Qual Life Res 22:1255–1263

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Kogo BK, Kumar L, Koech R (2021) Climate change and variability in Kenya: a review of impacts on agriculture and food security. Environment, Development and Sustainability 23(1): 23–43.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Linke AM, Witmer FD, O’Loughlin J (2020) Do people accurately report droughts? Comparison of instrument-measured and national survey data in Kenya. Clim Change 162(3):1143–1160

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Maddala, G., and Flores-Lagunes, A. (2001). Qualitative response models. A companion to theoretical econometrics, pages 366-382. Blackwell Publishing Ltd. https://doi.org/10.1002/9780470996249.ch18

  • Mahama A, Awuni JA, Mabe FN, Azumah SB (2020) Modelling adoption intensity of improved soybean production technologies in Ghana-a Generalized Poisson approach. Heliyon 6(3):e03543

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Mamba SF (2016) Factors influencing perception of climate variability and change among smallholder farmers in Swaziland. Indian Journal of Nutrition 3(2):138–142

    Google Scholar 

  • Mangaung Metropolitan Municipality Draft Integrated Development Plan. 2017. Impact on farmers and the agricultural sector. Available online: http://www.thabomofutsanyana.gov.za/downloads/Final%20IDP%202014-15.pdf.

  • Maponya P, Mpandeli S (2013) Perception of farmers on climate change and adaptation in Limpopo Province of South Africa. J Hum Ecol 42(3):283–288

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Martey E, Kuwornu JK (2021) Perceptions of Climate Variability and Soil Fertility Management Choices Among Smallholder Farmers in Northern Ghana. Ecol Econ 180:106870

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Moeletsi ME, Walker S (2012) Assessment of agricultural drought using a simple water balance model in the Free State Province of South Africa. Theoret Appl Climatol 108(3–4):425–8450

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Mohmmed A, Zhang K, Kabenge M, Keesstra S, Cerdà A, Reuben M, Ali, A. A. (2018) Analysis of drought and vulnerability in the North Darfur region of Sudan. Land Degrad Dev 29(12):4424–4438

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Msangi J (2004) Drought hazard and desertification management in the drylands of Southern Africa. Environ Monit Assess 99(1–3):75–87

    Article  CAS  Google Scholar 

  • Nanganga J, Safalaoh AC (2020) Climate Change and Weather Variability Effects on Cattle Production: Perception of Cattle Keepers in Chikwawa. Climate Impacts on Agricultural and Natural Resource Sustainability in Africa. Springer, Malawi, pp 213–225

    Google Scholar 

  • Niles MT, Lubell M, Haden VR (2013) Perceptions and responses to climate policy risks among California farmers. Glob Environ Chang 23(6):1752–1760

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Nkegbe PK, Shankar B (2014) Adoption intensity of soil and water conservation practices by smallholders: evidence from Northern Ghana. Bio-Based App Econ J 3(1050):159–174

    Google Scholar 

  • Ojo T, Baiyegunhi L (2020) Determinants of climate change adaptation strategies and its impact on the net farm income of rice farmers in south-west Nigeria. Land Use Policy 95:103946

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Owens T, Hoddinott J, Kinsey B (2003) Ex-ante actions and ex-post public responses to drought shocks: Evidence and simulations from Zimbabwe. World Dev 31(7):1239–1255

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Panthi J, Aryal S, Dahal P, Bhandari P, Krakauer NY, Pandey VP (2016) Livelihood vulnerability approach to assessing climate change impacts on mixed agro-livestock smallholders around the Gandaki River Basin in Nepal. Reg Environ Change 16(4):1121–1132

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Shiferaw B, Tesfaye K, Kassie M, Abate T, Prasanna B, Menkir A (2014) Managing vulnerability to drought and enhancing livelihood resilience in sub-Saharan Africa: Technological, institutional and policy options. Weather and Climate Extremes 3:67–79

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Shoroma, L.B. 2014. Mitigating the effects of recurrent drought: The case of Setlagole community, Ratlou Municipality (North West Province). Master's mini-dissertation, Disaster Studies, North-West University, South Africa

  • South African Weather Service (SAWS). Meteorological Services under the South African Government. 2015. http://www.weathersa.co.za/web/index.php.

  • Statistics South Africa (Stats SA). 2011. Available online: http://www.statssa.gov.za/?page_id=993&id=mangaung-municipality.

  • Tavakol M, Dennick R (2011) Making sense of Cronbach’s alpha. Int J Med Educ 2:53

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Tesso G, Emana B, Ketema M (2012) Analysis of vulnerability and resilience to climate change induced shocks in North Shewa. Ethiopia Agricultural Sciences 3(06):871

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Thilakarathne M, Sridhar V (2017) Characterization of future drought conditions in the Lower Mekong River Basin. Weather and Climate Extremes 17:47–58

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Thinda K, Ogundeji A, Belle J, Ojo T (2020) Understanding the adoption of climate change adaptation strategies among smallholder farmers: Evidence from land reform beneficiaries in South Africa. Land Use Policy 99:104858

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • DS Thomas C Twyman H Osbahr B Hewitson 2011 Adaptation to climate change and variability: Farmer responses to intra-seasonal precipitation trends in South Africa. African Climate and Climate Change: Physical, Social and Political Perspectives, 155–178.

  • Wale ZE, Unity C, Nolwazi H (2021) Towards identifying enablers and inhibitors to on-farm entrepreneurship: evidence from smallholders in KwaZulu-Natal. South Africa Heliyon 7(1):e05660

    Google Scholar 

  • Wilhite, D. A., and Vanyarkho, O. V. (2000). Chapter 18 Drought: Pervasive impacts of a creeping phenomenon. Drought Mitigation Center Faculty Publications 71. http://digitalcommons.unl.edu/droughtfacpub/71.

  • Williams PA, Crespo O, Abu M (2019) Adapting to changing climate through improving adaptive capacity at the local level–The case of smallholder horticultural producers in Ghana. Clim Risk Manag 23:124–135

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Yegbemey RN, Gouwakinnou JY, Azumah SB (2024) Understanding farmers’ awareness of Climate Services: knowledge, practice, and attitude towards weather information in Benin. West Africa Regional Environmental Change 24(1):27

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Zaman K, Khan H, Khan MM, Saleem Z, Nawaz M (2011) The impact of population on environmental degradation in South Asia: application of seemingly unrelated regression equation model. Environmental Economics 2(2):80–88

    Google Scholar 

  • Zereyesus YA, Embaye WT, Tsiboe F, Amanor-Boadu V (2017) Implications of non-farm work to vulnerability to food poverty-recent evidence from Northern Ghana. World Dev 91:113–124

    Article  Google Scholar 

Download references

Acknowledgements

The paper is based on research that was conducted as part of a research project, “farmers’ coping and adaptation strategies to drought and other water related risks in a changing climate (TTK160610170148)”, which was funded by the National Research Foundation (NRF) through the Thuthuka funding instrument (NRF rating track) grant. Financial and other assistance by the NRF are gratefully acknowledged. Financial assistance by the University of the Free State through the Central Research Fund (CRF) of the Faculty of Natural and Agricultural Sciences is also gratefully acknowledged.

Funding

The study did not receive direct funding for publication.

Author information

Authors and Affiliations

Authors

Contributions

All authors contributed to the different stages of the study. GDA conceptualized the idea, was involved in the analysis of the data, and wrote the draft manuscript. AAO supervised the study and provided comments on the manuscript. TOO was actively involved in the data analysis and interpretation. CCO collected the data and was actively in the methodology write-up. All authors read and approved the final manuscript.

Corresponding author

Correspondence to Gideon Danso-Abbeam.

Ethics declarations

Competing interests

The authors declare that there exists no competing interest.

Additional information

Publisher's Note

Springer Nature remains neutral with regard to jurisdictional claims in published maps and institutional affiliations.

Appendix I

Appendix I

1.1 Number of selected households

 

Community names

Number of Household

 

1

Rakhoi

78

44

2

Ratabane

72

42

3

Longridge

35

26

4

Middeldeel

114

53

 

165

1

Noga's Post

99

50

2

Eureka

39

28

3

Yorksford

47

32

 

110

Area: Central Thaba Nchu

 

1

Thubisi

96

49

 

Total

324

  1. Sources: (Profile Mangaung Metro 2020).

Rights and permissions

Springer Nature or its licensor (e.g. a society or other partner) holds exclusive rights to this article under a publishing agreement with the author(s) or other rightsholder(s); author self-archiving of the accepted manuscript version of this article is solely governed by the terms of such publishing agreement and applicable law.

Reprints and permissions

About this article

Check for updates. Verify currency and authenticity via CrossMark

Cite this article

Danso-Abbeam, G., Okolie, C.C., Ojo, T.O. et al. Understanding drought impacts on livelihoods and risk management strategies: South African smallholder farmers' perspectives. Nat Hazards (2024). https://doi.org/10.1007/s11069-024-06561-w

Download citation

  • Received:

  • Accepted:

  • Published:

  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s11069-024-06561-w

Keywords

Navigation