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Prioritization of cyclone preparedness activities in humanitarian supply chains using fuzzy analytical network process

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Abstract

During recent years, the importance of preparedness has increased with increasing frequency of disasters and the cost associated with relief and response activities. Therefore, this study is designed to present the identification and evaluation process of cyclone disaster’s preparedness activities also termed as measures. In this study, 27 cyclone preparedness activities have been prioritized considering six criteria—effective and immediate response, last mile connectivity, disaster resilient community, risk and vulnerability reduction, life safety and property protection, and sustainable recovery and rehabilitation. Moreover, the evaluation process for prioritization of preparedness activities involves significant uncertainty and subjectivity. Therefore, this study integrates the fuzzy logic with analytical network process, a multi-criteria decision-making tool to analyze and present the ranking of selected preparedness activities. Results of this research indicate that human resource management activities are the most needed preparedness activities to mitigate the risk of cyclone disasters in the Indian context. Lastly, sensitivity analysis has also accompanied to reveal the importance of weighing on the ranking of preparedness activities.

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Notes

  1. The International Federation of Red Cross and Red Crescent Societies (IFRC) is the world’s largest humanitarian network that reaches 150 million people in 190 National Societies through the work of over 17 million volunteers (IFRC 2012).

  2. OXFAM started in 1942 as the Oxford Committee for Famine Relief, a wartime campaign against starvation and homelessness that sowed the seeds for a worldwide humanitarian movement. Currently, around the globe, Oxfam works to find practical, innovative ways for people to lift themselves out of poverty and thrive.

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Acknowledgements

Authors world like to express their sincere gratitude to the experts from Odisha State Disaster Management Authority (OSDMA), Indian Red Cross Society, and IAG Odisha for their kind support. Author also extends acknowledge to two anonymous reviewers for their constructive suggestion to improve this manuscript.

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Authors and Affiliations

  1. School of Mechanical Sciences, Indian Institute of Technology Bhubaneswar, Bhubaneswar, Odisha, India

    Devendra K. Yadav

  2. Department of Mechanical Engineering, Maulana Azad National Institute of Technology (MANIT) Bhopal, Bhopal, India

    Akhilesh Barve

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Appendices

Appendix

Dear Sir/Madam,

I am Devendra K. Yadav, a Research Scholar in the School of Mechanical Sciences at Indian Institute of Technology Bhubaneswar (IIT Bhubaneswar). I am conducting a research on ‘Cyclone preparedness measures of humanitarian supply chains in the Indian Context.’ As a part of this research, I am carrying out this survey to identify and quantify the humanitarian supply chains preparedness activities in mitigating cyclone risk in Odisha.

Therefore, I request you to participate in this survey and provide your valuable inputs that would help us to figure out the important preparedness activities in Odisha. This research is conducted purely for academic purposes. We assure you all the responses would be kept strictly confidential.

Respondent profile

This section asks some questions about you. The information you share with us will be used for research purpose only.

  1. (a)

    Name (optional): ……………………………………………………………………

  2. (b)

    Email (optional): ……………………………………………………………………….

  3. (c)

    Gender (i) Male [] (ii) Female []

  4. (d)

    Age group

    1. (i)

      15–25 [] (ii) 26–35 []

    2. (iii)

      36–50 [] (iv) 51–60 []

  5. (e)

    Education level

    1. (i)

      High School [] (ii) Higher secondary []

    2. (ii)

      Graduate [] (iv) Postgraduate and above []

  6. (f)

    Organization………………………………………………………………..

  7. (g)

    Organization you work with

    1. (i)

      Central Government [] (ii) State Govt. [] (iii) NGOs []

    2. (iv)

      International Organization [] (v) Others ………………………

  8. (h)

    Your role in organization…………………………………………………

  9. (i)

    Your association with disaster management activities (in years)

    1. (i)

      0–5 years [] (ii) 5–10 years []

    2. (iii)

      10–20 years [] (iv) 20 and above []

  10. (j)

    Type of disaster managed by you in last 5 years

    1. (i)

      Flood [] (ii) Cyclone []

    2. (ii)

      Flood and Cyclone (both) [] (iv) Other…………

Humanitarian supply chain preparedness activities

Here, we are asking some questions about the important cyclone preparedness criteria and activities. You can respond your answer in the form of marking a tick in the appropriate box. There are five options against each factor/variable. The notation and their meanings are as given below:

Strongly disagree

Disagree

Partially agree

Agree

Strongly agree

1

2

3

4

5

Please rank the importance of criteria of cyclone preparedness activities

S. no.

Criteria

1

2

3

4

5

i

Effective and immediate response

     

ii

Last mile connectivity

     

iii

Disaster resilient community

     

iv

Risk and vulnerability reduction

     

v

Life safety and property protection

     

vi

Sustainable recovery and rehabilitation

     

vii

Enhancing climate change adaptation capabilities

     

Please mention the importance of various pre-cyclone preparedness activities:

S. no.

Infrastructure

1

2

3

4

5

i

Construction of warehouses (godowns) and relief distribution centers

     

ii

Construction and maintenance of cyclone-resistance public building (cyclone shelters, schools, hospitals, etc.)

     

iii

Arrangement of power, water and toilet facilities at safe shelters

     

iv

Construction and maintenance of all-weather roads, canals, and drainage in low-lying areas

     

v

Construction and maintenance of embankments

     

S. no.

Early warning system

1

2

3

4

5

i

Improvement in existing meteorological observational and communication system

     

ii

Ensuring timely collection of early warning information and unified command system

     

iii

Arrangement of multiple channels to disseminate fail-proof multi-lingual warning for community at risk

     

iv

Documentation of weather related information and developing vulnerability maps

     

v

Establishment high-frequency wireless network system

     

S. no.

Resource management

1

2

3

4

5

i

Preparing financial resources for quick disaster response

     

ii

Arrangement for donation management

     

iii

Inventory of relief materials at strategic locations

     

iv

Hospital capacity planning for emergencies

     

v

Procurement of necessary essential equipment/items for relief

     

S. no.

Process management

1

2

3

4

5

i

Supplier selection for relief item supplies (preferably local suppliers)

     

ii

Preparing response plan in coordination with other humanitarian organizations

     

iii

Selection of strategic/alternate routes and safe locations (evacuation plan)

     

iv

Arrangement of vehicles for evacuation and relief distribution

     

v

Encourage trust and commitment throughout the logistics chain

     

S. no.

Human resource management

1

2

3

4

5

i

Strengthening of disaster management organizations

     

ii

Training of personnel and stakeholders to respond to disasters

     

iii

Arrangement of security and volunteers for safe transportation and distribution of relief aid

     

iv

Strategic collaboration with national and international disaster relief organizations

     

v

Hiring disaster experts

     

S. no.

Community awareness

1

2

3

4

5

i

Educating communities to recognize specific pre-disaster events and to respond appropriately

     

ii

Assessing vulnerabilities of communities and mapping of critical facilities

     

iii

Disaster planning by local governments and NGOs, in collaboration with local communities (enhancing community participation)

     

iv

Regular mock drills in coastal regions

     

v

Encouraging household preparedness programs for vulnerable communities

     

vi

Establishment of community center

     

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Yadav, D.K., Barve, A. Prioritization of cyclone preparedness activities in humanitarian supply chains using fuzzy analytical network process. Nat Hazards 97, 683–726 (2019). https://doi.org/10.1007/s11069-019-03668-3

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  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s11069-019-03668-3

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