Skip to main content
Log in

Regionalizing precipitation in Iran using GPCC gridded data via multivariate analysis and L-moment methods

  • Original Paper
  • Published:
Theoretical and Applied Climatology Aims and scope Submit manuscript

Abstract

This study presents a spatial clustering of precipitation in Iran based on gridded data from the Precipitation Climatology Centre from 1951 to 2007. After standardizing the data, two multivariate methods of factor analysis and cluster analysis were used to derive primary homogeneous regions. Then, two statistical tests based on the concepts of L-moments were applied to examine the homogeneity of clusters and the discordancy of their member(s). Next, the geographical similarities of different parts of Iran were considered to move heterogeneous points to other clusters. These two steps were repeated to derive clusters that passed both tests. Finally, for each final cluster (region), the best probability distribution function was determined for frequency analysis. The results showed that, in terms of precipitation, Iran can be categorized into eight main probabilistic homogenous regions, and the Wakeby probability distribution function was chosen for half of them.

This is a preview of subscription content, log in via an institution to check access.

Access this article

Price excludes VAT (USA)
Tax calculation will be finalised during checkout.

Instant access to the full article PDF.

Fig. 1
Fig. 2
Fig. 3
Fig. 4
Fig. 5
Fig. 6

Similar content being viewed by others

References

  • Akhter Y, Mahsin MD, Mohaimin MZ (2012) An application of factor analysis gross domestic product data of Bangladesh. Bangladesh e-J Sociol 9(1):6–18

    Google Scholar 

  • Alijani B, Harman TR (1985) Synoptic climatology of precipitation in Iran. Ann Assoc Am Geogr 75(3):404–416

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Alijani A, O’Brien J, Yarnal B (2008) Spatial analysis of precipitation intensity and concentration in Iran. Theor Appl Climatol 94:107–124. doi:10.1007/s00704-007-0344-y

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Boyacioglu H, Gunduz O (2005) Application of factor analysis in the assessment of surface water quality in Buyuk Menderes river basin. Eur Water 9(10):43–49

    Google Scholar 

  • Burn DH, Goel NK (2000) The formation of groups for regional flood frequency analysis. Hydrol Sci J Sci Hydrol 45(1):97–112

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Dezfuli AK (2011) (2011) Spatio-temporal variability of seasonal rainfall in western equatorial Africa. Theor Appl Climatol 104:57–69. doi:10.1007/s00704-010-0321-8

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Dezfuli AK, Karamouz M, Araghinejad S (2010) On the relationship of regional meteorological drought with SOI and NAO over southwest Iran. Theor Appl Climatol 100:57–66

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Di Balldassarre G, Castellarin A, Brath A (2006) Relationships between statistics of rainfall extremes and mean annual precipitation: an application for design-storm estimation in northern central Italy. Hydrol Earth Syst Sci 10:589–601

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Dinku T, Connor SJ, Ceccato P, Ropelewski CL (2008) Comparison of global gridded precipitation products over a mountainous region of Africa. Int Climatol 11:2960–2979

    Google Scholar 

  • Dinpashoh Y, Fakheri-Fard A, Moghaddam M, Jahanbakhsh S, Mirnia M (2004) Selection of variables for the purpose of regionalization of Iran’s precipitation climate using multivariate methods. J Hydrol 297:109–123

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Fernandez Mills G (1995) Principal component analysis of precipitation and rainfall regionalization in Spain. Theor Appl Climatol 50:169–183

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Heise B, Bobertz B, Harff J (2010) Classification of the Pearl River estuary via principal component analysis and regionalization, J Coast Res, pp.769- 779

  • Hosking JRM, Wallis JR (1991) Regional frequency analysis using L-moments. Research Rep. Watson Research Center, IBM Research Division, Yorktown Heights

    Google Scholar 

  • Hosking JRM, Wallis JR (1993) Some statistics useful in regional frequency analysis. Water Resour Res 29(2):271–281

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Hotelling H (1933) Analysis of a complex of statistical variables into principal components. J Educ Psychol 24(417–441):498–520

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Johnson RA, Whichern DW (1992) Applied multivariate statistical methods, Third Edition. Prentice Hall

  • Johnson RA, Whichern DW (2002) Applied multivariate statistical analysis. Prentice Hall Inc., Upper Saddle River, NJ07458

    Google Scholar 

  • Kaiser HF (1960) The application of electronic computers to factor analysis. Edu & Psych Meas 20:141–151

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Kaiser HF (1970) A second generation little Jiffy. Psychometrika 35(4):401–415

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Kaiser HF, Rice J (1974) Little Jiffy Mark IV. Educ Psychol Meas, Vol. 34. No. 1

  • Kim JO, Mueller CW (1978) Factor analysis: statistical methods and practical issues. Sage Publications, Beverly Hills, Calif, HA29.Q35/VOL 14

    Google Scholar 

  • Kumar R, Chatterjee C (2005) Regional flood frequency analysis using L-Moments for north Barhamputra region of India. J Hydrol Eng ASCE 10:1–7

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Liu C-W, Lin K-H, Kuo Y-M (2003) Application of factor analysis in the assessment of groundwater quality in a black-foot disease area in Taiwan. Sci Total Environ 313:77–89

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Martins DS, Raziei T, Paulo AA, Pereira LS (2012) Spatial and temporal variability of precipitation and drought in Portugal. Nat Hazards Earth Syst Sci 12:1493–1501

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Marzban C, Sandgathe S (2005) Cluster analysis for verification of precipitation fields. Weather Forecast 21:824–838

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Modarres R (2008a) Regional frequency distribution type of low flow in North of Iran by L-Moments. Water Res Manage 22:823–841

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Modarres R (2008b) Regional maximum wind speed frequency analysis for the arid and semi-arid regions of Iran. J. Arid. Environ. 1329–1342

  • Modarres R, Sarhadi A (2011) Statistically-based regionalization of rainfall climates of Iran. Glob Planet Chang 75:67–75

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Raziei T, Bordi I, Pereira LS (2008) A precipitation-based regionalization for Western Iran and regional drought variability. Hydrol Earth Syst Sci 12:1309–1321

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Raziei T, Bordi I, Pereira LS (2011) An application of GPCC and NCEP/NCAR datasets for drought variability analysis in Iran. Water Resour Manage 25:1075–1086. doi:10.1007/s11269-010-9657-1

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Raziei T, Bordi I, Pereira LS, Sutera A (2010) Space-time variability of hydrological drought and wetness in Iran using NCEP/NCAR and GPCC datasets. Hydrol Earth Syst Sci 14:1919–1930

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Raziei T, Daryabari J, Bordi I, Pereira LS (2014) Spatial patterns and temporal trends of precipitation in Iran. Theor Appl Climatol 115:531–540. doi:10.1007/s00704-013-0919-8

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Raziei T, Saghafian B, Paulo AA (2009) Spatial patterns and temporal variability of drought in western Iran. Water Resour Manage 23:439–455. doi:10.1007/s11269-008-9282-4

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Reyment RA, Joreskog KG (1996) Applied factor analysis in the natural sciences. Cambridge University Press

  • Schneider U et al. (2013) GPCC’s new land surface precipitation climatology based on quality-controlled in situ data and its role in quantifying the global water cycle. Theor Appl Climatol

  • Serrano A, Garcia JA, Mateos VL, Cancillo ML, Garrido J (1998) Monthly modes of variation of precipitation over the Iberian Peninsula. J Clim 12:2894–2919

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Serrano SM, Moreno JL (2005) Hydrological response to different time scales of climatological drought: an evaluation of SPI in a mountainous Mediterranean basin. Hydrol Earth Syst Sci 9:523–533

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Singovszka E, Balintova M (2012) Application of factor analysis for evaluation surface water and sediment quality. Chem Eng Trans 26:183–188

    Google Scholar 

  • Soltani S, Modarresa R, Eslamian SS (2007) The use of time series modeling for the determination of rainfall climates of Iran. Int J Climatol 27:819–829. doi:10.1002/joc.1427

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Tortorelli RL, Rea A, Asquith WH (2005) Depth-duration frequency of precipitation for Oklahoma, USGS. Water Resour Invest Rep 99-4232

  • Yurekli K, Modarres R, Ozturk F (2009) Regional maximum rainfall estimation for Cekerec watershed by L-moments. Meteorol. Appl. 435–444. dx.doi.org/10.1007/s00704-013-0860-x.

Download references

Author information

Authors and Affiliations

Authors

Corresponding author

Correspondence to Alireza Shokoohi.

Rights and permissions

Reprints and permissions

About this article

Check for updates. Verify currency and authenticity via CrossMark

Cite this article

Sarmadi, F., Shokoohi, A. Regionalizing precipitation in Iran using GPCC gridded data via multivariate analysis and L-moment methods. Theor Appl Climatol 122, 121–128 (2015). https://doi.org/10.1007/s00704-014-1292-y

Download citation

  • Received:

  • Accepted:

  • Published:

  • Issue Date:

  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s00704-014-1292-y

Keywords

Navigation