Abstract
Background
The beneficial effects of first-line programmed death-1 (PD-1) inhibitors plus chemotherapy in patients with low programmed death-ligand 1 (PD-L1)-expressing advanced gastric or gastroesophageal junction (G/GEJ) adenocarcinoma are controversial.
Methods
We conducted a retrospective analysis of patients with G/GEJ adenocarcinoma who had undergone first-line treatment with PD-1 inhibitors plus chemotherapy between October 2017 and May 2022. The primary outcomes were objective response rate (ORR) and progression-free survival (PFS). SPSS software V27.0 was used for data analysis.
Results
Of 345 enrolled patients, 290 had measurable lesions. The overall ORR was 59.3%. PD-L1 status was available in 171 patients, and 67.8% of them were considered as low PD-L1 expression level (combined positive score (CPS) < 5). Patients with PD-L1 CPS < 5 showed a lower response rate (51.1% vs 70.8%, P = 0.024) and a worse PFS (P = 0.009) compared to those with PD-L1 CPS ≥ 5. In the PD-L1 low-expression cohort, patients with non-diffuse type, GEJ cancer, synchronous metastasis, distant lymph node metastasis, liver metastasis, non-peritoneal metastasis, and HER2 positive were significantly associated with higher response rates to PD-1 inhibitors plus chemotherapy (P < 0.05). The presence of peritoneal metastasis (P = 0.028) and diffuse type (P = 0.046) were identified as independent predictors of poor PFS in multivariate analysis of the PD-L1 CPS < 5 subgroup. When evaluated for correlation with overall survival (OS) in the PD-L1 low-expression subgroup, peritoneal metastasis was found to be the only independent prognostic factor of an increased risk of death (hazard ratio: 2.31, 95% CI 1.09–4.90; P = 0.029).
Conclusions
PD-L1 CPS ≥ 5 is significantly associated with improved response and extended PFS in G/GEJ cancer patients treated with a combination of PD-1 inhibitors and chemotherapy. Specific subgroups within the low PD-L1-expressing population, such as those with non-diffuse-type tumors and without peritoneal metastases, may also benefit from immunotherapy combined with chemotherapy.
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Introduction
Gastric cancer (GC) is the fifth most common malignancy and the fourth leading cause of cancer-related mortality [1]. The highest incidence area of GC is in Eastern Asia, while North America and Africa have the lowest incidence rates worldwide [2]. Histopathological examination is the gold standard to diagnose gastric cancer [3]. Owing to active early screening programs (such as endoscopy and Helicobacter pylori detection) and wide local excision, outcomes for GC patients have been improved [4]. However, many patients remain initially diagnosed at an advanced stage with a poor 5 years survival rate [5]. Cytotoxic chemotherapy is still the backbone treatment against advanced or metastatic gastric or gastroesophageal junction (G/GEJ) adenocarcinoma, with a median overall survival (OS) of 10–12 months [6]. Understanding the molecular profiling of G/GEJ cancer promotes the development of targeted therapies. For human epidermal receptor 2 (HER2) positive GC, the addition of trastuzumab to first-line chemotherapy improves survival [7]. Ramucirumab and apatinib also show positive results in previously treated advanced G/GEJ adenocarcinoma [8, 9]. However, cytotoxic chemotherapy and targeted agents still have limited efficacy in advanced or metastatic G/GEJ adenocarcinoma. New therapeutic options are required to improve patient survival.
Recently, immune checkpoint inhibitors (ICIs) have shown promising prospects in the treatment of several cancers [10]. Immune escape mediated by immune checkpoint proteins such as programmed death 1 (PD-1) and cytotoxic T-lymphocyte antigen 4 (CTLA-4) greatly contributes to the occurrence and development of tumors [11, 12]. The interaction of PD-1 and its ligand programmed death-ligand 1 (PD-L1) negatively regulates T-cell activity and creates an immunosuppressive environment [13, 14]. ICIs enhance the antitumor effect of T cells by blocking the interaction of immune checkpoint proteins with their ligands [15]. ICIs targeting the PD-1/PD-L1 pathway, such as nivolumab and sintilimab, have been proved to show good antitumor activity and safety in advanced G/GEJ adenocarcinoma [16, 17]. PD-L1 expression level has been validated as a predictive biomarker for the efficacy of ICIs across various tumor types. The combined positive score (CPS) and tumor proportion score (TPS) are the commonly used approaches to quantify PD-L1 expression. The CPS, defined as the ratio of PD-L1-stained cells (including tumor cells, lymphocytes, and macrophages) to the total number of viable tumor cells, is a more sensitive prognostic biomarker in GC [18]. A meta-analysis summarizing data from 12 clinical trials in G/GEJ cancer found that ICI monotherapy did not provide survival benefits in the PD-L1 negative population, and its efficacy improved incrementally with increasing CPS [19].
Preclinical investigations indicated that chemotherapy may boost immune response by tumor immunogenicity improvement, proinflammatory cytokines stimulation, immunosuppressive cell elimination, and reduced cytotoxic T-cell exhaustion [12, 20]. Owing to the potential antitumor synergism of immunotherapy and chemotherapy, their combinational efficacy in cancer treatment has been investigated. For advanced G/GEJ adenocarcinoma, data from five phase III randomized controlled trials were available; the effects of PD-1 inhibitor plus chemotherapy were compared with chemotherapy alone in the first-line setting [16, 21,22,23,24]. In the CheckMate 649 trial, superior OS and progression-free survival (PFS) benefits were reported for PD-L1 CPS ≥ 5, PD-L1 CPS ≥ 1, and all randomized patients who had received nivolumab plus chemotherapy; the benefits were enriched in patients with PD-L1 CPS ≥ 5 tumors [21]. Subgroup analysis by PD-L1 CPS did not inform in the CheckMate 649 trial, leaving the clinical efficacy of immunochemotherapy in low PD-L1-expressing G/GEJ adenocarcinoma unclear. Zhao et al. [25] used KMSubtraction to retrieve unreported PD-L1 subgroup data from the CheckMate 649 trial. The results suggested that adding nivolumab to chemotherapy in the low PD-L1-expressing subgroup (CPS 1–4; OS: hazard ratio [HR] 0.950, 95%CI 0.747–1.209) did not provide additional advantages [25]. Comparatively, the National Comprehensive Cancer Network (NCCN) guidelines only recommended anti-PD-1 antibody plus chemotherapy as the first-line treatment for advanced gastric cancer patients with PD-L1 CPS ≥ 5. Other studies, such as KEYNOTE-062 trial, patients with PD-L1 CPS ≥ 1 did not exhibit any survival benefits when receiving pembrolizumab combined with chemotherapy compared to chemotherapy alone [23]. The ORIENT-16 study verified that sintilimab plus chemotherapy was a better choice than chemotherapy, with longer survival in the PD-L1 CPS ≥ 5 cohort and in the whole group [16]. Therefore, it is debatable whether patients with low PD-L1-expressing G/GEJ adenocarcinoma can benefit from the anti-PD-1-chemotherapy combination.
Here, in this retrospective analysis, we investigated the clinical outcomes of first-line PD-1 inhibitors plus chemotherapy in PD-L1 CPS < 5 cohort and all enrolled G/GEJ adenocarcinoma patients. Further biomarker exploration for survival and efficacy prediction was also performed. These investigations would promote precise and cost-effective treatment with fewer adverse events.
Methods
Patients
A retrospective study was conducted by enrolling patients with G/GEJ adenocarcinoma who received PD-1 inhibitor plus chemotherapy as first-line treatment between October 2017 and May 2022 at Sun Yat-sen University Cancer Center (SYSUCC). The inclusion criteria for eligible patients were as follows: histologically confirmed G/GEJ adenocarcinoma, first-line therapy with anti-PD-1 antibody in combination with chemotherapy, and at least one treatment course with PD-1 inhibitor. The exclusion criteria included evidence of a second primary tumor and prior treatment with any ICIs. Some patients were previously recruited to the nivolumab and chemotherapy group of the CheckMate 649 trial.
Ethics approval and consent to participate
This study was performed in accordance with the Declaration of Helsinki Protocols and was approved by the Ethics Committee of SYSUCC. As a retrospective study, the informed consent was waived.
Clinical data extraction
Clinical data were extracted from medical records to identify potential prognostic factors, including age, sex, Eastern Cooperative Oncology Group Performance Status (ECOG PS), histological type, number and location of metastatic organs, and degree of differentiation. Baseline (within 1 week before starting ICIs and chemotherapy) and post-treatment (within 7 days of the first efficacy evaluation time) blood test results of lymphocyte, neutrophil, monocyte, and platelet counts were collected to calculate the neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR), monocyte-to-lymphocyte ratio (MLR), and platelet-to-lymphocyte ratio (PLR).
Molecular biomarkers
Formalin-fixed paraffin-embedded tissue samples were used to assess the signals of molecular biomarkers including HER2, PD-L1, and EBV. HER2 status was detected by immunohistochemistry (IHC) staining with a monoclonal anti-HER2 primary antibody (4B5, VENTANA, USA) and fluorescence in situ hybridization (FISH) using a Jin Pujia GP HER2 probe kit (Beijing Jin Pujia Medical Technology Company Limited, Beijing, China). HER2 IHC staining was scored from 0 to 3+ , with 0 (no staining or faint membrane staining in < 10% of tumor cells), 1+ (weak membrane staining in ≥ 10% of tumor cells), 2+ (weak to moderate basolateral, lateral, or complete membrane staining in ≥ 10% of tumor cells), and 3+ (strong basolateral, lateral, or complete membrane staining in ≥ 10% of tumor cells). IHC 2+ with HER2 gene amplification confirmed by FISH and IHC 3+ were regarded as HER2 positive. HER2 gene amplification was defined as a HER2/chromosome enumeration probe 17 (CEP17) ratio ≥ 2.0 in tumor cells [26]. IHC for PD-L1 was performed using an anti-PD-L1 monoclonal antibody (E1L3N; cell signaling technology, USA). PD-L1 expression was evaluated using the combined positive score (CPS), defined as the number of PD-L1-stained cells (tumor cells, lymphocytes, and macrophages) divided by the total number of viable tumor cells, multiplied by 100. EBV status was determined using an EBV-encoded RNA (EBER) in situ hybridization kit (Beijing Zhongshan Jinqiao Biotechnology Company Limited, Beijing, China). Brown–yellow stained nuclei were reliable EBER-positive staining.
Data on MMR status, microsatellite instability (MSI) type, and tumor mutation burden (TMB) were directly collected from medical records, if available. Tumors expressing MLH1, MSH2, MSH6, and PMS2 were considered MMR-proficient (P-MMR), while those with a lack of expression of any of these were considered as MMR-deficient (D-MMR) tumors. Next-generation sequencing (NGS)-based assays were used to determine MSI types, including MSI-high (MSI-H), MSI-ambiguous, and microsatellite stable (MSS). TMB refers to the total number of somatic mutations in the coding area of the tumor genome as indels per megabase (Mb). Tissue TMB ≥ 10 mutations/Mb was defined as TMB-high.
Helicobacter pylori infection
Serological examination was performed using the MP Diagnostics ASSURE H. pylori Rapid Test (MP Biomedicals Asia Pacific Pte Ltd, Singapore) to confirm H. pylori infection status. Archival serum samples collected within 1 week before the initial first-line treatment were acquired. Serum and buffer were added according to the operating procedure. The results were recorded after 15 min. Three bands were observed on the reaction board, of which band “A” was used for quality control, band “B” was considered as the current infection marker (CIM), and “C” was the test band. Current H. pylori infection was confirmed by the presence of “A,” “B,” and “C.” A negative result was defined as only the band “A” being visible. All test results were diagnosed by two investigators.
Outcome evaluation
Tumor response was assessed according to the Response Evaluation Criteria in Solid Tumors (RECIST) V.1.1, by comparing images of patients with measurable lesions, every 6 weeks. Responders were defined as patients with the best overall response of complete response (CR) or partial response (PR). Non-responders included those with stable disease (SD) or progressive disease (PD). Objective response rate (ORR) was defined as the proportion of responders. Progression-free survival (PFS) was calculated from the date of initiation of ICIs plus chemotherapy to the date of disease progression, last follow-up, or death due to any cause. OS was defined as the period from the date of the first administration of ICIs plus chemotherapy until the last follow-up or death for any reason.
Statistical analysis
For baseline characteristics, the Student’s t test was used to examine differences between two groups of quantitative data with normal distribution, while those with non-normal distribution utilized the Mann–Whitney U test. The chi-square test or Fisher’s exact test was applied to compare the qualitative variables. Comparative analysis for ORR was performed using the chi-square test or Fisher’s exact test, depending on the clinical and molecular characteristics. Survival curves were plotted using the Kaplan–Meier method and compared using the log-rank test. Univariate and multivariate Cox proportional hazard models were established to examine the relationship between potential biomarkers and survival outcomes by calculating HRs with 95% confidence intervals (CIs). The median was selected as the cutoff value for NLR, MLR, and PLR. A ratio above the cutoff value was defined as the high-value group. SPSS software V27.0 was used for data analysis, and graphs were plotted using GraphPad Prism software V9.1.1. All tests were two-sided, and P < 0.05 was considered statistically significant.
Results
Patient characteristics
A total of 345 patients were enrolled in this retrospective analysis, 290 of whom had measurable lesions. Supplementary Table S1 summarizes the baseline characteristics of the whole population. Representative immunohistochemistry staining images (20×) of the PD-L1, EBER, and HER2 are shown in Fig. 1. PD-L1 expression levels were assessed in 171 patients. 116 individuals were confirmed to have low PD-L1 expression levels (CPS < 5), with 94 of them having measurable lesions. The baseline features of patients with PD-L1 CPS < 5 and PD-L1 CPS ≥ 5 are compared and described in Supplementary Table S2. In PD-L1 CPS < 5 cohort, the median age was 57 (range 25–75) years, and 62.1% of the patients were male. The majority (98.3%) of patients with low PD-L1 expression had an ECOG PS of 0 or 1. The peritoneum was the most common metastatic site, accounting for 57.8% of the total, followed by the distant lymph node (48.3%) and the liver (34.5%). Of 57 H. pylori infection status evaluable low PD-L1-expressing patients, 35 (61.4%) were positive. HER2 positivity was confirmed in 21 (18.3%) of the 115 detectable patients, and 1 was EBV-positive (1.1%) of the 92 examined cases. MMR status were available for 97 patients; all of them had P-MMR tumors. One (3.7%) of the 33 patients had high TMB. When compared to the population with PD-L1 CPS ≥ 5, the cohort with PD-L1 CPS < 5 exhibited a lower rate of EBV positivity and lymph node metastasis occurrence, but showed an increased incidence of peritoneal metastasis.
Efficacy and survival in the total population
The tumor response rates were evaluated in 290 patients with measurable lesions. The numbers of patients with the best overall responses as CR, PR, SD, and PD were 14 (4.8%), 158 (54.5%), 93 (32.1%), and 25 (8.6%), respectively. Therefore, the overall ORR was 59.3%. Supplementary Table S3 shows the association between clinicopathological features and ORR in all enrolled patients. Synchronous metastasis (63.3%, P = 0.004), non-diffuse type (68.5%, P = 0.001), male (63.8%, P = 0.033), liver metastasis (67.2%, P = 0.022), lymph node metastasis (66.1%, P = 0.002), HER2 positive (79.2%, P = 0.001), and PD-L1 CPS \(\ge\) 5 (70.8%, P = 0.024) were clinicopathologic factors significantly associated with higher response rates to ICI plus chemotherapy. Patients with peritoneal metastasis showed poorer response rates than those without (41.9% vs 72.3%, P < 0.001).
The median PFS and OS were 8.7 months (95% CI, 7.8–9.5) and 21.5 months (95% CI, 16.5–26.4), respectively (Fig. 2A, B). Univariate and multivariate Cox analyses revealed that the presence of peritoneal metastasis (P = 0.018), PLR-high (P = 0.018), diffuse type (P = 0.018), HER2-negative status (P = 0.048), and PD-L1 CPS < 5 (P = 0.009) were identified as independent indicators of poor PFS (Supplementary Table S4). Peritoneal metastasis was the only significant predictor of an increased risk of death (HR 2.17, 95% CI 1.12–4.20; P = 0.022) (Supplementary Table S5).
Efficacy in patients with PD-L1 CPS < 5
The low PD-L1-expressing subgroup got a 51.1% response rate to PD-1 inhibitors plus chemotherapy. Next, we tried to determine what kinds of patients may benefit more from immunochemotherapy when the PD-L1 CPS < 5 (Table 1). Higher response rates were observed in patients with non-diffuse type than in those with diffuse type (70.6% vs 28.6%, P < 0.001) and synchronous metastasis than in those with metachronous metastasis (60.8% vs 15.0%, P < 0.001). GEJ cancer achieved an ORR of 100.0%, which was markedly higher than that of gastric cancer (45.2%; P = 0.001). Compared with patients without lymph node or liver metastasis, those with such conditions had significantly higher response rates. However, patients with peritoneal metastasis showed worse responses than those without metastasis (29.8% vs 72.3%, P < 0.001). Baseline NLR/MLR/PLR and H. pylori infection status were not predictive of ORR. HER2 was the sole molecular pathological factor associated with response. The ORRs for HER2-positive versus HER2-negative tumors were 80.0% and 43.8%, respectively (P = 0.004). Patients who possessed at least one of the following traits (non-diffuse type, HER2-positive status, and/or absence of peritoneal metastasis) had greater ORRs than those without (64.1% vs 23.1%, P < 0.001).
Progression-free survival in patients with PD-L1 CPS < 5
The median PFS in patients with PD-L1 low expression was 7.5 months (95% CI, 6.2–8.7) (Fig. 2C). Kaplan–Meier curves for PFS according to clinicopathological characteristics are shown in Fig. 3. Significantly inferior PFS was observed in patients with diffuse-type tumors in comparison with non-diffuse-type tumors (median 5.77 vs 10.40 months, P < 0.001), female compared to male (median 6.17 vs 9.23 months, P = 0.020), PLR-high than PLR-low (median 6.83 vs 9.23 months, P = 0.019), and MLR-high instead of MLR-low (median 7.10 vs 8.67 months, P = 0.045). PFS was shortened if peritoneal metastasis existed (median 6.83 vs 12.10 months, P < 0.001). As for molecular factors, HER2 positive (median 14.50 vs 6.97 months, P = 0.001) was found to predict longer PFS. There were no significant differences among the different TMB levels and H. pylori infection status.
Kaplan–Meier curves of progression-free survival according to sex (A), histology (B), peritoneal metastasis (C), HER2 (D), baseline PLR (E), and baseline MLR (F) in the PD-L1 CPS < 5 population. PD-L1, programmed death-ligand 1; CPS, combined positive score; HER2, human epidermal growth factor receptor 2; PLR, platelet-to-lymphocyte ratio; MLR, monocyte-to-lymphocyte ratio
Univariate Cox analysis showed that peritoneal metastasis, sex, PLR, MLR, histology, and HER2 expression level were significantly associated with PFS (Table 2). Two independent predictors of poor PFS were found by multivariate analysis: the presence of peritoneal metastasis (HR 1.80, 95% CI 1.07–3.04; P = 0.028) and diffuse type (HR 1.72, 95% CI 1.01–2.91; P = 0.046).
Overall survival in patients with PD-L1 CPS < 5-
The median OS reached 17.9 months (95% CI, 15.5–20.2) in this study (Fig. 2D). Enhanced OS benefit was revealed in patients with non-diffuse type than diffuse type (median 25.83 vs 14.50 months, P = 0.012), low baseline NLR than high baseline NLR (median 21.77 vs 15.00 months, P = 0.033), and baseline MLR-low than baseline MLR-high (median 25.83 vs 15.00 months, P = 0.027) (Fig. 4). The development of peritoneal metastasis was related to worse OS compared to those who did not (median 15.00 vs 21.77 months, P = 0.021). No significant differences were observed between the groups stratified by HER2 expression (P = 0.051); however, HER2-positive patients got a median survival of 26.33 months, whereas HER2-negative patients only had a median survival of 16.20 months. After univariate and multivariate Cox analyses (Table 3), peritoneal metastasis was the only independent prognostic factor associated with a shorter survival period (HR 2.31, 95% CI 1.09–4.90; P = 0.029).
Discussion
Immune evasion is a hallmark of tumorigenesis and development [27]. In particular, PD-1/PD-L1 pathway mediated immunosuppression has become a focus point of interest [28]. Elevated expression of PD-L1 on tumor cells can promote T-cell anergy and apoptosis, resulting in reduced tumor-specific immunity and tumor progression [29]. The advent of PD-1/PD-L1 inhibitors is a revolutionary breakthrough in cancer therapy, with promising application prospects in a variety of tumors. In G/GEJ adenocarcinoma, the indications for ICIs targeting the PD-1/PD-L1 pathway have gradually progressed from third-line to first-line treatment, establishing their important role in advanced systemic therapy. PD-1 inhibitor plus chemotherapy has been approved as the standard first-line treatment for advanced G/GEJ adenocarcinomas, with response rates fluctuating between 50 and 65% [16, 21]. However, the NCCN guidelines recommended this regimen for the PD-L1 CPS ≥ 5 population and the FDA for the entire population. There is ongoing debate about its efficacy in patients with low PD-L1 expression. Several clinical trials have performed subgroup analyses based on PD-L1 CPS cutoff values of 1, 5, and 10 in treatment-naive advanced G/GEJ adenocarcinomas; nevertheless, inconsistent outcomes were observed [21, 23]. In this study, we first investigated the efficacy and survival of immunochemotherapy in the total population and confirmed the benefit superiority of PD-L1 CPS ≥ 5 population compared to PD-L1 CPS < 5. In patients with low PD-L1 expression, we still found that 51.1% of patients responded to the combination of PD-1 inhibitors and chemotherapy. Biomarker exploration revealed characteristics of potential beneficiaries in PD-L1 low-expression cohort.
Peritoneal metastasis is a common metastatic pattern in advanced G/GEJ adenocarcinomas, suggesting a poor prognosis. The association between peritoneal metastasis and the benefits of immunochemotherapy in GC has not been clearly explained. Worse clinical outcomes of ICI monotherapy in patients with peritoneal disseminated GC have been observed in some retrospective studies, as well as in non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC) [30,31,32]. In a post hoc analysis of ATTRACTION-2, peritoneal metastasis negatively affected the therapeutic effect of nivolumab in GC salvage therapy [33]. Similarly, in this study, peritoneal metastasis was an independent risk factor for poor PFS and OS in both the overall population and the PD-L1 low-expression group receiving PD-1 inhibitors plus chemotherapy as first-line treatment. Possible reasons for this observation are the lower PD-L1 positivity and highly invasive behavior of GC with peritoneal dissemination [34, 35]. Liver metastasis is believed to restrain immunotherapy efficacy in some cancers, such as NSCLC and melanoma [36, 37]; our study revealed it to be a positive predictor of immunochemotherapy in gastric cancer.
GC can be divided into diffuse, intestinal, and mixed types, according to the Lauren classification system [38]. Diffuse-type GC generally exhibits more aggressive characteristics and a poorer prognosis than intestinal-type GC [39, 40]. The major classification of diffuse-type GC is the “genome stable type,” which is unresponsive to checkpoint inhibitors [41]. Our findings suggest worse efficacy of PD-1 inhibitor plus chemotherapy in diffuse-type G/GEJ cancer than in non-diffuse type across the entire cohort and PD-L1 CPS < 5 subgroup. Moreover, diffuse-type GC is associated with a higher risk of peritoneal metastasis [42].
PD-L1 expression, HER2 positive, EBV infection, D-MMR/MSI-H, and TMB-high are well-known biomarkers to predict response from PD-1 inhibitor single agents in the third-line setting [43]; however, their value in predicting response to immunochemotherapy is unknown. The relationship between PD-L1 expression levels and ICI efficacy has been demonstrated in several cancers [44, 45]. In our analysis, PD-L1 CPS ≥ 5 was significantly associated with a better response and longer PFS to PD-1 inhibitor plus chemotherapy in G/GEJ cancer patients, which was in accordance with the findings of CheckMate 649 and ORIENT-16 [16, 21]. Some members of the low PD-L1-expressing population, such as those with non-diffuse-type tumors and without peritoneal metastases, can benefit from immunotherapy coupled with chemotherapy. Therefore, we cannot give up the opportunity to undergo immunotherapy simply based on the PD-L1 CPS < 5.
The combination of ICIs with anti-HER2 therapy has synergistic effects on HER2-positive tumors [46, 47]. The results of two phase II clinical trials in patients with HER-positive advanced G/GEJ cancer showed that the combination of pembrolizumab, trastuzumab, and chemotherapy as the first-line treatment strategy exhibited ORRs of 91.0% [48] and 77.0% [49], respectively, and the phase III KEYNOTE-811 trial achieved a 74.4% response rate [50]. Similarly, we observed an 80.0% response rate in HER2-positive patients of the PD-L1 CPS < 5 subgroup, which was significantly higher than that observed in HER2-negative patients. In all enrolled participants, considerably prolonged PFS was seen in the HER2-positive group. Although the median time to progression of HER2-positive patients in the PD-L1 CPS < 5 population was twice that of HER2-negative patients, this difference was not statistically significant.
Interestingly, our analysis showed that low PD-L1-expressing patients exhibiting at least one of the following characteristics: non-diffuse type, HER2 positive, and/or absence of peritoneal metastasis, had higher response rates than those without any of these factors. Taken together, these results suggest that multifactorial combination is a more precise biomarker for efficacy prediction of PD-1 inhibitors plus chemotherapy.
Inflammatory markers in peripheral blood, including NLR, PLR, and MLR, have been reported as predictors of immunotherapy efficacy in different malignancies [51, 52]. A previous study found a correlation between baseline PLR and PFS in patients with advanced G/GEJ cancer receiving ICIs plus chemotherapy as first-line therapy [53]. Similarly, we found that high baseline PLR was an independent risk factor for PFS in the whole population. Helicobacter pylori seropositivity has been identified as a risk factor for poor immunotherapy response in NSCLC [54]. In gastric cancer, we failed to prove a relationship between H. pylori infection and the clinical outcomes of immunochemotherapy.
However, this study had some limitations. First, this was a retrospective study with a limited sample size based on data from a single institution. Second, information on PD-L1, HER2, MMR, EBV, H. pylori infection, and TMB was not available for some of the enrolled patients. Further prospective investigations are required to validate our findings.
Our research is a supplement to previously reported phase 3 trials exploring immunotherapy coupled with chemotherapy in the first-line setting of gastric cancer. Worse clinical outcomes to PD-1 inhibitors plus chemotherapy were observed in patients with low PD-L1-expressing G/GEJ adenocarcinoma compared with PD-L1 CPS ≥ 5 cohort. Meanwhile, we identified several clinical and molecular biomarkers that can be used alone or in combination with predict efficacy, especially in the PD-L1 CPS < 5 cohort. Peritoneal metastasis and Lauren classification can be used by clinicians to predict the efficacy of chemotherapy plus PD-1 blockade in patients with PD-L1 CPS \(<\) 5. New and precise predictive biomarkers are still required for G/GEJ adenocarcinoma patients receiving immunochemotherapy.
Data availability
Data are available upon reasonable request.
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Funding
This study was supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China (NSFC:82073377 and 82172748), Natural Science Foundation of Guangdong (2021A1515012439), Guangdong Esophageal Cancer Institute Science and Technology Program (grant number M201809), CSCO-HengRui Oncology Research Fund (grant number Y-HR2018-184), the third outstanding young talent training plan, and the Medical Scientist program of Sun Yat-sen University Cancer Center.
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Study design was analyzed by MQ, YS, and SL. Sample and data acquisition were analyzed by YS, ML, WG, and LY. Experimental procedures were done by SL, YS, XY, and LY. Statistical analyses were performed by YS, ML, WG, and MQ. Drafting of the manuscript was done by YT, SL, and ML. Guarantor was MQ and DY. Reviewing the manuscript was performed by MQ, WG, YL, FW, and DY. All authors have read and approved the final manuscript.
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Sun, YT., Lu, SX., Lai, MY. et al. Clinical outcomes and biomarker exploration of first-line PD-1 inhibitors plus chemotherapy in patients with low PD-L1-expressing of gastric or gastroesophageal junction adenocarcinoma. Cancer Immunol Immunother 73, 144 (2024). https://doi.org/10.1007/s00262-024-03721-6
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DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s00262-024-03721-6