Keywords

Introduction

The origins and evolution of human striding bipedalism have long been a focus of human palaeontology and evolutionary biomechanics. However, the fossil evidence for the evolution of the postcranial skeleton has not been an unambiguous source of information. Claims that morphological features taken as human adaptations for terrestrial bipedalism reduce effectiveness in arboreal climbing are challenged by the combination of both capabilities in several indigenous modern human populations (Venkataraman et al. 2013a, b). This is a clear demonstration of neurobiological degeneracy (Seifert et al. 2016) and the high variability necessary for dynamic systems (Davids et al. 2003). These two theories underpinning biomechanical movement and locomotor adaptation are reviewed in the references provided but are not discussed in great detail here due to the nature of this publication. Briefly, however, both concepts can be illustrated by the everyday phrase, “there are many ways to skin a cat”. Thus, the long femoral necks and small femoral heads together with flaring iliac crests found in many australopiths (McHenry 1975) (but due to high biological variability, emphatically not all), versus large femoral heads and short femoral necks with sigmoid, non-flaring iliac crests in ourselves, must be interpreted as reflecting naturally high variation in biological forms. Undoubtedly, the mechanics of hip adduction and abduction must have been different in some australopiths; however, variation in morphology may act to achieve the same biomechanical effect on joint systems in different ways. Take, for example, clear evidence of facultative upright bipedal behaviour in Gorilla gorilla (see, e.g. Watson et al. 2009). Gorilla morphology isn’t designed specifically for upright bipedalism, but natural biological variation permits it. Very few papers in primatology, hominin palaeontology and human and non-human ape ichnopalaeontology address variation in bone morphology and footprint topology within the context of the locomotor system. Small fossil samples are often described as key for understanding human locomotor evolution or morphofunctional behaviour. Such relationships are often claimed from the evidence of a single individual without including either morphological variation or facultative capabilities. It is more reasonable to recognize that high natural intra-individual facultative variation elicits high inter-individual morphofunctional variation at a population level and vice versa. Both are a consequence of complex neurobiological evolution in biological systems. A noteworthy exception to a general lack of investigation of variability, however, is Dunn et al. (2014) on the Gorilla talus.

Leading cognitive and ecological motor skills specialists address biomechanical variation anchored by the theoretical paradigms of dynamical systems (Thelen 1995, 2005; Davids et al. 2003; Bartlett et al. 2007) and neurobiological degeneracy (Edelman and Gally 2001; Seifert et al. 2016). These paradigms have been increasingly influential in biomechanics, especially sports science. However, hominin palaeontology has not yet taken these advances on board, while further being hampered by small sample size, which make it difficult to incorporate an understanding of the impact on variability in biological systems on evolutionary interpretations. For example, the biomechanical complexity involved in taking a step begins at the hip joint, a simple, single ball joint articulation, while the knee joint comprises the biarticular joint between femur and tibia and a third, sliding joint between the tibia and fibula. Thus, the knee joint is kinematically complex, with sliding (essentially planar), as well as rotatory motion. However, the structure predominantly concerned in transferring forces to the substrate (whether ground, branches or any other surface) is the foot. Here we face 26 bones (excluding sesamoids) which form 33 joints and are controlled by over 100 muscles, tendons and ligaments. Thus, given variation in the complexity of biomechanical forms, and a shortage of fossils, it is no wonder that functional interpretations of the evolution of the foot have been and still are interpreted in different and contradicting ways.

For example, the OH-8 Homo habilis foot has been described as (non-human) ape-like in some joints but not others (e.g. Kidd et al. 1996; and see Harcourt-Smith and Aiello 2004) but elsewhere more or less entirely humanlike in function (e.g. Day and Napier 1964). What humanlike in function implies for gait is obvious (habitually upright, striding steps), but what is the significance for gait of describing a foot as a mosaic of non-human ape-like and humanlike joints, when there are 33 joints to consider? In engineering parlance, such a complex system is described both as functionally redundant (there are many neuromechanical pathways to achieve a consistent motor pattern) and that its determinacy is low (it will be difficult to predict how the system will act in different iterations of the same task). Perhaps the most accessible review of these concepts as applied to biological systems can be found in Alexander (2003).

Since foot structure is so complex, and redundancy therefore so high, our confidence in eliciting functional information at a population level about species gait from comparisons of individual foot bones (e.g. Jungers et al. 2009; Ward et al. 2011) must be fairly low. There is some potential however to interpret biomechanical variability retrospectively from topological features of fossil footprint trails.Footnote 1 The basis of this potential is that a natural relationship between forces exerted on the ground by the foot, to balance, propel and control walking, and the consequent deformation of the ground could logically exist, given that

$$ p=\frac{F}{A} $$

where pressure (p) equals the amount of force (F) (the scalar of which is measured in Pascals (Pa)), acting per unit area (A) (Giancoli 2004). However, substrates, no matter their composition, will always reach a point at which maximum body weight is fully supported, and thus, the substrate stops deforming even though pressure is still being applied. Substrate composition at and below ground surface, substrate moisture content, even the electrical charge at the surface of substrate particles and a host of other factors can, however, be expected to interact with deforming forces delivered by the plantar surface of the foot. Thus, the shape of a footprint does not mirror the foot that made it due to substrate effects. We explored some of these interactions in Bates et al. (2013) (and see Supplementary Material) and concluded that the relationship of foot pressure and print depth varies with substrate compliance: substrate moisture and presence and depth of subsurface compaction levels, but also the mechanical requirements at toe off, influencing print topology.

A crucial recent discovery that of StW 573 Australopithecus prometheus, 3.67 Ma, which is over 90% complete (see e.g. Clarke 2019; Crompton et al. 2018) crucially, closely similar in date to the Laetoli footprint trails. The best known and most complete early human ancestor was Australopithecus afarensis, represented by the diminutive AL-288-1 Lucy skeleton, 3.4 Ma. Thus, despite her relatively late date, most locomotor interpretations of the Laetoli footprint trails have been based on the AL-288-1 Lucy skeleton (e.g. Crompton et al. 1998, 2012).

Since discovery of this partial (circa 30% complete) skeleton, her combination of humanlike knees with reconstructed limb proportions that were thought to indicate long arms and short legs, and her clear digital curvature, has fostered a long-term dispute on her locomotor behaviour. Some (e.g. Stern and Susman 1983, 1991; Stern et al. 1984) assert that these traits would have compromised her terrestrial bipedalism, so that she would have walked with a bent hip and knee (BHBK) posture and even a somewhat shuffling gait. Opposing are those who argue that she was an effective terrestrial biped and that the arboreal features are simply retained anachronisms (Latimer et al. 1987; Latimer and Lovejoy 1989; Latimer 1991).

Computer simulation and experimental studies have since shown that even her proportions as first reconstructed with effective fully upright bipedalism (e.g. Crompton et al. 1998; Kramer 1999; Kramer and Eck 2000) and that a BHBK gait in humans causes an unsustainable rise in core body temperature within 5 min of walking (Carey and Crompton 2005). Given the general similarity of muscular physiology in placental mammals, and all other things being equal, forwards dynamic modelling has, similarly, predicted BHBK gait to near double the metabolic costs of transport in Au. afarensis (Sellers et al. 2005; Nagano et al. 2005). More recently, other partial skeletons of this species, most notably KSD/VP 1-1 from Woranso-Mille (Lovejoy et al. 2016), but also other isolated bones or partial material from Afar (including material referred to AL-333, see, e.g. McHenry 1986), have shown that Lucy’s small stature and long forelimbs are the exception rather than the rule. In fact, analysis of the StW 573 longbones now suggests that AL-288-1 probably did not have particularly short legs in relation to arm length (Heaton et al. 2019). Au. afarensis now appears to be a very variable species both in stature and postcranial morphology, and this is further attested to by KSD/VP 1-1 being assigned to this species by Lovejoy et al. (2016).

To gain further enlightenment on the mode of locomotion in Au. afarensis, several groups have analysed the penecontemporaneous Laetoli footprint trails, holding that on the basis of the above-cited equation, footprint depth and topographical features must at the very least reflect foot-ground interactions. Early attempts focussed on features of single footprints chosen from the clearer G1 trail, and some declared that the footprints are essentially modern in character (Day and Wickens 1980; White 1980). Others argued that features such as a relatively abducted hallux with limited hallux print depth support a BHBK model for gait (Stern and Susman 1983). However, White and Suwa (1987) regard these features as taphonomic artifacts. This more than 30-year-old debate continues today.

Although it is now broadly accepted that selection of single prints for study is inappropriate, Meldrum and colleagues, as late as 2011, claim that a line in one footprint shows a chimpanzee-like mid-tarsal break, so claiming that Au. afarensis lacked a medial longitudinal arch (Meldrum et al. 2011). An opposing argument based on discussions with the chief taphonomist of the Laetoli footprint trails (pers. comm. Craig Feibel to RHC) suggests that this topographical feature is simply a product of natural sedimentological fracture in the substrate over time although this would require micro-sedimentological analysis to confirm. Statistical and biomechanical approaches to the Laetoli footprint trails have predicted the stride length, foot shape, body proportions and speed of the trackmaker (Alexander 1984; Reynolds 1987; Raichlen et al. 2010), and spatio-temporal characteristics of the same trail have been used as an analogy to predict speed of walking and energetic costs in Au. afarensis (to date, primarily AL-288-1) (Kramer and Eck 2000; Sellers et al. 2005).

Hatala et al. (2016) compared just 5 of the 11 taphonomically usable footprints from Laetoli G1 using an inappropriate regionalized (and hence anatomically biased, see, e.g. Pataky et al. 2011) topological analysis, to prints made by modern humans and bipedally walking chimpanzees. The authors concluded that topological features from the Laetoli G1 prints are evidence for a functionally unique locomotor mode. Specifically, the authors claim to be able to identify kinematic distinctions in foot and lower limb function and that the trackmaker probably walked with a more flexed knee posture, describing it as a form of bipedalism that was well developed but not equivalent (Hatala et al. 2016) to that of modern humans. Raichlen et al. (2010) found that a simple whole foot statistical comparison of heel and toe depths in the 11 usable prints indicated a fully upright posture. Crompton et al. (2012) used a rigorous combination of topographical whole foot statistical analysis and computer modelling to compare the mean tendency of the 11 usable G1 prints, predicting foot pressure in upright and BHBK gait. The authors conclude, similarly to Raichlen and colleagues, that they cannot have been made by an individual walking BHBK and were more likely left by an upright striding biped. Raichlen and Gordon’s (2017) preliminary statistical comparison of heel and toe depth confirms these findings for the more extensive Laetoli S series, which were made by individuals of greatly varying stature.

Recently, Bennett et al. (2016) made a broader comparison of the Laetoli G1 trail both to prints from Ileret, made presumptively by early African Homo erectus and to Holocene pastoralist footprints from Namibia. On the basis of footprint depth, substrate conditions at the time of footprint formation of the Namibian trails, which cross from drier sandy bank sediments, through muds, and back to drier bank deposits in an ancient streambed, bridged those at Laetoli (relatively shallow and only slightly moist) and Ileret (deep and wet muds). The Namibian trackways, made in the Holocene age, were made by presumptively habitually barefoot individuals, and given the alteration that footwear induces in human plantar pressure, they are an invaluable control. Using third-party open-source code to derive mean and median tendencies of the tracks, they conclude that there is functional stasis between the 3.66 Ma (Crompton et al. 2012) Laetoli G1 trails and the circa 1.5 Ma (Bennett et al. 2009) Ileret trails. Inasmuch as this implies a fully upright gait at the time of footprint formation at Laetoli G1, this study is in accord with both that of Raichlen et al. (2010) and Crompton et al. (2012). Each of these studies used at least twice as many G1 footprints as did Hatala et al. (2016), raising the possibility that sample size, and further possible loss of variability between footprints due to their subjective selection of only five footprints, could account for their very different interpretations.

Because of this contradiction, an extended statistical analysis of variability in footprint topology using pedobarographic statistical parametric analysis (pSPM) of the Laetoli G1, Ileret and Namibian fossil footprint trails in comparison with experimental modern human plantar pressure records is presented here.

Methods

We employ the robust method of statistical parametric mapping (SPM), a topographical statistical approach first developed by Friston et al. (1995) for functional brain imaging and extensively validated by that group (open source). The algorithms have been further developed for foot pressure studies and incorporated into our open-source software pedobarographic statistical parametric mapping (pSPM), which has been further and extensively validated (e.g. Pataky 2010; Pataky and Goulermas 2008; Pataky et al. 2008, 2011). In its analogous extension to footprint depth, statistical comparison of the samples also uses pixel-level pairwise t-tests (Pataky and Goulermas 2008; Pataky et al. 2008) but here after normalization by plantar surface maximum depths. Methods follow Crompton et al. (2012) and Bates et al. (2013) except that we now employ automated registration where possible and use an enhanced method for isolating and normalizing prints. These changes and a full description of the method are presented in Supplementary Material (Fig. 3.4, data processing prior to registration. Figures 3.5, 3.6, 3.7 and 3.8 diagramatically illustrate, registration and re-registration), together with all data processing and methodological sensitivity checks.

Results and Interpretations

Figure 3.1 presents the mean footprints and the results of topological statistical comparisons of 11 prints from the G1 trail at Laetoli (Leakey and Hay 1979; Leakey and Harris 1987), with 9 prints from the upper surface at Ileret (FwJj14E; Kenya) (Bennett et al. 2009), a 32 print sample from the Holocene trail at Walvis Bay, Namibia (Kinahan 1996; Morse et al. 2013), and a modern Western (thus habitually shoe wearing) dataset collected on a treadmill (N = 100 pressure records registered to create one mean print each from 10 individuals).

Habitually shod Western modern and presumably habitually unshod Holocene modern human footprints (Fig. 3.1a) show no areas of significant difference. The Ileret dataset differs significantly from that for modern Western humans (p = 0.000), (Fig. 3.1b) showing a deeper medial arch. The Laetoli mean shows significantly deeper medial arch and anterior heel impressions than the modern Western human mean (Fig. 3.1c) and significantly shallower hallucal impressions. The Ileret footprints are significantly different from the Holocene modern human mean (Fig. 3.1d), having a shallower medial arch and deeper distal toes, albeit under a small area in the midfoot (p = 0.044) and restricted to print edges. The latter could be the result of imperfect registration due to minor overall shape differences in the two populations or the subject dragging the foot from where it would have been sunken into the soft sediment. Most notably, the Holocene modern humans from Namibia and Laetoli means differ significantly (Fig. 3.1e) in only a very small area under the hallux. Finally, statistically significant differences between the Ileret and Laetoli means (Fig. 3.1f) exist in deeper impressions under small areas of MTH1, the hallux and the posterior medial heel.

Fig. 3.1
Six sets of contour maps, each with 3 footprints. The maps display footprints in color gradients with different values.

Statistical whole foot comparison of four footprint populations. The first and second footprint images in each comparison (a–f) are the mean image from the two species being compared. The third footprint image is the comparison of the two population means. The fourth footprint image is the inference plot determining the pixel-level locations of statistically significant differences between the two populations being compared; (a) habitually shod anatomically modern H. s. sapiens vs. habitually unshod H. s. sapiens; (b) habitually shod H. s. sapiens vs. early African Homo erectus footprints from Ileret; (c) habitually shod H. s. sapiens vs. Laetoli footprints; (d) presumptively habitually unshod (Namibia) H. s. sapiens vs. Ileret Homo erectus footprints; (e) habitually unshod H. s. sapiens vs. Laetoli footprints; (f) Ileret Homo erectus vs. Laetoli footprints. Inference plots represent the probability values for areas with statistically significant differences in footprint depth and are represented in the far-right column of each comparison. This column is blank in (a) designating no statistically significant differences in topology in this comparison

Visual inspection of the experimental footprints provided in the contribution by Hatala et al. (2016) reveals that similarities in the forefoot and hallux depths of their modern human and selected Laetoli footprints more than exist with their selected chimpanzee footprint. The statistically significant deeper medial midfoot impression in Laetoli (p = 0.000) than in Western modern humans (Fig. 3.1c), also reported by Hatala et al. (2016), could be attributed to the effect of habitual shoe wearing in Western modern humans, creating a higher medial arch in this group (Stolwijk et al. 2013). We have shown through experimental studies of the relationship of footprint depth to footprint morphology (Bates et al. 2013) that there is a clear tendency for deeper prints to have relatively deeper forefoot impressions. It is therefore likely that the statistically significant differences between Laetoli and Ileret (Fig. 3.1f), and Ileret and Holocene modern human footprints (Fig. 3.1d) sampled here, are attributable to the greater overall footprint depth at Ileret. (The Laetoli sample showed a mean of 31 mm, range 26–37 mm; for Ileret the mean maximum plantar depth was 49 mm, the range 24–94 mm; see Supplementary Material in additional footprint discussion.) Here, moisture content was likely higher, based on sidewall suction against the foot producing long narrow tracks; by this interpretation, the moisture content likely weakened the sediment in which the tracks were made (Craig 1997; Bennett et al. 2016). Similarly, the relatively greater number of deep prints from Holocene modern humans (from a wetter substrate, mean maximum plantar depth was 45 mm and range 23–77 mm) compared to Laetoli could readily account for deeper hallux impressions in Holocene human footprints. Crompton et al. (2012) used computer modelling to simulate contact pressures under the foot in upright and flexed knee walking. They showed that bent knee or flexed knee walking produced higher forefoot than hindfoot pressures because of the anterior shift of the centre of mass (CoM). Their analysis of a larger dataset including all of those prints analysed by Hatala et al. (2016) revealed consistently deeper hindfoot than forefoot impressions, indicating full extension at the knee during upright walking (Ferris et al. 1998; see Crompton et al. 2003, 2008 on the relationship between the heel-strike transient and extended knee postures in orangutans). While any comparison of human and Au. afarensis postcrania strongly suggests that the locomotor systems of the Laetoli trackmaker and modern humans form biomechanically distinct kinematic chains, this does not necessarily imply dramatically different external ability and function (Bock 1965, 1994; Laland et al. 2015; Seifert et al. 2016). This interpretation follows the expectations from effects due to high functional redundancy (Latash et al. 2002) and high degrees of freedom in the foot (e.g. Wolf et al. 2008), both natural and essential components to be considered in analyses of fossil footprint trails and explaining the difference between prints and between populations via high variability.

Figure 3.2 represents all prints in the Laetoli G1 sample used in this analysis alongside 11 consecutive p-images collected during treadmill walking from a healthy human at 1.1 m/s (McClymont et al. 2016). This figure is not a statistical comparison of relative depths (Laetoli) and plantar pressures (modern human) as the two samples were collected under completely different conditions. It is simply presented to visually demonstrate the variability in each step or fluctuations in foot-ground interactions during just 11 steps. While there are undeniable differences in foot shape and topography, they share similar variation in topology step-to-step. The Laetoli prints (Fig. 3.2a) are consistently deeper under the heel and lateral forefoot with steps 10 and 11 showing deeper depth under the whole forefoot than in previous steps. The human prints (Fig. 3.2b) despite being more consistent step-to-step due to the normalizing effects of the treadmill (Kang and Dingwell 2008) also show consistently high variability in pressure under the heel and MTH4, 3 and 1. We should note that the human subject does not represent the most variable subject from our Western human sample but instead the average. Again, this figure is not intended as a statistical comparison of relative depths and variability in pressure between the two subjects or across deep time. It is simply presented to visually illustrate the step-to-step variability of foot-ground interactions during locomotion despite two very different substrates and in a relatively tiny interpretive sample of only 11 footprints out of the thousands the individual took the day they were made. Tudor-Locke et al. (2017) showed that the average 20-year-old American male walks between 2247 and 12,334 and females 1755 and 9824 steps per day. This underlines the requirement of steps necessary to interpret the natural and characteristic patterns of variability that contribute to morphofunctional interpretations of the individual making fossil footprint trails.

The variation in relative depth in the sequence of 11 footprints reflects similar and thus normal biomechanical variation in stride dynamics in both the G1 trackmaker (Fig. 3.2a) following Alexander’s (2003) work (and see Wainwright 1991; Wainwright et al. 2002) and reflecting Bernstein’s (1967) classic description of human movement as ‘repetition without repetition’. That is, each movement task (e.g. step) is driven by a unique set of neural and motor patterns, temporarily assembled to produce a task outcome (Latash et al. 2002) based on the unique mechanics of each step and the substrate upon and environment in which it is taken. Thus, while each step is programmed by the suit of bipedal evolutionary traits, each step is unique. Thus, not only have we shown that there is intra-species variation in foot pressure within the great apes, sufficient for both Asian and African apes (orangutan and bonobo) to overlap in midfoot pressure patterns with habitually shoe-wearing humans (Bates et al. 2013), but our interpretations here are founded on intra-individual variation step-to-step, as predicted by Bernstein (1967) and Latash et al. (2002).

Fig. 3.2
Two sets of contour maps, each with 11 imprints. The maps display variations in depth in color gradients.

A visual representation of the variability in relative foot print depth (a) and plantar pressure (b); (a) footprint of whole foot pixel-level statistical topographical depth map of the Laetoli footprints used in this analysis, showing variable distribution of maximum depth step-to-step. Greatest depth is evident in combinations of heel, lateral midfoot and the lateral MTH5-2 step-to-step; (b) 11 consecutive registered whole foot pixel-level statistical pressure images collected from a treadmill walking trial at 1.1 m/s in H. s. sapiens. Areas in yellow are areas of highest variability (mean square error (MSE)) step-to-step. Greatest pressure is consistently evident in combinations of heel and lateral MTH4-1

As mentioned earlier a very serious limitation in the analysis of fossil footprint data is sample size. Figure 3.3 (below) simulates the possible effects of Hatala et al.’s (2016) subjective selection of just 5 G1 footprints, by sampling the first, middle and last group of 5 prints from the 11 used here and available for ready analysis (Raichlen et al. 2010; Crompton et al. 2012). Indeed, as Hatala et al. (2016) observed, modern humans consistently have a deeper impression in the forefoot than that of the Laetoli hominin, irrespective of which sample is selected. However, the last final comparison in set (Fig. 3.2c) shows (considerably smaller) areas of the midfoot and anterior heel, where it is the Laetoli prints which are deeper. Thus, interpreting topological differences between the G1 prints is not immune to a subjective choice of prints, raising concerns about the conclusions of Hatala et al. (2016). On the assumption that footprints are correlated with foot pressure, even given the interactions with substrate characteristics alluded to above and which we dealt with in detail in Bates et al. (2013), our concerns are very deeply amplified by new data concerning the sample size required to reliably characterize human gait. Arts and Bus (2011) recommend only 12 steps per foot for clinical assessment of plantar pressure. Sample sizes of as little as 10, and at most 50, are commonly used to assess gait parameters including pressure and kinematics in clinical practice. The higher value of 50 slightly mitigates the effect of step-to-step variability that would otherwise perhaps lead to false interpretations, due to the high variability step-to-step (McClymont et al. 2016). Owings and Grabiner (2003) however have demonstrated that sample sizes of over 100 steps are needed to reliably characterize an individual’s kinematics, to within 95% confidence. Equally, McClymont (2017) showed through a Monte Carlo subsampling analysis of random samples of >2000 footprints per subject that the individual trial N typically collected in plantar pressure studies in the literature (N = 10–50 p-images) produces MSE ranges that are more than 50% higher than from when sampled from a larger total individual N of >500. At N = <10 records this increases to more than 75%, indicating a high probability that such a small individual trial N would not reflect either the range of variation or the habitual mean pressure that would be represented by a larger dataset of consecutive foot print records. Acquiring a sample of more than 500 is clearly unfeasible for footprints and even for foot pressure in the infirm. However, samples of 100–138 would deliver around 95% confidence and might be achievable in the future at Laetoli S. But even assuming a close link between pressure and footprint depth, a sample of five, as used by Hatala et al. (2016), offers well under 25% confidence of assessing pressure characteristics, i.e. a probability of unreliable assessments. Indeed, our own sample of 11 would allow no better than 50% reliability; however, we are accounting for the effects of variability in our interpretations and not making confident claims for a new locomotor mode, from what we know to be a biomechanically unsatisfactory sample size.

Discussion

Based on only very minimal statistically significant differences (just a few pixels) between Laetoli and unshod (Holocene) modern humans (Fig. 3.1e), and the commonality of stride-to-stride and step-to-step fluctuations illustrated in the Laetoli G-1 trail and the modern human example (Fig. 3.3a, b), we cannot find any evidence that the Laetoli trackmaker utilized a flexed knee posture at the time of formation of the prints examined, supporting previous results (Sellers et al. 2005; Raichlen et al. 2010; Crompton et al. 2012). The extended evolutionary synthesis (EES) (Laland et al. 2015), and the unifying theory of dynamical biological systems (Davids et al. 2003) and neurobiological degeneracy (Seifert et al. 2016), all predict high variability in adaptive biological systems, permitting rapid evolutionary change (Laland et al. 2015) and stable, functional movement (Bernstein 1967; Seifert et al. 2016). The high redundancy present in the anatomically complex structure of the foot is likely to be employed to control step-to-step dynamic variability in walking (Dingwell et al. 2010), and activation patterns are substantially subject to stochastic processes, reflecting neurobiological degeneracy (Seifert et al. 2016). We (Pataky et al. 2013) also found in a large sample of foot pressure records (N = 5243) that autocorrelation in maximal plantar pressure between steps is very weak, such that statistical power calculations found that a null hypothesis that local plantar pressure values are uncorrelated in short gait bouts is likely true with an average probability of 78.9%. This is both consistent with dynamical systems theory and very worrying for the analysis of short/discontinuous trails such as those at Ileret and similarly for the Hatala et al. G1 sample of five. While we have not attempted to quantify dynamic behaviour here, when pressure is taken as analogous to, but not equivalent to, depth in the Laetoli footprints, we can infer a flexible, upright hominin gait variably resisting perturbations to stabilize the CoM across the hot, damp ash (Dingwell et al. 2010). Recent evidence from a variety of substrates found that forefoot depth increased with moisture content in a modern human sample (Bates et al. 2013), leading to a requirement for increased forefoot forces to clear the foot from the substrate. We conclude that the differences in relative forefoot depths are a product of substrate, specifically of high moisture content in the modern human experimental sample, Ileret, and part of the Walvis Bay trail, versus relatively low moisture content (Craig 1997) at Laetoli.

Fig. 3.3
Three contour maps of footprints. The front and back parts have high values in color gradients while the middle portion has lower values.

Subtraction of the H. s. sapiens mean p-images from the dataset collected in soft sandy sediments from Bates et al. (2013) and 3 alternative set means of 5 registered prints from the 11-print dataset of the Laetoli G1 trail; (a) the first set of five Laetoli footprints registered and the mean image compared with H. s. sapiens mean p-images following registration; (b) the second set of five Laetoli footprints registered and the mean image compared with H. s. sapiens mean p-images following registration; (c) the third set of five Laetoli footprints registered and the mean image, compared with H. s. sapiens mean p-images following registration

Further visual inspection of the experimental footprints provided in the contribution by Hatala et al. (2016) reveals similarities in the forefoot and hallux depths of modern human and Laetoli footprints, more so than with the selected chimpanzee footprint. The relatively deeper experimental toe depths observed in the human and chimpanzee prints are likely due to the substrate effects described extensively by Bates et al. (2013), while the human and Laetoli hallucal impression indicating toe off is also clear. While not directly measuring dynamic behaviour, the unique case of fossil footprint trails is a reflection of dynamic behaviour that occurred at one time.

The reliability of assessment, putting aside substrate characteristics, is a major issue in interpreting gait from footprints: very loosely, Raichlen et al. (2010) and Crompton et al. (2012) have at best a 50% chance that their conclusions that the G1 trackmaker walked upright are correct, and similarly Bennett et al. (2016) have at best a 50% chance that their conclusion of functional stasis between Laetoli and Ileret is correct. Hatala et al. (2016) have at best a one-in-four chance of having drawn a correct conclusion in claiming that the five prints chosen shown that the G1 trackmaker walked with a more flexed posture than ourselves. But, should Masao et al. (2016) discover more extensive footprints at Laetoli S, we may well get 50 continuous steps and up to near 90% reliability (again always given a good relationship of footprint depth with foot pressure), which would make the analysis of gait from footprint depth much more meaningful and promising.

The reconstruction of gait from the postcrania of early hominins however will require a different and more indirect strategy, as even in single bones, and not taking into account the functional redundancy of distal segments, we can expect high intra- and inter-taxon variability of trait morphology, some of which variation will not be functional (Bock and von Wahlert 1965), since motor control patterns adapt locomotor behaviour step-to-step based on each interaction between the body and the environment (Bernstein 1967; Riley and Turvey 2002). This is a primary tenet of dynamical systems theory, which has now matured into the concept of neurobiological degeneracy (see, e.g. Seifert et al. 2016), on which current biomechanical studies of gait variability are now almost always based. The prediction of overall gait patterns in early hominins such as Au. afarensis from morphology of proximal bony elements such as long-bone shaft and femoral neck cross-sectional geometry, as attempted by Ruff et al. (2016), is hazardous enough unless dynamic modelling is used to assess summed forces applied to the foot.

Conclusion

Based on the lack of statistically significant differences between Laetoli and unshod modern humans from Namibian footprint trails (Fig. 3.1e), and considering the commonality of stride-to-stride and step-to-step fluctuations in both trails (Fig. 3.1a, b), we find no evidence from this analysis that indicates the Laetoli trackmaker utilized a flexed knee posture beyond the range of variation in modern humans today (given the sediment characteristics and small sample of footprints). This supports previous findings for footprint analyses (Sellers et al. 2005; Raichlen et al. 2010; Crompton et al. 2012) and is consonant with studies showing that Au. afarensis was biomechanically capable of, and therefore likely to have performed, erect bipedality. It is possible that some or most australopith populations engaged in substantial arboreality, as suggested for AL-288-1 Lucy (Ruff et al. 2016), based on cross-sectional geometry of her long bones and femoral neck. It does not however follow that selection for arboreal activity reduced effectiveness in terrestrial bipedalism in australopiths. We have shown that footprints in the habitually unshod Holocene Namibian population and in the maker of Laetoli G1 could be very similar.

The primary theoretical argument underpinning our conclusions is that this is possible due to high degrees of variability expected in all aspects of morphology and locomotor behaviour across all biological species, and quantifiable by functional variability during movement (Bruijn et al. 2013). However, as is typical of paleontology, we are restricted by small sample sizes, and hence unable to capture the full biomechanical variation in movement which would have been present in the trackmaker at the time footprints were made. Thus, without the inclusion of, or reference to, the known variability in fossil populations, and the functional variability in locomotion in analogous, extant non-human ape populations, interpretations should only be made for the trackmaker and not used to predict species level behavior, or to suggest unique locomotor modes at he species level. Variability in morphology and behavior, and ontogenetic plasticity, although challenging for our understanding of human and non-human ape fossils, should equally be seen as key to our success in dealing with environmental change and expanding into a very wide range of new environments. Plasticity, in a real sense, is key to evolutionary biological success of all species.