Skip to main content

Asteroid Impact Predictions

  • Reference work entry
  • First Online:
Encyclopedia of Natural Hazards

Part of the book series: Encyclopedia of Earth Sciences Series ((EESS))

  • 328 Accesses

Synonyms

Asteroid; Minor planet

Definition

  • AU. Astronomical unit – approximately the mean distance between the earth and the sun, about 149 597 871 km.

  • Aphelion. Point in an orbit that is farthest from the sun.

  • Apophis. Asteroid (99942) = 2004 MN4.

  • Minor planet center. The International Astronomical Union’s central clearinghouse for positional observations and orbital data for asteroids, located at the Smithsonian Astrophysical Observatory, Cambridge, Mass.

  • MOID. Minimum orbit intersection distance – the closest separation of two orbits. A PHA (potentially hazardous asteroid) is an asteroid with a MOID relative to the earth of less than 0.05 AU.

  • Near-earth asteroid. An asteroid whose distance from the sun at perihelion is less than 1.30 AU.

  • Palermo scale. A more quantified version of the Torino scale, including consideration of the time remaining to potential impact.

  • Perihelion. Point in an orbit that is closest to the sun.

  • Purgatorio ratio. PR – the ratio of the time interval covered...

This is a preview of subscription content, log in via an institution to check access.

Access this chapter

Chapter
USD 29.95
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Available as PDF
  • Read on any device
  • Instant download
  • Own it forever
eBook
USD 449.99
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Available as EPUB and PDF
  • Read on any device
  • Instant download
  • Own it forever
Hardcover Book
USD 649.99
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Durable hardcover edition
  • Dispatched in 3 to 5 business days
  • Free shipping worldwide - see info

Tax calculation will be finalised at checkout

Purchases are for personal use only

Institutional subscriptions

Bibliography

  • Binzel, R. P., 2000. The Torino impact hazard scale. Planetary and Space Science, 48, 297–303.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Bowell, E., and Muinonen, K., 1994. Earth-crossing asteroids and comets: ground-based search strategies. In Gehrels, T., Matthews, M. S., and Schumann, A. M. (eds.), Hazards Due to Comets and Asteroids. Tucson and London: University of Arizona Press, pp. 149–197.

    Google Scholar 

  • Chesley, S. R., 2006. Potential impact detection of Near-Earth asteroids: the case of 99942 Apophis (2004 MN4). In Lazarro, D., Ferraz Mello, S., and Fernandez, J. A. (eds.), Asteroids, Comets, Meteors–ACM 2005, International Astronomical Union Symposium, No. 229. Cambridge/New York/Melbourne/Madrid/Cape Town: Cambridge University Press, pp. 215–228.

    Google Scholar 

  • Chesley, S. R., Chodas, P. W., Milani, A., Valsecchi, G. B., and Yeomans, D. K., 2002. Quantifying the risk posed by potential earth impacts. Icarus, 159, 423–432.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Marsden, B. G., 1999a. Ephemerides of small bodies in the solar system. In Fiala, A. D., and Dick, S. J. (eds.), Proceedings, Nautical Almanac Office Sesquicentennial Colloquium. Washington DC: US Naval Observatory, pp. 333–351.

    Google Scholar 

  • Marsden, B. G., 1999b. A discourse on 1997 XF11. Journal of the British Interplanetary Society, 52, 195–202.

    Google Scholar 

  • Marsden, B. G., 2007. Impact risk communication management (1998–2004): has it improved? In Bobrowsky, P., and Rickman, H. (eds.), Comet Asteroid Impacts and Human Society. Berlin/Heidelberg/New York: Springer-Verlag, pp. 505–519.

    Chapter  Google Scholar 

  • Milani, A., Chesley, S. R., and Valsecchi, G. B., 1999. Close approaches of asteroid 1999 AN10. Astronomy and Astrophysics, 346, L65–L68.

    Google Scholar 

  • Milani, A., Chesley, S. R., and Valsecchi, G. B., 2000. Asteroid close encounters: risk assessment. Planetary and Space Science, 48, 945–954.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Väisälä, Y., 1939. Eine Einfache Methode der Bahnbestimmung. Annales Academiæ Scientiarum Fennicæ Series A, 52, 5–32.

    Google Scholar 

Download references

Authors

Editor information

Editors and Affiliations

Rights and permissions

Reprints and permissions

Copyright information

© 2013 Springer-Verlag Berlin Heidelberg

About this entry

Cite this entry

Marsden (Deceased), B.G. (2013). Asteroid Impact Predictions. In: Bobrowsky, P.T. (eds) Encyclopedia of Natural Hazards. Encyclopedia of Earth Sciences Series. Springer, Dordrecht. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-1-4020-4399-4_16

Download citation

Publish with us

Policies and ethics