Volume 58, Issue 1

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January 2020

Special Issue on Economic Forecasting

Issue Editors:

Robert M. Kunst,
Martin Wagner

15 articles in this issue

Economic forecasting: editors’ introduction
Robert M. Kunst
Martin Wagner
EditorialNotes 07 January 2020 Pages: 1 - 5
Assessing nowcast accuracy of US GDP growth in real time: the role of booms and busts
Boriss Siliverstovs
OriginalPaper 17 May 2019 Pages: 7 - 27
Nowcasting East German GDP growth: a MIDAS approach
João C. Claudio
Katja Heinisch
Oliver Holtemöller
OriginalPaper 11 December 2019 Pages: 29 - 54
Nowcasting Finnish real economic activity: a machine learning approach
Paolo Fornaro
Henri Luomaranta
OriginalPaper 30 November 2019 Pages: 55 - 71
Business cycle dating and forecasting with real-time Swiss GDP data
Christian Glocker
Philipp Wegmueller
OriginalPaper 27 March 2019 Pages: 73 - 105
Evaluation of economic forecasts for Austria
Ines Fortin
Sebastian P. Koch
Klaus Weyerstrass
OriginalPaper Open access 27 December 2019 Pages: 107 - 137
Forecasting models for the Chinese macroeconomy: the simpler the better?
Chris Heaton
Natalia Ponomareva
Qin Zhang
OriginalPaper Open access 07 November 2019 Pages: 139 - 167
Forecasting with supervised factor models
Simon Lineu Umbach
OriginalPaper 05 August 2019 Pages: 169 - 190
Long-term prediction intervals of economic time series
M. Chudý
S. Karmakar
W. B. Wu
OriginalPaper Open access 10 April 2019 Pages: 191 - 222
Appropriate monetary policy and forecast disagreement at the FOMC
Guido Schultefrankenfeld
OriginalPaper 16 September 2019 Pages: 223 - 255
Thick modelling income and wealth effects: a forecast application to euro area private consumption
Gabe Jacob de Bondt
Arne Gieseck
Zivile Zekaite
OriginalPaper 12 July 2019 Pages: 257 - 286
Aggregate density forecasting from disaggregate components using Bayesian VARs
Marcus P. A. Cobb
OriginalPaper 20 June 2019 Pages: 287 - 312
Does the price of crude oil help predict the conditional distribution of aggregate equity return?
Nima Nonejad
OriginalPaper 18 February 2019 Pages: 313 - 349
Forecasting output growth using a DSGE-based decomposition of the South African yield curve
Rangan Gupta
Hylton Hollander
Rudi Steinbach
OriginalPaper 30 November 2018 Pages: 351 - 378
Forecasting of recessions via dynamic probit for time series: replication and extension of Kauppi and Saikkonen (2008)
Byeong U. Park
Léopold Simar
Valentin Zelenyuk
OriginalPaper 15 May 2019 Pages: 379 - 392

Volume 58, Issue 1

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