Abstract
The current widely accepted stratification defined by age and previous thrombosis in patients with essential thrombocythemia (ET) probably deserves deeper analysis. The aim of our study was to identify additional factors at the time of diagnosis, which have an impact on the thrombosis prediction. We conducted a study of 244 consecutive ET patients with median follow-up of 83 months. We analyzed the influence of age, gender, laboratory parameters, history of previous thrombosis, spleen size, JAK2 mutation as well as cardiovascular (CV) risk factors including arterial hypertension, diabetes, active tobacco use and hyperlipidemia in the terms of thrombosis. The most important predictors of thrombosis in multivariate Cox regression model were the presence of CV risk factors (p = 0.004) and previous thrombosis (p = 0.038). Accordingly, we assigned risk scores based on multivariable analysis–derived hazard ratios (HR) to the presence of 1 CV risk factor (HR = 3.5; 1 point), >1 CV risk factors (HR = 8.3; 2 points) and previous thrombosis (HR = 2.0; 1 point). A final three-tiered prognostic model for thrombosis prediction was developed as low (score 0), intermediate (score 1 or 2) and high risk (score 3) (p < 0.001). The hazard of thrombosis was 3.8 % in low-risk group, 16.7 % in the intermediate-risk group and 60 % in the high-risk group (p < 0.001). Patients with thrombotic complications during the follow-up had a significantly shorter survival (p = 0.018). The new score based on CV risk factors and previous thrombotic events allows a better patient selection within prognostic-risk groups and improved identification of the high-risk patients for thrombosis.
Similar content being viewed by others
References
Tefferi A, Thiele J, Orazi A, Kvasnicka HM, Barbui T, Hanson CA, et al. Proposals and rationale for revision of the World Health Organization diagnostic criteria for polycythemia vera, essential thrombocythemia, and primary myelofibrosis: recommendations from an ad hoc international expert panel. Blood. 2007;110(4):1092–7.
Johansson P. Epidemiology of the myeloproliferative disorders polycythemia vera and essential thrombocythemia. Semin Thromb Hemost. 2006;32:171–3.
Passamonti F, Rumi E, Arcaini L, Boveri E, Elena C, Pietra D, et al. Prognostic factors for thrombosis, myelofibrosis, and leukemia in essential thrombocythemia: a study of 605 patients. Haematologica. 2008;93(11):1645–51.
Cervantes F, Passamonti F, Barosi G. Life expectancy and prognostic factors in the classic BCR/ABL-negative myeloproliferative disorders. Leukemia. 2008;22(5):905–14.
Tefferi A. Polycythemia vera and essential thrombocythemia: 2012 update on diagnosis, risk stratification, and management. Am J Hematol. 2012;87(3):285–93.
Barbui T, Barosi G, Birgegard G, Cervantes F, Finazzi G, Griesshammer M, et al. Philadelphia negative classical myeloproliferative neoplasms: critical concepts and management recommendations from European LeukemiaNet. J Clin Oncol. 2011;29(6):761–70.
Vannucchi AM, Guglielmelli P, Pieri L, Antonioli E, Bosi A. Treatment options for essential thrombocythemia and polycythemia vera. Expert Rev Hematol. 2009;2(1):41–55.
Palandri F, Polverelli N, Catani L, Ottaviani E, Baccarani M, Vianelli N. Impact of leukocytosis on thrombotic risk and survival in 532 patients with essential thrombocythemia: a retrospective study. Ann Hematol. 2011;90(6):933–8.
Girodon F, Dutrillaux F, Broseus J, Mounier M, Goussot V, Bardonnaud P, et al. Leukocytosis is associated with poor survival but not with increased risk of thrombosis in essential thrombocythemia: a population-based study of 311 patients. Leukemia. 2010;24(4):900–3.
Barbui T, Finazzi G, Carobbio A, Thiele J, Passamonti F, Rumi E, et al. Development and validation of an International Prognostic Score of thrombosis in World Health Organization- essential thrombocythemia (IPSET-thrombosis). Blood. 2012;120(26):5128–33.
Carobbio A, Thiele J, Passamonti F, Rumi E, Ruggeri M, Rodeghiero F, et al. Risk factors for arterial and venous thrombosis in WHO-defined essential thrombocythemia: an international study of 891 patients. Blood. 2011;117(22):5857–9.
Montanaro M, Latagliata R, Cedrone M, Spadea A, Rago A, Di Giandomenico J, et al. Thrombosis and survival in essential thrombocythemia: a regional study of 1,144 patients. Am J Hematol. 2014;89(5):542–6.
Alvarez-Larran A, Cervantes F, Bellosillo B, Giralt M, Julia A, Hernandez-Boluda JC, et al. Essential thrombocythemia in young individuals: frequency and risk factors for vascular events and evolution to myelofibrosis in 126 patients. Leukemia. 2007;21:1218–23.
Wolansky AP, Schwager SM, McClure RF, Larson DR, Tefferi A. Essential thrombocythemia beyond the first decade: life expectancy, long-term complication rates, and prognostic factors. Mayo Clin Proc. 2006;81:159–66.
Ruggeri M, Finazzi G, Tosetto A, Riva S, Rodeghiero F, Barbui T. No treatment for low-risk thrombocythaemia: results from a prospective study. Br J Haematol. 1998;103:772–7.
Besses C, Cervantes F, Pereira A, Florensa L, Sole F, Hernandez-Boluda JC, et al. Major vascular complications in essential thrombocythemia: a study of the predictive factors in a series of 148 patients. Leukemia. 1999;13:150–4.
Vannucchi AM, Antonioli E, Guglielmelli P, Rambaldi A, Barosi G, Marchioli R, et al. Clinical profile of homozygous JAK2 617V>F mutation in patients with polycythemia vera or essential thrombocythemia. Blood. 2007;110:840–6.
Palandri F, Catani L, Testoni N, Ottaviani E, Polverelli N, Fiacchini M, et al. Long-term follow-up of 386 consecutive patients with essential thrombocythemia: safety of cytoreductive therapy. Am J Hematol. 2009;84:215–20.
Finazzi G, Barbui T. Evidence and expertise in the management of polycythemia vera and essential thrombocythemia. Leukemia. 2008;22:1494–502.
Tefferi A. Polycythemia vera and essential thrombocythemia: 2013 update on diagnosis, risk-stratification, and management. Am J Hematol. 2013;88(6):507–16.
Lowe GDO. Common risk factors for both arterial and venous thrombosis. Br J Haematol. 2008;140:488–95.
Prandoni P. Venous thromboembolism and atherosclerosis: is there a link? J Thromb Haemost. 2007;5(Suppl 1):270–5.
Anderson FA Jr, Spencer FA. Risk factors for venous thromboembolism. Circulation. 2003;107(23 Suppl 1):I9–16.
Jerjes-Sanchez C. Venous and arterial thrombosis: a continous spectrum of the same disease? Eur Heart J. 2005;26:3–4.
Prandoni P, Bilora F, Marchioli A, Bernardi E, Petrobelli F, Lensing AWA, et al. An association between atherosclerosis and venous thromboembolism. N Engl J Med. 2003;348:1435–41.
Ageno W, Becattini C, Brighton T, Selby R, Kamphuisen PW. Cardiovascular risk factors and venous thromboembolism: a meta-analysis. Circulation. 2008;117(1):93–102.
Prandoni P. Links between arterial and venous disease. J Intern Med. 2007;262:341–50.
Bova C, Marchiori A, Noto A, Rossi V, Daniele F, Santoro C, et al. Incidence of arterial cardiovascular events in patients with idiopathic venous thromboembolism. A retrospective cohort study. Thromb Haemost. 2006;96:132–6.
Di Minno MN, Tufano A, Ageno W, Prandoni P, Di Minno G. Identifying high-risk individuals for cardiovascular disease: similarities between venous and arterial thrombosis in perspective. A 2011 update. Intern Emerg Med. 2012;7(1):9–13.
Landolfi R, Di Gennaro L. Prevention of thrombosis in polycythemia vera and essential thrombocythemia. Haematologica. 2008;93:331–5.
Masciulli A, Barbui T, Marfisi RM, Cavazzina R, Finazzi G, Lunghi M, et al. How epidemiology of polycythemia vera has changed in the last 10 years: results from the whole prospective cohort of patients in CYTO-PV trial as compared with ECLAP prospective cohort. ASH Annual Meeting Abstracts. 2012;120:1748.
Delluc A, Malécot JM, Kerspern H, Nowak E, Carre JL, Mottier D, Le Gal G, et al. Lipid parameters, lipid lowering drugs and the risk of venous thromboembolism. Atherosclerosis. 2012;220(1):184–8.
Doggen CJ, Smith NL, Lemaitre RN, Heckbert SR, Roosendaal FR, Psaty BM. Serum lipid levels and the risk of venous thrombosis. Arterioscler Thromb Vasc Biol. 2004;24:1970–5.
Glynn RJ, Danielson E, Fonseca FA, Genest J, Gotto AM Jr, Kastelein JJ, et al. A randomized trial of rosuvastatin in the prevention of venous thromboembolism. N Engl J Med. 2009;360:1851–61.
Ramcharan AS, Van Stralen KJ, Snoep JD, Mantel-Teeuwisse AK, Rosendaal FR, Doggen CJ. HMG-CoA reductase inhibitors, other lipid-lowering medication, antiplatelet therapy, and the risk of venous thrombosis. J Thromb Haemost. 2009;7:514–20.
Poredos P, Jezovnik MK. Dyslipidemia, statins, and venous thromboembolisam. Semin Thromb Hemost. 2011;37(8):897–902.
Squizzato A, Romualdi E, Middeldorp S. Antiplatelet drugs for polycythaemia vera and essential thrombocythaemia. Cochrane Database Syst Rev. 2008;4:CD006503.
Tefferi A, Barbui T. Personalized management of essential thrombocythemia—application of recent evidence to clinical practice. Leukemia. 2013;27:1617–20.
Acknowledgments
This work was supported by Ministry of education, science and technological development of the Republic of Serbia (175053).
Conflict of interest
None.
Author information
Authors and Affiliations
Corresponding author
Rights and permissions
About this article
Cite this article
Lekovic, D., Gotic, M., Milic, N. et al. The importance of cardiovascular risk factors for thrombosis prediction in patients with essential thrombocythemia. Med Oncol 31, 231 (2014). https://doi.org/10.1007/s12032-014-0231-1
Received:
Accepted:
Published:
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s12032-014-0231-1