Abstract
Southern Ocean ecosystems are extremely vulnerable to sea-ice changes occurring at different spatial and temporal scales. Variability in the sea-ice conditions strongly influence the survival and reproduction of animals that are synchronized with the seasonality of sea ice. Although the linkages between Adélie penguins (Pygoscelis adeliae) and sea-ice conditions are well established, the spatial and temporal scales at which sea ice affects individuals and populations are poorly known. Using 23 years of penguin breeding success and remote-sensing data of sea ice, we investigate the spatial and temporal scales at which sea-ice changes best explain variations in the reproductive success of Adélie penguins at Pointe Géologie, East Antarctica. The best spatial scale encompassed all foraging areas exploited and all the sea-ice conditions encountered by penguins over a breeding season. There was a consistent influence of sea-ice concentration during the guard stage on the overall breeding success. We demonstrate the importance of considering sea ice at a fine temporal scale rather than using an average value over the breeding season to best explain reproductive success in Adélie penguins.
References
Ainley DG (2002) The Adélie penguin: bellwether of climate change. Columbia University Press, New York
Ainley DG, Wilson PR, Barton KJ, Ballard G, Nur N, Karl B (1998) Diet and foraging effort of Adélie penguins in relation to pack-ice conditions in the southern Ross Sea. Polar Biol 20:311–319. https://doi.org/10.1007/s003000050308
Akaike H (1981) Likelihood of a model and information criteria. J Econom 16:3–14. https://doi.org/10.1016/0304-4076(81)90071-3
Ballard G, Dugger K, Nur N, Ainley D (2010) Foraging strategies of Adelie penguins: adjusting body condition to cope with environmental variability. Mar Ecol Prog Ser 405:287–302. https://doi.org/10.3354/meps08514
Barbraud C, Weimerskirch H (2006) Antarctic birds breed later in response to climate change. Proc Natl Acad Sci USA 103:6248–6251. https://doi.org/10.1073/pnas.0510397103
Barbraud C, Delord K, Weimerskirch H (2015) Extreme ecological response of a seabird community to unprecedented sea ice cover. R Soc Open Sci 2:140456. https://doi.org/10.1098/rsos.140456
Burnham KP, Anderson DR (2004) Multimodel inference: understanding AIC and BIC in model selection. Sociol Methods Res 33:261–304. https://doi.org/10.1177/0049124104268644
Constable AJ et al (2014) Climate change and Southern Ocean ecosystems I: how changes in physical habitats directly affect marine biota. Glob Change Biol 20:3004–3025. https://doi.org/10.1111/gcb.12623
Croxall JP, Trathan PN, Murphy EJ (2002) Environmental change and Antarctic seabird populations. Science 297:1510–1514. https://doi.org/10.1126/science.1071987
Emmerson L, Southwell C (2008) Sea ice cover and its influence on Adélie penguin reproductive performance. Ecology 89:2096–2102. https://doi.org/10.1890/08-0011.1
Forcada J, Trathan PN, Reid K, Murphy EJ, Croxall JP (2006) Contrasting population changes in sympatric penguin species in association with climate warming. Glob Change Biol 12:411–423. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1365-2486.2006.01108.x
Hijmans RJ (2017) Raster: geographic data analysis and modeling. R package version 2.6-7. https://CRAN.R-project.org/package=raster
Jenouvrier S (2013) Impacts of climate change on avian populations. Glob Change Biol 19:2036–2057. https://doi.org/10.1111/gcb.12195
Jenouvrier S, Barbraud C, Cazelles B, Weimerskirch H (2005) Modelling population dynamics of seabirds: importance of the effects of climate fluctuations on breeding proportions. Oikos 108:511–522. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.0030-1299.2005.13351.x
Jenouvrier S, Barbraud C, Weimerskirch H (2006) Sea ice affects the population dynamics of Adélie penguins in Terre Adélie. Polar Biol 29:413–423. https://doi.org/10.1007/s00300-005-0073-6
Kato A, Ropert-Coudert Y, Naito Y (2002) Changes in Adélie penguin breeding populations in Lützow-Holm Bay, Antarctica, in relation to sea-ice conditions. Polar Biol 25:934–938. https://doi.org/10.1007/s00300-002-0434-3
Kato A, Watanuki Y, Naito Y (2003) Annual and seasonal changes in foraging site and diving behavior in Adélie penguins. Polar Biol 26:389–395. https://doi.org/10.1007/s00300-003-0493-0
Le Guen C, Kato A, Raymond B, Barbraud C, Beaulieu M, Bost C-A, Delord K, MacIntosh AJ, Meyer X, Raclot T (2018) Reproductive performance and diving behaviour share a common sea-ice concentration optimum in Adélie penguins (Pygoscelis adeliae). Glob Change Biol 2411:5304–5317. https://doi.org/10.1111/gcb.14377
Lescroël A, Ballard G, Toniolo V, Barton KJ, Wilson PR, Lyver PO, Ainley DG (2010) Working less to gain more: when breeding quality relates to foraging efficiency. Ecology 91:2044–2055. https://doi.org/10.1890/09-0766.1
Massom RA, Stammerjohn SE (2010) Antarctic sea ice change and variability—physical and ecological implications. Polar Sci 4:149–186. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.polar.2010.05.001
Nicol S, Pauly T, Bindoff NL et al (2000) Ocean circulation off East Antarctica affects ecosystem structure and sea-ice extent. Nature 406:504. https://doi.org/10.1038/35020053
Quetin LB, Ross RM, Frazer TK, Haberman KL (1996) Factors affecting distribution and abundance of zooplankton, with an emphasis on Antarctic krill, Euphausia superba. Antarct Res Ser 70:357–371. https://doi.org/10.1007/s00300-011-1120-0
R Core Team (2019) R: A language and environment for statistical computing. R Foundation for Statistical Computing, Vienna. https://www.R-project.org/
Ropert-Coudert Y, Kato A, Meyer X, Pellé M, MacIntosh AJ, Angelier F, Chastel O, Widmann M, Arthur B, Raymond B (2015) A complete breeding failure in an Adélie penguin colony correlates with unusual and extreme environmental events. Ecography 38:111–113. https://doi.org/10.1111/ecog.01182
Ropert-Coudert Y, Kato A, Shiomi K, Barbraud C, Angelier F, Delord K, Poupart T, Koubbi P, Raclot T (2018) Two recent massive breeding failures in an Adélie penguin colony call for the creation of a marine protected area in D’Urville Sea/Mertz. Front Mar Sci 5:264. https://doi.org/10.3389/fmars.2018.00264
Smith RC, Ainley D, Baker K, Domack E, Emslie S, Fraser B, Kennett J, Leventer A, Mosley-Thompson E, Stammerjohn S (1999) Marine ecosystem sensitivity to climate change: historical observations and paleoecological records reveal ecological transitions in the Antarctic Peninsula region. Bioscience 49:393–404. https://doi.org/10.2307/1313632
Wagenmakers E-J, Farrell S (2004) AIC model selection using Akaike weights. Psychon Bull Rev 11:192–196. https://doi.org/10.3758/BF03206482
Watanuki Y, Kato A, Naito Y, Robertson G, Robinson S (1997) Diving and foraging behaviour of Adélie penguins in areas with and without fast sea-ice. Polar Biol 17:296–304. https://doi.org/10.1007/PL00013371
Wei T, Simko V (2017) R package “corrplot”: visualization of a correlation matrix. R package version 0.84.
Widmann M, Kato A, Raymond B, Angelier F, Arthur B, Chastel O, Pellé M, Raclot T, Ropert-Coudert Y (2015) Habitat use and sex-specific foraging behaviour of Adélie penguins throughout the breeding season in Adélie Land, East Antarctica. Mov Ecol 3:30. https://doi.org/10.1186/s40462-015-0052-7
Wood SN (2006) Generalized additive models: an introduction with R. Chapman and Hall/CRC, Boca Raton
Zuur AF, Ieno EN, Walker NJ, Saveliev AA, Smith GM (2009) Mixed effects models and extensions in ecology with R. Springer, New York
Acknowledgements
We thank the field assistants that collected the Adélie penguins’ data as part of the Long-Term Monitoring Program 109, and Nathan Pacoureau for help in breeding success data processing.
Funding
Funding was provided by Centre National de Recherche Scientifique (CNRS) and IPEV Program 109 (Henri Weimerskirch), as well as by the World Wide Funding of UK. This study is a contribution to the Program SENtinel of the SEa Ice (SENSEI) funded by the Banque Nationale de Paris Paribas Foundation.
Author information
Authors and Affiliations
Contributions
Study design: A.K., C.B., Y.R–C. Breeding success data management: K.D. Data analysis and processing: E.B. Writing: E.B., A.K., C.B., Y.R.-C., K.D. All authors edited and revised the manuscript, gave final approval for publication and agreed to be held accountable for the content therein.
Corresponding author
Ethics declarations
Conflict of interest
We have no competing interests.
Ethical approval
Ethics Committee of the Institute Paul Emile Victor (IPEV) and Comité de l’ Environnement Polaire approved the field procedures.
Additional information
Publisher's Note
Springer Nature remains neutral with regard to jurisdictional claims in published maps and institutional affiliations.
Rights and permissions
About this article
Cite this article
Barreau, E., Ropert-Coudert, Y., Delord, K. et al. Scale matters: sea ice and breeding success of Adélie penguins. Polar Biol 42, 1405–1410 (2019). https://doi.org/10.1007/s00300-019-02531-2
Received:
Revised:
Accepted:
Published:
Issue Date:
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s00300-019-02531-2