Access this chapter
Tax calculation will be finalised at checkout
Purchases are for personal use only
Preview
Unable to display preview. Download preview PDF.
References
Atger F (2001) Verification of intense precipitation forecasts from single models and ensemble prediction systems. Nonlinear Proc Geoph 8:401–417
Barnes LR, Gruntfest EC, Hayden MH, Schultz DM, Benight C (2007) False alarms and close calls: A conceptual model of warning accuracy. Weather Forecast 22:1140–1147
Bougeault P (2002) WGNE survey of verification methods for numerical prediction of weather elements and severe weather events. CAS/JSC WGNE Report No. 18, Appendix C. http://www.wmo.ch/web/wcrp/ documents/wgne18rpt.pdf
Briggs WM, Levine RA (1997) Wavelets and field forecast verification. Mon Weather Rev 125:1329–1341
Casati B, Ross G, Stephenson DB (2004) A new intensity-scale approach for the verification of spatial precipitation forecasts. Meteorol Appl 11:141–154
Cherubini T, Ghelli A, Lalaurette F (2002) Verification of precipitation forecasts over the Alpine region using a high-density observing network. Weather Forecast 17:238–249
Davis C, Brown B, Bullock R (2006) Object-based verification of precipitation forecasts. Part I: Methods and application to mesoscale rain areas. Mon Weather Rev 134:1772–1784
Ebert EE (2008) Fuzzy verification of high resolution gridded forecasts: A review and proposed framework. Meteorol Appl (in press)
Ebert EE, McBride JL (2000) Verification of precipitation in weather systems: Determination of systematic errors. J Hydrol 239:179–202
Ebert EE, Damrath U, Wergen W, Baldwin ME (2003) The WGNE assessment of short-term quantitative precipitation forecasts. B Am Meteorol Soc 84:481–492
Ebert EE, Janowiak JE, Kidd C (2007) Comparison of near-real-time precipitation estimates from satellite observations and numerical models. B Am Meteorol Soc 88:47–64
de Elia R, Laprise R, Denis B (2002) Forecasting skill limits of nested, limited-area models: A perfect-model approach. Mon Weather Rev 130:2006–2023
Finley JP (1884) Tornado predictions. American Meteorological Journal 1:85–88
Germann U, Berenguer M, Sempere-Torres D, Salvadè G (2006) Ensemble radar precipitation estimation – a new topic on the radar horizon. In: Proceedings 4th European Conference on Radar in Meteorology and Hydrology. 18–22 September 2006, Barcelona, Spain. http://www.erad2006.org
Göber M, Wilson CA, Milton SF, Stephenson DB (2004) Fairplay in the verification of operational quantitative precipitation forecasts. J Hydrol 288:225–236
Hamill TM, Juras J (2006) Measuring Forecast Skill: Is it Real Skill or is it the Varying Climatology? Q J Roy Meteor Soc 132: 2905–2923
Harris D, Foufoula-Georgiou E, Droegemeier KK, Levit JJ (2001) Multiscale statistical properties of a high-resolution precipitation forecast. J Hydrometeorol 2:406–418
Hense A, Adrian G, Kottmeier CH, Simmer C, Wulfmeyer V (2003) Priority Program of the German Research Foundation: Quantitative Precipitation Forecast. Research proposal available at http://www.meteo.uni-bonn.de/projekte/SPPMeteo/reports/SPPLeitAntrag_English.pdf
ICP (2007) Spatial Forecast Verification Methods Intercomparison Project (ICP). http://www.ral.ucar.edu/projects/icp/index.html
Jenkner J, Dierer S, Schwierz C, Leuenberger D (2008a) Conditional QPF verification using synoptic weather patterns – a 3-year hindcast climatology (in preparation)
Jenkner J, Dierer S, Schwierz C, Leuenberger D (2008b) Quantile–based short–range QPF evaluation over Switzerland (to be submitted)
Jolliffe IT, Stephenson DB (2003) Forecast verification. A practitioner’s guide in atmospheric science. Wiley and Sons Ltd, 240 pp
JWGV (2004) Forecast verification – Issues, methods and FAQ. http://www.bom.gov.au/bmrc/wefor/staff/eee/verif/verif_web_page.html
Keil C, Craig GC (2007) A displacement-based error measure applied in a regional ensemble forecasting system. Mon Weather Rev 135:3248–3259
Leuenberger D (2005) High-resolution radar rainfall assimilation: Exploratory studies with latent heat nudging. Ph.D. thesis, ETH Zurich, Switzerland, Nr. 15884. http://e-collection.ethbib.ethz.ch/cgi-bin/show.pl?type=diss& nr=15884
Marzban C, Sandgathe S (2006) Cluster analysis for verification of precipitation fields. Weather Forecast 21:824–838
Marzban C, Sandgathe S (2007) Cluster analysis for object-oriented verification of fields: A variation. Mon Weather Rev (in press)
Mittermaier MP (2007) Improving short-range high-resolution model precipitation forecast skill using time-lagged ensembles. Q J Roy Meteor Soc 133:1–19
Murphy AH (1996) The Finley affair: A signal event in the history of forecast verification. Weather Forecast 11:3–20
Nurmi P (2003) Recommendations on the verification of local weather forecasts. ECMWF Tech. Memo 430:18.t http://www.ecmwf.int/ publications/library/ecpublications/_pdf/tm430.pdf
Oberto E, Turco M, Bertolotto P (2006) Latest results in the precipitation verification over Northern Italy. COSMO Newsletter 6:180–184
Richardson DS (2000) Skill and relative economic value of the ECMWF ensemble prediction system. Q J Roy Meteor Soc 126:649–667
Roberts NM, Lean HW (2007) Scale-selective verification of rainfall accumulations from high-resolution forecasts of convective events. Mon Weather Rev (in press)
Rossa A, Arpagaus M, Zala E (2003) Weather situation-dependent stratification of precipitation and upper-air verification of the Alpine Model (aLMo). COSMO Newsletter 3:123–138
Rossa AM, Arpagaus M, Zala E (2004) Weather situation-dependent stratification of radar-based precipitation verification of the Alpine Model (aLMo). ERAD Publication Series 2:502–508
Rossa et al. (2005) The COST 731 Action MoU: Propagation of uncertainty in advanced meteo-hydrological forecast systems. http://www.cost.esf.org
Schaake JC, Hamill TM, Buizza R, Clarke M (2007) HEPEX, the Hydrological Ensemble Prediction Experiment. B Am Meteorol Soc 88:1541–1547
Schubiger F, Kaufmann P, Walser A, Zala E (2006) Verification of the COSMO model in the year 2006, WG5 contribution of Switzerland. COSMO Newsletter 6:9
Stamus PA, Carr FH, Baumhefner DP (1992) Application of a scale-separation verification technique to regional forecast models. Mon Weather Rev 120:149–163
Stanski HR, Wilson LJ, Burrows WR (1989) Survey of common verification methods in meteorology. World Weather Watch Tech. Rept. No.8, WMO/TD No.358, World Meteorological Organization, Geneva, Switzerland, 114 pp
Stephenson DB (2000) Use of the ‘odds ratio’ for diagnosing forecast skill. Weather Forecast 15:221–232
Stephenson DB, Casati B, Wilson CA (2007) The extreme dependency score: A new non-vanishing verification measure for the assessment of deterministic forecasts of rare binary events. Meteorol Appl (in press)
Steppeler J, Doms G, Schättler U, Bitzer H-W, Gassmann A, Damrath U, Gregoric G (2003) Meso-gamma scale forecasts using the non-hydrostatic model LM. Meteorol Atmos Phys 82:75–96
Wanner H, Salvisberg E, Rickli R, Schuepp M (1998) 50 years of Alpine Weather Statistics (AWS), Meteorol Z N.F. 7:99–111
Wernli H, Paulat M, Hagen M, Frei C (2008) SAL – a novel quality measure for the verification of quantitative precipitation forecasts, Mon Weather Rev (submitted)
Wilks DS (2006) Statistical methods in the atmospheric sciences. an introduction. 2nd edn. Academic Press, San Diego, 627 pp
Wilson C (2001) Review of current methods and tools for verification of numerical forecasts of precipitation. COST717 Working Group Report on Approaches to verification. http://www.smhi.se/cost717/
Yates E, Anquetin S, Ducrocq V, Creutin J-D, Ricard D, Chancibault K (2006) Point and areal validation of forecast precipitation fields. Meteorol Appl 13:1–20
Zala E, Leuenberger D (2007) Update on weather-situation dependent COSMO-7 verification against radar data. COSMO Newsletter 7:1–4
Zawadzki I (1973) Statistical properties of precipitation patterns. J Appl Meteorol 12:459–472
Zepeda-Arce J, Foufoula-Georgiou E, Droegemeier KK (2000) Space-time rainfall organization and its role in validating quantitative precipitation forecasts. J Geophys Res 105:10129–10146
Author information
Authors and Affiliations
Editor information
Editors and Affiliations
Rights and permissions
Copyright information
© 2008 Springer-Verlag Berlin Heidelberg
About this chapter
Cite this chapter
Rossa, A., Nurmi, P., Ebert, E. (2008). Overview of methods for the verification of quantitative precipitation forecasts. In: Michaelides, S. (eds) Precipitation: Advances in Measurement, Estimation and Prediction. Springer, Berlin, Heidelberg. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-540-77655-0_16
Download citation
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-540-77655-0_16
Publisher Name: Springer, Berlin, Heidelberg
Print ISBN: 978-3-540-77654-3
Online ISBN: 978-3-540-77655-0
eBook Packages: Earth and Environmental ScienceEarth and Environmental Science (R0)