Abstract
The effect of land use change on drying streams was evaluated using a grid-based continuous hydrological model (PGA-CC). For a drying stream-progressed watershed (398.8 km2), the model was calibrated and validated using 7 years (2005–2011) of streamflow data at the watershed outlet with an average Nash–Sutcliffe model efficiency of 0.71. Based on the model simulation results for 36 years (1976 to 2011), both land use change and climate change decreased the 10-day minimum flow by 0.16 m3/s and increased the day counts below the annual average by 40.6 days/year. These changes resulted from the 8.7 % increase in urban area, 1.43-fold increase in groundwater use, and 1.1 °C temperature increase during the 36-year period. From the distributed results of the model, we identified the drying stream location and progression. The spring and winter seasons were relatively strongly affected, and drying streams were identified in more urbanized areas with greater groundwater use.
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This research was supported by a grant (16AWMP-B079625-03) from the Water Management Research Program funded by the Ministry of Land, Infrastructure, and Transport of the Korean government.
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Jung, C.G., Kim, S.J. Evaluation of land use change and groundwater use impact on stream drying phenomena using a grid-based continuous hydrologic model. Paddy Water Environ 15, 111–122 (2017). https://doi.org/10.1007/s10333-016-0533-3
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DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s10333-016-0533-3