Abstract
In this paper, we extend Aumann’s (Ann Stat 4:1236–1239, 1976) probabilistic agreement theorem to situations in which agents’ prior beliefs are represented by a common neo-additive capacity. In particular, we characterize the family of updating rules for neo-additive capacities, which are necessary and sufficient for the impossibility of “agreeing to disagree” on the values of posterior capacities as well as on the values of posterior Choquet expectations for binary acts. Furthermore, we show that generalizations of this result to more general acts are impossible.
Similar content being viewed by others
References
Aumann R.J.: Agreeing to disagree. Ann Stat 4, 1236–1239 (1976)
Border K., Ghirardato P., Segal U.: Unanimous subjective probabilities. Econ. Theory 34, 383–387 (2008)
Chateauneuf A., Eichberger J., Grant S.: Choice under uncertainty with the best and worst in mind: neo-additive capacities. J Econ Theory 137, 538–567 (2007)
Dempster A.P.: A generalization of Bayesian inference. J R Stat Soc Ser B 30, 205–247 (1968)
Dickhaut J., Lunawat R., Pronin K., Stecher J.: Decision making and trade without probabilities. Econ Theory 48, 275–288 (2011)
Eichberger J., Grant S., Kelsey D.: CEU preferences and dynamic consistency. Math Soc Sci 49, 143–151 (2005)
Eichberger J., Grant S., Kelsey D.: Updating Choquet beliefs. J Math Econ 43, 888–899 (2007)
Eichberger J., Grant S., Kelsey D.: Differentiating ambiguity: an expository note. Econ Theory 36, 327–336 (2008)
Eichberger J., Grant S., Kelsey D.: Comparing three ways to update Choquet beliefs. Econ Lett 107, 91–94 (2010)
Eichberger, J., Grant, S., Kelsey, D., Koshevoy, G.: The α-MEU model: a comment. J Econ Theory. (forthcoming)
Eichberger J., Kelsey D.: Are the treasures of game theory ambiguous?. Econ Theory 48, 313–339 (2011)
Eichberger J., Kelsey D., Schipper B.C. et al.: Ambiguity and social interaction. Oxf Econ Pap 61, 355–379 (2009)
Feinberg Y.: Characterizing common priors in the form of posteriors. J Econ Theory 91, 127–179 (2000)
Geanakoplos J., Sebenius J.: Don’t bet on it: contingent agreements with asymmetric information. J Am Stat Assoc 78, 424–426 (1983)
Ghirardato P.: Revisiting savage in a conditional world. Econ Theory 20, 83–92 (2002)
Ghirardato P., Maccheroni F., Marinacci M.: Differentiating ambiguity and ambiguity attitude. J Econ Theory 118, 133–173 (2004)
Gilboa I., Schmeidler D.: Updating ambiguous beliefs. J Econ Theory 59, 33–49 (1993)
Goeree J.K., Holt C.A.: Ten little treasures of game theory and ten intuitive contradictions. Am Econ Rev 91, 1402–1422 (2001)
Jaffray J.Y.: Bayesian updating and belief functions. IEEE Trans Syst Man Cybern 22, 1144–1152 (1992)
Klibanoff P., Marinacci M., Mukerji S.: A smooth model of decision making under ambiguity. Econometrica 73, 1849–1892 (2005)
Milgrom P., Stokey N.: Information, trade and common knowledge. J Econ Theory 26, 17–27 (1982)
Nehring K.: Common priors under incomplete information: a unification. Economic Theory 18, 535–553 (2001)
Samet D.: Common priors and separation of convex sets. Games Econ Behav 24, 172–174 (1998)
Schmeidler D.: Subjective probability and expected utility without additivity. Econometrica 57, 571–587 (1989)
Shapley L.S.: On the balanced sets and cores. Naval Res Log Q 14, 453–460 (1967)
Zimper A.: Half empty, half full and why we can agree to disagree forever. J Econ Behav Org 71, 283–299 (2009)
Author information
Authors and Affiliations
Corresponding author
Additional information
The authors wish to thank Júrgen Eichberger, Konrad Grabiszewski, Nicholas Yannelis, Wendelin Schnedler and an anonymous referee for their valuable comments.
Rights and permissions
About this article
Cite this article
Dominiak, A., Lefort, JP. Agreement theorem for neo-additive beliefs. Econ Theory 52, 1–13 (2013). https://doi.org/10.1007/s00199-011-0678-7
Received:
Accepted:
Published:
Issue Date:
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s00199-011-0678-7
Keywords
- Ambiguity
- Neo-additive capacities
- Choquet expected utility
- Asymmetric information
- Common knowledge
- Agreement theorem