Abstract
Building upon authors’ previous work, the study develops econometric models in order to specify the determinants of knowledge-based economic growth at the international level. In doing so, it differs from other studies in the following ways: it makes use of a new composite indicator of growth which accounts for knowledge capacity, it runs WLS regressions, and it explores the existence of nonlinear relations between determinants and growth. The study confirms previous findings that variables such as investment and FDI are important determinants of growth but adds that geography, agglomerations and institutions play a vital role in economic performance. Furthermore, it indicates that the effect of initial economic conditions, size of government, openness to trade and institutions on growth is nonlinear: up to a critical level, these factors have a positive impact, whereas beyond that the effect diminishes and may become negative. These findings have important implications for both theory and policy.
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Notes
- 1.
Openness is usually measured by the ratio of exports to GDP. However, other indicators have also been used. For example Sachs and Warner (1995) suggest one that takes into account the five following criteria: average quota and licensing coverage of imports are less than 40%, average tariff rates are below 40%, black market premium is less than 20%, no extreme controls are imposed on exports, and the country is not under a socialist regime.
- 2.
According to North (1990) the term “institutions” refers to the formal rules, informal constraints and their enforcement characteristics that together shape human interaction.
- 3.
This is necessary since the variables are measured in different units.
- 4.
All explanatory variables are measured at the beginning of the time period examined (i.e. in 1990), whereas EDIs reflects knowledge-based dynamism in the last reporting period.
- 5.
See Gwartney and Lawson (2005) for a detailed description of the variables availed by the Fraser Institute.
- 6.
Relatively high values of the index indicate countries with a more central place, while relatively low values indicate countries with a peripheral place in the world economic space.
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Appendix
Appendix
Table3.4Descriptive statistics of Model 1 variables
Model 1 variables | Mean | Standard deviation | Min | Max |
---|---|---|---|---|
EDI-A3 | 0.1196 | 0.0365 | 0.0581 | 0.2806 |
Gross capital formation (% of GDP) | 23.0929 | 5.2893 | 14.1589 | 37.0337 |
FDI, net inflows (% of GDP) | 1.4945 | 1.7535 | 0 | 9.7185 |
Population gravity | 96.5207 | 255.1096 | 0.3096 | 1,349.0301 |
Life expectancy at birth (years) | 71.1499 | 5.4085 | 55.2285 | 79.0963 |
Personal computers (per 1000 people) | 57.2112 | 66.9146 | 0.5365 | 253.2829 |
Impartial courts | 6.2653 | 1.8336 | 2.9000 | 9.3500 |
GDP per capita (PPP, constant international $) | 10,172.5584 | 9,838.6190 | 675.1660 | 32,317.8790 |
Population density (people per sq km) | 208.4966 | 690.9285 | 2.2618 | 4,749.9998 |
Regulation | 5.0776 | 1.2243 | 2.4732 | 6.8320 |
Table3.5Descriptive statistics of Model 2 variables
Model 2 variables | Mean | Standard deviation | Min | Max |
---|---|---|---|---|
EDI-A6 | 0.1379 | 0.0445 | 0.0526 | 0.2806 |
Gross capital formation (% of GDP) | 23.2014 | 6.1595 | 13.5973 | 41.0422 |
FDI, net inflows (% of GDP) | 1.3159 | 1.4237 | −1.1545 | 7.4199 |
Population gravity | 83.4087 | 219.0235 | 1.1012 | 1,349.0301 |
Urbanization (urban to total population) | 65.4094 | 18.1342 | 15.0000 | 97.2000 |
Personal computers (per 1000 people) | 43.8290 | 60.2611 | 0.3818 | 253.2829 |
Life expectancy at birth (years) | 69.6842 | 6.7992 | 46.2916 | 79.0963 |
Age dependency ratio (% of working-age population) | 0.6541 | 0.1720 | 0.4365 | 0.9997 |
Total trade (% of GDP) | 61.2317 | 30.9513 | 14.9909 | 154.6453 |
Size of government | 4.9778 | 1.5897 | 1.2374 | 8.3158 |
Legal system and property rights | 6.4171 | 1.7765 | 2.8484 | 9.2783 |
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Artelaris, P., Arvanitidis, P.A., Petrakos, G. (2011). Explaining Knowledge-Based Economic Growth in the World Economy. In: Nijkamp, P., Siedschlag, I. (eds) Innovation, Growth and Competitiveness. Advances in Spatial Science. Springer, Berlin, Heidelberg. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-642-14965-8_3
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