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Forms of Reasoning in Pattern Management and in Strategic Intelligence

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Recent Developments in Foresight Methodologies

Part of the book series: Complex Networks and Dynamic Systems ((CNDS,volume 1))

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Abstract

The contemporary world is full of information. It has been said that in the seventeenth century, an average person acquired the same amount of information in their whole lifetime about their world as we get from a single newspaper every day (Scholte 1996). The amount of information flowing constantly around us is huge, but only a small fraction of it is useful or valid for us as such. Not so long ago, information and knowledge were scarce and therefore very valuable. Nowadays, most information is free and easy to access, but a rapid understanding of it is rare (Weick 2001).

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Notes

  1. 1.

    What happens when today’s teenagers are in their 40s and really start to make national politics?

  2. 2.

    Faster and more easy to use computers will be seen.

  3. 3.

    A large international top-level risk assessment and horizon scanning symposium (RAHS) was held in Singapore on 19–20 March 2007. The symposium set a clear picture of the state of the art within the utilisation of recent complexity research and modelling for contemporary international risk assessment and foresight.

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Kuosa, T. (2013). Forms of Reasoning in Pattern Management and in Strategic Intelligence. In: Giaoutzi, M., Sapio, B. (eds) Recent Developments in Foresight Methodologies. Complex Networks and Dynamic Systems, vol 1. Springer, Boston, MA. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-1-4614-5215-7_6

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