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Climate

Variability and Change in the Past and the Future

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Climate Change in the Northwest

Part of the book series: NCA Regional Input Reports ((NCARIR))

Abstract

The climate system receives energy from the Sun—mostly in the form of visible light—and balances this energy by radiation of infrared, or heat, energy back to space. Global surface temperature fluctuations are influenced by the amount of solar radiation received at the top of the atmosphere, the reflectivity or albedo, of the planet, and things that affect the efficiency of infrared energy loss to space. The solar radiation received is determined by direct solar output and the Earth‘s orbital fluctuations, and the albedo is largely determined by changes at the surface and by clouds and particles in the atmosphere. Things that affect the efficiency of infrared energy loss to space include both clouds and certain trace gases that absorb outgoing infrared energy and are commonly called greenhouse gases. In order of global importance to the energy balance, these greenhouse gases include water vapor, carbon dioxide (CO2), methane (CH4), ozone, chlorofluorocarbons (CFCs), of which CFC-12 dominates, nitrous oxide, and dozens of others. Most of these are long-lived gases, meaning that molecules emitted into the atmosphere tend to remain there for decades and their concentrations are fairly similar throughout the world; important exceptions are water vapor and ozone, which are controlled by a variety of faster processes and therefore have larger variations across the globe and change faster in time.

Northwest Report Chapter Lead Author

Third NCA Northwest Chapter Lead Author

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Acknowledgments

The authors acknowledge support from NOAA Climate Program Office Regional Integrated Sciences and Assessment (RISA) program for the Pacific Northwest Climate Impacts Research Consortium (CIRC) (Grant #: NA10OAR431028), and the National Institute for Food and Agriculture, award number: 2011-68002-30191. The authors also thank Francis Zwiers (Pacific Climate Impacts Consortium), Stacy Vynne (Puget Sound Partnership), and two anonymous reviewers for their comments on a previous version of this chapter.

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© 2013 Oregon Climate Change Reasearch Institute

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Mote, P.W., Abatzoglou, J.T., Kunkel, K.E. (2013). Climate. In: Dalton, M.M., Mote, P.W., Snover, A.K. (eds) Climate Change in the Northwest. NCA Regional Input Reports. Island Press, Washington, DC. https://doi.org/10.5822/978-1-61091-512-0_2

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