General Questions of Bayes Theory

Abstract

The Bayes approach is credited to the well-known paper by Thomas Bayes which was published. Nearly three years after his death. G. Crellin asserts that the Bayes notes concerned with the ideas touching upon the field, named the Bayes approach, were discovered by Richard Price, who sent them to the Royal Society under the title “Note on the Solution of a Problem in a Doctrine about an Event”. R.A. Fisher gives an analysis of Bayes’ work in terms we use now. Later, some of the opponents of the Bayes approach ascertained that this work was not published in his lifetime because of Bayes’ doubt about the validity of the conclusions proposed in it. Such a point-of-view about an event which happened more than 200 years ago may be considered at least strange and, in any case, cannot be used as an argument in a scientific dispute.