Abstract
China has been growing for more than 30 straight years. From 1990s, there has been consistent predictions about China’s rise and America’s decline in mainstream researchers. This is based on extrapolation of China’s 30+ years of growth records. However, as the trade tension between US and China intensifies, a new stream of research suggests that such may not necessarily be the case. Since China’s population is about four times of the US, one may argue that China needs another 100 years to exceed the current level of U.S. standards of living. Discussions include the background of American Hegemony and China’s Rise and their impact on liberal international order.
….there is a Marathon, maybe the most difficult to take, but it is also the most important. America may fail to recognize the problem and may refuse to face the long-term scenario of China not only surpassing us but also growing to doubt and then triple the size of our economy, by 2049. Then China will have own by default. (Michael Pillsbury 2015).
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Hong, P., Park, Y.W. (2020). Growing Rivalry: China’s Rise and American Hegemony. In: Rising Asia and American Hegemony. Springer, Singapore. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-981-13-7635-1_4
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