Skip to main content
SpringerLink
Log in

Spatial Elaboration of Long-Term Economic and Demographic Trends: Future Land Use in the Netherlands

  • Chapter
  • First Online:
The Future of Cities and Regions

Part of the book series: Springer Geography ((SPRINGERGEOGR))

  • 1383 Accesses

Abstract

This chapter describes three different, exemplifying strategic policy studies in the field of spatial planning and sustainability in the Netherlands at national and regional level. Spatial scenarios and simulations played a different role in each of them. In the first study spatial scenarios and simulations were used to explore the range of potential spatial dynamics and to analyse their differences. The second study analysed the sustainability impact of probable future changes in land use and transport and investigated how both could be optimised to reach specific aims in sustainability policies. Finally, in the third study spatial scenarios and simulations served to facilitate the interactive process of policy preparation with decision-makers and stakeholders. Each scenario study requested a different use of the Land Use Scanner model to shed light on spatial dynamics in the future. The outcomes made clear what the probable consequences of both autonomous developments and specific policies will be in future and which policies could be needed to address these changes. As such, the spatial scenarios and simulations contributed to a better-informed decision-making in spatial planning and sustainability issues.

This is a preview of subscription content, log in via an institution to check access.

Access this chapter

Log in via an institution
Chapter
USD 29.95
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Available as PDF
  • Read on any device
  • Instant download
  • Own it forever
eBook
USD 129.00
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Available as EPUB and PDF
  • Read on any device
  • Instant download
  • Own it forever
Softcover Book
USD 169.99
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Compact, lightweight edition
  • Dispatched in 3 to 5 business days
  • Free shipping worldwide - see info
Hardcover Book
USD 169.99
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Durable hardcover edition
  • Dispatched in 3 to 5 business days
  • Free shipping worldwide - see info

Tax calculation will be finalised at checkout

Purchases are for personal use only

Institutional subscriptions

References

  • Adviescommissie Financiering Primaire Waterkeringen (2006) Tussensprint naar 2015. Klimaatcentrum VU, Amsterdam

    Google Scholar 

  • Asselt van M, Pas van der JW, Wilde de R (2005) De Toekomst Begint Vandaag. Inventarisatie Toekomstverkenningen [The Future Starts Today. Stocktaking Outlooks] Maastricht University/Faculty of Arts and Social Sciences, Maastricht

    Google Scholar 

  • Batty M (2003) New developments in urban modeling: simulation, representation and visualization. In: Guhathakurta S (ed) Integrated land use and environmental models, a survey of current applications and research. Springer, Berlin/Heidelberg, pp 13–44

    Google Scholar 

  • Bok M, Blijie B, Brouwer J, Heida H (2005) The PRIMOS model for demographic developments: model description and application to four housing scenarios. In: Oort van F, Thissen M, Wissen van L (eds) A survey of spatial economic planning models in the Netherlands. Theory, application and evaluation. NAi Publishers/Netherlands Institute for Spatial Research (RPB), Rotterdam/The Hague, pp 135–152

    Google Scholar 

  • Borsboom-van Beurden J, Boersma W, Bouwman A, Crommentuijn L, Dekkers J, Koomen E (2005) Ruimtelijke Beelden. Visualisatie van een veranderd Nederland in 2030, RIVM rapport 550016003 [Spatial Impressions. Visualization of future land use in the Netherlands, RIVM report 550016003], RIVM, Bilthoven

    Google Scholar 

  • Borsboom-van Beurden J, Zondag B (2009) Visiedocument Ruimtelijke Modellering met LUMOS. Internal report Netherlands Environmental Assessment Agency, Bilthoven

    Google Scholar 

  • Couclelis H (2005) Where has the future gone? Rethinking the role of integrated land use models in spatial planning. Environ Plann A 37(8):1353–1371

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • CPB (1999) BLM-Regionale verkenningen 2010–2020: in gesprek met de regio’s, Werkdocument no. 112 (Business area monitor: regional projection 2010–2020, Working paper 112). CPB, The Hague

    Google Scholar 

  • CPB, MNP and RPB (2006) Welvaart en Leefomgeving. Een scenariostudie voor Nederland in 2040. [Prosperity, wellbeing and quality of the living environment. A scenario study for the Netherlands in 2040] CPB/MNP/RPB, Bilthoven/The Hague

    Google Scholar 

  • Eijgenraam C (2005) Kosten-batenanalyse Ruimte voor de Rivier, deel 1 Veiligheid tegen overstromingen. Centraal Planbureau, Den Haag

    Google Scholar 

  • Farjon J, Bezemer V, Blok S, Goossen C, Nieuwenhuizen W, Regt W de, Vries S de (2004) Groene ruimte in de Randstad: een evaluatie van het rijksbeleid voor bufferzones en de Randstadgroenstructuur. Achtergronddocument bij Natuurbalans 2003 (Green spaces in the Randstad: evaluating green belt and urban fringe policies. Background document for the 2004 Nature Balance). Planbureaurapporten 6, Natuurplanbureau (Nature Policy Assessment Office), Wageningen, The Netherlands

    Google Scholar 

  • GeodanNext (2008) Ruimtelijke Verkenning Overijssel 2040. Geodan, Amsterdam

    Google Scholar 

  • Hagen-Zanker A (2008) Measuring the performance of geosimulation models by map comparison. Thesis, University of Maastricht, Maastricht

    Google Scholar 

  • Hajer M, Gijzen J, van’t Klooster S (eds) (2010) Strong stories: how the Dutch are inventing spatial planning. 010 Publishers, Rotterdam

    Google Scholar 

  • Helming J (2005) A model of Dutch agriculture based on positive mathematical programming with regional and environmental applications. PhD thesis, Wageningen University, Wageningen, The Netherlands

    Google Scholar 

  • Klijn F, Baan P, Bruijn de K, Kwadijk J (2007) Huidige en toekomstige over-stromingsrisico’s in Nederland in een veranderend klimaat. WL Delft Hydraulics, Delft

    Google Scholar 

  • Kuijpers-Linde M (2010) The planning EIA and anchoring knowledge in provincial strategic plans. In: Hajer M, Gijzen J, van’t Klooster S (eds) Strong stories: how the Dutch are inventing spatial planning. 010 Publishers, Rotterdam, pp 216–229

    Google Scholar 

  • LEI (2010) Land- en Tuinbouwcijfers. Report 2010-068. Landbouw-Economisch Instituut (LEI), The Hague

    Google Scholar 

  • LNV (2002) Structuurschema Groene Ruimte 2. Samen werken aan een groen Nederland (Green Area Structure Plan 2. Working Together on a Green Netherlands). Ministerie van Landbouw, Natuurbeheer en Visserij, The Hague

    Google Scholar 

  • Longley P (2000) Spatial analysis in the new millennium. Ann Assoc Am Geogr 90(1):157–165

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • MNP (2004a) Natuur Balans 2004 [Nature Balance 2004]. Milieu- en Natuurplan-bureau/RIVM, Bilthoven

    Google Scholar 

  • MNP (2004b) Quality and the future. Sustainability Outlook. Netherlands Environmental Assessment Agency/RIVM, Bilthoven

    Google Scholar 

  • MNP (2005) Effecten van klimaatverandering in Nederland. Rapportnr. 773001034. Milieu-en Natuurplanbureau, Bilthoven, The Netherlands

    Google Scholar 

  • MNP (2006a) Environmental Balance 2006. Summary. MNP, Bilthoven

    Google Scholar 

  • MNP (2006b) Natuur Balans 2006 [Nature Balance 2006]. MNP, Bilthoven

    Google Scholar 

  • MNP (2007) Nederland Later; Tweede Duurzaamheidsverkenning deel fysieke leefomgeving Nederland. MNP-publicatienr.500127001/2007. Milieu- en Natuurplanbureau, Bilthoven

    Google Scholar 

  • PBL/CBS (2010) Regionale prognose 2009–2040: Vergrijzing en omslag van groei naar krimp. Planbureau voor de Leefomgeving, Den Haag/Bilthoven

    Google Scholar 

  • Province of Overijssel (2009a) Omgevingsvisie Overijssel. Visie en uitvoeringsprogramma voor de ontwikkeling van de fysieke leefomgeving van de Provincie Overijssel. Provincie Overijssel, Zwolle

    Google Scholar 

  • Province of Overijssel (2009b) Plan – Milieueffectrapport/Duuzaamheidsbeoordeling. Provincie Overijssel, Zwolle

    Google Scholar 

  • RIVM and Stichting DLO (2002) National nature outlook 2: 2000–2030. Summary. RIVM (National Institute for Public Health and the Environment), Bilthoven, The Netherlands

    Google Scholar 

  • Syncera (2007) Een voorwaartse strategie. Zeewaartse kustuitbreiding: een verkenning van kansen en mogelijkheden. Syncera, Delft

    Google Scholar 

  • Thunnissen H, Noordman E (1996) Classification methodology and operational implementation of the land cover database of the Netherlands. Rapport 124. DLO-Staring Centrum, Wageningen

    Google Scholar 

  • VROM, LNV, V&W and EZ (2006) National Spatial Strategy: creating space for development. Summary. Ministry of Housing, Spatial Planning and the Environment, Ministry of Agriculture, Nature and Food Quality, Ministry of Transport, Public Works and Water Management and Ministry of Economic Affairs, The Hague

    Google Scholar 

  • V&W and VROM (2006) Nota Mobiliteit: Naar een betrouwbare en voorspelbare bereikbaarheid, PKB Dl IV [Mobility Policy Document, Part IV Officially adopted Policy Document]. Ministry of Transport, Public Works and Water Management and Ministry of Housing, Physical Planning and the Environment, The Hague

    Google Scholar 

  • Wit de A (2003) Land use mapping and monitoring in the Netherlands using remote sensing data, learning from Earth’s shapes & colors. Paper presented at the 2003 IEEE international geoscience and remote sensing symposium, Toulouse

    Google Scholar 

Download references

Author information

Authors and Affiliations

  1. Netherlands Organisation for Applied Sciences – TNO, 2600 AA, Delft, The Netherlands

    Judith Borsboom-van Beurden & Marianne Kuijpers-Linde

  2. Netherlands Environmental Assessment Agency – PBL, 2500 GH, The Hague, The Netherlands

    Barry Zondag

Authors
  1. Judith Borsboom-van Beurden
    View author publications

    You can also search for this author in PubMed Google Scholar

  2. Marianne Kuijpers-Linde
    View author publications

    You can also search for this author in PubMed Google Scholar

  3. Barry Zondag
    View author publications

    You can also search for this author in PubMed Google Scholar

Corresponding author

Correspondence to Judith Borsboom-van Beurden .

Editor information

Editors and Affiliations

  1. , DAD -Dipartimento di Architettura e Desi, Politecnico di Torino, Viale Pier Andrea Mattioli 39, Torino, 10125, Italy

    Liliana Bazzanella

  2. , DAD -Dipartimento di Architettura e Desi, Politecnico di Torino, Viale Pier Andrea Mattioli 39, Torino, 10125, Italy

    Luca Caneparo

  3. Higher Institute on Innovative Territori, c.so Castelfidardo 30/a, Torino, 10129, Italy

    Franco Corsico

  4. , DAD -Dipartimento di Architettura e Desi, Politecnico di Torino, Viale Pier Andrea Mattioli 39, Torino, 10125, Italy

    Giuseppe Roccasalva

Rights and permissions

Reprints and permissions

Copyright information

© 2012 Springer Science+Business Media B.V.

About this chapter

Cite this chapter

Borsboom-van Beurden, J., Kuijpers-Linde, M., Zondag, B. (2012). Spatial Elaboration of Long-Term Economic and Demographic Trends: Future Land Use in the Netherlands. In: Bazzanella, L., Caneparo, L., Corsico, F., Roccasalva, G. (eds) The Future of Cities and Regions. Springer Geography. Springer, Dordrecht. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-94-007-2518-8_13

Download citation

Publish with us

Policies and ethics

Search

Navigation