Skip to main content

Copula Choice with Factor Credit Portfolio Models

  • Chapter
  • First Online:
Statistical Modelling and Regression Structures
  • 3069 Accesses

Abstract

Over the last couple of years we could observe a strong growth of copula based credit portfolio models. So far the major interest has revolved the ability of certain copula families to map specific phenomena such as default clustering or the evolution of prices (e.g., credit derivatives prices). Still few questions have been posed regarding copula selection. This is surprising as the problem of estimating the dependence structure is even unresolved with simple traditional models. For statistical tests of credit portfolio models in general the literature found densitybased tests like that of Berkowitz (2001) the most reasonable option. In this text, we examine its power characteristics concerning factor portfolio models in more detail. Our results suggest that both the copula family as well as the level of dependence is generally very difficult to identify.

This is a preview of subscription content, log in via an institution to check access.

Access this chapter

Chapter
USD 29.95
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Available as PDF
  • Read on any device
  • Instant download
  • Own it forever
eBook
USD 84.99
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Available as PDF
  • Read on any device
  • Instant download
  • Own it forever
Softcover Book
USD 109.99
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Compact, lightweight edition
  • Dispatched in 3 to 5 business days
  • Free shipping worldwide - see info
Hardcover Book
USD 109.99
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Durable hardcover edition
  • Dispatched in 3 to 5 business days
  • Free shipping worldwide - see info

Tax calculation will be finalised at checkout

Purchases are for personal use only

Institutional subscriptions

Preview

Unable to display preview. Download preview PDF.

Unable to display preview. Download preview PDF.

References

  • Aas, K. (2004). Modelling the dependence structure of financial assets: a survey of four copulas, Technical report, Norwegian Computing Center.

    Google Scholar 

  • Berkowitz, J. (2001). Testing density forecasts, with applications to risk management, Journal of Business and Economic Statistics 19(4): 465–474.

    Article  MathSciNet  Google Scholar 

  • Chen, X., Fan, Y. & Patton, A. (2004). Simple tests for models of dependence between multiple financial time series with applications to u.s. equity returns and exchange rates, Technical report, Financial Markets Group, International Asset Management.

    Google Scholar 

  • Dobric, J. & Schmidt, F. (2007). A goodness of fit test for copulas based on rosenblatt’s transformation, Computational Statistics and Data Analysis 51(9): 4633–4642.

    Article  MATH  MathSciNet  Google Scholar 

  • Doornik, J. & Hansen, H. (1994). An omnibus test for univariate and multivariate normality, Technical report, University of Oxford, University of Copenhagen.

    Google Scholar 

  • Fermanian, J.-D. (2005). Goodness-of-fit tests for copulas, Journal of Multivariate Analysis 95: 119–152.

    Article  MATH  MathSciNet  Google Scholar 

  • Frerichs, H. & Loeffler, G. (2003). Evaluating credit risk models using loss density forecasts, Journal of Risk 5(4): 1–23.

    Google Scholar 

  • Frey, R. & McNeil, A. (2003). Dependent defaults in models of portfolio credit risk, Journal of Risk 6(1): 59–92.

    Google Scholar 

  • Genest, C., Quessy, J. & Rémillard, B. (2006). Goodness-of-fit procedures for copula models based on the probability integral transformation, Scandinavian Journal of Statistics 33: 337–366.

    Article  MATH  Google Scholar 

  • Hamerle, A. & Plank, K. (2009). A note on the Berkowitz test with discrete distributions, Journal of Risk Model Validation 3(2): 3–10.

    Google Scholar 

  • Hamerle, A. & Roesch, D. (2005). Misspecified copulas in credit risk models: How good is gaussian?, Journal of Risk 8(1): 41–58.

    Google Scholar 

  • Kupiec, P. (1995). Techniques for verifying the accuracy of risk measurement models, Journal of Derivatives 3: 73–84.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Lopez, J. & Saidenberg, M. (2000). Evaluating credit risk models, Journal of Banking and Finance 24: 151–165.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Marshall, A. & Olkin, I. (1988). Families of multivariate distributions, Journal of the American Statistical Association 83: 834–841.

    Article  MATH  MathSciNet  Google Scholar 

  • McNeil, A., Frey, R. & Embrechts, P. (2005). Quantitative Risk Management.Concepts, Techniques, Tools, Princeton University Press.

    Google Scholar 

  • Moosbrucker, T. (2006). Copulas from infinitely divisible distributions - applications to credit value at risk, Technical report, University of Cologne.

    Google Scholar 

  • Nikoloulopoulos, A. & Karlis, D. (2008). Copula model evaluation based on parametric bootstrap, Computational Statistics and Data Analysis p. in press.

    Google Scholar 

Download references

Author information

Authors and Affiliations

Authors

Corresponding author

Correspondence to Alfred Hamerle .

Editor information

Editors and Affiliations

Rights and permissions

Reprints and permissions

Copyright information

© 2010 Springer-Verlag Berlin Heidelberg

About this chapter

Cite this chapter

Hamerle, A., Plank, K. (2010). Copula Choice with Factor Credit Portfolio Models. In: Kneib, T., Tutz, G. (eds) Statistical Modelling and Regression Structures. Physica-Verlag HD. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-7908-2413-1_17

Download citation

Publish with us

Policies and ethics